Francis York Morgan Posted April 23, 2019 Share Posted April 23, 2019 Got one trade in this, but it's a doozy. Largely based off what I've heard about Oakland recently, and it helps their team a ton as well as ours. I'll just go ahead and say this now - I think the Raiders pick at No. 4 is going to be a shock. They don't want people to trade ahead of them with the Jets for their guy, and imho, that's why they cleared the draft room. I'm thinking Ed Oliver, or that they think Quinnen Williams makes it to their pick, though it's also feasible they're looking at Haskins, Hockenson, White - something surprising. The point here is that I don't think they take Josh Allen, so they'll still have a looming need at edge rusher. Come pick 14, I think Brian Burns is still around. They're in love with him; I wouldn't even be THAT surprised to see them taking him at No.4 (could be that's the shocker tbh). Still, for all intents and purposes, I'm mocking them trading up with us at No. 14 to take Brian Burns. Consensus among draftniks is that there's a pretty huge drop off at DE after he's gone. So, with no further ado, let's get started! Oakland trades picks 1(24 - 740 pts), 1(27 - 680 pts) for Atlanta's picks 1(14 - 1100 pts), 3(79 - 195 pts), 2020 3(??? ~ 100 pts), and 5(172 - 22.2 pts). The Raiders continue to stockpile picks, we get rid of some draft capital (could easily recoup a 2020 3rd as a comp for Beasley and/or Jarrett, though ideally we re-sign Jarrett), and everyone's happy. The Raiders get two picks in the top 15, likely something along the lines of Oliver/Williams + Burns, and we get three picks in the top 50. Now, this does require the draft to fall a certain way, but I can see it happening...in the sense that I see other mocks happening, ie: zero chance in heIl. With the 24th pick in the 2019 NFL draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Cody Ford, OG/OT, Oklahoma. Popular guy around TATF, albeit less so lately. Ford is viewed as a guard by a lot of scouts, and I think he can excel there. However, this in addition to his poor combine (which doesn't match his demonstrated athleticism on tape at all) is causing him to plummet down many draft boards, usually falling to the 20s. He offers great value here with the ability to compete at three different spots on the line (LG, RG, RT). He can likely usurp one of the players there, and in the case of inevitable injury, he also offers a lot of value in his ability to let us put our best players on the field. He's big, violent, and quick. He's just what this line needs. With the 27th pick in the 2019 NFL draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson. A popular pick for the Birds, and rightfully so. In mocks I've seen, he's usually projected to go to us at 14 or the Rams/Patriots at 31 and 32. Pretty huge discrepancy, huh? Here, we still get our guy and bolster the lines with an absolute hoss. Lawrence is viewed by some as a 2-down guy, but I think that's almost always because of the stigma tied to being a nose tackle. I think he's the kind of rare big DT who can play 60-70% of snaps if we need him to. I also think he upgrades everyone on the DL instantly, as he nearly necessitates double teams by virtue of his strength and size. If Beasley, Takk, and Jarrett get more 1 on 1 opportunities, I think our pass rush looks a ton better - especially with the other added depth this offseason. With the 45th pick in the 20198 NFL draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State. (if you're dead certain he won't be there, replace this name with Chase Winovich, DE, Michigan and skip ahead. I'm just hearing a ton about his slip, and it reminds me a bit of the talk on Randy Gregory before the draft, albeit for totally different reasons (Sweat is said to have had weed issues at Michigan State, but none recently, and he has demonstrated maturity consistently since). If you recall, Gregory was thought to be a top 10 lock, possibly a top 5 pick, and slipped to the end of the 2nd round. More recently, Hurst's stock took a nosedive with the heart condition news.) ((alternatively, replace Ford with Sweat and this pick with Lindstrom/Howard/your lineman of choice)) Sweat is a guy we talked about as being out of reach at 14, but now, a lot of us are saying he's too much of a risk that early. I get that, and I agree to an extent. And like I said earlier, replace this pick and skip ahead if you don't think Sweat's there. I don't know enough about his heart condition to know its severity. But I can see him slipping here, and after our previous two picks, this is a no brainer. We can afford to take the risk here. We have two almost guaranteed starters, and another guy with starter potential that could replace (and surpass) Beasley in the future. Sweat is a freak, checking every box Quinn might pose. The only question is his health, and if he's confident Sweat can still play, I think Sweat is a more likely to be a valuable player than anyone else who might be here. Don't feel like writing an essay on the other guys, but they're all guys I like for various reasons: With the 117th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Blake Cashman, LB, Minnesota. Cashman is an athlete with more good film than bad. As we've seen, undersized LBs can feast in this defense, especially with a guy like Dexter Lawrence taking up blocks now. With the 137th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Mecole Hardman, WR, Georgia. We've needed a returner for a while now. TD finally invests in one, and the guy can be a solid WR in a few years too. UGA fans rejoice as TD finally takes "homegrown talent." With the 152nd pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Jimmy Moreland, CB, James Madison. Another TATF fan favorite - the Falcons have solid depth at CB, believe it or not, and I seriously doubt they think Oliver can't be a starting CB after considering using their first rounder on him last year. I think he's only scratched the surface of his potential. Meanwhile, Moreland gets overlooked due to his small school and smaller stature, but the guy can be a phenomenal nickel back. Who knows - if Kazee takes over for Allen after this season, we might have our NB in the wings ready to go. With the 186th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Travis Homer, RB, Miami. The draft is thin at RB near the top, but the depth to round out the class is great. Homer is a multifaceted back who doesn't mind laying the boom. I was torn between him and Ozigbo here - both would be great picks imho. With the 230th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Atlanta Falcons select Brett Rypien, QB, Boise State. Developmental prospect at QB who can be a solid backup at worst, imho. At best, he can be trade bait and a serviceable step-in if, God forbid, Ryan gets injured. Thoughts are welcomed ~ mostly just a fun exercise before the draft starts Thursday and our live mock drafts take off. Comments about Sweat not being available there have already been addressed, I understand the point but it's all a big "What-If?" anyways. FalconsIn2012, citsalp, Geneaut and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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