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Does cutting Devonta Freeman at the end of the season make financial sense?


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Does cutting Devonta Freeman at the end of the season make financial sense?

Fact: Devonta Freeman pickles radishes in his spare time

By James Rael@falcoholicjames Oct 18, 2018, 9:00pm EDT
 
usa_today_11148045.0.jpgReinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Two years in the NFL is a lifetime. Two years ago, the Falcons were 4-2, on their way to a Super Bowl berth. Six games in, Devonta Freeman had 450 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. His 75 rushing yards/game average was buoyed by a dominant week 3 performance against the Saints. (He rushed for 152 yards, including one 48 yard run in that game.) He’d rush for an additional 9 touchdowns that year. (Mind you he also rushed for 11 touchdowns during his sophomore campaign in 2015.) One public, messy, record-breaking contract negotiation later, Freeman had more money than he’d ever dreamed of while growing up in Miami’s Liberty City housing projects.

Fast forward a couple years. Freeman has only played in two games this season. He’s only touched the ball 19 times. He’s just not been a big part of this team in 2018. And 24 hours ago his season effectively ended with a trip to injured reserve. Given Tevin Coleman’s impending free agency and the need to restructure or extend Julio Jones, Grady Jarrett, Deion Jones, and De’Vondre Campbell, money is a concern. Ito Smith and Tevin Coleman have played well in Freeman’s absence. Because this is a “what have you done for me lately?” league, questions about Freeman’s future with the team were sure to arise.

The Falcons basically have two options. Option one saves them money but requires them to part ways with a true fan favorite. It also gives them additional financial flexibility over the next several years. Option two doesn’t. It’s that simple.

Option 1: Designate Freeman a post-June 1st cut next off-season

Again, this option saves the Falcons money. That’s the bottom line. They’d gain $24.75 million in cap space between 2019 and 2022. If you take nothing else from this article, remember that. Parting ways with Freeman would save the Falcons money.

But how do they get there? In 2019, Freeman would represent $3 million in dead money but overall the Falcons would net $3.75 million in cap savings. In 2020, Freeman would represent $6 million in dead money but overall the Falcons would net $6.8 million in cap savings. Then $6.3 million would come off the books in 2021 and another $8.2 million would come off the books in 2022. Overall Freeman would represent $9 million in dead money, which is what he’s owed towards his prorated signing bonus. But the Falcons would then have $24.75 million in additional cap space between 2019 and 2022.

Option 2: Keep Freeman around in 2019

This option is not a bad option. I repeat, this option is not a bad option. Freeman got a record-breaking five-year, $41.25 million contract extension because he earned it. When he’s healthy, Freeman can slice and dice defenses consistent with his compensation. But alas, that’s been the issue, hasn’t it? You get the sense that Freeman is one more concussion or one more knee injury away from retirement. And to be frank, that’s a sinking feeling when you’re talking about your number one back.

The wild card here is Coleman. What’s the opportunity cost if the Falcons let him walk in free agency next spring? Will they live to regret that decision? Is it time for the Falcons to cut their losses and redirect some cap space with an eye towards retaining other players? I can’t answer these questions, nor can general manager Thomas Dimitroff. All the front office can do is honestly evaluate their options and move forward.

It’s not the scenario anyone envisioned two years ago, but regrettably, predictably, two years in the NFL is a lifetime.

 
Edited by lostnmexico
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5 minutes ago, Ergo Proxy said:

The real question is will you overpay Coleman a bigger contract if it’s bssed on the current RB market? I don’t see it so far this year.

a team will definitely pay for him, has nothing to do with me being a coleman fan but if Jerrick Mckinnon and Lamar Miller are being paid like elites then he will as well 

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7 minutes ago, Dirtybird3 said:

Tbh I don't see Teco as a lead back. He's good in spurts but he can never pick up his feet or make a wiggle, it's beat you with deceptive speed and hope it's a break away. 

i would like too see him use more power, that block on lavonte david showed how strong he really is. His legs and arms are bigger, he could pick up at least 5 more yards every run if he used power

Edited by caponine
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24 minutes ago, caponine said:

a team will definitely pay for him, has nothing to do with me being a coleman fan but if Jerrick Mckinnon and Lamar Miller are being paid like elites then he will as well 

Good point amigo but I just think we have needs that that money could be shifted to.

