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The picks for Sunday's game against the Seahawks have started to come in...


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10 hours ago, Falconsfan567 said:

Falcons 30

Seahawks 13

Agree.  The speed on our defense will be a huge factor in this game, that and the Seahawks Oline.  What teams are finding out if it's hard to defend the current offense the Falcons are fielding.  You truly cannot focus on one thing to stop them.  Focus on our WR's and you will get destroyed by the running backs, focus on the running backs and you get destroyed by our WR's, focus on both then there are 3 TE's who can destroy you.  As a fan I love this.  No defense can focus on all three and be successful at it.        

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31 minutes ago, anewton said:

great, keeping picking against us everyone, love it.

They keep doing that hoping we will drop a game and come back and say "see we told ya'll they were a fluke."  Funny thing is it could be the last game of the season and they would still say that while we are sitting at 14-2 and then go on to explain why we will not win in the playoffs.   

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19 minutes ago, nomak said:

They keep doing that hoping we will drop a game and come back and say "see we told ya'll they were a fluke."  Funny thing is it could be the last game of the season and they would still say that while we are sitting at 14-2 and then go on to explain why we will not win in the playoffs.   

Don't you know it. 

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14 hours ago, andyh64000 said:

Wow...he hates the Seahawks...I guess he hates the Falcons even more. I wouldn't get too worked up from national picks. The safe pick is Seattle and every objective simulation is going to point to a Seahawk win. It is the toughest road venue in the NFL and the Seattle has been consistently a top tier team. As a Seahawks fan I think we win this game 7 out of 10 times which I think I about as objective as you can hope for a home (the vegas spread is about 67/33). 

Wanted to point this out to you:

Falcons led OAK by 14 4 minutes left in 4th quarter
Falcons led NO by 20  10 minutes left in the 4th quarter
Falcons led CAR by 24 early in the 4th quarter, then by 14 late in the 4th quarter
Falcons led DEN by 17 7 minutes left in the 4th quarter

Lots of garbage time stats to obscure that the Falcons D has played well. When we say there's been a lot of scoring by the other teams after the falcons go into a prevent, we mean it.

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9 minutes ago, falconidae said:

Wanted to point this out to you:

Falcons led OAK by 14 4 minutes left in 4th quarter
Falcons led NO by 20  10 minutes left in the 4th quarter
Falcons led CAR by 24 early in the 4th quarter, then by 14 late in the 4th quarter
Falcons led DEN by 17 7 minutes left in the 4th quarter

Lots of garbage time stats to obscure that the Falcons D has played well. When we say there's been a lot of scoring by the other teams after the falcons go into a prevent, we mean it.

Seattle has given up a lot of garbage points as well (the 49ers scored two late 4Q garbage TDs and the Jets scored on a 60 yard fumble advance which looked like an incomplete pass and everyone had stopped with 2 mins left). That is where all the RB receiving numbers have come from as well. And my post wasn't knocking your team it was just pointing out that any objective "expert" is going to pick the Seahawks at home unless they want to make contrarian pick (or just simply hates the Seahawks like Merrill Hoge) so don't get too worked up about it. The game is on Sunday and none of the "experts" are going to play. 

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Just now, andyh64000 said:

Seattle has given up a lot of garbage points as well (the 49ers scored two late 4Q garbage TDs and the Jets scored on a 60 yard fumble advance with 2 mins left). That is where all the RB receiving numbers have come from as well. And my post wasn't knocking your team it was just pointing out that any objective "expert" is going to pick the Seahawks at home unless they want to make contrarian pick (or just simply hates the Seahawks like Merrill Hoge) so don't get too worked up about it. The game is on Sunday and none of the "experts" are going to play. 

You're good, just pointing out that in case you hadn't seen it.

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What our team has done this year so far is very impressive.  Even if we were to lose at Seattle, ever since the schedules came out all of the experts pointed out that we had the hardest schedule in the league. We're 4-1 playing that hardest schedule in the league.  We've whooped the Superbowl champions in their house and their only loss is to the Falcons.  We whooped the defending NFC champions at home.  We whooped Oakland in their house and their only loss also is to the Falcons.  We whooped the Saint,and voodoo, in their house.  So, if we somehow lost to the Seahawks rested up coming off a bye, I'd still be very impressed with what this team is doing and so should the so called experts.

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https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/2016-nfl-week-6-line-moves-that-matter/?utm_content=buffer7dbac&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

 

 

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (Sunday at 4:25 PM eastern)

In a potential preview of the NFC Championship, the Seattle Seahawks (3-1) will host the upstart Atlanta Falcons (4-1). One of the more intriguing storylines involves whether Pro Bowl cornerback Richard Sherman will shadow Julio Jones, who currently ranks third in the NFL in receiving yards (517) and second in yards per catch (21.5). Either way, this should be one of the weekend’s most exciting games.

The Seahawks opened as 6-point favorites at Pinnacle, but they have only received 27% of spread tickets. Despite this limited public support, Seattle has moved from -6 to -6.5. This can easily be explained by our money percentages, which indicate the ‘Hawks are receiving 71% of total dollars wagered.

Reverse line movement refers to betting line movement that contradicts the public betting percentages, and it’s an excellent indicator of sharp money. The Seahawks have moved from -6 to -6.5 despite receiving just 27% of tickets which indicates that large wagers placed by wise guys or betting syndicates have come in on Seattle. This is confirmed by our newly added money percentages. Both ticket percentages and money percentages provide useful information, but they’re far more valuable when used in conjunction with each other.

The Falcons have defeated both Super Bowl teams (Carolina and Denver) in consecutive weeks, so casual bettors are more than happy to take them plus the points. This appears to be the perfect example of “Pros vs. Joes,” with Pros taking Seattle and Joes taking Atlanta. It’s also important to realize the preseason lookahead line was Seattle -10, so oddsmakers have already adjusted the spread 3.5-points based on Atlanta’s early performance.

It’s also intriguing to see that two of the most “square” books we monitor (Sports Interaction and Sportsbook.com) have tracked more than 75% of public bets on Atlanta, while public betting has been more evenly split at the sharper books (5Dimes and BetDSI).

atl-sea

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