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Matt Tabeek’s 2021 Mock Draft 4.0


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Now this is a mock I could get behind. As far as pick trade values go, I’ll leave that to the experts in the group to decipher if it’s possible or not.


https://www.atlantafalcons.com/news/tabeek-s-2021-nfl-mock-draft-4-0-falcons-trade-down-land-do-it-all-defender?fbclid=IwAR1l66AEe1TwVzs8Kl3qVH8s5fFtuS8LeGFtfKhY-aOc_FsG0ipaMDAzdMY

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4 hours ago, DonOfThemBirds said:

 

Not sure if Panthers would be willing to give that much valuable draft capital to a rival.

 

Pick #3 might be more of their target if they are giving up that much.

Depends on how desperate they are for a QB...you’ve got Philly too who might want to move up and from other mocks I’ve read, they have Parsons going there. I think it’s likely...with Detroit getting the picks they got for Stafford, I can see this possibly happening. The FO just has to make our 4th irresistible to pass up on.

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The sixth round swap makes no sense to me in 2022 as they would hold the same value as you get the value of the last pick in that round.  But here’s how the values would stack up.

CAR Receives

#4: 491
2022 6th: 5

ATL Receives
#9: 406
#39: 153
2022 1st: 184
2022 2nd: 80
2022 6th: 5

CAR - 496 Points
ATL - 828 Points

ATL Wins Trade +332

It would be by far the most lopsided draft day trade since I started tracking them 6 years ago.  When a QB is involved it will drive the price up, but not to that extent.  I would be absolutely shocked if that happened.
 

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1 hour ago, Rings said:

The sixth round swap makes no sense to me in 2022 as they would hold the same value as you get the value of the last pick in that round.  But here’s how the values would stack up.

CAR Receives

#4: 491
2022 6th: 5

ATL Receives
#9: 406
#39: 153
2022 1st: 184
2022 2nd: 80
2022 6th: 5

CAR - 496 Points
ATL - 828 Points

ATL Wins Trade +332

It would be by far the most lopsided draft day trade since I started tracking them 6 years ago.  When a QB is involved it will drive the price up, but not to that extent.  I would be absolutely shocked if that happened.
 

Maybe the football Gods finally shine their light on the Falcons with all the turmoil we’ve had to endure as fans all these years...lol

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1 hour ago, Rings said:

The sixth round swap makes no sense to me in 2022 as they would hold the same value as you get the value of the last pick in that round.  But here’s how the values would stack up.

CAR Receives

#4: 491
2022 6th: 5

ATL Receives
#9: 406
#39: 153
2022 1st: 184
2022 2nd: 80
2022 6th: 5

CAR - 496 Points
ATL - 828 Points

ATL Wins Trade +332

It would be by far the most lopsided draft day trade since I started tracking them 6 years ago.  When a QB is involved it will drive the price up, but not to that extent.  I would be absolutely shocked if that happened.
 

  I think you gotta expect to pay a lot extra to trade with a division rival. 

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1 hour ago, Rings said:

I don’t disagree, but why not just trade up to 3 and save a ton then?  

Maybe 3 aint playing or asking for more you never know.  But if you look at it with out the points going into the trade you know you giving up this years 2nd and next years 1st to any team to move up in to the top 5 the 6th round picks are a wash have no idea why the are in the trade so really in this scenario they are  over paying with a 2nd round pick next year. If  you think your franchise QB is there at 4 and you think 5 may take him an extra 2nd rounder would not be a deal breaker in my book. 

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10 hours ago, VTCrunkler said:

That’s trading to a division rival. I wonder if that’s why he has them giving up so much. I don’t think that’s realistic to expect 1 and 2 this year and next. 

Well, it's not a #1 this year. It's our #1 that we're giving away to them. It's like when people described the Julio trade as having more picks than it actually did.

They go up at the top of the draft in exchange for a 1st and 2 2nds. That's about the price I would expect in a top-heavy draft for QBs. Teams must outbid one another.

What really helps the Falcons is that they're three, and Miami has no reason to trade down with four picks in the top 50 already.

We need for Wilson and Fields to stay strong, and for Lance and Jones to merit early consideration, too.

QBs break the brains of personnel people. They do stupid things.

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3 hours ago, Rings said:

I don’t disagree, but why not just trade up to 3 and save a ton then?  

Miami made a trade so that they would have Houston's draft.

They've got #3, #18, #45, #50, and #81 already. There's little incentive for them to trade down but tons of risk that their guy may not be there.

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