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It’s the off-season. We are bored. Even Mel and DLed become a trifle more interesting

Count Chocula strikes again

I haven't trusted Mel Kiper since his Julio projection.

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53 minutes ago, FalconOdense said:

1. Jacksonville Jaguars

 

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson

Let's kick off Urban Meyer's rebuild in Jacksonville with a franchise quarterback. Lawrence is one of the best quarterback prospects I've studied over the past decade, and he has all the makings of a superstar, from arm talent to size to the ability to process at the position. And we know Meyer likes him from his comments in 2019. Make no mistake, though; this is not going to be a quick fix. The Jaguars were 1-15 for a reason. They have some talent to build around on offense, with wide receivers Laviska Shenault Jr. and DJ Chark Jr. and running back James Robinson, but they need to add protection for Lawrence on the offensive line. Will free agent left tackle Cam Robinson be back? It's no sure thing. The good news for Meyer and new general manager Trent Baalke is that they have another first-round pick (No. 25) and an extra second-round pick from the Yannick Ngakoue trade with the Vikings.


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2. New York Jets

DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama

 

This is where the intrigue in the draft begins. Will the Jets stick with quarterback Sam Darnold for another year, or will they take either Zach Wilson or Justin Fields? (Or maybe even trade for Deshaun Watson?) The good news for general manager Joe Douglas and new coach Robert Saleh is that they have three months to figure it out. This is a huge decision, and Douglas and Saleh have to be 100% sure that Wilson or Fields is an upgrade over Darnold. My feeling right now is that yes, Darnold's stats are ugly, but he's only 23 and he has had no offensive talent around him for three years. Do the Jets really want to move on from him and watch him thrive elsewhere? That's why they could give him a one-year audition under Saleh, pick the Heisman Trophy winner at No. 2, and give Darnold one more shot to put all of his talent together. Smith is the true No. 1 target that Darnold hasn't had.


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3. Miami Dolphins (from HOU)

Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU

Tua Tagovailoa was just OK in nine starts as a rookie, but he needs some help. I like DeVante Parker, but he's not a No. 1 wide receiver. Chase can be. Because Chase opted out of the 2020 season due to the COVID-19 pandemic, I think some people are forgetting how good he was in 2019, when he averaged 21.2 yards per catch and had 20 touchdowns for the national champs. Just watch Chase's athleticism and concentration on this catch. Tagovailoa won't average 6.3 yards per attempt with the 2019 Biletnikoff Award winner on the field.


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4. Atlanta Falcons

Zach Wilson, QB, BYU

It's time for the Falcons to think long term on offense under new general manager Terry Fontenot and coach Arthur Smith. Quarterback Matt Ryan turns 36 this summer. Wide receiver Julio Jones will be 32 next month. Center Alex Mack is 35 and a free agent. They can build around Wilson, who had a phenomenal season for the Cougars, throwing 33 touchdown passes and only three picks, and give him at least a year to learn from Ryan and adjust to the NFL. I thought about Justin Fields here, too, but I'm giving a slight edge to Wilson for now. If Atlanta doesn't go with a quarterback, I'd expect a defender to be the target.


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5. Cincinnati Bengals

Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon

This is all about protecting quarterback Joe Burrow, who will spend the offseason recovering from the torn left ACL and MCL he suffered in November. Burrow started 10 games, but it was clear that he wasn't comfortable behind a mediocre offensive line. The Bengals can take a step toward improvement by picking Sewell, an opt-out who was the 2019 Outland Trophy winner. He's the clear top offensive tackle in this class. Sewell could stay at left tackle while 2019 first-rounder Jonah Williams either moves to the right side or guard. I have compared Sewell to Hall of Famer Anthony Munoz, and Cincinnati should be thrilled to get another foundational player.


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6. Philadelphia Eagles

Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama

The Eagles had a disastrous 4-11-1 season, with quarterback Carson Wentz regressing and getting benched for rookie second-rounder Jalen Hurts. And yes, Wentz, was not very good, but his receivers didn't exactly give him much help. They got only 20 total catches from veterans Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson due to injuries, and 2019 second-round pick J.J. Arcega-Whiteside barely got on the field. So even though Philadelphia drafted Jalen Reagor in Round 1 a year ago, I still see this as a hole in the offense. Waddle, one of the fastest prospects in this draft, could be the go-to target in new coach Nick Sirianni's offense. He was one of college football's most electric receivers over the past three seasons, even if he was overshadowed at times by teammates Henry Ruggs III, Jerry Jeudy and DeVonta Smith. His ceiling is as a No. 1 pass-catcher at the next level.


