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The Falcons could make a deep playoff run in 2021.


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The Rams were 4-12 in 2016 and brought in an offensive minded head coach and were a playoff team in 2017 with an explosive offense. The Jaguars were 3-13 in 2016 and made the AFC championship game in 2017. Probably should have won that game. The Packers to were bad in 2018 and brought in a new offensive minded creative head coach and they made the nfc championship game with offense looking explosive.

I wouldn't be surprised one bit if the Falcons offense was explosive in 2021 and we made some noise in the playoffs. In fact it I expect it because of Arthur Smith and Dean Pees.

 

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14 minutes ago, WhenFalconsWin said:

We were 4-12 with (Pigtrino) in 07' turned it around to 11-5 under Smitty in 08'. We can point to our own history for this. 

Also went to 11-5 with Mora after Reeves. 8-8 and then 11-5 immediately after Smitty.

Yeah the year after a coaching change seems to be one of our better years. I'm hoping for 10-7 and expecting 9-8. Would be nice to pick up one playoff win as a WC but I'm not expecting it. 

We play half our games against teams with first year QBs on their new team or rookie QBs. We have as good a shot as they do to win those games.

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The 2015 Falcons started off 5-0. Then they went 3-8 the rest of the way. Why?

My theory is two fold but indicative of the rest of the Quinn era. 

5-0 +5 takeaways offense 32.4 pts/game defense 22.4 pts/game

3-8 -12 takeaways offense 16.1 pts/game defense 21.8 pts/game

The team got really sloppy. In 2016 the offense covered up the slop. In 2017 the defense. After that the sloppy was the norm, though Matt had a great year in 2018.

Smith seems like the coach who will not tolerate the sloppy.

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40 minutes ago, Falcons Fan MVP said:

The Rams were 4-12 in 2016 and brought in an offensive minded head coach and were a playoff team in 2017 with an explosive offense. The Jaguars were 3-13 in 2016 and made the AFC championship game in 2017. Probably should have won that game. The Packers to were bad in 2018 and brought in a new offensive minded creative head coach and they made the nfc championship game with offense looking explosive.

I wouldn't be surprised one bit if the Falcons offense was explosive in 2021 and we made some noise in the playoffs. In fact it I expect it because of Arthur Smith and Dean Pees.

Packers offense in 2019 wasn't all that great. They made the playoffs in 2019 thanks to one of the best defenses in the NFL.

But this has happened lots of times in the NFL. Teams go from bad to really good in the span of a year. The Rams went from 4-12 to SB champs in 1999.

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Ridley has already proven himself to be a #1 receiver and Gage played very well as the #2. If Pitts is everything he's billed to be, then that's just one more weapon. Davis is a better running back than anyone we had last year, and we actually have depth on the offensive line now. Then take all of that and realize it's being schemed by a guy that had the #10 and #4 scoring offenses in 2019 and 2020, and there really isn't a reason to be worried about the offenses ability to put up points. 

Defensively, I have full trust in Pees who's had 8 of his 12 defenses, across 3 different teams, finish with a top 10 scoring defense. 

One more note - even if the defense doesn't make much improvement, in may not matter. The 2020 defense allowed just 0.5 points more per game than the 2016 defense. We went pretty far with that squad. Even still, I expect at least a small jump from the defense given Pees being in control. 

And no, I'm not some overly optimistic offseason guy. Last year I was saying 'we know what Koetter is and we know what Quinn isn't' - I just didn't think it would look that bad. Put Pees and Smith in charge of last years team, and they're in the playoffs. 

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5 minutes ago, dirtybirds233 said:

Ridley has already proven himself to be a #1 receiver and Gage played very well as the #2. If Pitts is everything he's billed to be, then that's just one more weapon. Davis is a better running back than anyone we had last year, and we actually have depth on the offensive line now. Then take all of that and realize it's being schemed by a guy that had the #10 and #4 scoring offenses in 2019 and 2020, and there really isn't a reason to be worried about the offenses ability to put up points. 

