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Most Overrated/Underrated Prospects + Atlanta Falcons Mock


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I thought it would be interesting if we went through some prospects we each saw as underrated and overrated.

Underrated:

- Trevon Moehrig S TCU - I think Moehrig will be a premier FS in this league sooner than later. Elite instincts and coverage ability make him the perfect prototype FS for todays pass happy NFL. He doesnt shy away from contact either, and is a great tackler. Reminds me a lot of Earl Thomas when he was coming out of Texas. Hoping we can trade back, add some picks, and snag him somewhere in the 15-20 range. We are desperate for a leader on the backend to fill the vacant spot left when we released Ricardo Allen.

- Jevonte Williams RB North Carolina - I never understood the love with Najee Harris and Travis Etienne when the most NFL ready RB in the draft to me is clearly UNC's Jevonte Williams. He has ability of being a 3 down NFL back from day one. His 2nd gear, physicality, and vision are what really sets him apart. I haven't seen a RB so overlooked in quite a few years. I would be doing cartwheels up to the podium if he is available with our 2nd round pick. Barring unexpected injuries, id bet my house on him being the best RB from this draft in 3 years. 

- Jevon Holland S Oregon - I think Holland is mainly underrated due to sitting out 2020. He has a similar game to Moehrig, but not quite as polished. I think he is still without question the 2nd best S in this draft. His coverage ability is toe to toe with Moehrig's. After Moehrig and Holland, I think there is a BIG drop off in terms of talent from this years S group. Getting Holland or Moehrig is one of the things I am hoping for most with this draft. The back of the defense, especially both starting S spots, are in dire need of a talent injection. I would be lying if I haven't thought about trading back in the 1st and eventually selecting Moehrig and Holland to be an interchangeable Safety duo to lead the back end of this defense for at least the next few years. Regardless, getting at least 1 of them should be at the top of TF to-do-list.

- Azeez Ojulari EDGE UGA - Hard to call a 1st round pick underrated, but Ojulari is one of those players that are simply built to terrorize opposing QB's. His elite pass rushing skills and explosive first step remind me a lot of Yannick Ngakoue. Do I think Ojulari goes top 10? No. Do I think he is a top 10 player from this draft in 3 years? Yes. His explosiveness, first step, bend, and closing speed are hard to come by. He has also improved as a run defender, and is a violent hitter when colliding with the ball carrier.

- Quincy Roche EDGE Miami (FL) - Roche is projected to go in the late 3rd-4th round range. While I do think thats warranted, Roche is the type of player who contributes more as a pro than he did on the college level. After being the best defender on a Temple defense that didnt face the best level of competition, Roche took a big step this past year in his first season at The U. He wrecked havoc in opposing backfields as a pass rusher and run defender. He has great size and length to go with a solid blend of speed, quickness, and power. He is just starting to come into his own as an EDGE defender, and the right coaching staff will take his game to the next level. While I dont think he will ever become a perennial Pro-Bowler, I think he becomes a guy who averages 8-9 sacks per year, as well as plenty more hits and hurries.

- Ronnie Perkins 3-4 OLB Oklahoma - Reminds me of Ojulari as a pass rusher, but has a long ways to go as a run defender. A solid pass rushing specialist from day 1.

- Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami (FL) - If concussions and injuries are behind him, the right coach will potentially have a player with shades of the Watt and Bosa borthers in his game. The injury history worries me a lot though.

- Ar'Darius Washington S TCU - Moehrig and Washington were interchangeable S while at TCU and had more responsibilities than Bout 99% of DB's in college football. They were the heart of the TCU defense. While he is undersized, he could start at either S position, or at NB at the NFL level. Snagging him in 4th round as a S or NB would be a steal.

- Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern - Easily the 3rd best CB in this draft. I out him as HM because he is actually starting to be projected in the bottom 16, which is probably rated eight about where he should be. I put him in HM because I think he is a lot closer to Horn and Surtain II in terms of instincts and coverage ability than most probably realize. May be a better natural cover corner than both, but does not have the elite run defense that Surtain II has, and didn't face the same level of competition that Horn and Surtain II did.

