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g-dawg

Why the Falcons should break tradition and pull a Jimmy Johnson - the Texas Two Step (yes another mock)

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Falcons just completed another sad, pathetic season and another year on the odometer has elapsed on the great Julio Jones' career (maybe 2 more elite years left).  Matt is about 2/3 of the way through his career and he should be able to be upper echelon for another 3 years.    To say "the time is now" for Falcons to get it done is factually correct.    But let's be honest and look at this team - let's take off our rose-colored glasses and be brutally honest.   

 

OFFENSE: Matt got killed behind our offensive line last year.   There was literally no running game to speak of which further exasperated Matt getting crushed.  We had some injuries on the OLine but honestly, that is almost always gonna happen most years.   A bright spot in last year's mostly dismal season was the rise of Austin Hooper - who is almost assuredly gone - and for no draft pick compensation coming back most likely.

DEFENSE:  It's amazing how little we have coming back on defense.  Grady Jarrett and Deion Jones are both crazy good studs but there is little else you can really hang your hat on.   Takk has mostly been disappointing.  We have filled out the front 4 w/ aging vets (Jack Crawford, Adrian Clayborn, Tyler Davison, Allen Bailey) on short contracts and most of those contracts are up.   The Linebacking corp?  Campbell is leaving and Beasley is gone.  We have a few other guys that show some promise but not sure about any of them.  Cornerback?  We do have a lot of young bodies here and some of them might be emerging - Oliver and Sheffield to name a pair.   Safety? we have two vets here in Rico and Neal - both have dealt w/ major injuries.  Rico isn't as talented but is the leader of the defense so we will keep overpaying him for his leadership that Falcons need.  Neal?   seems we are going to ride out the 5th year option but he is a real question mark coming off an ACL and now an Achilles.

COACHING:  The Dirk Koetter hire was familiar but uninspiring - his offenses lack the ability to be balanced between run and pass and he isn't great at making in-game adjustments  Really don't see how anyone can have a whole lot of confidence in Dan Quinn right now - he took over the defense and made it worse.  He eventually stepped back and moved Raheem Morris from offense back to defense and he and Ulbrich shared playcalling for back half of season when the defense showed better.   At this point, I guess we are about as good as we can hope coming into season as it doesn't really make sense to change the OC again in a make-or-break season but the lack of running game could doom this offense.   Bottom-line w/ Quinn is he seems to me to be a great position coach who is probably a little too likeable and friendly w/ players which leads to a lack of discipline and a "Do Your Job" mentality that you see w/ Belicheck led teams - really wish we had a guy like Mike Zimmer.

 

While the Falcons aren't the worst team/roster in the NFL, they aren't a top 10 team w/ talent.   We have 5-6 big name players but that makes up 10% of an entire roster.   The other 90% is seriously poor compared to the top teams.   ONE PLAYER like a Chase Young or a K'Lavvon Chaisson isn't going to bridge the gap.    Falcons need players......lots of 'em.

FREE AGENCY:   I believe three MUSTS out of free agency is a Defensive End/Passrusher, a Linebacker and a Tight End.  Of those three needs, will have to spend the most money on the Defensive End/Passrusher.

Some Options:

Defensive End/Passrusher:  Robert Quinn(age 30), Mario Addison(age 32) and Everson Griffin(age 32),   Emmanuel Ogbah(age 26),  Carl Nassib(age 27), Marcus Golden (age 29)

Image result for mario addison panthers

 

4-3 Outiside Linebacker:   Mychael Kendricks (age 29) Nick Vigil(age 27),  Tahir Whitehead(age 30),  Alec Ogletree (age 28 ILB),  Darron Lee (age 25 ILB)

Image result for alec ogletree

 

Tight End:  Tyler Eifert (age 29 - cannot stay healthy), Jimmy Graham (age 33), Clive Warford (age 28),  

Image result for jimmy graham

 

Obviously there are many more options than these I have listed but these are some of the more well known ones.   I'm not even gonna pretend like I know the 2nd and 3rd TE options of the other 31 NFL teams and who could be a riser.   As you will notice, most of these are old guys you aren't gonna build your team around - they are solid guys that can come in and play and maybe you get a PLUS player for 1-2 years while drafting and developing new talent at these positions.

I would think Falcons are likely to re-sign Tyler Davison to a team friendly 2-3 year deal as well.

 

Onto the 2020 NFL Draft.....

My thoughts heading in.  This team needs an overhaul - not a tune-up.  Simply put, there is no depth to the Falcons roster - it is top heavy with stars on long-term contracts with just a lack of NFL starting talent around the stars.

I don't see one game-changer - whether it be a trade-up for a Chase Young or Derrick Brown - or a K'Lavvon Chaisson making enough of an impact to be able to cover the rest of the holes on our roster.  Not only do we need more talent across the board for starters but we need roster depth and development as well.    Moreover, this is the closing act on Thomas Dimitroff and Dan Quinn if they don't show marked improvement in the team overall and possibly needing a playoff berth.    Short of a playoff berth, they will need to show a roster full of promise - they need lots and lots of chances and to hit on a higher than normal amount of talent in the draft.

Time for the Jimmy Johnson Two-Step.   Time for multiple trade downs........I know, I know......we never see that out of "Trade-Up Tommy".  However, this is the second time  where HairGel boy's job is on the line and he knows there likely won't be a third opportunity.   I don't see the "5th year option" on 1st round contracts as much of a concern for Dimitroff this year. 

I see this draft board w/ similiar talent at the top about 13 deep......then a dropoff.....then equivalent talent from about  14-60.   I believe the Falcons could adopt the FLEXIBLE strategy of grabbing as many players as possible in that 2nd tier.    Another thing this stategy does is frees up the GM/Scouts/HC to simply look at best talent on the board and not so much position per se.

 

Without further ado,   I give you the Atlanta Falcons "Jimmy Johnson Two Step" Trade down draft.

