From: Modelling the risk of transfusion transmission from travelling donors
Week number | Number of cases | Estimated cumulative total number of transmissions (per million) | Estimated future transmissions^{a} (per million) | Proportion of yet-to-occur transmissions (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
n | I _{ n } | \( {N}_v(n)={\displaystyle \sum_{n=1}^{15}}\tau {D}_v\frac{I_n}{N}\varphi \left({D}_i-\frac{1}{2}{D}_v\right) \) | \( {N}_{vf}(n)=\frac{\tau \varphi {I}_n\left(6{D}_v\left({D}_i-\frac{1}{2}{D}_v\right)-{D_0}^2\right)}{6N} \) | \( \frac{N_{vf}(n)}{N_v(n)} \) |
1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 74 |
2 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0 |
3 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 37 |
4 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 25 |
5 | 8 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 54 |
6 | 10 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 35 |
7 | 26 | 0.61 | 0.25 | 41 |
8 | 42 | 1.16 | 0.40 | 35 |
9 | 38 | 1.65 | 0.37 | 22 |
10 | 48 | 2.27 | 0.46 | 20 |
11 | 26 | 2.61 | 0.25 | 10 |
12 | 25 | 2.93 | 0.24 | 8.2 |
13 | 8 | 3.04 | 0.08 | 2.5 |
14 | 9 | 3.16 | 0.09 | 2.7 |
15 | 4 | 3.21 | 0.04 | 1.2 |