- Carlos Basham 3-4 DE Wake Forest - Basham is a true 3-4 DE with the frame to add more weight while not sacrificing his fantastic first step and athleticism. My #1 3-4 DE for 2021. Potentially could be had in the middle 2nd-early 3rd due to not being the best fit as a 4-3 DE or 3-4 OLB.

Overrated:

- Caleb Farley CB VT - While I see what's to like about Farley, there are a couple things that terrify me when thinking about taking him in the 1st round. His back injury is at the forefront of those concerns. Farley sat out 2020 in part to have his back naturally heal, but it didnt go as planned, and now surgery is needed. Back injuries are a major red flag for any prospect. Let alone one that didnt heal over a long period of time, and eventually required surgery. Injury aside, Farley reminds me of the supreme athlete with elite size and athleticism, but his instincts and feel for the game leave more to be desired. Unlike other players on this list, Farley may actually recover great from his injury and improve his instincts with more experience. That's just a lot of 'if's' when discussing a potential top 20 pick. I wouldn't touch him in the first 2 rounds.

- Penei Sewell OT Oregon - Ever since mocks have been being made for the 2021 draft, the only non-QB thats been a consistent top 3-5 pick has been Oregon's Penei Sewell. He has been touted as a 'generational LT prospect' with an outstanding blend of athleticism and power. I have never seen that in him, and his pro day was evidence of him being far from elite athletically. While he moved solid for a 330+ lb OL, he was anything but elite in his 3 cone and Short Shuttle. He did not display the elite level of agility and feet quickness we have beem hearing about for almost a year. I am however not overrating him as a mid-late 1st round OG. Sewell is being discussed with the likes of Pitts and Chase as the first non-QB drafted. I dont think he will ever live up to those expectations. Maybe never become a bust, but never live up to the top 5 LT hype we have been hearing about him.

- Justin Fields QB Ohio State - Blue chip prospect coming out of HS. Amazing athlete. Strong. Fast. Quick. Fields could have been a 1st or 2nd round WR, RB, CB, or S if he had played that positions since his freshman season. Hes that elite of an athlete. Hes a natural runner with good vision. Hes huge and has a cannon as well. When has any of these things ever made an elite NFL QB, when that player doesn't have the natural QB instincts that are obvious in players like Lawrence and Wilson. I think hes more focused on being a top pick, than a great NFL QB. A lot of people question his desire an work ethic. Others mention the 6 TD game vs Lawrence's Tigers in the playoffs. While he is far more talented than any of the ghosts of OSU QB past, I don't think he has the tools to lead a room of 53 grown men. H has better RB instincts than QB instincts. Like Cam Newton, he dominated college because hes simply more athletic and faster than every player on the field, and bigger than any player on the field other than OL and DL. While I think AS could maximize his potential, I think that potential maxes out similar to Cam Newton. In todays NFL, you need a QB that can drive down the field with precision and poise. I don't think Fields will ever be that. Some things about projecting QB's are difficult to put into words. No one can perfectly say what made TB12 go from Rd.6 #199 to the greatest QB of all-time. The QB either has 'it' or doesnt have 'it'. I dont think Fields has 'it'. I only see 2 or3 future Pro-Bowl QB's in this draft. That being Wilson(best QB in draft), Lawrence(safest QB prospect ever), and potentially Trey Lance if he goes to KS or AS. 

- Kwity Paye EDGE Michigan - I never understood the 1st round love for Kwity Paye. He didnt finish the job enough as a pass rusher to warrant the 1st round grade he is getting. I think he is benefitting from a weak edge rusher draft, and people are giving him a lot more credit than he deserves. Often looks sloppy when rushing the passer and his bend around the edge looks quite stiff at times. Wouldn't touch him in 1st or 2nd round. At this moment, he is essentially a raw pass rushing specialist with average skills against the run.