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Cheap FA pass catching backs combined with mid to late round RBs should be the model. Paying RBs top dollar is stupid in this day and age unless you have a potential HOF that can do it all in the backfield. Eagles and Pats have at least 4 RBs that can run the ball every season and they all contributed.

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22 minutes ago, DoYouSeeWhatHappensLarry said:

Devonta Freeman isnt a high dollar player. 

https://overthecap.com/position/running-back/

He is the fourth highest paid RB in the league in per yer contract value.  Beg to differ with you on that one.  His production doesn't meet the Price tag.

Running Back Contracts

QuarterbackRunning BackFullbackWide ReceiverTight EndOffensive LineLeft TackleLeft GuardCenterRight GuardRight TackleDefensive LineInterior Defensive Line3-4 Defensive Tackle4-3 Defensive Tackle3-4 Defensive End4-3 Defensive EndEdge Rusher3-4 Outside LinebackerLinebackerTraditional Linebacker4-3 Outside LinebackerInside LinebackerDefensive BackCornerbackSafetyKickerPunterLong SnapperFull Contract20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Player Team Total
Value
Avg./Year Total
Guaranteed
Avg.
Guar./Year
% Guar. Free
Agency
Le’Veon Bell Steelers $14,544,000 $14,544,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Todd Gurley Rams $57,500,000 $14,375,000 $21,950,000 $5,487,500 38.2% 2024 UFA
David Johnson Cardinals $39,000,000 $13,000,000 $24,682,500 $8,227,500 63.3% 2022 UFA
Devonta Freeman Falcons $41,250,000 $8,250,000 $18,297,000 $3,659,400 44.4% 2023 UFA
LeSean McCoy Bills $40,050,000 $8,010,000 $18,250,000 $3,650,000 45.6% 2020 UFA
Saquon Barkley Giants $31,194,750 $7,798,688 $31,194,750 $7,798,688 100.0% 2022 UFA
Jerick McKinnon 49ers $30,000,000 $7,500,000 $11,700,000 $2,925,000 39.0% 2022 UFA
Leonard Fournette Jaguars $27,150,882 $6,786,894 $27,150,882 $6,787,721 100.0% 2021 UFA
Lamar Miller Texans $26,000,000 $6,500,000 $14,000,000 $3,500,000 53.8% 2020 UFA
Ezekiel Elliott Cowboys $24,956,338 $6,239,085 $24,956,338 $6,239,085 100.0% 2020 UFA
Duke Johnson Browns $15,610,000 $5,203,333 $5,957,000 $1,985,667 38.2% 2022 UFA
Giovani Bernard Bengals $15,500,000 $5,166,667 $5,000,000 $1,666,667 32.3% 2020 UFA
Carlos Hyde Browns $15,250,000 $5,083,333 $5,000,000 $1,666,667 32.8% 2021 UFA
Dion Lewis Titans $19,800,000 $4,950,000 $5,750,000 $1,437,500 29.0% 2022 UFA
Marshawn Lynch Raiders $4,500,000 $4,500,000 $3,500,000 $3,500,000 77.8% 2019 UFA
Christian McCaffrey Panthers $17,241,304 $4,310,326 $17,241,304 $4,310,326 100.0% 2021 UFA
Latavius Murray Vikings $4,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,650,000 $3,650,000 91.3% 2019 UFA
James White Patriots $12,000,000 $4,000,000 $4,690,000 $1,563,333 39.1% 2021 UFA
Mark Ingram Saints $16,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,100,000 $1,525,000 38.1% 2019 UFA
Isaiah Crowell Jets $12,000,000 $4,000,000 $4,000,000 $1,333,333 33.3% 2021 UFA
Theo Riddick Lions $11,550,000 $3,850,000 $3,850,000 $1,283,333 33.3% 2020 UFA
Bilal Powell Jets $11,250,000 $3,750,000 $6,000,000 $2,000,000 53.3% 2019 UFA
Chris Thompson Redskins $7,000,000 $3,500,000 $4,500,000 $2,250,000 64.3% 2020 UFA
Jonathan Stewart Giants $6,900,000 $3,450,000 $2,950,000 $1,475,000 42.8% 2020 UFA
Rex Burkhead Patriots $9,750,000 $3,250,000 $5,500,000 $1,833,333 56.4% 2021 UFA
Corey Grant Jaguars $2,914,000 $2,914,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Chris Ivory Bills $5,500,000 $2,750,000 $2,500,000 $1,250,000 45.5% 2020 UFA
Rashaad Penny Seahawks $10,765,436 $2,691,359 $9,397,422 $2,349,356 87.3% 2022 UFA
Melvin Gordon Chargers $10,669,762 $2,667,441 $10,669,762 $2,667,441 100.0% 2020 UFA
Sony Michel Patriots $9,626,694 $2,406,674 $8,389,710 $2,097,428 87.2% 2022 UFA
LeGarrette Blount Lions $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 100.0% 2019 UFA
Nick Chubb Browns $7,383,094 $1,845,774 $5,297,114 $1,324,279 71.7% 2022 UFA
Ronald Jones II Buccaneers $7,071,926 $1,767,982 $3,223,220 $805,805 45.6% 2022 UFA
C.J. Anderson Panthers $1,750,000 $1,750,000 $500,000 $500,000 28.6% 2019 UFA
Jacquizz Rodgers Buccaneers $3,300,000 $1,650,000 $600,000 $300,000 18.2% 2019 UFA
Kerryon Johnson Lions $6,503,698 $1,625,925 $4,065,583 $1,016,396 62.5% 2022 UFA
Dalvin Cook Vikings $6,353,310 $1,588,328 $3,979,375 $994,844 62.6% 2021 UFA
Jeremy Hill Patriots $1,500,000 $1,500,000 $150,000 $150,000 10.0% 2019 UFA
TJ Yeldon Jaguars $5,913,776 $1,478,444 $3,699,736 $924,934 62.6% 2019 UFA
Doug Martin Raiders $1,475,000 $1,475,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Darren Sproles Eagles $1,415,000 $1,415,000 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 70.7% 2019 UFA