NFL Draft:

  1. Cincinnati Bengals - QB Joe Burrow,  LSU
  2. Miami Dolphins(f/ Wash) - QB Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama ***TRADE***
  3. Detroit Lions - DE Chase Young, Ohio State
  4. LA Chargers (f/ NYG) - QB Justin Herbert, Oregon  ***TRADE***
  5. Washington Redskins(f/ Miami) - OT Mekthi Bechton, Louisville ***TRADE***
  6. NY Giants (f/ LAC) - OT Jedrick Wills, Alabama ***TRADE***
  7. Carolina Panthers - DT Derrick Brown, Auburn
  8. Arizona Cardinals - WR CeeDee Lamb
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars - CB Jeffrey Okudah, Ohio State
  10. Cleveland Browns - OT Tristan Wirffs, Iowa
  11. NY Jets - OT Andrew Thomas, Georgia
  12. Las Vegas Raiders - OLB/SS Isaiah Simmons, Clemson
  13. Indianapolis Colts - DT Javon Kinlaw, South Carolina
  14. Philadelphia Eagles (f/ Tampa) - CB CJ Henderson, Florida
  15. Denver Broncos - WR Henry Ruggs, Alabama
  16. Seattle Seahawks(f/ Atlanta) - OLB/Edge K'lavvon Chaisson,  LSU

Roger Goodell steps to the podium:   ...We have a Trade.   The Atlanta Falcons have traded the 16th pick(1,000 pts) in the NFL Draft to the Seattle Seahawks.  With the 16th pick, the Seattle Seahawks select - K'Lavvon Chaisson, Outside Linebacker - LSU...  (in exchange: the Atlanta Falcons receive Seahawks #1-027(680pts) and #2-059(310pts).

Image result for falcons draft roger goodell at the podium

 

another hour and 30 minutes goes by...At pick #27, The Atlanta Falcons are on the clock.

Roger Goodell again steps to the podium:    "The Atlanta Falcons have traded their #27(680 points) pick to the Indianapolis Colts.   With the 27th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Indianapolis Colts select....Quarterback  Jordan Love, Utah State."    (Atlanta receives:  Colts picks #2-044(460pts) and #3-075(215pts).

Image result for falcons draft roger goodell at the podium

 

2nd DAY:

 

#2-044) Atlanta Falcons(f/ Indy):  Justin Madubuike, DT - Texas A&M

(6'3", 293lbs,  33 1/2" arm, 9" hand - 4.83/40, 31 reps, 7.37 3-cone)

Image result for justin madubuike

 

PROS: Exciting skill set as a gap penetrator. The first thing I wrote down when watching his tape is that he plays with outstanding leverage. Pads are always low and he does well to maximize his functional strength. Times the snap well and has good quickness releasing from his stance. Has some flashes of heavy hands and technique to soften angles and play on the other side of the line of scrimmage. When his release, leverage and hands are right, he can be overwhelming for blockers and put considerable stress on them to respond. Love his push-pull move. Fluid and smooth changing directions and working laterally. Highly effective twisting and stunting which accentuates his overall mobility and quickness. Has lined up all across the defensive front for the Aggies. Logged consecutive seasons of at least 40 tackles, 10 tackles for loss and 5.5 sacks in 2018 and 2019.

CONS: Effort wavers. When he’s dialed in and the motor is cranked, the results are exciting but he’s guilty of turning the switch off. In those moments his release and leverage get sloppy and he can’t compete at the point and gets turned out of his gap. Needs more consistency deploying his hands to keep his pads clean. Has an occasional false step out of his stance to clean up. 

BEST TRAIT - Penetration Skills

WORST TRAIT - Inconsistent Motor

RED FLAGS - None

NFL COMP - Corey Liuget 

Justin Madubuike put together consecutive outstanding seasons at Texas A&M and brings an appealing penetration-style skill set to the next level. For the most part, Madubuike is explosive out of his stance and attacks the neutral zone with leverage and urgency. His hands are heavy and he has the flexibility throughout his frame to reduce his surface area, get through gaps and pursue. With that said, there are inconsistent moments of poor effort on film and Madubuike’s play gets sloppy. In those instances, he false steps out of his stance, loses leverage, fails to deploy his hands and he gets rooted out of his gap/rush lane. Madubuike should earn playing time early in his career as a rotational piece but he can absolutely become a valuable starter if he finds that consistency. 

 

#2-047)  Atlanta Falcons - Matt Hennessy, C/OG - Temple

(6'4", 307lbs, 32 1/4" arms, 10" hands - 5.18/40, 23reps, 30" vert, 7.45 3-Cone)

Image result for matt hennessy

Functional Athleticism - His body control in the heart of the trenches is terrific. His lateral mobility, short area quickness and recovery ability to stay upright and engaged all flash on tape. Super smooth peeling off of blocks and addressing gap shooters off of combos. Shows consistency breaking down in space to block LBs.

Football IQ - Sharp. He's polished with his fundamentals but more importantly his awareness of positioning and effortless reactive counters allow him to pin or wall off defenders. He's rarely caught off guard by exchanges and he's got no panic to his game at all if he's beaten at first contact, leans on athletic ability and balance to recover.

Anchor Ability - He's not a pure power presence but he's really effective to drop his hips and slam on the brakes. He's got very good leverage and his base is consistent to stay wide and anchored. Doesn't allow himself to get rolled onto uneven weight distribution and handles power rushers well as a result.

Hand Technique - Initial stab is quick and does well to get himself a feel of rushers aligned in his face at the snap. Active hands that work to find inside of the numbers. He's got fair length for a center but he's still at his best when he's able to clamp the elbows and slide mirror his feet. Strong grasp to avoid getting hands broken once fit.

Balance - Natural athlete. He's smooth and illustrates high end mobility. Was used to work outside the hashes and should provide value here in the pros as well. Watching him flip the hips and carry defenders as he's engaged at the POA is impressive but he does so without conceding a lot of real estate as an added bonus.