- Aaron Robinson CB UCF - Robinson is best at NB, which isn't something you usually look for in a 1st round CB. While showed out at his pro day, I simply think he has a long way to go as an outside CB to have success against even the average-good starting NFL WR. 

2021 Atlanta Falcons Mock

1. JAX - Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson

2. NYJ - Zach Wilson QB BYU

3. SF - Mac Jones QB Alabama

TRADE - ATL gets DEN 1st and 2nd round picks, as well as DEN 2022 1st round pick. DEN gets ATL 1st round pick. Plenty of teams are calling to get the chance at either Lance or Fields. Denver offers their 1st in 2022 to seal the deal.

4. DEN - Justin Fields QB OSU

5. CAR - Trey Lance QB NDSU (CAR traded up with CIN)

6. MIA - Devonta Smith WR Alabama

7. DET - Ja'Marr Chase WR LSU

8. CIN - Kyle Pitts TE Florida

TRADE - ATL gets SD 1st, 2nd, and 4th. SD gets ATL 1st and 5th. SD badly wants to reunite Herbert with his college LT. 

9. SD - Penei Sewell LT Oregon

10. DAL - Patrick Surtain CB Alabama

11. NYG - Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama

12. PHI - Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina

13. ATL - Rashawn Slater OG Northwestern

TRADE - ATL gets MIA 1st(18). MIA gets 2nd round pick(f/SD) and ATL 2022 1st round pick. Due to gaining a 1st from DEN next year, ATL trades their own 2022 1st and the 2nd from SD to add a true leader to their secondary.

18. Azeez Ojulari EDGE UGA

2. Jevonte Williams RB UNC

2(f/DEN). Jevon Holland S Oregon

3. Tyson Campbell CB UGA

4. Brevin Jordan TE Miami (FL)

4. Ar'Darius Washington S TCU

5. Milton Williams DL Louisiana Tech

5. Best WR avalable

6. Best QB available

6. Best OL available

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29 minutes ago, LaurentRobinsonDaGawd said:

I thought it would be interesting if we went through some prospects we each saw as underrated and overrated.

Underrated:

- Trevon Moehrig S TCU - I think Moehrig will be a premier FS in this league sooner than later. Elite instincts and coverage ability make him the perfect prototype FS for todays pass happy NFL. He doesnt shy away from contact either, and is a great tackler. Reminds me a lot of Earl Thomas when he was coming out of Texas. Hoping we can trade back, add some picks, and snag him somewhere in the 15-20 range. We are desperate for a leader on the backend to fill the vacant spot left when we released Ricardo Allen.

- Jevonte Williams RB North Carolina - I never understood the love with Najee Harris and Travis Etienne when the most NFL ready RB in the draft to me is clearly UNC's Jevonte Williams. He has ability of being a 3 down NFL back from day one. His 2nd gear, physicality, and vision are what really sets him apart. I haven't seen a RB so overlooked in quite a few years. I would be doing cartwheels up to the podium if he is available with our 2nd round pick. Barring unexpected injuries, id bet my house on him being the best RB from this draft in 3 years. 

- Jevon Holland S Oregon - I think Holland is mainly underrated due to sitting out 2020. He has a similar game to Moehrig, but not quite as polished. I think he is still without question the 2nd best S in this draft. His coverage ability is toe to toe with Moehrig's. After Moehrig and Holland, I think there is a BIG drop off in terms of talent from this years S group. Getting Holland or Moehrig is one of the things I am hoping for most with this draft. The back of the defense, especially both starting S spots, are in dire need of a talent injection. I would be lying if I haven't thought about trading back in the 1st and eventually selecting Moehrig and Holland to be an interchangeable Safety duo to lead the back end of this defense for at least the next few years. Regardless, getting at least 1 of them should be at the top of TF to-do-list.

