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Falcons Given NFL’s Toughest Schedule.


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I know SOS means jack crap right now, but clearly God hates us

2020 NFL strength of schedule: Colts have the easiest ride, while Falcons face tough tests

Without further ado, here are the strength of schedule rankings for the 2020 NFL season, according to the combined win total over-unders for each team's opponents. 

(In the chart below O/U is that team's win total over-under for the 2020 season and SOS is their strength of schedule based on opponent over-unders. For reference, the Colts have the easiest schedule and the Falcons have the most difficult schedule.)

Rank Team O/U SOS
1 IND 8.5 0.480
2 TEN 8.5 0.488
T-3 BAL 11.5 0.494
T-3 CHI 8.5 0.494
T-3 CLE 8.5 0.494
T-3 LAC 7.5 0.494
7 DET 6.5 0.498
T-8 KC 11.5 0.500
T-8 PIT 9 0.500
10 DAL 9.5 0.502
T-11 MIA 6 0.504
T-11 SEA 9.5 0.504
T-11 TB 9.5 0.504
14 MIN 9 0.506
15 SF 10.5 0.508
T-16 ARI 6.5 0.510
T-16 GB 9 0.510
T-16 HOU 8 0.510
T-16 JAX 4.5 0.510
T-20 NE 9 0.514
T-20 PHI 9.5 0.514
T-22 BUF 9 0.516
T-22 CIN 5 0.516
T-22 NO 10.5 0.516
T-22 WAS 5.5 0.516
26 LAR 8.5 0.518
27 LV 7.5 0.521
T-28 CAR 5.5 0.523
T-28 DEN 7.5 0.523
30 NYJ 6.5 0.527
31 NYG 6.5 0.531
32 ATL 7.5 0.535

The two easiest schedules in the league belong to a pair of teams in the AFC South, by virtue of their playing in the worst division in the NFL (the AFC South has a projected combined winning percentage of just 0.461) and playing against the second-worst NFC division (the NFC North has a projected combined winning percentage of 0.516, ahead of only the NFC East). 

At the other end of the spectrum, the Falcons play in the NFL's toughest division (the NFC South has a projected combined winning percentage of 0.547) and play against the best AFC division (the AFC West has a projected combined winning percentage of 0.531); and unlike the Panthers, who get to play against Washington and Arizona by virtue of having finished in fourth place last season, the Falcons have to play the Cowboys and Seahawks after coming in second a year ago. 

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Don't get me wrong, I love winning every week on its own merit, but there is only one victory left that will be truly special to me as a fan. The team has already given me every other thrill and heartbreak football has to offer.

If you can't get through a tough schedule with enough wins to make the playoffs, the playoffs were not very likely to end the way you wanted them to anyway. Beat your opponent each Sunday. Its all you can hope for. 

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I'm jacked. Last year's team was among the best when it figured its **** out and this year's team should be better. I couldn't care less about strength of schedule because the teams we will meet in the playoffs will be strong. If we can't survive the regular season, we don't belong in the tournament.

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O/U is set by Vegas and is nothing more than a random number that will bring in 50/50 money on both sides. Determining SOS based off a number that is already random isn't really going to tell us how tough the schedule actually is. 

Both the Colts and Falcons both play 5 teams that made the playoffs in 2019. However the Colts play 7 games total, while the Falcons play 6. 

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14 minutes ago, Falconcheff said:

Not to mention the difference between first and last is .055... a half a win...

 

 

BTW, does anybody know how the 17th game opponent is determined?

I believe it’s 16 games still for 2020.

Also, until the league wants to implement 17 games in a future year it may not be coming for 2021 yet... but playoffs may be different immediately. Going on memory, fwiw.

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1 hour ago, Schwarzwald said:

I believe it’s 16 games still for 2020.

Also, until the league wants to implement 17 games in a future year it may not be coming for 2021 yet... but playoffs may be different immediately. Going on memory, fwiw.

Yes sir

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6 hours ago, Schwarzwald said:

I believe it’s 16 games still for 2020.

Also, until the league wants to implement 17 games in a future year it may not be coming for 2021 yet... but playoffs may be different immediately. Going on memory, fwiw.

Correct. Still 16 games for this year but expanded playoffs are in place for this year. 7 teams from each conference with only 1 bye.

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