Spencer Ware Chiefs $4,200,000 $1,400,000 $1,600,000 $533,333 38.1% 2019 UFA
Joe Mixon Bengals $5,450,162 $1,362,541 $2,816,487 $704,122 51.7% 2021 UFA
Derrick Henry Titans $5,407,930 $1,351,983 $3,278,855 $819,714 60.6% 2020 UFA
Robert Turbin Colts $2,700,000 $1,350,000 $500,000 $250,000 18.5% 2019 UFA
Mike Davis Seahawks $1,350,000 $1,350,000 $350,000 $350,000 25.9% 2019 UFA
Fozzy Whittaker Panthers $2,500,000 $1,250,000 $500,000 $250,000 20.0% 2019 UFA
Damien Williams Chiefs $1,200,000 $1,200,000 $60,000 $60,000 5.0% 2019 UFA
Derrius Guice Redskins $4,541,936 $1,135,484 $2,473,224 $618,306 54.5% 2022 UFA
Frank Gore Dolphins $1,105,000 $1,105,000 $90,000 $90,000 8.1% 2019 UFA
Benny Cunningham Bears $1,050,000 $1,050,000 $150,000 $150,000 14.3% 2019 UFA
Ameer Abdullah Lions $4,156,126 $1,039,032 $2,291,551 $572,888 55.1% 2019 UFA
Adrian Peterson Redskins $1,015,000 $1,015,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Royce Freeman Broncos $3,940,020 $985,005 $997,020 $249,255 25.3% 2022 UFA
Alvin Kamara Saints $3,857,772 $964,443 $972,772 $243,193 25.2% 2021 UFA
Jamaal Charles Jaguars $915,000 $915,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Taiwan Jones Bills $880,000 $880,000 $45,000 $45,000 5.1% 2019 UFA
Alfred Blue Texans $880,000 $880,000 $90,000 $90,000 10.2% 2019 UFA
Brandon Bolden Dolphins $850,000 $850,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Kenyan Drake Dolphins $3,381,260 $845,315 $821,260 $205,315 24.3% 2020 UFA
Kareem Hunt Chiefs $3,285,722 $821,431 $775,952 $193,988 23.6% 2021 UFA
D’Onta Foreman Texans $3,259,984 $814,996 $759,484 $189,871 23.3% 2021 UFA
Tevin Coleman Falcons $3,219,372 $804,843 $745,244 $186,311 23.1% 2019 UFA
Nyheim Hines Colts $3,184,548 $796,137 $724,548 $181,137 22.8% 2022 UFA
James Conner Steelers $3,175,288 $793,822 $706,288 $176,572 22.2% 2021 UFA
Alfred Morris 49ers $790,000 $790,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Stevan Ridley Steelers $790,000 $790,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Kenjon Barner Patriots $790,000 $790,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Mark Walton Bengals $3,145,348 $786,337 $685,348 $171,337 21.8% 2022 UFA
C.J. Prosise Seahawks $3,112,464 $778,116 $692,464 $173,116 22.2% 2020 UFA
Ito Smith Falcons $3,080,872 $770,218 $620,872 $155,218 20.2% 2022 UFA
Samaje Perine Redskins $3,059,788 $764,947 $659,788 $164,947 21.6% 2021 UFA
Kalen Ballage Dolphins $3,049,180 $762,295 $589,180 $147,295 19.3% 2022 UFA
Tarik Cohen Bears $3,033,156 $758,289 $633,156 $158,289 20.9% 2021 UFA
Kapri Bibbs Redskins $1,510,000 $755,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 RFA
Jamaal Williams Packers $2,965,992 $741,498 $565,992 $141,498 19.1% 2021 UFA
Ty Montgomery Packers $2,948,794 $737,199 $606,544 $151,636 20.6% 2019 UFA
Chase Edmonds Cardinals $2,912,356 $728,089 $452,356 $113,089 15.5% 2022 UFA
Tyler Ervin Texans $2,887,568 $721,892 $547,568 $136,892 19.0% 2020 UFA
Raheem Mostert 49ers $705,000 $705,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Wayne Gallman Giants $2,819,648 $704,912 $419,648 $104,912 14.9% 2021 UFA
Buck Allen Ravens $2,754,472 $688,618 $474,472 $118,618 17.2% 2019 UFA
Kenneth Dixon Ravens $2,723,392 $680,848 $383,392 $95,848 14.1% 2020 UFA
Jordan Wilkins Colts $2,701,240 $675,310 $241,240 $60,310 8.9% 2022 UFA
Dwayne Washington Saints $1,350,000 $675,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 UFA
John Kelly Rams $2,648,292 $662,073 $188,292 $47,073 7.1% 2022 UFA
Rod Smith Cowboys $1,320,000 $660,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Marcus Murphy Bills $1,965,000 $655,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 UFA
DeAndre Washington Raiders $2,609,196 $652,299 $269,196 $67,299 10.3% 2020 UFA
T.J. Logan Cardinals $2,601,948 $650,487 $201,948 $50,487 7.8% 2021 UFA
Aaron Jones Packers $2,601,948 $650,487 $201,948 $50,487 7.8% 2021 UFA
Trenton Cannon Jets $2,599,228 $649,807 $139,228 $34,807 5.4% 2022 UFA
Paul Perkins Giants $2,592,548 $648,137 $252,548 $63,137 9.7% 2020 UFA
Jordan Howard Bears $2,588,024 $647,006 $248,024 $62,006 9.6% 2020 UFA
Wendell Smallwood Eagles $2,584,580 $646,145 $244,580 $61,145 9.5% 2020 UFA
Elijah McGuire Jets $2,568,516 $642,129 $168,516 $42,129 6.6% 2021 UFA
Marlon Mack Colts $2,534,348 $633,587 $0 $0 0.0% 2021 UFA
Malcolm Brown Rams $630,000 $630,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Alex Collins Ravens $630,000 $630,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Peyton Barber Buccaneers $630,000 $630,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Jay Ajayi Eagles $2,500,812 $625,203 $220,812 $55,203 8.8% 2019 UFA