- Azeez Ojulari EDGE UGA - Hard to call a 1st round pick underrated, but Ojulari is one of those players that are simply built to terrorize opposing QB's. His elite pass rushing skills and explosive first step remind me a lot of Yannick Ngakoue. Do I think Ojulari goes top 10? No. Do I think he is a top 10 player from this draft in 3 years? Yes. His explosiveness, first step, bend, and closing speed are hard to come by. He has also improved as a run defender, and is a violent hitter when colliding with the ball carrier.

- Quincy Roche EDGE Miami (FL) - Roche is projected to go in the late 3rd-4th round range. While I do think thats warranted, Roche is the type of player who contributes more as a pro than he did on the college level. After being the best defender on a Temple defense that didnt face the best level of competition, Roche took a big step this past year in his first season at The U. He wrecked havoc in opposing backfields as a pass rusher and run defender. He has great size and length to go with a solid blend of speed, quickness, and power. He is just starting to come into his own as an EDGE defender, and the right coaching staff will take his game to the next level. While I dont think he will ever become a perennial Pro-Bowler, I think he becomes a guy who averages 8-9 sacks per year, as well as plenty more hits and hurries.

- Ronnie Perkins 3-4 OLB Oklahoma - Reminds me of Ojulari as a pass rusher, but has a long ways to go as a run defender. A solid pass rushing specialist from day 1.

- Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami (FL) - If concussions and injuries are behind him, the right coach will potentially have a player with shades of the Watt and Bosa borthers in his game. The injury history worries me a lot though.

- Ar'Darius Washington S TCU - Moehrig and Washington were interchangeable S while at TCU and had more responsibilities than Bout 99% of DB's in college football. They were the heart of the TCU defense. While he is undersized, he could start at either S position, or at NB at the NFL level. Snagging him in 4th round as a S or NB would be a steal.

- Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern - Easily the 3rd best CB in this draft. I out him as HM because he is actually starting to be projected in the bottom 16, which is probably rated eight about where he should be. I put him in HM because I think he is a lot closer to Horn and Surtain II in terms of instincts and coverage ability than most probably realize. May be a better natural cover corner than both, but does not have the elite run defense that Surtain II has, and didn't face the same level of competition that Horn and Surtain II did.

- Carlos Basham 3-4 DE Wake Forest - Basham is a true 3-4 DE with the frame to add more weight while not sacrificing his fantastic first step and athleticism. My #1 3-4 DE for 2021. Potentially could be had in the middle 2nd-early 3rd due to not being the best fit as a 4-3 DE or 3-4 OLB.

Overrated:

- Caleb Farley CB VT - While I see what's to like about Farley, there are a couple things that terrify me when thinking about taking him in the 1st round. His back injury is at the forefront of those concerns. Farley sat out 2020 in part to have his back naturally heal, but it didnt go as planned, and now surgery is needed. Back injuries are a major red flag for any prospect. Let alone one that didnt heal over a long period of time, and eventually required surgery. Injury aside, Farley reminds me of the supreme athlete with elite size and athleticism, but his instincts and feel for the game leave more to be desired. Unlike other players on this list, Farley may actually recover great from his injury and improve his instincts with more experience. That's just a lot of 'if's' when discussing a potential top 20 pick. I wouldn't touch him in the first 2 rounds.

- Penei Sewell OT Oregon - Ever since mocks have been being made for the 2021 draft, the only non-QB thats been a consistent top 3-5 pick has been Oregon's Penei Sewell. He has been touted as a 'generational LT prospect' with an outstanding blend of athleticism and power. I have never seen that in him, and his pro day was evidence of him being far from elite athletically. While he moved solid for a 330+ lb OL, he was anything but elite in his 3 cone and Short Shuttle. He did not display the elite level of agility and feet quickness we have beem hearing about for almost a year. I am however not overrating him as a mid-late 1st round OG. Sewell is being discussed with the likes of Pitts and Chase as the first non-QB drafted. I dont think he will ever live up to those expectations. Maybe never become a bust, but never live up to the top 5 LT hype we have been hearing about him.

