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Comp Picks?


Detroit_Falcon
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1 minute ago, Detroit_Falcon said:

Can someone please tell me when the comp picks go out to all the teams? Did we even have any big money players that left last year?

I don't know but the biggest one I remember leaving was the pass rusher that went to the Panthers.

But the Falcons picked up 2 high price FA guards and if I remember correctly it's a net loss type of thing.

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13 minutes ago, Sun Tzu 7 said:

I don't know but the biggest one I remember leaving was the pass rusher that went to the Panthers.

But the Falcons picked up 2 high price FA guards and if I remember correctly it's a net loss type of thing.

Yep. Net loss for two overpriced buffoons. The Carpenter thing never made sense to me. Brown had more upside, but not 6m/yr of upside. Stupid moves. And it's not a hindsight thing either; most of us were clamoring for Quentin Spain, who has been really good this year. Dude made 2 mil on a 1 year deal and hasn't allowed a sack.

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37 minutes ago, Francis York Morgan said:

Yep. Net loss for two overpriced buffoons. The Carpenter thing never made sense to me. Brown had more upside, but not 6m/yr of upside. Stupid moves. And it's not a hindsight thing either; most of us were clamoring for Quentin Spain, who has been really good this year. Dude made 2 mil on a 1 year deal and hasn't allowed a sack.

Quinton Spain, Mcgrary, Lindstrom would've been much better and also left a lot more cap room. Carpenter/Brown... more proof that TD needed to go.

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I posted the following topic thread on May 7:

The free agency period for determining 2020 compensatory draft picks ends today.  Any Free Agents signed after today will not factor into the Compensatory Draft formula. So this is a good time to assess whether teams are entitled to comp picks or not, and if so, how many and which rounds. To make a long story short, it appears that the Falcons will NOT be entitled to any comp picks in the 2020 NFL draft.

I used to analyze the Falcons free agency situation, and then project comp picks for the Falcons based upon my analysis. However, OvertheCap starting making comp projections for each team and its projections are very good, so that I no longer need to do all the detailed work anymore.

OvertheCap is projecting that Atlanta LOST 3 Compensable Unrestricted Free Agents: (CUFAs): 

Tevin Coleman ($4.25million Average per Year APY),

Bruce Irwin ($4m APY) and

Justin Bethel ($2m APY). 

 

OvertheCap is projecting that Atlanta has SIGNED 3 CUFAs: 

Jamon Brown ($6.25m APY),

James Carpenter ($5.25m APY), and

Luke Stocker ($2.75m APY).

 

https://overthecap.com/compensatory-draft-picks-cancellation-chart/

 

Therefore, Atlanta's projected NET LOSS = -0-, and thus NO comp picks. Comp picks are only awarded to those teams who have a NET LOSS of CUFAs. There is 1 exception whereby a team with a Net Loss of -0- might get a 7th-round comp pick, if the overall value of the players lost significantly exceeds the total overall value of the players signed. However, Atlanta will not fall under this exception, because the overall value signed exceeds the overall value lost.

We know that Atlanta lost Robert Alford ($7.5m APV) and Brooks Reed ($1.625m APV) in free agency to the Cardinals. However, these two players do NOT count in the comp formula, because they were CUT by Atlanta before their contracts expired. In the same manner, Adrian Clayborn ($2m APR) does not count as CUFA signing by Atlanta, because he was CUT by the Pats. Players who become UFAs by being Cut before their contract expires, do Not count in the compensatory formula.

However, not all uncut UFAs count in the compensatory formula, because some make less than a Minimum Threshold APV, which appears to be somewhere around $950,000 per year. That is why Jordan Richards ($895,000) and Ben Garland ($805,000) do NOT count as CUFAs Lost by Atlanta. The minimum threshold rule is also why Tyeler Davidson ($895,0000), Kenjon Barner ($895,000), JJ Wilcox ($895,000), and John Wetzel ($720,000) do NOT count as CUFAs Signed by the Falcons.

At first glance, I remember thinking that the loss of Brian Poole ($3.5m APY) to the Jets should count. However, Poole does NOT count because he was a RFA (Restricted Free Agent), and not an UFA (Unrestricted Free Agent). Neither would ERFAs (Exclusive Right Free Agents) count in the comp formula. Marvin Hall does Not count as a CUFA lost by Atlanta because he was

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17 hours ago, Schwarzwald said:

I really hope someone pays Vic like $15M a year and Vondre approach $10M. 

Yep, I would imagine that Atlanta will let UFAs Beasley and Campbell walk, rather than trying to re-sign them. Thus, losing these two players in 2020 Free Agency to other teams should give Atlanta the best chance for comp picks in the 2021 draft, (assuming that the Falcons do not sign any Compensable Free Agents in 2020 from other teams to offset the losses). The higher their average annual compensation paid by another team, the better the resulting comp picks will be. 

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