Christopher Carson Seahawks $2,465,140 $616,285 $65,140 $16,285 2.6% 2021 UFA
Justin Jackson Chargers $2,460,000 $615,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2022 UFA
Devontae Booker Broncos $2,453,392 $613,348 $383,392 $95,848 15.6% 2020 UFA
Cameron Artis-Payne Panthers $2,446,252 $611,563 $166,252 $41,563 6.8% 2019 UFA
Brian Hill Falcons $1,200,000 $600,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 RFA
Senorise Perry Dolphins $1,170,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
D.J. Foster Cardinals $1,170,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
David Fluellen Titans $1,170,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Daniel Lasco Saints $1,170,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Byron Marshall Redskins $1,170,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Darrel Williams Chiefs $1,725,000 $575,000 $45,000 $15,000 2.6% 2021 RFA
Phillip Lindsay Broncos $1,725,000 $575,000 $15,000 $5,000 0.9% 2021 RFA
Shaun Wilson Buccaneers $1,720,000 $573,333 $20,000 $6,667 1.2% 2021 RFA
Roc Thomas Vikings $1,720,000 $573,333 $0 $0 0.0% 2021 RFA
Buddy Howell Texans $1,717,500 $572,500 $12,500 $4,167 0.7% 2021 RFA
Mike Boone Vikings $1,717,500 $572,500 $7,500 $2,500 0.4% 2021 RFA
J.D. Moore Chiefs $1,715,000 $571,667 $5,000 $1,667 0.3% 2021 RFA
Chris Warren Raiders $1,710,000 $570,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2021 RFA
Johnny Stanton Vikings $1,710,000 $570,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2021 RFA
Justin Davis Rams $1,680,000 $560,000 $15,000 $5,000 0.9% 2020 RFA
Corey Clement Eagles $1,675,000 $558,333 $35,000 $11,667 2.1% 2020 RFA
Austin Ekeler Chargers $1,670,000 $556,667 $5,000 $1,667 0.3% 2020 RFA
Matt Breida 49ers $1,670,000 $556,667 $30,000 $10,000 1.8% 2020 RFA
Elijhaa Penny Giants $550,000 $550,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Robert Kelley Redskins $1,623,000 $541,000 $3,000 $1,000 0.2% 2019 RFA
Jalen Richard Raiders $1,620,000 $540,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Dontrell Hilliard Browns $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
Josh Adams Eagles $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
David Williams Jaguars $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
Anthony Firkser Titans $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
De’Angelo Henderson Jets $510,000 $510,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
C.J. Ham Vikings $1,470,000 $490,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Gus Edwards Ravens $480,000 $480,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Elijah Hood Panthers $480,000 $480,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
De’Lance Turner Ravens $480,000 $480,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Darius Jackson Cowboys $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Jeremy McNichols Broncos $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Reggie Bonnafon Panthers $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Taquan MIzzell Bears $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Ryan Nall Bears $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Quinton Flowers Bengals $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Brandon Wilds Cardinals $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Josh Ferguson Texans $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Jordan Chunn Cowboys $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Detrez Newsome Chargers $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Boston Scott Saints $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Robert Martin Giants $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Jonathan Williams Colts $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Mack Brown Redskins $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Jhurell Pressley Giants $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Jeff Wilson 49ers $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Dare Ogunbowale Buccaneers $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Tra Carson Packers $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Kenneth Farrow Patriots $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Matt Dayes 49ers $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Lavon Coleman Seahawks $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Dalyn Dawkins Titans $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Bo Scarbrough Jaguars $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Keith Ford Bills $129,200 $129,200 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
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1 hour ago, Intellectually Honest said:

I would let Freeman and Coleman walk. There is really no reason to pay top dollar to any RB. Even Gurley struggled with a bad Oline. In spite of the scoring, the Falcons have been terrible running the ball. The team would be better off using a low rounder to draft an RB or even getting a UDFA.

I agree. Coleman has hit his ceiling. He isn't a starter. Once an NFL player's body starts to breakdown, they don't magically get back together. Freeman's best years are probably behind him. Ito is a good start. Let's see what Hill can do, and bring in another draft pick. Signing someone will still be expensive.

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2 hours ago, caponine said:

i would like too see him use more power, that block on lavonte david showed how strong he really is. His legs and arms are bigger, he could pick up at least 5 more yards every run if he used power

Teco is entirely too strong to be the king of shoelace tackles lol its *infuriating 

Edited by Dirtybird3
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Just now, Dirtybird3 said:

Teco is entirely too strong to be the king of shoelace tackles lol its intriguing 

exactly lol i look at him every week and how big he is. There is no way people should be taking him down by first contact lol by no means am i saying is he a power back but i wanna see him use power when he has the ball in his hands. His legs are huge , which is sad like you said. Idk why he gets tripped up so much 

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14 minutes ago, Dirtybird3 said:

Teco is entirely too strong to be the king of shoelace tackles lol its intriguing 

I say this every week. Dude almost always gets tackled by 1 guy. Especially on the long runs where he gets to 2nd level only to let a guy use the angle to get him. He gets to full speed and its all speed from there. Also he is supposed to be a speed demon but he gets ran down too often. 

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1 minute ago, slick0ne said:

Remember him running hard his rookie season but he was fumbling. 

i’ve said this too, i think part of it is because he doesnt wanna fumble. you can see it. When he gets too the line, and feels like he has no chance he immediately puts 2 hands on the balls. Thats another problem right there

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