- Justin Fields QB Ohio State - Blue chip prospect coming out of HS. Amazing athlete. Strong. Fast. Quick. Fields could have been a 1st or 2nd round WR, RB, CB, or S if he had played that positions since his freshman season. Hes that elite of an athlete. Hes a natural runner with good vision. Hes huge and has a cannon as well. When has any of these things ever made an elite NFL QB, when that player doesn't have the natural QB instincts that are obvious in players like Lawrence and Wilson. I think hes more focused on being a top pick, than a great NFL QB. A lot of people question his desire an work ethic. Others mention the 6 TD game vs Lawrence's Tigers in the playoffs. While he is far more talented than any of the ghosts of OSU QB past, I don't think he has the tools to lead a room of 53 grown men. H has better RB instincts than QB instincts. Like Cam Newton, he dominated college because hes simply more athletic and faster than every player on the field, and bigger than any player on the field other than OL and DL. While I think AS could maximize his potential, I think that potential maxes out similar to Cam Newton. In todays NFL, you need a QB that can drive down the field with precision and poise. I don't think Fields will ever be that. Some things about projecting QB's are difficult to put into words. No one can perfectly say what made TB12 go from Rd.6 #199 to the greatest QB of all-time. The QB either has 'it' or doesnt have 'it'. I dont think Fields has 'it'. I only see 2 or3 future Pro-Bowl QB's in this draft. That being Wilson(best QB in draft), Lawrence(safest QB prospect ever), and potentially Trey Lance if he goes to KS or AS. 

- Kwity Paye EDGE Michigan - I never understood the 1st round love for Kwity Paye. He didnt finish the job enough as a pass rusher to warrant the 1st round grade he is getting. I think he is benefitting from a weak edge rusher draft, and people are giving him a lot more credit than he deserves. Often looks sloppy when rushing the passer and his bend around the edge looks quite stiff at times. Wouldn't touch him in 1st or 2nd round. At this moment, he is essentially a raw pass rushing specialist with average skills against the run.

- Aaron Robinson CB UCF - Robinson is best at NB, which isn't something you usually look for in a 1st round CB. While showed out at his pro day, I simply think he has a long way to go as an outside CB to have success against even the average-good starting NFL WR. 

2021 Atlanta Falcons Mock

1. JAX - Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson

2. NYJ - Zach Wilson QB BYU

3. SF - Mac Jones QB Alabama

TRADE - ATL gets DEN 1st and 2nd round picks, as well as DEN 2022 1st round pick. DEN gets ATL 1st round pick. Plenty of teams are calling to get the chance at either Lance or Fields. Denver offers their 1st in 2022 to seal the deal.

4. DEN - Justin Fields QB OSU

5. CAR - Trey Lance QB NDSU (CAR traded up with CIN)

6. MIA - Devonta Smith WR Alabama

7. DET - Ja'Marr Chase WR LSU

8. CIN - Kyle Pitts TE Florida

TRADE - ATL gets SD 1st, 2nd, and 4th. SD gets ATL 1st and 5th. SD badly wants to reunite Herbert with his college LT. 

9. SD - Penei Sewell LT Oregon

10. DAL - Patrick Surtain CB Alabama

11. NYG - Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama

12. PHI - Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina

13. ATL - Rashawn Slater OG Northwestern

TRADE - ATL gets MIA 1st(18). MIA gets 2nd round pick(f/SD) and ATL 2022 1st round pick. Due to gaining a 1st from DEN next year, ATL trades their own 2022 1st and the 2nd from SD to add a true leader to their secondary.

