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A.J. Epenesa, DT

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1 hour ago, HASHBROWN3 said:

I can appreciate that but let’s drill down a bit.

There are all kinds of historical examples of teams grabbing guys within 10-20 slots of where the prognosticators have them ranked. 


Teams value players differently for scheme fit, positional fit, personality, physical features, performance measurements, mental prowess, instincts, etc.

Needs vs who might be available at your pick. The guy you covet for all those reasons above could be gone or he (or another similar player) could be slotted 5-10 picks later.

Could be all the highest rated players available at your pick are already positions of strength for your team.  WR, QB etc..

No willing trade partners available or the asking price of trading is prohibitive. 

The risk a player may not be available at your next slotted pick in the next round.

Injury or behavioral risks

I can go on but as you can see it’s all relative.

When it’s all said & done, it oftentimes reveals just how imperfect the draft actually proves to be. 

Guys at the bottom of round one prove to be better than top 10 picks.  Guys chosen in the latter rounds prove to outperform those taken in earlier rounds.

Sure you do your best war room research from scouting, background. medical & analytics, and yet you may end up looking like a genius or a flunky.  

So let’s say Kinlaw is gone?  No trade partners available... Are we idiots by grabbing Gallimore, Diggs, Murray or Gros-Matos?  Nah.


Understood. But if we take Epensa at 16 this place will go nuts. Yes if Kinlaw isn't there we have decisions to make if no trades available. But Epensa at 16 wouldn't be my top choice there

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