#84 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 (edited) Constructive Criticism wanted I went by Sportrac and gut for numbers, so please feel free to tell me I'm wrong and offer alternative solutions. Baseline Salary-Cap: 28,580,995 Provided by Sportrac Other Cuts: Devin Hester 3,000,000: Lost some of his speed/older/injuries/Not likely to be an asset going forward Matt Bryant 2,516,666: Too expensive for a kicker especially on a team that is likely another year away from competing/a great falcon but it may be time to move on Tyson Jackson 1,550,000: Too many younger and better run stuffers on our D-line this year to keep him around/Solid player just not worth the cap hit Eric Weems 935,000: To me the saddest cut of the off-season he is maybe my second favorite falcon behind Roddy but he is at best our 7th best receiving option behind all our WRs/Tamme/Both our RBs, he is not a great returner anymore/Stupar has kind of become our STs Ace and we have a lot of youth to help out in kick coverage as well. I’m just not really sure what value he adds going forward. This one was hard for me to write to be perfectly honest with you Restructure: Roddy White-Only save 2.3 mil via a cut and Roddy may take at least a 1.5 mil pay cut to stay where he loves. I believe that makes more sense especially after watching Steve Smith and Larry Fitzgerald flourish as older receivers who have switched to working more in the slot. Cap Space 36,395,161+1.5mil 37,895,161 Draft Pick Salaries Projected from last season:-Will be slightly modified by comp picks but should be a fairly accurate guess for Cap Hit- Numbers reflected are in base 1 mil of cap cost if you need that clarified and are used to reflect sportrac’s currently listed cap commitments for draft picks Pick 17: Arik Armstead: 1.7/2.2/2.6/3.1 Roughly Pick 49: Mitch Morse: .8/1.06/1.2/1.4 Pick 81: John Miller .6/.72/.81/.91 Pick 113: .5/.65/.74/.83 Pick 209: .05/.52/.61/RFA Tender Roughly 3.65 Million in Rookie Contracts Leaving 34,245,161 Available to Utilize for Free Agency Notable Needs: 1. MLB 2. C 3. Second Pass Rusher 4. SS 5. OLB 6. 2nd WR 7. K 8. KR/PR 9. 2nd TE 10. 3rd/4th CB to pair with our young guys 11. Back-up QB Our Teams Notable Free Agents: UFA- (vet minimum salaries pulled from sportrac) OG Chris Chester: 1 yr 2.5 mil I believe he will take a small pay cut this year as he knows he is on the wrong side of 30 and his value has dropped significantly from being a part of a questionable interior line last season. Though he played okay he certainly did not wow anyone enough to get a big pay day. Also staying in the ZBS will probably be appealing as learning new systems each year becomes more and more of a hassle as a veteran player approaches retirement. I think he will enjoy the staying still in the off-season. DE Adrian Clayborn: 2 yr-9.5 mil contract 5/4.5 in order to acquire more cap the next season. Clayborn proved to be a good option as a situational pass rusher and adds value as the 3rd or 4th guy to chase the QB. As the Broncos proved the more rushers you have the better the whole defense becomes. DE Kroy Biermann: Casualty of the fact that our team is improving was a hard-worker and a good falcon he may actually be missed. Just not by the message board OT Jake Long: Failed Experiment Injury Prone time to let him walk OT Bryce Harris: 1 yr vet minimum salary of 540,000-Need more offensive line depth with experience in our system so he holds on for another year due to being cheaper than Long. OLB: Phillip Wheeler: 1 yr vet minimum salary of 540,000 for his experience/depth/natural ability to flow with the play and some potential special teams value OLB: O’Brien Schofield: 2 yr 2.9 mil 1.7/1.2 Experience in the system and ability to get after the QB as a 3rd or 4th option also based on last year’s salary we can expect he will play for relatively cheap. He just is not consistent enough to demand starter money anywhere SS: Charles Godfrey: 2 yr vet minimum salary of 600,000 for experience in what will be a very young secondary including a set of safeties that next year will be led in experience by Kehmal Ishmael if Godfrey does not return K Shayne Graham: 1 yr salary of 1.2 mil do to his consistency after the Bryant injury will look to go younger at this position in the future but there is just