Defensively, I have full trust in Pees who's had 8 of his 12 defenses, across 3 different teams, finish with a top 10 scoring defense. 

One more note - even if the defense doesn't make much improvement, in may not matter. The 2020 defense allowed just 0.5 points more per game than the 2016 defense. We went pretty far with that squad. Even still, I expect at least a small jump from the defense given Pees being in control. 

And no, I'm not some overly optimistic offseason guy. Last year I was saying 'we know what Koetter is and we know what Quinn isn't' - I just didn't think it would look that bad. Put Pees and Smith in charge of last years team, and they're in the playoffs. 

Answer this honestly, would you be shocked if we only win 3 games this season?? 

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On 6/11/2021 at 1:17 PM, Slumerican said:

If the Falcons make a playoff run in 2021, ill make a movie about it.. And honestly itll be the most unbelievable sports documentary in history of sports lol

Seeing these kinda posts coming from you Slummy actually makes me feel more positive about falcons prospects for this upcoming season. 😈

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20 minutes ago, Jesus said:

The 2015 Falcons started off 5-0. Then they went 3-8 the rest of the way. Why?

My theory is two fold but indicative of the rest of the Quinn era. 

5-0 +5 takeaways offense 32.4 pts/game defense 22.4 pts/game

3-8 -12 takeaways offense 16.1 pts/game defense 21.8 pts/game

The team got really sloppy. In 2016 the offense covered up the slop. In 2017 the defense. After that the sloppy was the norm, though Matt had a great year in 2018.

Smith seems like the coach who will not tolerate the sloppy.

In 2015, we had no center and we struggled to snap the ball. That alone , cost us a bunch of games. We also didn't have many pass catchers and struggled in the passing game. Unlike what most here believe, Kyle didn't care about having a Julio, he wanted a bunch of good targets, he didn't need a Julio. We had Julio in 15, did no good. Bringing in Sanu, Robinson, Hooper, Gabriel, and Alex Mack is what made that team good, no matter who was on the field.

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On 6/11/2021 at 1:21 PM, Slumerican said:

I absolutely believe we'll be a good team in 22..but I don't believe AS has the pieces he needs right now to put his plan together.. But come 22 im expecting huge improvements

I actually tend to lean more toward ‘22 as well, especially now with Julio not part of the plans for upcoming season.  But your prev post about 3 wins next year was plain silly Slummy.

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8 minutes ago, THEHEADCOACH said:

In 2015, we had no center and we struggled to snap the ball. That alone , cost us a bunch of games. We also didn't have many pass catchers and struggled in the passing game. Unlike what most here believe, Kyle didn't care about having a Julio, he wanted a bunch of good targets, he didn't need a Julio. We had Julio in 15, did no good. Bringing in Sanu, Robinson, Hooper, Gabriel, and Alex Mack is what made that team good, no matter who was on the field.

Yep sloppy. Why make a guard play center who never played center before? Cause your lil Kyle.

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16 minutes ago, rcky_mtn_falcon said:

I'm curious why you're on these boards, when there is absolutely nothing about this team that you like.

I got this team logo tattooed on my ribs, doesn't mean I have to go into every season thinking we're going to play like some world beaters with subpar talent across the board.. We have pieces in areas, yes. But alot of pieces haven't played a down in the NFL, or for this team yet people assume they will play their best hof level football.. I'd be more surprised we went on a playoff run vs us matching our win total from last year. 

 

We should do better considering our schedule. But a playoff run, nahh

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20 minutes ago, slick0ne said:

Haven't done that in a while huh? Opener at Chicago i'm thinking.

Falcons for their history has actually done pretty well in week 1 games. Lately though, yeah, it's been ugly.