Pass Sets - Sharp! He snaps out of his stance without wasted movement and rarely gets caught unprepared for blows. His feet don't ever tease crossing over and he's even keeled and patient to slide and mirror. Schooled all comers at the Senior Bowl when aligned at Center, too. Well prepared for NFL game.

Flexibility - Appreciate how he keeps himself coiled and he brings methodical paces without compromising his posture or posterior chain for ideal muscle activation. Lateral hip mobility to flip himself open and get width as a puller or quickly working out into space in the screen game is another plus quality.

Power at POA - Because he's so compact, he'll win his fair share of drive blocks but NFL defenders are more likely to force him into stalemates. His initial pop is crisp but not overwhelming and he can get out-reached by ideal builds on the interior. Better at winning with positioning versus mauling open gaps.

Length/Extension - Functional. He isn't elite here and there are times you'll see him give up his chest — which is why he doesn't appear to have a lot of upside to play Guard. His blocking influence is more on account of his mobility and foot speed but he's a **** pest and stays in the face of defenders up front to cover for only modest reach.

Competitive Toughness - Scrappy dude. Appreciate how sticky he is at the point of attack and even when he's given up his chest, he's pressing to close the gap. He's not going to erase a skilled NT by himself but with a chip at the snap, he'll hold his ground and ensure execution of second level blocks as necessary. 

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Best Trait - Balance

Worst Trait - Power at POA

Best Film - North Carolina (2019)

Worst Film - Maryland (2018)

Red Flags - None

Summary - Matt Hennessy is a savvy Center prospect who projects as a plug and play starter on the inside. Hennessy's skillful leveraging will anchor the run game in both gap and zone concepts and his foot speed and low pads will afford him effective pass protection efforts to control the heart of the pocket. Polished, tenacious and mobile — exactly what you're looking for in a starter at the next level. He's not a bruiser but he'll drop anchor and wins consistently against heavy handed defenders. 

 

#2-055)  Atlanta Falcons(f/ NE) AJ Terrell, CB - Clemson

(6'1", 195lbs, 31 1/4" arms, 9" hands - 4.42/40, 15bench,  34.5" vert,  129" broad)

Image result for aj terrell

 

Man Cover Skills - His feet are really fluid and allow him to take depth and stay square before driving on throws. Good length to play press and transitional quickness is present to flip, but his physicality carrying receivers off their hip isn't great and he's gotten bumped off the body on occasion. Sticky to match patterns from off coverage.

Zone Cover Skills - Shows very good reaction to the QB cocking his arm to throw. Has made a number of turnovers via leveraged zone as a deep third defender and transitions into the role of receiver to pick the ball up in flight well. Closes distance effectively and is patient to read and key before triggering to the throw.

Feet/COD - SMOOTH! Appreciate watching his base stay balanced and not opening the gate prematurely when playing inside the contact window. Can be guilty of committing in off coverage prematurely and allow receivers to fold routes back across his frame or to the LOS. He's got great quickness in his pedal.

Ball Skills - Length is present to act as a real pest at the catch point. He's converted into receiver on vertical shots and won positioning for the football. Shows fairly reliable hands and catch radius to haul in targets when he's tested. He can get a bit grabby if he's not picking the ball up in flight.

Flexibility - Really fluid frame. For his height, he's a natural in flipping open his hips or dropping the back foot to drive and trigger forward. Able to lengthen himself and maximize his influence when tracking the ball and looking to undercut the throw or extend and play through the body off the back hip.

Acceleration - He's quick to drive into the LOS and offers fairly good burst in linear situations to recover and work back into the frame when tested vertically. When asked to show long speed, he offers good juice and can help contest footraces in YAC scenarios or big runs up the middle.

Defensive Spacing - He offers some easy breaks back to the LOS with his eagerness to flip hips open in off coverage. In flat footed or leveraged scenarios in zone, he's got good burst to undercut the throw or contest targets. His wingspan is effective as well to give him an extra boost at the catch point.

Competitive Toughness - He's scrappy and hits above his weight class versus the screen game and quick throws to the flat. Not afraid to step up and lay a hit, although his wrap up tackling skills aren't great — more of a shoulder drop or cut tackler. He can get bumped off the body from the trail and lose tight coverage.

Run Support - Willing and able, here. He's not going to collapse WRs with consistency but his length and persistent pays off and his quickness allows him to step up and beat stalk blocks to the spot. His fearlessness does him well to turn runs back into pursuit or pinball ball carriers out of bounds.

Tackling - Not a big wrap up tackler. He'll get the job done at the catch point and won't give up cheap yards. Issues arise most when stepping into the flats. He's not going to punish anyone in head on collisions but he's had some big hits versus unsuspecting receivers in the flats. 

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Best Trait - Flexibility

Worst Trait - Functional Strength

Best Film - Alabama (2018)

Worst Film - LSU (2019)

Red Flags - None

Player Summary - A.J. Terrell projects as a starting cornerback at the NFL level. Terrell has the fluidity to play off-man coverage and the click and close quickness and foot speed to drive into routes breaking off in front of his face. While Terrell shows the foot mobility and transitional quickness to flip and carry in press man, his functional strength isn't a hallmark trait and bigger bodied receivers will be able to play through his press unless he's able to add weight onto his frame. A lot to like in space.  

 

#2-059) Atlanta Falcons (f/ Sea)  Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB - LSU

(5'7", 207lbs, 29" arms 9 5/8" hand - 4.6/40, 15reps, 39.5" vert, 123" broad)

Image result for clyde edwards-helaire lsu

 

 

PROS: Wonderful blend of vision and contact balance. Love his decision-making ability as a runner and how he responds to defenders who flash in the hole. Very natural runner who is nuanced in the way he presses the line of scrimmage to manipulate the second level of the defense and make his blocks right on the first level. Compact, shifty runner that wonderfully navigates through tight spaces. Quick feet with the ability to make dynamic cuts outside of his frame. Precisely times his cuts and generates good burst off his plant foot. Excellent body control when stringing together moves. Terrific lateral quickness. Dense frame with built in leverage and a low center of gravity to sustain himself through contact. Physical runner that explodes into contact and competes for every inch. Not impacted by lazy arm tackles. Legs are always churning through contact. Creative runner that mostly makes the first man miss and escapes some difficult situations with dynamic spins and jukes. Rapid stop/start ability. Slippery for tacklers and he doesn’t offer much in the way of surface area for them to get their hands on him. Loves his route running ability. Experienced running choice routes, stop routes, arrow routes etc. and executes with excellent pace and deception. Hands are mostly adequate. 

