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2021 Falcons Draft and analysis and what I would have done.


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I enjoy analyzing the draft and seeing what I would have done.  I started doing this about 10 years ago.  I'm not saying I'm right and I'm not saying that I know anything this is just my analysis and something fun that I enjoy doing.  Feel free to leave feedback but please keep the anger and attacks out of this. 

 

I find that often I don't see the need to make any trades because players that I value are usually there so having said that:

 

4. Pitts - TE

I liked Sewell here as well but that would require too much shuffling so I'll take the 12 personnel and hopefully it will disguise what we are doing.  12 personnel is probably my favorite formation.

35. Azeez Ojulari - DE

68. Joseph Ossai - DE

108 Kenneth Gainwell - RB

148. Dazz Newsome - WR

182. Dylan Moses - LB

183. Kylin Hill - RB

187. Frank Darby - WR

219. Marvin Wilson - DT

My strategy is BPA but with consideration for repetitiveness.

 

As for what the Falcons did I gave each draft pick a grade and the draft an overall grade.

4) Kyle Pitts is an A+.  He was the best player on the board period.  In a few years we may have a problem with signability because he is not going to want to be signed as a TE but instead as a WR but we will cross that bridge when we get there.

40) Richie Grant  is a B.   Love this pick and he could be solid for us for the next 8 years.

68) Mayfield A+ and this grade is because he was the highest player left on the board but not on my personal board.  If he were to kick inside and be all that he can be he may be a great pick but that's a big, "IF" in my opinion.

108) Darren Hall is an F.  And here is where the wheels fall off.  I can see upside for Hall but the contention is that you could have gotten him later in the draft which will be a recurring theme from here on out.   From Day 3 on it wasn't as much fun.  The first 2 days I could clearly see a BPA strategy in play but from day 3 on I'm not sure what the strategy was.  Maybe they were dependent on RAS.

114) Drew Dalman is an F.  Same as with Hall I felt that they could have gotten him later.  Now I will say this about Dalman,  "I still like the pick of the player but not at this stage in the draft."

148) Ta'Quan Graham is an F.  I see this going the way of DeAdrin Senat.  Another wasted pick that we probably forget about by the following season.

182) Adetokunbo Ogundegi is an A+.  Great pick here as far as value.  He could be something and he saves the day as far any pick after day 2.

183) Avery Williams is an F.  Bad value for the pick here. Could have gotten him later.  If he makes the any difference it will most likely be as a punt returner and we seem to always take a punt returner late in every draft.

187) Frank Darby is an A+.  I like this pick alot.  He was one of my late round sleepers and I was happy to see the Falcons take a player that I can atleast see some upside in. 

 

Overall I give this draft a grade of B and think it is one of our top 3 in the last 15 years which is a solid building block for a first year regime.  In my opinion there were 4 bad picks (Hall, Dalman, Graham and Williams) and I base this mostly on value at that point in the draft except for Graham which I don't think we will ever see be productive.  Then there were 4 good picks (Pitts, Grant, Ogundeji and Darby) who I think can all be productive atleast.  Then there was Mayfield who made sense as a pick but I personally think he could be a miss who we stick with too long as a project.  I like the player strictly from a value standpoint but I personally would have left him on the board.

 

 

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Why even bother commenting?  I was pretty clear with what this was and if you aren't interested then just pass it by and go on with your day.  I think your need to share your opinion on what you see as valid is pointless.  I just as you do what I want within reason. 

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2 minutes ago, PriMeTiiMe said:

So let me get this straight...

We get F’s for reaches/wastes (per you) but yet you drafted 2 guys that went undrafted and another that went a few picks before the end of the draft. Then to sweeten your Draft, Gainwell and Newsome are taken 2 rounds before they went IRL.

Makes sense. A+ logic.

Well first off let me say that it's great to be back on these boards.  It's been about 10 years since I came around and it's like I never left with the attacks and the slander so thanks for the warm welcome.  It's my opinion as I stated.  I'm not saying I am right and I am not saying they are wrong.  It's just my fun because I like the draft.  That's it.  Thanks for taking a few minutes out of your day to call me an idiot.  I doubt I will be staying long.

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Just now, hjerry said:

This thread has as much value as the dump I took this morning

Actually if you don't do that then you will die so it was pretty valuable.  Good to have you with us still.

