atljbo Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Quote https://overthecap.com/2023-nfl-team-spending-estimates With free agency approaching I started getting some questions about spending requirements this year. For those unfamiliar with the new CBA, the NFL requires teams to spend 90% of the salary cap each year within specific three or four year periods. One of those periods covers spending from 2021 to 2023, so this a year where some teams may be required to spend up. Give or take a few dollars the requirement would be $554 million in cash over those three seasons. I went back and estimated cash spending for each team over the 2021 and 2022 seasons and then added in the 2023 numbers. Here is the breakdown: Most of the teams in the league are well above the minimum threshold. Really there are only three teams that need to spend up this year- the Bears, Falcons, and Cowboys. All three of these teams are this low because the spending valuations treat cash commitments made in February/early March as belonging to a prior league year so teams that do a lot of restructures for cap purposes could lose money to a prior valuation period, which is what I believe happened to these three teams. That rule also means that our spending period really doesn’t end in January of 2024 either. It means that teams have until the start of free agency in 2024 to make the numbers work. So that kind of takes Dallas out as a must spend in free agency team because they have a Prescott salary cap situation to work with and Micah Parsons possibly getting extended. So realistically we are looking at the Bears and Falcons having to spend a bit in free agency to hit their numbers. Both will also be helped by the draft (the 1st pick will earn around $26.7M). While some teams will be impacted by salary cap constraints this should give us a much better idea of teams that will spend a lot just to meet their historical norms. Not surprisingly the Bears, Falcons, and Texans are at the top of the list. All three have purged their rosters due to the salary cap and changes at the top of the organization and should have a large war chest of savings that could be spent this year. Basically to meet the 3 year cash spending obligation we have to spend $189 million in cash this offseason to meet our 3 year $554 million obligation this offseason... So we have to spend cash money. FalconJim, Lowndesfalc, mtldirtybird and 2 others 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FalconofShadows Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 (edited) 1 hour ago, atljbo said: Basically to meet the 3 year cash spending obligation we have to spend $189 million in cash this offseason to meet our 3 year $554 million obligation this offseason... So we have to spend cash money. **** to think all that is going to Lamar... My phone wouldn't let me make it purple... Edited February 18 by FalconofShadows Herr Doktor, Killing Floor, ATLskinjob and 12 others 1 14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FalconFanSince1969 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Good info.... Not exactly thrilled with being forced to spend money if we didn't want but I would imagine that could be remedied by front loading contracts if we wanted atljbo, Tim Mazetti, FalconJim and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aluminafalcon Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, FalconFanSince1969 said: Good info.... Not exactly thrilled with being forced to spend money if we didn't want but I would imagine that could be remedied by front loading contracts if we wanted Front loading and early extensions. If free agents decided not to sign then we move up AJ and Pitts extensions lock them up long term FalconFanSince1969, FalconJim, TheRisen999 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atljbo Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 12 minutes ago, Aluminafalcon said: Front loading and early extensions. If free agents decided not to sign then we move up AJ and Pitts extensions lock them up long term Kyle can't yet but after FA if we had a good sum of money I would look at extending AJ. But we have options rather it's in FA or even trade (trading mid-late round picks for players) Tim Mazetti and ATLskinjob 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aluminafalcon Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 15 minutes ago, atljbo said: Kyle can't yet but after FA if we had a good sum of money I would look at extending AJ. But we have options rather it's in FA or even trade (trading mid-late round picks for players) Maybe I read it wrong but it includes up to start of league year 2024. When is the exact start on when you can renegotiate rookie contracts. Is it after Super Bowl or not until league year starts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrthoPTSD Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Wow, interesting for sure. May rethink handing out big ol contracts Jessie Bates come on down.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atljbo Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 9 minutes ago, Aluminafalcon said: Maybe I read it wrong but it includes up to start of league year 2024. When is the exact start on when you can renegotiate rookie contracts. Is it after Super Bowl or not until league year starts You are correct.. so from the moment the season end next year till the beginning of 2024 ( about a 2 or 1 month period depending on if we make a playoff run) we would have that time period. I just think we are going to front load/ good signing bonus the impact players we sign in FA . But yea the falcons need to spend some cash Mister pudding, Tim Mazetti and FalconJim 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mister pudding Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, atljbo said: You are correct.. so from the moment the season end next year till the beginning of 2024 ( about a 2 or 1 month period depending on if we make a playoff run) we would have that time period. I just think we are going to front load/ good signing bonus the impact players we sign in FA . But yea the falcons need to spend some cash Agree. Unfortunately, the rule is that the bonus in year #2 must be higher than year 1. We can still front load, but not as aggressive as I would like for this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thiccolas Cage Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Good, that means will get Lamar, Tannehill, and Rogers once FA opens. We will just rotate them on a weekly basis according to game plan. FalconJim, papachaz, Killing Floor and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EddieK Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 One thing you can't fault Arthur Blank for is spending money. He's always spent whatever money necessary on the team. If the front office wanted to pursue a player, they've