CONS: One speed runner that lacks a true second gear. Hands can be inconsistent and he will mishandle some easy passes that are frustrating.  Doesn’t profile well as a faceup pass blocker and he often looks to cut with some whiffs on tape 

BEST TRAIT - Vision, Contact Balance

WORST TRAIT - Second Gear

RED FLAGS - None

NFL COMP - Devin Singletary 

Clyde Edwards-Helaire enters the NFL after producing 1,867 yards from scrimmage and 17 touchdowns as part of LSU’s historic offense in 2019. Despite it being his only year as the focal point of the LSU backfield, he showcased an exciting skill set that projects him favorably to being a starter in the NFL. Emphatically checking the vision and contact balance boxes, Edwards-Helaire is a creative runner with good physicality, elusiveness and natural instincts as a ball carrier. A quicker than fast back, Edwards-Helaire is missing a second gear in the open field and he needs to shore up some inconsistency with his hands. While he doesn’t project favorably in pass protection, his route running ability gives him considerable upside on passing downs, making him an every down option. Edwards-Helaire is a fairly clean projection to the next level and he should be a productive lead/heavily-featured back early in his career. 

 

#3-075)  Atlanta Falcons(f/ Colts)  Darrell Taylor, DE/Edge - Tennessee

(6'4", 267lbs, 33" arms, 9 3/4" hand)

Image result for darrell taylor tennessee

 

PROS: Showcases the burst and bend needed to win around the outside hip of offensive tackles. Gets home with a dip and rip in addition to a long arm bull rush. Has the juice needed to get depth in his initial steps and challenge the footspeed of blockers. Despite not being the biggest EDGE, he finds success setting a firm edge. Has been used in a versatile capacity for the Vols, aligning from both a two and three-point stance while even tasked with defending some short zones in coverage. Works hard to establish his hands to control blockers at the point of attack. Really filled out his frame in 2019 and maintained his mobility. 

CONS: Has room for growth as a pass rusher and I want to see him get to his counters with more urgency. Doesn’t consistently find a half man relationship to set up his rush. Too many body to body rushes and he sits on blocks. Needs to abandon the spin move he deploys 2-3 times/game. While he is fairly stout against the run, I’d love to see him more deliberate about squeezing gaps, unhinging and competing in pursuit. Not a consistent snap anticipator and he can be slow to release out of this stance. 

BEST TRAIT - Play Strength, Burst

WORST TRAIT - Rush Counters

RED FLAGS - Suspended in 2017 for kicking a teammate in the face during a practice fight 

NFL COMP - Anthony Spencer 

Darrell Taylor enters the NFL after leading the Tennessee Vols in each of the past two seasons in both tackles for loss and sacks while compiling at least 10 tackles for loss and eight sacks in both seasons. At the next level, Taylor has appeal for both 3-4 teams looking for a standup outside linebacker but he also has the functional strength needed to serve as a 4-3 defensive end. While Taylor has a nice blend of burst and flexibility as a pass rusher, his functional strength is quite impressive in terms of how he anchors against the run, tackles and converts speed to power. With that said, Taylor has room to grow in deploying a more consistently effective pass rush plan and becoming more of a presence against the run. Taylor has a chance to become an eventual starter and factor into the rotation early in his NFL career. 

 

#3-078)  Atlanta Falcons - Akeem Davis-Gaither, OLB - Appalachian State

(6'1", 224lbs, 31 1/8" arm, 9 1/2" hand - 21 reps)

Image result for akeem davis gaither

 

PROS: Has plenty of juice and bounce in his step. Can close distances rapidly and cover plenty of ground. Undersized but he has some pop behind his pads. Generally does well to play behind his hands when taking on blocks and sifting through traffic. Unbelievably slippery working around blockers. Fairly urgent player that competes hard in pursuit. Has the foot quickness, flexibility and speed to function in man coverage against running backs and tight ends. Has been used a decent amount as a blitzer and found some success. Should be an easy projection to a special teams role at the next level. 

CONS:  He’s lean and looks like a safety. Will need to bulk up to survive on the second level in the NFL whether that is taking on contact and tackling or competing with running backs and tight ends in coverage. Isn’t immune to tardy responses and misreads. Fairly scheme-specific and role-specific type player. Doesn’t project well to stacking and shedding blocks in the NFL. Only a two year starter at Appalachian State. 

BEST TRAIT - Quickness

WORST TRAIT - Lean Frame 

RED FLAGS - None

For a team in search of a subpackage linebacker that is versatile in coverage but also thrives as a blitzer, Appalachian State’s Akeem Davis-Gaither is a desirable option. While he doesn’t come without restrictions, Davis-Gaither’s ability to win in space and play with urgency is valuable in today’s NFL. In addition to his value on defense, Davis-Gaither profiles as a four-phase special teamer which increases his value. He may have only been a two year starter at a non-power five school but he did earn Sun Bel Defensive Player of the Year as a senior. Positionless players like Davis-Gaither have a chance in today’s NFL and he is a poster boy for this new wave of defenders. 