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7. Detroit Lions

Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State

Things change quickly in the NFL. Before the news on Saturday that the Lions were going to trade quarterback Matthew Stafford this offseason, I would have said that they should keep Stafford and try to help him with a wide receiver in this draft. Alabama's Jaylen Waddle would have fit here. But instead it appears that new general manager Brad Holmes and coach Dan Campbell will go all-in on a rebuild, and so Fields could be the face of it. He had an up-and-down season, but we saw the flashes of his talent, particularly in his six-touchdown performance against Clemson in the College Football Playoff semifinal. Fields has superstar potential, but he'll need help around him. Detroit will need to figure out what it's doing with free-agent wideouts Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. and make sure Fields has a chance to succeed in Year 1.

 

Ohio State's Justin Fields and BYU's Zach Wilson could both be top-10 picks. ESPN Illustration car.png?w=110&h=110&transparent=true

8. Carolina Panthers

Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State

If you're surprised that I'm thinking quarterback here, don't be. Teddy Bridgewater could be the starter again for the Panthers in 2021, but his contract shows they're not committed to him long term. Coach Matt Rhule could go after an intriguing signal-caller in Lance, who played only one game last season. With only 17 career starts -- none against an FBS opponent -- he is going to be a wild card in this draft. His 2019 season was just so, so impressive, though, and I think a team could fall in love with him in this range. If Carolina decides against drafting a quarterback in Round 1, Florida tight end Kyle Pitts would be another option.


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9. Denver Broncos

Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State

Is pass-rusher Von Miller going to return to the Broncos? What about free-agent safety Justin Simmons? This defense could look very different in Year 3 under Vic Fangio. I thought about a cornerback here, but I see linebacker as the bigger position to upgrade, and Parsons could play inside or outside. I see him more as an inside linebacker for a 3-4 defense, but his versatility would be a fit for any type of defense. Parsons, who opted out of the 2020 season, was a force at Penn State in 2019, with 109 tackles, five sacks and four forced fumbles. He has some upside as a pass-rusher.


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10. Dallas Cowboys

Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern

Heading into the 2020 season, the Cowboys' offensive line looked solid on paper, and that was after center Travis Frederick retired in March. But then injuries hit: Right tackle La'el Collins missed every game, left tackle Tyron Smith played just two and guard Zack Martin missed six. And what you saw was a poor Cowboys offense, even before quarterback Dak Prescott was lost for the season due to his ankle injury. That's why I think Slater fits in Dallas, where he could play either tackle spot or move inside to guard. Todd McShay thinks Slater could excel at center, too. He was another prospect who opted out, but he didn't allow a single sack playing left tackle in 2019. This is a spot to watch for Surtain as well because Chidobe Awuzie could leave in free agency.


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11. New York Giants

Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida

 

 


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12. San Francisco 49ers

Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama

 


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13. Los Angeles Chargers

Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech

 


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14. Minnesota Vikings

Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT/G, USC

 


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15. New England Patriots

Mac Jones, QB, Alabama

 

 

play

 

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16. Arizona Cardinals

Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech

 


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17. Las Vegas Raiders

Jaelan Phillips, DE, Miami (FL)

 


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18. Miami Dolphins

Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame

 


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19. Washington Football Team

Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida


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20. Chicago Bears

Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State

 


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21. Indianapolis Colts

Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan

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22. Tennessee Titans

Gregory Rousseau, DE, Miami (FL)

 


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23. New York Jets (from SEA)

Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina

 


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24. Pittsburgh Steelers

Zaven Collins, OLB/DE, Tulsa

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25. Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR)

Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama

 


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26. Cleveland Browns

Aaron Robinson, DB, UCF

 


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27. Baltimore Ravens

Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU

 


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28. New Orleans Saints

Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU

 


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29. Green Bay Packers

Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia

 

 

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30. Buffalo Bills

Najee Harris, RB, Alabama

 


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31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Joe Tryon, DE, Washington

 

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32. Kansas City Chiefs

Azeez Ojulari, OLB/DE, Georgia

 

Edited by DirtyBird2
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4 minutes ago, chris2010 said:

If there are 3 QB’s on the board when we pick I’d be willing to bet we trade down. Phone will be blowing up from teams wanting to make a move. 

It's actually probably the opposite. If 3 QBs are still available at 4, they don't need to trade up with us. They can wait for the run on QBs and jump in after the next QB is selected. Or trade up to #6 if we don't draft a QB and take their first choice. 

If 3 QBs are still on the board, Philly will be in the driver's seat at #6 (before Det and Carolina).

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5 minutes ago, celtiksage said:

It's actually probably the opposite. If 3 QBs are still available at 4, they don't need to trade up with us. They can wait for the run on QBs and jump in after the next QB is selected. Or trade up to #6 if we don't draft a QB and take their first choice. 

If 3 QBs are still on the board, Philly will be in the driver's seat at #6 (before Det and Carolina).

But with QB picks, teams usually don’t mind jumping ahead to get the guy they wanted. DET and CAR may want to jump Philly and grab the guy they want. 

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