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5 hours ago, GEORGIAfan said:

Spin meet reality

DUuSpumU8AAxgVq.jpg

Yeah, the numbers look horrific for the GOP right now.  

Part of the problem for the GOP is that they're seriously over-extended.  They won a LOT of swing and/or blue districts during the Obama years.  Now that Trump is president and more unpopular than Obama, those are going to swing back to the Democrats.  And I expect Democrats to pick up a few Republican areas as well (ahem, Alabama), especially if the alt-right folks win the GOP primaries.  

This is shaping up to be a very bad year for Republicans.

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Here's the magic: Since Trump doesn't give a **** about inequality or declining real wages it doesn't matter.

It's literally a chain email that boomers forward to each other.    https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/canadian-health-care/

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https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/

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Still, midterm dynamics are in Senate Democrats’ favor when it comes to the 2018 ballot: The last Senate incumbent from the party not in control of the White House who lost a midterm general election was Max Cleland of Georgia, in 2002, when then-President George W. Bush enjoyed broad support nationally. Historical data from Gallup shows Bush had an approval rating in the low to upper 60s in the month leading up to the 2002 midterm elections, roughly twice his disapproval rating.

On the other side of the aisle, Sen. Dean Heller of Nevada — which Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton won by 2.4 points in 2016 — remains the most vulnerable Republican up for re-election. Forty-one percent of Nevadans approve of him, while 39 percent do not.

 

 

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Five Thirty Eight had a pretty good overview podcast that got published yesterday. They talk about which "track" the Trump Administration is on and they dig into 2018 midterms a little bit. 

Pretty standard fare for their podcast but if you don't already listen to it and are looking for political analysis driven primarily by data, I can't recommend it highly enough. 

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-which-version-of-trumps-presidency-is-happening/

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O’Connell will leave the party stabilized, if not yet fully recovered, after wins last year in Virginia and Alabama, and her decision to leave is a personal one, a DNC official told NBC News, timed to cause minimal disruption ahead of November's midterm elections.

Riding an electoral wave = The party is healthy now!

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3 hours ago, Psychic Gibbon said:

Riding an electoral wave = The party is healthy now!

Once dems start fighting right to work, gerrymandering, voter id laws, etc. They will be on the right path to healthy. Ideology is not the main problem with the dem party. That is actually the easiest fix for them and waves help with that. The main problem was not fighting for groups that backed them in large numbers while Republicans stripped them of their voices. 

 

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1 minute ago, GEORGIAfan said:

Once dems start fighting right to work, gerrymandering, voter id laws, etc. They will be on the right path to healthy. Ideology is not the main problem with the dem party. That is actually the easiest fix for them and waves help with that. The main problem was not fighting for groups that backed them in large numbers while Republicans stripped them of their voices. 

 

The bigotry of low expectations is their problem...might be time to change the way they think in general.  

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14 hours ago, WhenFalconsWin said:

We don't agree on many things political, but I have no problem with your responses whether they be right or wrong.  I do that with people I believe to upstanding people. 

Actually, you'd probably be surprised at what we agree on politically, but Trump, his Nazi flunkies, and the current iteration of the GOP will never win me over.  

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14 minutes ago, achilles return said:

he's running

It is gonna be funny when Iowa rolls around and he has the same support as in 2008.  Dude should be smart and just not run. Keep your numbers on top.  If you are polling in the 20s and your name recognition among the base is in the 90s, do not run. It will likely end up bad. 

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13 hours ago, GEORGIAfan said:

Once dems start fighting right to work, gerrymandering, voter id laws, etc. They will be on the right path to healthy. Ideology is not the main problem with the dem party. That is actually the easiest fix for them and waves help with that. The main problem was not fighting for groups that backed them in large numbers while Republicans stripped them of their voices. 

 

It's almost like you're suggesting Dems need to embrace progressive values and eschew the neoliberal detritus. :wiggle:

12 hours ago, Psychic Gibbon said:

Biden needs to be crushed.

WTF does patriotism have to do with fixing wealth inequality? Geezus, Biden...Neoliberals are almost as insufferable as hard-line conservatives.

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2016 MSM: Even if Trump wins ALL of the battleground states, Hilary will still win.

What changes have been made to correct the polling problems? Are they still targeting urban areas to get these skewed results?

 

If the Democrats can't pick up more seats under these circumstances, the party is in deep trouble, because they still haven't learned. The biggest mistake the Democrats made was ignoring working-class whites. Their platform right now? Amnesty for Illegal aliens.

 

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