#4-119)  Atlanta Falcons - Albert Okwuegbunam-TE Missouri

(6'5", 258lbs, 34 1/8" arm, 10 1/4" hand - 4.49/40)

Image result for albert okwuegbunam

 

PROS: Brings outstanding straight line speed, size, length and catch radius to the table to work the seam. 23 of his 98 career receptions went for touchdowns, a testament to his ball skills and effectiveness attacking intermediate zones. Love the physicality that he brings in the passing game. Defensive backs won’t be able to hold their ground and he should be a consistent winner at the top of routes and at the catch point when it comes to body positioning. Three seasons of steady production. Illustrates good body control at the catch point and he makes some impressive adjustments to the football. Doesn’t block to his potential but it’s not because he lacks the size, length or strength. Does have some effective moments fitting his hands, unlocking his hips and turning defenders out of gaps in the run game. 

CONS: Not as consistent of a blocker or winner in contested catches as you’d like to see for a guy with his physical traits. Totally a straight line guy that can win on the vertical plane. He lacks the agility and separation quickness needed to truly shake guys at creating separation. Production was often more a result of him winning matchups. Has to get better framing and squaring up as a blocker in space. 

BEST TRAIT - Size/Speed

WORST TRAIT - Separation Quickness 

RED FLAGS - None

NFL COMP - Martellus Bennett

There is an intriguing physical skill set present in Okwuegbunam given his blend of height, weight, length and speed. Those traits enable him to be effective running routes on the vertical plane, stretching the field and creating mismatches in the secondary. With that said, his lack of agility and separation quickness makes him an incomplete receiving threat. The Missouri scheme created so much of Okwuegbunam’s chances in college, and he didn’t quite have the consistency in contested situations that you would hope for given his physical gifts. In addition, he needs considerable growth as a blocker where he underwhelms for his size. There is developmental appeal with Okwuegbunam, but his receiving skill set has limitations and improvements are needed for him to be asset as a blocker. He profiles as a No. 2 tight end with an interesting ceiling if he can develop. 

#5-157)  K'Von Wallace, S - Clemson

(5'11", 206lbs 31" arms, 9 1/8" hand - 4.53/40, 18reps, 38" vert, 133 broad, 6.76 3Cone)

Image result for k'von wallace clemson

Coverage Spacing - Like his shallow area work the most, he's pretty fluid and will jump down into middle of the field routes with aggressiveness to crash and crowd the catch point. Not super dynamic in deep areas and his long range isn't going to help him cover and jump routes as he'll need to for impact plays as a FS.

Acceleration - Like his click and close ability a fair amount, he's pretty loose in the lower half to drop and drive on quick action. Builds speed well as a blitzer or buzz defender to work into position to pressure in the box. His range as a deep safety isn't notable — probably best off left in half-field role.

Tackling - Got caught a few times this year on the back end with cement blocks on his feet. When he's in pure pursuit mode, he's a better finisher than when he tries to step down and close space as a head up tackler. Has taken some big body shots but not finished the play against bigger or more dense ball carriers.

Zone Coverage Skills - Robber role is where he looks to be most comfortable — he likes seeing things develop and shade or slide to try to jump late throws forced by pressure. He doesn't have a ton of length or extension to play through the body or buzz and undercut throws from underneath.

Ball Skills - Ball production is strong, but he's missed on a number of turnover conversion opportunities — he's on D for a reason, I suppose! Has let high point scenarios get disrupted by receivers flashing late to play his hands and his catch radius really pops here as a hindrance to finishing plays.

Competitive Toughness - He's a scrappy dude! I appreciate his enthusiasm to stick his face in the fire and mix it up with big bodies as he steps to play the D-gap in run support. He's not functionally very strong but he's got good flexibility to play with coil and he's build fairly dense — just need to make sure he plays controlled, too.

Flexibility - He's plenty mobile. Hip mobility in coverage is effective to get himself open to reach far landmarks and he's got a plenty dynamic base to decelerate at steep angles. His ability to lengthen himself makes him combative but not overly effective at the catch point.

Feet/COD - Got some jitterbug in him. He's smooth but capable of suddenness when he needs to call it into play as a defender weeding his way through traffic. Doesn't pattern match overly well in man coverage but he does show good initial balance on his zone drops.

Man Coverage Skills - Not overly sticky here. Big pass catchers can bump him off their him and doesn't have the recovery length, explosiveness or functional strength to stay in the hip pocket. As such, he's a better draw for slot receivers versus drawing tight ends in man coverage over the middle.

Versatility - He's had a lot put on his plate. He's done well as a blitz player from the 2nd level on 3rd downs, he's done well in shallow zone and he's got needed scrappiness and enthusiasm to win on special teams as well. He'll need that at the next level to ensure roster security and consistent playing time. 

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Best Trait - Versatility

Worst Trait - Length

Best Film - Texas A&M (2019)

Worst Film - LSU (2019)

Red Flags - None

Player Summary - K'Von Wallace is a versatile back end player who will make his living in the NFL as a sub-package defender and as a special teams contributor. Wallace has the versatility to play in the nickel or as a deep half safety, but his lack of length, influence at the catch point and some uncertain last line of defense tackling may hinder his ability to press for a starting role. At the very least, this is a regular contributor to a defense on 3rd-downs and a kick teams standout. Mid-Round value. 

 

7th Rounder)   Rodrigo Blankenship, PK - Georgia - why not?

Image result for rodrigo blankenship

SuS

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Man I’ve over the last few days have gone back and looked at the last half of our season and I see a lot to be encouraged about especially defensively.

What Morris and Ulbrich did with the mentioned has given me hope.They made a difference with zero additional talent.I think we need to be strategic and who we get.

There are obvious positions of need and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the FO go in a direction no one is expecting as they do.They’ll get there guys.

My Smokey right now is DeAndre Swift running back Georgia at 16.

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9 minutes ago, kiwifalcon said:

Man I’ve over the last few days have gone back and looked at the last half of our season and I see a lot to be encouraged about especially defensively.

What Morris and Ulbrich did with the mentioned has given me hope.They made a difference with zero additional talent.I think we need to be strategic and who we get.

There are obvious positions of need and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the FO go in a direction no one is expecting as they do.They’ll get there guys.

My Smokey right now is DeAndre Swift running back Georgia at 16.

wow,  couldn't disagree more w/ your take.   Also should be noted the defense likely to be without Campbell, Beasley, Crawford for sure.  Also possibly gone - Davison(although think we will re-sign), Bailey, and maybe others.

