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Cbs Sports " Agent's Take: Forecasting Wr Market For Dez, Demaryius, Julio And A.j."


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Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons

Jones could be the first to get a new deal since signing him to an extension is a top priority for the Falcons now that the draft is over. The two-time Pro Bowler seemed to ease concerns about the broken right foot that limited him to five games in 2013 being an ongoing issue with a career year in 2014. Jones was third in the league in receptions (104) and receiving yards (1,593). His 88.4 receiving yards per game is the best in NFL history.

Jones is scheduled to play the 2015 season under his fully-guaranteed $10.176 million option year salary. He's virtually a lock to receive a franchise tag in 2016 if he doesn't get a new deal. The wide receiver franchise tag number will be approximately $14 million in 2016 with a $150 million salary cap, which is less than a five percent increase over this year's $143.28 million salary cap.

A second franchise tag in 2017 should be around $16.8 million, a 20 percent increase over Jones' 2016 franchise number under these conservative cap projections. The average of franchising Jones twice could be used as justification for a long-term deal in the $15 million per year neighborhood with over $40 million in guarantees. Jones would make a little under $41 million through 2017 with the year-to-year approach.

Full article: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/25189843/agents-take-forecasting-wr-market-for-dez-demaryius-julio-and-aj

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And some how the national media glosses over our achievements as a team. Yeah we sucked the last two years, but the amazing lack of respect is wearing thin. I hope we go into the season feisty, and with a massive chip on our shoulder. Its time for ua to unleash the hounds and get medieval on the NFL.

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I wanna lock Julio up long term but $15M is a bit pricey IMO. I think $12M is what he'll get but if it's more so be it, get it done early before the other WR get signed

12 Mil will only be 2 mil more than Cobb got who took a discount to stay in GB. Julio will definetly get something around 15 which is only a 5 Mil raise from what he's making this year.

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Mike Wallace's contract was for $12m per. And Mike Wallace is a significantly more limited player than Julio Jones is.

Julio is a rare commodity in this league. You're talking about a guy who is one of about 6. You don't NEED the type of player he is to succeed (you can do well with an Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham, etc) but you'd rather have the Julio type.

$15m is costly, but it won't ACTUALLY be $15m for the first few years. And by the time you get to the bigger cap hits, the cap will have increased a good deal.

He's an obvious must-keep. No question about it.

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The cost of Julio's pending contract is relative....

The only question is whether signing him will keep us from holding on to good talent.

The ONLY high price talent we have in our roster that we need to plan for is Trufant...and MAAAAAAYYYBEEE Shede and that's 3 years down the road....

Factor in Roddy and Willie Mo coming off the books and we have plenty of room to resign the Hawleys and Worrilows of the world if we see fit, or throw money around for upgrades.

Julio's salary is a non-story

Edited by Five_Fifs
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I'd rather Julio sign first to "set the market" for this group, we'd likely get him cheaper then the other teams will pay their WR's. Regardless, I expect Julio to get signed shortly here !

Yeah I agree. Lesser of multiple evils. You know their agents are thinking that too. They don't want their guy to be the one to sign first.

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Idae?

Still not a link saying that Jones or his agent wants megatron money. All this is saying is what the franchise numbers would be, not what his actual contract would be.

It's your opinion that Jones is asking for megaton money, you still haven't provided any proof of that.

It's my opinion that he comes in less than that-12-14 mil

edited: here's a quote from that article:

Surpassing Johnson's $16.207 million average per year probably isn't obtainable but each of the four wide receivers is justified in insisting on a deal that's more than Wallace's.

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The cost of Julio's pending contract is relative....

The only question is whether signing him will keep us from holding on to good talent.

The ONLY high price talent we have in our roster that we need to plan for is Trufant...and MAAAAAAYYYBEEE Shede and that's 3 years down the road....

Factor in Roddy and Willie Mo coming off the books and we have plenty of room to resign the Hawleys and Worrilows of the world if we see fit, or throw money around for upgrades.

Julio's salary is a non-story

Yup, if we draft as well as it looks like we did last and this year, then it won't be a problem.

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Give him a 7 year, 120M contract which has 22M and 20M base salaries in the last 2 years, effectively making it a 5 year, 78M contract with most of it (~55M) guaranteed (similar to Johnson). That way he has a shot at another contract and signing bonus in 6 years if he's still productive.

Julio and his agent need to recognize that he can easily play for 26-27M over the next 2 years as a tagged player, while running the risk of getting injured and losing out on a big contract; and for a player with the injury history of Julio that's a very very high risk. Signing a contract that is effectively 5 years and 78M, is in essence an extension of 3 years for 52M on top of playing two years under the franchise tag, which isn't a bad deal at all, but it's money that he gets now, and therefore is risk-free.

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Isn't that more than Aaron Rodgers made? That's elite QB money! That contract + Matt Ryan's would cripple the team. We already know that Ryan and Julio can't win games on their own (see last season).

Offer him $12-13 mill per year. If he doesn't take it franchise him.

Couple of things. Rodgers will make much more than that his next contract and, no it won't cripple the team. Franchising Jones for 2 years would put a dent in the salary cap, but signing him to new contract won't.

Jones won't see the outrageous salaries for 3-4 years, by that time, cap will have gone up enough to cover it.

My preference would be to sign him to a new deal, pay him large salaries the next 2 years and keep the cap hits down in the latter years.

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Isn't that more than Aaron Rodgers made? That's elite QB money! That contract + Matt Ryan's would cripple the team. We already know that Ryan and Julio can't win games on their own (see last season).

Offer him $12-13 mill per year. If he doesn't take it franchise him.

Rodgers' deal is in the past. An elite QB is 20+ million now, so 16M for an elite WR seems about right.

We can force Julio to play under the tag, but players hate that, and I don't think it's a good idea to make your best player discontent. 16M (and what I suggested is 15.6) is fair value if we can make it friendly to the cap.

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Isn't that more than Aaron Rodgers made? That's elite QB money! That contract + Matt Ryan's would cripple the team. We already know that Ryan and Julio can't win games on their own (see last season).

Offer him $12-13 mill per year. If he doesn't take it franchise him.

Aaron Rodgers made that when the salary cap was 130 mil, not 150 mil++

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Isn't that more than Aaron Rodgers made? That's elite QB money! That contract + Matt Ryan's would cripple the team. We already know that Ryan and Julio can't win games on their own (see last season).

Offer him $12-13 mill per year. If he doesn't take it franchise him.

No, it's not more than Aaron Rodgers made. Nor is it elite QB money. He's talking about the functional value of the contract vs. it's "list price." If you get Julio for 5 years at 78m, you're paying a little over 15 per. That's fine.

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