too many other holes on this team to focus on Kicker this year RFA- ILB-Paul Worrilow: 2,356,000 2nd Round Tender-Good back-up strong skills/potential on special teams, but I just don’t see anyone giving up there 2nd rounder for Paul which benefits our team’s depth. OLB-Nate Stupar: 1,542,000 original Round Tender-Special Teams Ace with some skills as a LBer but not spectacular enough for a team to give up a draft pick even a 7th rounder. Teams just don’t give up draft picks for RFAs unless it’s someone truly fantastic. OT-Ryan Schraeder: 2,356,000 2nd Round Tender-Not well enough known outside our team for anyone to try and grab up. Even if they do this is a contract we would obviously match unless something crazy happens. ERFA- FS-Ricardo Allen: 1 yr minimum tender of 525,000 an absolute steal of a price for a starting caliber safety when he becomes an RFA the next year it may actually cost less to just re-sign him in season 17,626,161 in remaining Salary after draft compensation and re-signings UFA Targets: -Total Contracts and Proposed Yearly Break-downs Highlighted HOU OC Ben Jones: 4 yr 12,000,000-2.5/3/3/3.5 (Reflects a nearly doubled salary from his time with the Texans) A player I believe can be had for relatively cheap, and a ZBS specialist who has been phenomenal at line calls over the years. In a worst case scenario he can snap the ball which makes him an immediate upgrade to what we had. DEN MLB Danny Trevathan: 4 yr 34,000,000- 7.5/9/9/8.5 (Contract reflects that the upper echelon of ILBers is hitting at right around 9-11 mil a year average) However He is not going to get that as good as Trevathan is we have to remember he was the second ILB behind Marshall, and I think the contract he gets this off-season will reflect that many people around the league believe his production will dip when he is pulled away from Miller,Ware, and Marhsall. Which should benefit us in signing a top young Lber PIT CB Brandon Boykin: 3 yr 10,000,000-3.5/3.5/3 (Reflects Saints overpaying for Bradon Browner reduced due to Boykin having always been a NB and never a starter)-This could be seen as a luxury signing but it covers up if Collins fails to improve, and also fills the void created at KR. I believe he could become a useful piece on defense and a big contributor on special teams. A player I believe will be a value pick-up for someone this off-season NYG WR Reuben Randle: 3 yr-11,250,000-3.3/3.4/4.4 (reflects the contract Harry Douglas got last season/comparable perceived value IMO) Gonna Break it down a little different though over the period. I changed that up because I am not a fan of back loading contracts the last thing we need is to be the new NO Saints and be in cap ****. I also think Randle will be in this pay bracket as he is so overshadowed by the other receivers people will want. He has been overlooked this off-season because guys like Malcom Floyd/Harvin/Kearse are all available and he could be a steal as a result. A young up and coming receiver we can pair with Julio going forward. SD TE Ladarius Green: 2 yr. 2,800,000 mil-1.4/1.4-I really liked Green out of college and he has potential as a receiving TE. The biggest benefits he comes with are his youth being only 25 years old, rarely misses a game playing in 47 in 4 years as a reserve player who barely made his team as a rookie, and having a relatively low cost because he was overshadowed playing behind Antonio Gates. He will cost next to nothing and will be similar to Adrian Clayborn last year if the experiment bombs we are not out anything and can make TE a priority next off-season. If he pans out we have a solid young TE to work with going forward. Had his best pro season this year having 4 TD receptions as a number 2 TE. If you do all the math this leaves us with .6 mil dollars under the cap and would put us right on the bubble but remember we are due to alleviate almost 10 million in dead cap next year as well as having a whole list of 1 year deals, and several very cuttable contracts, so our cap situation is not as dire as it would appear Notable Needs: Yellow-Issue Addressed/Blue-Issue could be further addressed 1. MLB 2. C 3. Second Pass Rusher 4. SS 5. OLB 6. 2nd WR 7. K 8. KR/PR 9. 2nd TE 10. 