The depth of this roster is absolute sheot in the front 7 and way too top heavy.   You talk about 2019 season like those coaches will have the same personnel - they won't.

To burn a 1st round pick on a RB in this draft would be NFL GM malpractice - and a fireable offense for the Falcons roster.

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Well since you mentioned it.

Add JPP and Gerald McCoy in FA.

This leaves me the ability to go LBer RB DT or S with the mentioned first 3 picks in whatever order.

With Salary cap taking a huge upswing going into 2021 like you say Ryan and Julio going into there latter primes I could see this draft and FA going this way.

My ideal if FA went this way is Chaisson Blacklock and Winfield Jnr with those first 3 picks.

I’ve added depth up front I haven’t committed to long term deals with the mentioned FA.

I added an RB 1 in Swift I’ve added a Campbell replacement and pass rusher in Chaisson IDL pass rusher next to McCoy and JPP solidifies my edge with Means and Takk.Throw in Winfield Jnr I get a ball hawk who can come down and play in the box and is a viable replacement for any of the safeties I have on the roster right now.

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Even ignoring the discussion on the opinion that the roster needs a complete overhaul, a few things

This isn't a Jimmy Johnson. This isn't what he did. This is more similar to what the Browns did when we got Julio. The Browns at the time were praised for the move, because they actually did have a roster bereft of talent, while Jimmy was ripped apart for trading away what little talent he had. In the Browns' case, they're now looked at as fools for the trade, while Jimmy is praised. The difference? the picks; that Jimmy nailed his, and the Browns failed at theirs. Another major difference, the level of the picks. The idea that loading up on a bunch of 2nd and 3rd and below round picks, will make a team more talented, is flawed at best. It's why I tend to rip so many trade down mocks. The lower you get in the draft, the less likely you are to land a top player. Having 3 3rd round picks over 1 1st round pick, doesn't make you 3 times as likely to get a good player. You are actually less likely. Adding lots of lower round picks can potentially make you a deeper team, but your chances of adding star talent drop considerably, and you'll mostly usually just end up with a bunch of replaceable scrubs. It's why teams value 1st round picks so much.

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Just now, kiwifalcon said:

Well since you mentioned it.

Add JPP and Gerald McCoy in FA.

This leaves me the ability to go LBer RB DT or S with the mentioned first 3 picks in whatever order.

With Salary cap taking a huge upswing going into 2021 like you say Ryan and Julio going into there latter primes I could see this draft and FA going this way.

My ideal if FA went this way is Chaisson Blacklock and Winfield Jnr with those first 3 picks.

I’ve added depth up front I haven’t committed to long term deals with the mentioned FA.

I added an RB 1 in Swift I’ve added a Campbell replacement and pass rusher in Chaisson IDL pass rusher next to McCoy and JPP solidifies my edge with Means and Takk.Throw in Winfield Jnr I get a ball hawk who can come down and play in the box and is a viable replacement for any of the safeties I have on the roster right now.

Yeah, the FA available players will keep changing....I don't want to invest big dollars nor long years in any of them - big name or not.  Remember in 90% of the cases - the former team purposely chose to let these players go to free agency - history has shown that free agent dollars are rarely spent wisely at the top.

As to the draft,  I have just seen draft after draft after draft when there are so many 2nd rounders that tend to do as well as the 1st rounders after you get outside the top 10.     This particular draft in 2020 seems set up to be just that - if picks are used wisely.  Given that Chase Young won't be available to us - I just don't see others at #16 that would for sure be worth it if Falcons could trade down once or twice and get more early picks.   Linebackers and Running Backs tend to have value in 2nd and 3rd rounds - same with Defensive Tackles.  - guys like Akeem Davis Gaither and Edwards Helaire could be taken in 2nd/3rd rounds and still would have three other premium picks in those rounds to address DT/OL/DE.     Just feel we could really change the trajectory of our roster if we could hit on 4/5 picks in those rounds.

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6 minutes ago, hjerry said:

Even ignoring the discussion on the opinion that the roster needs a complete overhaul, a few things

This isn't a Jimmy Johnson. This isn't what he did. This is more similar to what the Browns did when we got Julio. The Browns at the time were praised for the move, because they actually did have a roster bereft of talent, while Jimmy was ripped apart for trading away what little talent he had. In the Browns' case, they're now looked at as fools for the trade, while Jimmy is praised. The difference? the picks; that Jimmy nailed his, and the Browns failed at theirs. Another major difference, the level of the picks. The idea that loading up on a bunch of 2nd and 3rd and below round picks, will make a team more talented, is flawed at best. It's why I tend to rip so many trade down mocks. The lower you get in the draft, the less likely you are to land a top player. Having 3 3rd round picks over 1 1st round pick, doesn't make you 3 times as likely to get a good player. You are actually less likely. Adding lots of lower round picks can potentially make you a deeper team, but your chances of adding star talent drop considerably, and you'll mostly usually just end up with a bunch of replaceable scrubs. It's why teams value 1st round picks so much.

Falcons have chosen #6 and #26 and have Vic Beasley and Takk McKinley to show for it.    The hit rate on 1st round outside of the top 10 picks isn't much better than the 2nd round.   Falcons aren't in the top 10.

Moreover,  certain positions like Linebacker, Safety, Running Back in particular - stars can be found in those rounds.  You are correct that the Browns butchered the trade w/ Atlanta for Julio - but honestly so what?  - you have to nail a certain percentage of the picks in the trade downs.

Look at the 2016 NFL Draft

1st round probowlers:   11 (7 of these were the first 7 picks in the draft)

2nd round probowlers: 7

3rd round probowlers:  3

Once you take out the Top 7 picks,  the first rounders had 4/25 = 4%

now with the remaining 64 picks in 2nd/3rd rounds you had 10/64 = 16% 

 

Clearly there are breaking points in talent in each draft - there is nothing magical about 32 1st round picks being the 32 best players - drafting isn't an exact science and while you are correct that the higher you draft the greater your chance - there is just so much more to it that isn't an exact science as has been proven over decades.

