Jump to content

List of QBs taken in Top 5 of the draft since 2000 (List from Falcoholic)


gazoo
 Share

Recommended Posts

 

Wow, this is flat out UGLY!  How many teams burned such a precious resource as a top 5 draft pick on a QB only to be tragically set back years and ultimately colossally disappointed?  

Top 5 QBs Top 5 QBs Top 5 QBs
Michael Vick (Pick 1) - 2001 David Carr (1) - 2002 Joey Harrington (3) - 2002
Carson Palmer (1) - 2003 Eli Manning (1) - 2004 Philip Rivers (4) - 2004
Alex Smith (1) - 2005 Vince Young (3) - 2006 JaMarcus Russell (1) - 2007
Matt Ryan (3) - 2008 Matthew Stafford (1) - 2009 Mark Sanchez (5) - 2009
Sam Bradford (1) - 2010 Cam Newton (1) - 2011 Andrew Luck (1) - 2012
Robert Griffin III (2) - 2012 Blake Bortles (3) - 2014 Jameis Winston (1) - 2015
Marcus Mariota (2) - 2015 Jared Goff (1) - 2016 Carson Wenz (2) - 2016
Mitch Trubisky (2) - 2017 Baker Mayfield (1) - 2018 Sam Darnold (3) - 2018
Kyler Murray (1) - 2019 Joe Burrow (1) - 2020 Tua Tagovialoa (5) - 2020

 

https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2021/4/11/22377203/what-history-says-the-falcons-should-do-with-the-4th-pick-in-the-nfl-draft

Link to comment
Share on other sites

https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2021/4/11/22377203/what-history-says-the-falcons-should-do-with-the-4th-pick-in-the-nfl-draft

...(taking a QB)If Atlanta’s scouting and research tells them that whichever quarterback available is the right pick, that’s the decision they should make. Even if that player is technically the fourth one off the board

...(Trading down)Based on this, it does seem that this is at least somewhat tied to the competency of a front office

 

...(BPA)Each draft is different, though. And this year is shaping up to be different from any we’ve ever seen. If the Falcons do intend to truly go best player available, history indicates they can have success with that strategy at #4. Nevertheless, It’s still up to the Falcons to make the correct pick, and, keep in mind, that best player available approach could still lead them to a quarterback.

At the end of the day, the draft is an inexact science, and teams are just as likely to fail as they are to succeed. But, like good teams on the field, good front offices can take different approaches to different drafts to find the best value and take the best players. Now, it’s time to find out if this new Atlanta regime can find that right approach.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, gazoo said:

Let's go ahead and look at the odds of picking a QB in top 5 and having them be a bust  or disappointments since 2000, shall we? 

So everyone name the QB on there who lived up to the pick.

I'll start:  Matt Ryan 

Vick, Eli, Rivers, Ryan, Stafford, Cam, Luck(maybe), Goff (Maybe), Wentz(Maybe), Mayfield (maybe), Murray, Burrow. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, hollywood said:

Vick, Eli, Rivers, Ryan, Stafford, Cam, Luck(maybe), Goff (Maybe), Wentz(Maybe), Mayfield (maybe), Murray, Burrow. 

Luck just got derailed by injuries too soon on Burrow and Murray though Kyle is likely worth it. Goff and Wentz are definitely not worth the price even Mayfield is marginal. Only 2 Super Bowl victories both by Eli and those Giant teams had real good defenses. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, hollywood said:

Vick, Eli, Rivers, Ryan, Stafford, Cam, Luck(maybe), Goff (Maybe), Wentz(Maybe), Mayfield (maybe), Murray, Burrow. 

None of them 10-15 year franchise QB outside of Stafford, Eli and Ryan. You gonna have guy sit for 2 years, it better be some one like Ryan. Odds are there aren’t many outside of those 3. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, gazoo said:

Let's go ahead and look at the odds of picking a QB in top 5 and having them be a bust  or disappointments since 2000, shall we? 

So everyone name the QB on there who lived up to the pick.

I'll start:  Matt Ryan 

You are going to be one sad little alien come draft night.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, falcons007 said:

None of them 10-15 year franchise QB outside of Stafford, Eli and Ryan. You gonna have guy sit for 2 years, it better be some one like Ryan. Odds are there aren’t many outside of those 3. 

 

Luck would've been if Colts would've gotten him a competent o-line before his injuries piled up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, JD dirtybird21 said:

Maybe means no. Top 5 pick should have an expectation of superstar 

I hear ya. and I don't entirely disagree. That pick range you are wanting a superstar.  BUT they are still starters at the moment, still playing so the book isn't closed.  I wouldn't call them busts quite yet. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, putnam6 said:

Luck just got derailed by injuries too soon on Burrow and Murray though Kyle is likely worth it. Goff and Wentz are definitely not worth the price even Mayfield is marginal. Only 2 Super Bowl victories both by Eli and those Giant teams had real good defenses. 

yeah, I dont disagree but he got the two.  Lets look at all the non qb top 5 draft picks and see if the other positions have faired any better.  (hint: the article says both QB and non QB top 5 picks turn out to be about 50-50)

Edited by hollywood
Link to comment
Share on other sites

TBF, this isn't the lottery. Every QB in the top 5 ever could be a bust and it wouldn't mean **** in terms of evaluation of the next year's crop. Every individual must be evaluated on their own merits.

What this probably shows more than anything is that those picking at the top of the draft are consistently poorly evaluating QB talent.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, falcons007 said:

It’s not Like Ryan had competent OL. Ryan got hit more than luck. His body just couldn’t hold up and then he lost the heart.

 

True, but it seems like Colts FO at the time didn't even try to field a competent o-line for Luck.

 

At least we knew that TD tried countless times lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, falcons007 said:

Some of the concerns about him succeeding in NFL with out Running and athleticism turned out true. Brady and Manning came back from season ending injuries.

 

I know, just trying to be funny.

 

RG3 hasn't been right though since that KO hit. You can tell that obviously damaged him mentally.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

×
×
  • Create New...