3rd/4th CB to pair with our young guys 11. Back-up QB Draft Needs: 1. Pass rushers 2. SS 3. OLB 4. K 5. Back-up QB Draft Pick Rankings from cbssports: Round 1-DT/DE Robert Nkemdiche/Ole Miss CBSSports number 18 overall player: Elite Pass Rusher can play inside and out and will take double teams away from Vic Beasley Jr. (maybe a stretch that this athletic freak could ever fall to us) Alternative-DE Kevin Dodd/Clemson Round 2-SS Jeremy Cash/Duke CBSSports number 54 overall player: For my money the best safety in this class the kid just does not make a lot of mistakes in coverage and can lay some wood when necessary. Very NFL ready. Alternative-SS Miles Killebrew/Southern Utah Round 3-OLB Jordan Jenkins/UGA CBSSports number 94 overall player: A solid guy who won’t wow anyone but should be an improvement on our current core. A guy a lot of draft nuts are saying will be a better pro than college player. Alternative-ILB/OLB Scooby Wright III/Arizona Round 4-OLB/DE Eric Striker/Oklahoma CBSSports number 121 Overall Player: Not sure of a position but too big a play maker to pass on at this point. Line him up and let him loose. Just watch tape of any Oklahoma game and you will see how valuable this guy can be. Alternative-DT Javon Hargrave/South Carolina ST Round 7-QB Brandon Allen/Arkansas CBSSports number 237 Overall Player: It is never a bad thing to have competition and Renfree has yet to have any serious competition to this point. Allen was a slow starter in college but if you watch his Junior and Senior seasons you get a taste of what he is capable of. He has the look and all the skill and could develop into a reliable back-up with the proper coaching. Alternative-QB Jeff Driskel/Louisiana Tech Priority UDFAs: QB/WR-Trevone Boykin-TCU: Has two ways of making this team a unique athlete but will probably need grooming good PS candidate WR-MarQuez North-Tenn: Young receiver with a big frame 6’4” 216 and some speed problems in the mental department, but another guy with elite tools who just needs some coaching RB-Keenan Reynolds-Navy: Guy Scores TDs is there anything else necessary to say the guy can score RB-Brandon Wilds-SC: Bigger back something we don’t really have at the moment DE-Jimmy Bean-OKST: Hard to judge because you would expect more from the guy who played across from Ogbah but he has flashed in games and could be valuable down the road LB-Jake Ganus-UGA: Solid fundamental tackler/Leader by nature kind of a Worrilow Clone and I believe that is a good thing DB-Brian Poole-UF: A solid corner who never got his due because of all the great talent around him, but he is a serious talent and it’s hard to imagine CBS rating him so low K-Ross Martin-Duke: 84% of FGs hit in college and he only missed one XP in 4 years and that was as a freshman. Not Aguayo by any means but solid enough to take a look at especially as a UDFA Projected Roster: Contested Spots in Red/Longshots in Green/FAs highlighted Offense: QB: Ryan/Renfree/Allen/T. Boykin RB: Freeman/Coleman/Ward/Mooney/Wilds/Reynolds FB: Dimarco WR: Julio/Reuben Randle/White/Hardy/Williams/T. Boykin/North TE: Tamme/Ladarius Green/Toilolo LT: Matthews/Harris LG: Levitre/Person OC: Ben Jones/Stone RG: Chester/Person RT: Schraeder/Harris Defense: Run Downs Defensive Line LEO: Vic Beasley Jr. DT: Jarrett NT: Soliai DE: Nkemdiche Pass Downs LEO: Striker DT: Nkemdiche NT: Hageman DE: Beasley General Rotations: LEO: Beasley/Schofield/Striker DT: Nkemdiche/Hageman/Babineaux NT: Soliai/Jarrett/Mbu DE: Beasley/Goodman/Bean WLB: Jenkins/Striker MLB: Trevathan/Worrilow/Ganus SLB: Reed/Stupar/Striker LCB: Trufant/B. Boykin/Poole FS: Allen/Therezie SS: Cash/Ishmael/Godfrey RCB: Alford/Collins Special Teams: K: Graham/Martin P: Bosher LS: Harris H: Bosher KR: B. Boykin PR: B. Boykin This gives us the option to carry 3 QBs, 4 RBs, 7 Wrs, or even 3 MLBs depending on who performs in camp as a quick rundown shows I only have 51 slots locked up and there are several opportunities for those young UDFAs to make the roster if they perform well. In my opinion this mock-offseason gives us a chance to not only plug every notable hole on our roster, but it de ages our team quite a bit and gives us an opportunity to add cheap pieces that can be moved on from if they do not pan out in our system. Edited February 9, 2016 by #84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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