 

Would the Falcons have a better chance to walk away from this draft with more overall impactful talent if they had 6 picks from #44-78 - OR - a pick at 16, 47, 55, 75(4 picks)?    I believe the 6 picks.     For the 4 picks to be better,  the pick made at #16 has to be a pro-bowl quality caliber player....but you could just as easily generate that pro-bowl player with the extra two picks I generated in this trade-down mock.

 

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12 minutes ago, g-dawg said:

Falcons have chosen #6 and #26 and have Vic Beasley and Takk McKinley to show for it.    The hit rate on 1st round outside of the top 10 picks isn't much better than the 2nd round.   Falcons aren't in the top 10.

Moreover,  certain positions like Linebacker, Safety, Running Back in particular - stars can be found in those rounds.  You are correct that the Browns butchered the trade w/ Atlanta for Julio - but honestly so what?  - you have to nail a certain percentage of the picks in the trade downs.

Look at the 2016 NFL Draft

1st round probowlers:   11 (7 of these were the first 7 picks in the draft)

2nd round probowlers: 7

3rd round probowlers:  3

Once you take out the Top 7 picks,  the first rounders had 4/25 = 4%

now with the remaining 64 picks in 2nd/3rd rounds you had 10/64 = 16% 

 

Clearly there are breaking points in talent in each draft - there is nothing magical about 32 1st round picks being the 32 best players - drafting isn't an exact science and while you are correct that the higher you draft the greater your chance - there is just so much more to it that isn't an exact science as has been proven over decades.

 

Would the Falcons have a better chance to walk away from this draft with more overall impactful talent if they had 6 picks from #44-78 - OR - a pick at 16, 47, 55, 75(4 picks)?    I believe the 6 picks.     For the 4 picks to be better,  the pick made at #16 has to be a pro-bowl quality caliber player....but you could just as easily generate that pro-bowl player with the extra two picks I generated in this trade-down mock.

 

I’m just asking but don’t you think both trade downs could possibly include additional later picks such as 4th or 5th rounders. I feel like teams also pay a premium for moving up in or into the 1st round. 

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24 minutes ago, g-dawg said:

Falcons have chosen #6 and #26 and have Vic Beasley and Takk McKinley to show for it.    The hit rate on 1st round outside of the top 10 picks isn't much better than the 2nd round.   Falcons aren't in the top 10.

Moreover,  certain positions like Linebacker, Safety, Running Back in particular - stars can be found in those rounds.  You are correct that the Browns butchered the trade w/ Atlanta for Julio - but honestly so what?  - you have to nail a certain percentage of the picks in the trade downs.

Look at the 2016 NFL Draft

1st round probowlers:   11 (7 of these were the first 7 picks in the draft)

2nd round probowlers: 7

3rd round probowlers:  3

Once you take out the Top 7 picks,  the first rounders had 4/25 = 4%

now with the remaining 64 picks in 2nd/3rd rounds you had 10/64 = 16% 

 

Clearly there are breaking points in talent in each draft - there is nothing magical about 32 1st round picks being the 32 best players - drafting isn't an exact science and while you are correct that the higher you draft the greater your chance - there is just so much more to it that isn't an exact science as has been proven over decades.

 

Would the Falcons have a better chance to walk away from this draft with more overall impactful talent if they had 6 picks from #44-78 - OR - a pick at 16, 47, 55, 75(4 picks)?    I believe the 6 picks.     For the 4 picks to be better,  the pick made at #16 has to be a pro-bowl quality caliber player....but you could just as easily generate that pro-bowl player with the extra two picks I generated in this trade-down mock.

 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.rockmnation.com/platform/amp/2019/2/21/18233383/first-rounders-dominate-the-ranks-of-nfl-all-pro-selections

https://www.betlabssports.com/blog/picks-perform-best-nfl-draft/

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8 minutes ago, Butudontseeme™ said:

I’m just asking but don’t you think both trade downs could possibly include additional later picks such as 4th or 5th rounders. I feel like teams also pay a premium for moving up in or into the 1st round. 

perhaps but not likely.   regardless the meat-n-potatoes of these exchanges is loading the wagon on Day#2 with 5 picks.

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2 minutes ago, Ovie_Lover said:

from your article:

Pct First-Rounders
Defensive Line — 80.0
Quarterback — 80.0
Defense — 66.1
Defensive Back — 60.5
Overall — 59.7
Linebacker — 57.9
Offensive Line — 56.0
Offense — 52.7
Wide Receiver — 52.4
Running Back — 47.4
Tight End — 20.0

I don't think this article proves your point like you want it to.   Falcons are in the market for a LB, a RB and a TE.   This article clearly shows that there are huge numbers are pro-bowlers outside of the 1st round as I highlighted in red.   Those positions tend to naturally get pushed down in the draft as they aren't considered premier positions per se.     

Also should be noted in my mock there were no  4th nor 5th rounders or later coming back in the deals - it was all 2nd and 3rd rounders - traditionally where a huge bulk of linebackers, running backs and Tight Ends can be found w/ pro-bowl credentials.

The GM that trades down has to be astute on the picking for sure - but given that we have three needs that correspond to finding talent down the draft - just further enhances my argument.

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13 minutes ago, g-dawg said:

from your article:

Pct First-Rounders
Defensive Line — 80.0
Quarterback — 80.0
Defense — 66.1
Defensive Back — 60.5
Overall — 59.7
Linebacker — 57.9
Offensive Line — 56.0
Offense — 52.7
Wide Receiver — 52.4
Running Back — 47.4
Tight End — 20.0

I don't think this article proves your point like you want it to.   Falcons are in the market for a LB, a RB and a TE.   This article clearly shows that there are huge numbers are pro-bowlers outside of the 1st round as I highlighted in red.   Those positions tend to naturally get pushed down in the draft as they aren't considered premier positions per se.     