18. Azeez Ojulari EDGE UGA

2. Jevonte Williams RB UNC

2(f/DEN). Jevon Holland S Oregon

3. Tyson Campbell CB UGA

4. Brevin Jordan TE Miami (FL)

4. Ar'Darius Washington S TCU

5. Milton Williams DL Louisiana Tech

5. Best WR avalable

6. Best QB available

6. Best OL available

I am not sure that much trading down is realistic, but I love the haul of players.  I really think Slater is going to be good.  I think I would go Jaelan Phillips (my favorite pass rusher in the class).  Williams is my favorite RB in the draft.  I think Holland is going to be a monster. And I like the rest too.  I have had mocks with the mock draft sims look very similar.

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We are not getting Denver's 2022 1st...

Trading 4 for Denvers first, second, and third this year is over pay. 

Getting this years 2nd and next years first is a 1000 point overpay. That would be the equivalent almost double what Miami received for the number 3 pick (500 overpay) from SF.  It's not going to happen folks.  Stop the crazy over pay trade down stuff.

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9 hours ago, LaurentRobinsonDaGawd said:

I thought it would be interesting if we went through some prospects we each saw as underrated and overrated.

Underrated:

- Trevon Moehrig S TCU - I think Moehrig will be a premier FS in this league sooner than later. Elite instincts and coverage ability make him the perfect prototype FS for todays pass happy NFL. He doesnt shy away from contact either, and is a great tackler. Reminds me a lot of Earl Thomas when he was coming out of Texas. Hoping we can trade back, add some picks, and snag him somewhere in the 15-20 range. We are desperate for a leader on the backend to fill the vacant spot left when we released Ricardo Allen.

- Jevonte Williams RB North Carolina - I never understood the love with Najee Harris and Travis Etienne when the most NFL ready RB in the draft to me is clearly UNC's Jevonte Williams. He has ability of being a 3 down NFL back from day one. His 2nd gear, physicality, and vision are what really sets him apart. I haven't seen a RB so overlooked in quite a few years. I would be doing cartwheels up to the podium if he is available with our 2nd round pick. Barring unexpected injuries, id bet my house on him being the best RB from this draft in 3 years. 

- Jevon Holland S Oregon - I think Holland is mainly underrated due to sitting out 2020. He has a similar game to Moehrig, but not quite as polished. I think he is still without question the 2nd best S in this draft. His coverage ability is toe to toe with Moehrig's. After Moehrig and Holland, I think there is a BIG drop off in terms of talent from this years S group. Getting Holland or Moehrig is one of the things I am hoping for most with this draft. The back of the defense, especially both starting S spots, are in dire need of a talent injection. I would be lying if I haven't thought about trading back in the 1st and eventually selecting Moehrig and Holland to be an interchangeable Safety duo to lead the back end of this defense for at least the next few years. Regardless, getting at least 1 of them should be at the top of TF to-do-list.

- Azeez Ojulari EDGE UGA - Hard to call a 1st round pick underrated, but Ojulari is one of those players that are simply built to terrorize opposing QB's. His elite pass rushing skills and explosive first step remind me a lot of Yannick Ngakoue. Do I think Ojulari goes top 10? No. Do I think he is a top 10 player from this draft in 3 years? Yes. His explosiveness, first step, bend, and closing speed are hard to come by. He has also improved as a run defender, and is a violent hitter when colliding with the ball carrier.

- Quincy Roche EDGE Miami (FL) - Roche is projected to go in the late 3rd-4th round range. While I do think thats warranted, Roche is the type of player who contributes more as a pro than he did on the college level. After being the best defender on a Temple defense that didnt face the best level of competition, Roche took a big step this past year in his first season at The U. He wrecked havoc in opposing backfields as a pass rusher and run defender. He has great size and length to go with a solid blend of speed, quickness, and power. He is just starting to come into his own as an EDGE defender, and the right coaching staff will take his game to the next level. While I dont think he will ever become a perennial Pro-Bowler, I think he becomes a guy who averages 8-9 sacks per year, as well as plenty more hits and hurries.

- Ronnie Perkins 3-4 OLB Oklahoma - Reminds me of Ojulari as a pass rusher, but has a long ways to go as a run defender. A solid pass rushing specialist from day 1.

- Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami (FL) - If concussions and injuries are behind him, the right coach will potentially have a player with shades of the Watt and Bosa borthers in his game. The injury history worries me a lot though.

- Ar'Darius Washington S TCU - Moehrig and Washington were interchangeable S while at TCU and had more responsibilities than Bout 99% of DB's in college football. They were the heart of the TCU defense. While he is undersized, he could start at either S position, or at NB at the NFL level. Snagging him in 4th round as a S or NB would be a steal.

- Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern - Easily the 3rd best CB in this draft. I out him as HM because he is actually starting to be projected in the bottom 16, which is probably rated eight about where he should be. I put him in HM because I think he is a lot closer to Horn and Surtain II in terms of instincts and coverage ability than most probably realize. May be a better natural cover corner than both, but does not have the elite run defense that Surtain II has, and didn't face the same level of competition that Horn and Surtain II did.

- Carlos Basham 3-4 DE Wake Forest - Basham is a true 3-4 DE with the frame to add more weight while not sacrificing his fantastic first step and athleticism. My #1 3-4 DE for 2021. Potentially could be had in the middle 2nd-early 3rd due to not being the best fit as a 4-3 DE or 3-4 OLB.

Overrated:

- Caleb Farley CB VT - While I see what's to like about Farley, there are a couple things that terrify me when thinking about taking him in the 1st round. His back injury is at the forefront of those concerns. Farley sat out 2020 in part to have his back naturally heal, but it didnt go as planned, and now surgery is needed. Back injuries are a major red flag for any prospect. Let alone one that didnt heal over a long period of time, and eventually required surgery. Injury aside, Farley reminds me of the supreme athlete with elite size and athleticism, but his instincts and feel for the game leave more to be desired. Unlike other players on this list, Farley may actually recover great from his injury and improve his instincts with more experience. That's just a lot of 'if's' when discussing a potential top 20 pick. I wouldn't touch him in the first 2 rounds.

- Penei Sewell OT Oregon - Ever since mocks have been being made for the 2021 draft, the only non-QB thats been a consistent top 3-5 pick has been Oregon's Penei Sewell. He has been touted as a 'generational LT prospect' with an outstanding blend of athleticism and power. I have never seen that in him, and his pro day was evidence of him being far from elite athletically. While he moved solid for a 330+ lb OL, he was anything but elite in his 3 cone and Short Shuttle. He did not display the elite level of agility and feet quickness we have beem hearing about for almost a year. I am however not overrating him as a mid-late 1st round OG. Sewell is being discussed with the likes of Pitts and Chase as the first non-QB drafted. I dont think he will ever live up to those expectations. Maybe never become a bust, but never live up to the top 5 LT hype we have been hearing about him.

- Justin Fields QB Ohio State - Blue chip prospect coming out of HS. Amazing athlete. Strong. Fast. Quick. Fields could have been a 1st or 2nd round WR, RB, CB, or S if he had played that positions since his freshman season. Hes that elite of an athlete. Hes a natural runner with good vision. Hes huge and has a cannon as well. When has any of these things ever made an elite NFL QB, when that player doesn't have the natural QB instincts that are obvious in players like Lawrence and Wilson. I think hes more focused on being a top pick, than a great NFL QB. A lot of people question his desire an work ethic. Others mention the 6 TD game vs Lawrence's Tigers in the playoffs. While he is far more talented than any of the ghosts of OSU QB past, I don't think he has the tools to lead a room of 53 grown men. H has better RB instincts than QB instincts. Like Cam Newton, he dominated college because hes simply more athletic and faster than every player on the field, and bigger than any player on the field other than OL and DL. While I think AS could maximize his potential, I think that potential maxes out similar to Cam Newton. In todays NFL, you need a QB that can drive down the field with precision and poise. I don't think Fields will ever be that. Some things about projecting QB's are difficult to put into words. No one can perfectly say what made TB12 go from Rd.6 #199 to the greatest QB of all-time. The QB either has 'it' or doesnt have 'it'. I dont think Fields has 'it'. I only see 2 or3 future Pro-Bowl QB's in this draft. That being Wilson(best QB in draft), Lawrence(safest QB prospect ever), and potentially Trey Lance if he goes to KS or AS. 