  1. 1966 - vs. Rams - Loss 14-19 (0-1)
  2. 1967 - at Colts - Loss 31-38 (0-2)
  3. 1968 - at Vikings - Loss 7-47 (0-3)
  4. 1969 - vs. 49ers - Win 24-12 (1-3)
  5. 1970 - at Saints - Win 14-3 (2-3)
  6. 1971 - vs. 49ers - Win 20-17 (3-3)
  7. 1972 - at Bears - Win 37-21 (4-3)
  8. 1973 - at Saints - Win 62-7 (5-3)
  9. 1974 - vs. Cowboys - Loss 0-24 (5-4)
  10. 1975 - at Cardinals - Loss 20-23 (5-5)
  11. 1976 - vs. Rams - Loss 14-30 (5-6)
  12. 1977 - vs. Rams - Win 17-6 (6-6)
  13. 1978 - vs. Oilers - Win 20-14 (7-6)
  14. 1979 - at Saints - Win 40-34 (OT) (8-6)
  15. 1980 - at Vikings - Loss 23-24 (8-7)
  16. 1981 - vs. Saints - Win 27-0 (9-7)
  17. 1982 - at Giants - Win 16-14 (10-7)
  18. 1983 - at Bears - Win 20-17 (11-7)
  19. 1984 - at Saints - Win 36-28 (12-7)
  20. 1985 - vs. Lions - Loss 27-28 (12-8)
  21. 1986 - at Saints - Win 31-10 (13-8)
  22. 1987 - at Buccaneers - Loss 10-48 (13-9)
  23. 1988 - at Lions - Loss 17-31 (13-10)
  24. 1989 - vs. Rams - Loss 21-31 (13-11)
  25. 1990 - vs. Oilers - Win 47-27 (14-11)
  26. 1991 - at Chiefs - Loss 3-14 (14-12)
  27. 1992 - vs. Jets - Win 20-17 (15-12)
  28. 1993 - at Lions - Loss 13-30 (15-13)
  29. 1994 - at Lions - Loss 28-31 (OT) (15-14)
  30. 1995 - vs. Panthers - Win 23-20 (OT) (16-14)
  31. 1996 - at Panthers - Loss 6-29 (16-15)
  32. 1997 - at Lions - Loss 17-28 (16-16)
  33. 1998 - at Panthers - Win 19-14 (17-16)
  34. 1999 - vs. Vikings - Loss 14-17 (17-17)
  35. 2000 - vs. 49ers - Win 36-28 (18-17)
  36. 2001 - at 49ers - Loss 13-16 (OT) (18-18)
  37. 2002 - at Packers - Loss 34-37 (OT) (18-19)
  38. 2003 - at Cowboys - Win 27-13 (19-19)
  39. 2004 - at 49ers - Win 21-19 (20-19)
  40. 2005 - vs. Eagles - Win 14-10 (21-19)
  41. 2006 - at Panthers - Win 20-6 (22-19)
  42. 2007 - at Vikings - Loss 3-24 (22-20)
  43. 2008 - vs. Lions - Win 34-21 (23-20)
  44. 2009 - vs. Dolphins - Win 19-7 (24-20)
  45. 2010 - at Steelers - Loss 9-15 (OT) (24-21)
  46. 2011 - at Bears - Loss 12-30 (24-22)
  47. 2012 - at Chiefs - Win 40-24 (25-22)
  48. 2013 - at Saints - Loss 17-23 (25-23)
  49. 2014 - vs. Saints - Win 37-24 (OT) (26-23)
  50. 2015 - vs. Eagles - Win 26-24 (27-23)
  51. 2016 - vs. Buccaneers - Loss 24-31 (27-24)
  52. 2017 - at Bears - Win 23-17 (28-24)
  53. 2018 - at Eagles - Loss 12-18 (28-25)
  54. 2019 - at Vikings - Loss 12-28 (28-26)
  55. 2020 - vs. Seahawks - Loss 25-38 (28-27)

 

As you can see, Falcons have winning record in season openers.

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