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Here's the magic: Since Trump doesn't give a **** about inequality or declining real wages it doesn't matter.

It's literally a chain email that boomers forward to each other.    https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/canadian-health-care/

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1 hour ago, GEORGIAfan said:

 

If you are not in the heat with the mainstream candidate, you might as well drop out. If you are not on stage with Bernie/Biden/Harris/etc, you do not have a chance. 

IIRC, if enough candidates qualify and they need two debates then they're going to randomize the candidates so there isn't a main group and a kid's table group. Though if it randomizes them so the top candidates are in one debate then, yeah, no one is going to give a **** about the other one.

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17 hours ago, Psychic Gibbon said:

IIRC, if enough candidates qualify and they need two debates then they're going to randomize the candidates so there isn't a main group and a kid's table group. Though if it randomizes them so the top candidates are in one debate then, yeah, no one is going to give a **** about the other one.

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1 hour ago, Psychic Gibbon said:
Top is still the same. Harris seems to be eating into Beto's support. Booker continues to wallow with the ones we know don't have a shot.
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Polling now doesn't mean much. As long as you are on the main debate stage, you are good. And your chance isn't a function of your polling in a national poll. 1st, there isn't a national primary and states don't vote on the same day. What matters now is do you have a path to winning the primary based on the map. 2nd, we are still a year away. 3rd, debates haven't even started which is what generates the biggest amount of movement. 

Black voters represent roughly 25% of the primary electorate. That is a sizable portion, but to make matters worse for the other candidates, they usually vote as a block. This makes their voice extremely important to winning the primary. And to add onto that, the states with large amounts of delegates and black voters vote early. 

Candidates like Bernie, Biden, Booker, and Harris clearly have a strong chance to win over black voters. They all have high name recognition and favorability among black voters. That is why I rate them highly in having a chance. They have a much easier and clearer path. Brown/Klobuchar/Beto/Warren need a few more things to bounce their way to have a path to win. 

 

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13 hours ago, AF89 said:

For some reason I think there's a 75% Beto is VP nominee. Nothing to back that up just a gut prediction.

It makes a lot of sense. If a female/poc candidate wins, I think there will be pressure to balance the ticket with a white male candidate. Beto helps put TX in play, can excite the youth vote and grassroots support, and is a moderate. He won't bring the governing experience that Biden brought, but I don't think there are any Biden like VP candidates. 

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