Jump to content

2016 House and Senate elections...


Recommended Posts

Since so much focus is on the presidential election - and because that thread is 300+ pages long - we need a thread for the congressional elections this year.

I just read this article on The Monkey Cage (a WashPost blog run by political scientists) about how the GOP gerrymander could backfire on them this year:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/08/10/the-republicans-big-gerrymander-could-backfire-in-a-major-way/

Basically, Republicans now control most of the marginal districts in the House, and these are the seats most likely to swing Democratic during an election year.  This could be even more true if Trump remains deeply unpopular and loses by a large margin to Clinton.

Doesn't make it *likely* that Democrats pick up the House, but it does make it more likely than during past years.

As for the Senate, here's the latest polling for those races:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-senate-races

While the map itself suggests that Democrats should easily take the majority, it's interesting that the polls in states most likely to be picked up by Democrats have Republicans ahead or evenly tied at this point.  That's something that could also quickly change in the Democrats' favor as we get closer to the election, but for now it doesn't look like a clean sweep of those GOP seats in Democratic states...yet.

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 89
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

The dems should hope for GOP victories because when thy controlled everything in Obama's first two years they did nothing except the (ACA), when they could've passed immigration reform, their own budgets, and every social issue you can think of.  They should thank the GOP for giving him/them most of what he wanted.  

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, WhenFalconsWin said:

Corrupt parties always raise more money than the less corrupt party.  

 

This is implying that the Republican Party is more corrupt than the Democratic Party, since they always raise more money than the dems. This has been the only cycle recently where that was not true and it has only been not true since Trump was the nominee. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, GEORGIAfan said:

 

This is implying that the Republican Party is more corrupt than the Democratic Party, since they always raise more money than the dems. This has been the only cycle recently where that was not true and it has only been not true since Trump was the nominee. 

Corruptness can change in any election cycles.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...