- Kwity Paye EDGE Michigan - I never understood the 1st round love for Kwity Paye. He didnt finish the job enough as a pass rusher to warrant the 1st round grade he is getting. I think he is benefitting from a weak edge rusher draft, and people are giving him a lot more credit than he deserves. Often looks sloppy when rushing the passer and his bend around the edge looks quite stiff at times. Wouldn't touch him in 1st or 2nd round. At this moment, he is essentially a raw pass rushing specialist with average skills against the run.

- Aaron Robinson CB UCF - Robinson is best at NB, which isn't something you usually look for in a 1st round CB. While showed out at his pro day, I simply think he has a long way to go as an outside CB to have success against even the average-good starting NFL WR. 

2021 Atlanta Falcons Mock

1. JAX - Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson

2. NYJ - Zach Wilson QB BYU

3. SF - Mac Jones QB Alabama

TRADE - ATL gets DEN 1st and 2nd round picks, as well as DEN 2022 1st round pick. DEN gets ATL 1st round pick. Plenty of teams are calling to get the chance at either Lance or Fields. Denver offers their 1st in 2022 to seal the deal.

4. DEN - Justin Fields QB OSU

5. CAR - Trey Lance QB NDSU (CAR traded up with CIN)

6. MIA - Devonta Smith WR Alabama

7. DET - Ja'Marr Chase WR LSU

8. CIN - Kyle Pitts TE Florida

TRADE - ATL gets SD 1st, 2nd, and 4th. SD gets ATL 1st and 5th. SD badly wants to reunite Herbert with his college LT. 

9. SD - Penei Sewell LT Oregon

10. DAL - Patrick Surtain CB Alabama

11. NYG - Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama

12. PHI - Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina

13. ATL - Rashawn Slater OG Northwestern

TRADE - ATL gets MIA 1st(18). MIA gets 2nd round pick(f/SD) and ATL 2022 1st round pick. Due to gaining a 1st from DEN next year, ATL trades their own 2022 1st and the 2nd from SD to add a true leader to their secondary.

18. Azeez Ojulari EDGE UGA

2. Jevonte Williams RB UNC

2(f/DEN). Jevon Holland S Oregon

3. Tyson Campbell CB UGA

4. Brevin Jordan TE Miami (FL)

4. Ar'Darius Washington S TCU

5. Milton Williams DL Louisiana Tech

5. Best WR avalable

6. Best QB available

6. Best OL available

I'm not sure if we could trade back twice like that and gain that much capital but would love it if it could happen. 

I think you're too low on Farley and Fields.

I think the absolute worst you're getting with Farley is Antonio Cromartie level production. I think his main concern for opting out was to keep his family safe and the back situation was something that happened later on. In his NFL Network interview he said the back injury would have healed normally in a person who wasn't also still lifting weights and training. It's definitely something to monitor but I think not taking him in the first 2 rounds is a mistake. 

I'm not sure what about Fields shows he's not poised. And his precision has never been a question when evaluating him. I've never seen him disappear or not bring it in a big game. I think he's a better natural passer and more accurate than Cam was/is. 

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9 hours ago, AlabamaFalconFan said:

We are not getting Denver's 2022 1st...

Trading 4 for Denvers first, second, and third this year is over pay. 

Getting this years 2nd and next years first is a 1000 point overpay. That would be the equivalent almost double what Miami received for the number 3 pick (500 overpay) from SF.  It's not going to happen folks.  Stop the crazy over pay trade down stuff.

It is definitely the right value look at the Miami trade, also of a team sets there eyes on fields or lance they will definitely move up for “their guy”. I don’t see the chargers making that trade though. I’d take surtain at 9.

Edited by texasfalconfan
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