Also should be noted in my mock there were no  4th nor 5th rounders or later coming back in the deals - it was all 2nd and 3rd rounders - traditionally where a huge bulk of linebackers, running backs and Tight Ends can be found w/ pro-bowl credentials.

The GM that trades down has to be astute on the picking for sure - but given that we have three needs that correspond to finding talent down the draft - just further enhances my argument.

It also states TE are best when taken in the top 100 which you didn't do. I wasn't arguing with you just providing numbers. And the numbers say first round picks are best.

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22 minutes ago, Ovie_Lover said:

200 of 539 1st round picks since 2000 have made Pro Bowl.  100 of 540 2nd round picks have made Pro bowl.  
 

I’ll take the odds with 4 second round picks and two 3rd round picks.  Especially for a team already so top heavy

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G-DAWG take it from someone who has been in the hospital your informed work is much APPRECIATED!  I like your approach, we do need players. I wish I felt confident that the FO was going to knock this DRAFT out the park. But we never know what TD may do or if college players are going to make good pro's. How is the national emergency delay going to affect the DRAFT? Will it give the FO time to make better decisions? I hope so. I do think Albert O. is a very good pick. I love your and some of the others work during DRAFT time, very astute and knowledgeable. Thanks. Oh please forgive the typos or mistakes, I'm on my back praying to get well. 

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10 minutes ago, FalconsIn2012 said:

200 of 539 1st round picks since 2000 have made Pro Bowl.  100 of 540 2nd round picks have made Pro bowl.  
 

I’ll take the odds with 4 second round picks and two 3rd round picks.  Especially for a team already so top heavy

Why are yall so stuck on probowls? All pro is what matters. Pro bowls are all popularity. 

Also dont change the numbers dude. 212 vs 90.

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Don’t mind trading out of the 16th pick to get another 2nd, but don’t think I’d like trading again and getting entirely out of the 1st. I’d have to see who all was on the board there though. 

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20 minutes ago, Ovie_Lover said:

It also states TE are best when taken in the top 100 which you didn't do. I wasn't arguing with you just providing numbers. And the numbers say first round picks are best.

I am not trying to be an a-hole but saying first round picks are best is a big “duh”.

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17 minutes ago, Ovie_Lover said:

Why are yall so stuck on probowls? All pro is what matters. Pro bowls are all popularity. 

Also dont change the numbers dude. 212 vs 90.

Well how many of those 1st round all pro’s were picked before the 17th pick?  I suspect 65% or more

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Just now, g-dawg said:

I am not trying to be an a-hole but saying first round picks are best is a big “duh”.

Ok so why trade out of the first? It makes little sense. "I know first round picks are best, but I want to shoot in the dark 4 times and hope something sticks instead".

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19 minutes ago, Gold4425 said:

G-DAWG take it from someone who has been in the hospital your informed work is much APPRECIATED!  I like your approach, we do need players. I wish I felt confident that the FO was going to knock this DRAFT out the park. But we never know what TD may do or if college players are going to make good pro's. How is the national emergency delay going to affect the DRAFT? Will it give the FO time to make better decisions? I hope so. I do think Albert O. is a very good pick. I love your and some of the others work during DRAFT time, very astute and knowledgeable. Thanks. Oh please forgive the typos or mistakes, I'm on my back praying to get well. 

Get well soon Gold!   Glad I could bring a little entertainment to your stay in hospital.

get well soon my friend.

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1 minute ago, FalconsIn2012 said:

Well how many of those 1st round all pro’s were picked 16th or later?  I suspect 65% or more

"There are 32 picks in the first round. That’s about 12.5 percent of the draft. The fact that 59.7 percent of AP All-Pros from the past decade come from those 12.5 percent of picks tells you that this group is over-represented by a factor of almost five."

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Just now, Ovie_Lover said:

Ok so why trade out of the first? It makes little sense. "I know first round picks are best, but I want to shoot in the dark 4 times and hope something sticks instead".

You don’t just trade out of first without having a feel to the depth of the draft and reasonable scenarios of 4-5 picks at each selection you could make.

”it makes little sense”. Really?

Trading down gives a team an opportunity to have a better class IF they choose wisely #noguarantees

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2 minutes ago, Ovie_Lover said:

"There are 32 picks in the first round. That’s about 12.5 percent of the draft. The fact that 59.7 percent of AP All-Pros from the past decade come from those 12.5 percent of picks tells you that this group is over-represented by a factor of almost five."

And yet....my trades added two players to the top 78.    You are skewing in players from 4th-7th rounds.

Just look at Falcons draft in 2016.  We drafted three players in pro-bowl - Neal, Debo and Hooper.   Similar spot in the draft.

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1 hour ago, hjerry said:

Even ignoring the discussion on the opinion that the roster needs a complete overhaul, a few things

This isn't a Jimmy Johnson. This isn't what he did. This is more similar to what the Browns did when we got Julio. The Browns at the time were praised for the move, because they actually did have a roster bereft of talent, while Jimmy was ripped apart for trading away what little talent he had. In the Browns' case, they're now looked at as fools for the trade, while Jimmy is praised. The difference? the picks; that Jimmy nailed his, and the Browns failed at theirs. Another major difference, the level of the picks. The idea that loading up on a bunch of 2nd and 3rd and below round picks, will make a team more talented, is flawed at best. It's why I tend to rip so many trade down mocks. The lower you get in the draft, the less likely you are to land a top player. Having 3 3rd round picks over 1 1st round pick, doesn't make you 3 times as likely to get a good player. You are actually less likely. Adding lots of lower round picks can potentially make you a deeper team, but your chances of adding star talent drop considerably, and you'll mostly usually just end up with a bunch of replaceable scrubs. It's why teams value 1st round picks so much.

Also, if you do happen to strike gold with all of the picks and they turn into studs, there's always the issue of how you're going to pay them all when the time comes...

 

That said, I kinda do like this mock.

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