always said Blank supported them in any way possible dyrtysouth2000, FalconJim, Lionzblade and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllStarHandyMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 With this being the case I will be more into the falcons using the draft to get players that looks to fit and are proven. Using trade downs and gained draft picks to get players on the last year of the rookie contracts. Example #1: Dolphins need higher draft picks (Forfeited their 1st) plus need to get under the cap so Falcons trade a 2nd or 3rd for Christian Wilkins who is in the last year of his contract with 10mil cap hit. Add trading down in the draft for picks and players. Example #2: Viking want to move up in the draft we trade down get the 1st and a 3rd this year and K.J Osborn WR. Then some 2024 picks. I'm looking at teams that have a problem with have to many good players in the same spot that are hurting for cap space, would gain cap savings and want to gain, instead of releasing players. Example #3: Bills Ed Oliver (10Mil) AJ Epenesa (2Mil) saving 12 mil in cap space plus move up in the draft to get a WR and only have to give up 2 players and a their first. Pay out for them is they save on cap space don't lose any other draft picks and get to draft the best WR in the draft. They use there strength and do not take a large hit on their production of the team, Falcons help their weakness become a little stronger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opensource001 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 The NFLs salary cap was designed by someone using copious amounts of narcotics. Lionzblade, dothan_birdman, PriMeTiiMe and 2 others 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killing Floor Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 hours ago, Thiccolas Cage said: Good, that means will get Lamar, Tannehill, and Rogers once FA opens. We will just rotate them on a weekly basis according to game plan. This is a championship plan. Nobody could game plan us. dyrtysouth2000, Thiccolas Cage, Chitown2ATL_Falcon and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thiccolas Cage Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 13 hours ago, AllStarHandyMan said: With this being the case I will be more into the falcons using the draft to get players that looks to fit and are proven. Using trade downs and gained draft picks to get players on the last year of the rookie contracts. Example #1: Dolphins need higher draft picks (Forfeited their 1st) plus need to get under the cap so Falcons trade a 2nd or 3rd for Christian Wilkins who is in the last year of his contract with 10mil cap hit. Add trading down in the draft for picks and players. Example #2: Viking want to move up in the draft we trade down get the 1st and a 3rd this year and K.J Osborn WR. Then some 2024 picks. I'm looking at teams that have a problem with have to many good players in the same spot that are hurting for cap space, would gain cap savings and want to gain, instead of releasing players. Example #3: Bills Ed Oliver (10Mil) AJ Epenesa (2Mil) saving 12 mil in cap space plus move up in the draft to get a WR and only have to give up 2 players and a their first. Pay out for them is they save on cap space don't lose any other draft picks and get to draft the best WR in the draft. They use there strength and do not take a large hit on their production of the team, Falcons help their weakness become a little stronger. That's like some ol Jedi mind tricks drafting right there but would be interesting if TF could pull something like that off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thiccolas Cage Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 10 hours ago, Killing Floor said: This is a championship plan. Nobody could game plan us. The true 'deception' lol. Coaching staff from other teams be like ****, we got Tannehill this week lol Killing Floor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bossFALCON™ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 18 hours ago, FalconFanSince1969 said: Good info.... Not exactly thrilled with being forced to spend money if we didn't want but I would imagine that could be remedied by front loading contracts if we wanted Or one year deals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thiccolas Cage Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, bossFALCON™ said: Or one year deals One year deals on one year bill$ TF need to start printing money with his face on it with literature on it reading 'legal tender for one year' Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Falcons_Frenzy Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 14 hours ago, Thiccolas Cage said: Good, that means will get Lamar, Tannehill, and Rogers once FA opens. We will just rotate them on a weekly basis according to game plan. Don't forget Fields. Some people would say 5 QB's is too many. I say not if you fill the Franks spot with one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atljbo Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 i would def be like philly hunting for those teams looking to trade guys for mid-late round draft pick... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FalconFanSince1969 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 minutes ago, atljbo said: i would def be like philly hunting for those teams looking to trade guys for mid-late round draft pick... Yep. I've been trying to find a good article on guys who might be traded due to contract or whatnot and I haven't came across anything yet.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllStarHandyMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 hours ago, Thiccolas Cage said: That's like some ol Jedi mind tricks drafting right there but would be interesting if TF could pull something like that off Best thing is with this we get players before they get paid. Making them play harder and we get to see them before we have to put big money into them with 5th year options. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrthoPTSD Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 23 hours ago, Thiccolas Cage said: Good, that means will get Lamar, Tannehill, and Rogers once FA opens. We will just rotate them on a weekly basis according to game plan. Tannehill can take Franks snaps at TE? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Artys Arryn Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just give Bates the bag already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
autigerfan Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I looked at Sportrac at our player salaries for last year and it was pretty eye opening. Outside of Matthews, Grady and Mariota, the rest of the roster was playing for peanuts. We could make some noise If we can bring in some real NFL players. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.