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7 minutes ago, coryb78 said:

Why even bother commenting?  I was pretty clear with what this was and if you aren't interested then just pass it by and go on with your day.  I think your need to share your opinion on what you see as valid is pointless.  I just as you do what I want within reason. 

You have every right to make a thread, and we are just as entitled to point how bad it is.

If you aren't interested then just pass it by and go on with your day.

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1 minute ago, coryb78 said:

Well first off let me say that it's great to be back on these boards.  It's been about 10 years since I came around and it's like I never left with the attacks and the slander so thanks for the warm welcome.  It's my opinion as I stated.  I'm not saying I am right and I am not saying they are wrong.  It's just my fun because I like the draft.  That's it.  Thanks for taking a few minutes out of your day to call me an idiot.  I doubt I will be staying long.

He never called you an idiot.  That's called conviction.

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2 minutes ago, hjerry said:

You have every right to make a thread, and we are just as entitled to point how stupid it is.

If you aren't interested then just pass it by and go on with your day.

The level of butthurt is strong in this one, I gotta give him credit.

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Just now, athell said:

I didn't draft anyone.  I'm not an NFL Franchise.  Hope that helps.

I'm more of a shotgun than sniper tho tbh

Nah...you give yourself too much credit.  You just like to shoot your mouth off.

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9 minutes ago, coryb78 said:

Why even bother commenting?  I was pretty clear with what this was and if you aren't interested then just pass it by and go on with your day.  I think your need to share your opinion on what you see as valid is pointless.  I just as you do what I want within reason. 

It doesn't make sense. If you make a change to a Falcons pick it changes all the picks after making it unlikely that the next pick you want will be there. You don't get to say I want this guy because I want him. He won't be there.

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1 minute ago, coryb78 said:

Nah...you give yourself too much credit.  You just like to shoot your mouth off.

 

Just now, coryb78 said:

Keep your credit.  I don't have enough respect for you to have it do me any good. 

Grade: F

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1 minute ago, Jesus said:

It doesn't make sense. If you make a change to a Falcons pick it changes all the picks after making it unlikely that the next pick you want will be there. You don't get to say I want this guy because I want him. He won't be there.

Fair point and it does change the accuracy.  I tried to be as fair as I could with respect to where the players went and where the players were on my board.  Every player I drafted was on the board at that point.

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9 minutes ago, coryb78 said:

Well first off let me say that it's great to be back on these boards.  It's been about 10 years since I came around and it's like I never left with the attacks and the slander so thanks for the warm welcome.  It's my opinion as I stated.  I'm not saying I am right and I am not saying they are wrong.  It's just my fun because I like the draft.  That's it.  Thanks for taking a few minutes out of your day to call me an idiot.  I doubt I will be staying long.

I’m sorry, are we supposed to just agree with everything people post? Point of a message board is discuss topics. You posted a topic, I responded. Don’t get mad at me because the logic behind your grades made no sense when compared to your redraft.

Never called you an idiot either.

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The amount of vitriol here is uncalled for.

The OP took some time and thought to think like a GM.

Will be interesting to see how the picks in "both" drafts pan out.

Takes creativity and knowledge to specifically say why he liked or did not like a pick.

This is the kind of post that gets me thinking.

Strongly disagree with his analysis of the Dalman pick. I was surprised he lasted that long.

Don't know enough about Graham to comment.

 

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1 minute ago, vitaman said:

The amount of vitriol here is uncalled for.

The OP took some time and thought to think like a GM.

Will be interesting to see how the picks in "both" drafts pan out.

Takes creativity and knowledge to specifically say why he liked or did not like a pick.

This is the kind of post that gets me thinking.

Strongly disagree with his analysis of the Dalman pick. I was surprised he lasted that long.

Don't know enough about Graham to comment.

 

The problem here is a few things...

1.  You can't simply go the "he would have been here route" because every pick changes a ton of variables as Jesus pointed out

2.  Draft Grades in general are extremely dumb and we won't know true value for years.  They are worse than power rankings.

3.  4x F's screams of OP just didn't know the name which means it is automatically awful.  Dalman and Williams are hardly F's.  Dalman could be a day 1 starter and Williams is a ST ace immediatley.  Graham is a prototypical Pees guy, hardly an F.

4.  Acting like a baby when people dont agree with you is always gonna go over like a lead balloon here.

 

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