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A Look Into Byron Maxwell Vs Julio Jones Matchup Week 1

Rwhite84

By Rwhite84
in Talk About the Falcons

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  1. 1. How do the actual numbers compare to the theoretical ones?

    • Julio easily beats them
      73
    • Julio slightly beats them
      7
    • Julio matches or slightly underwhelms them
      2
    • It's ugly, he does much worse.
      0

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Rwhite84 Newbie

Rwhite84

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1381256347000-USP-NFL-St-Louis-Rams-at-A



I think this is a matchup that favors us greatly, but I still thought it would be fun to look into. Not sure if this sort of stuff interests you guys, but if it does I could do Cooper Trufant as well.



Jones vs Maxwell



Measurables



Julio has 3 inches of height on Maxwell, and his arms are a quarter inch longer. Julio standing has 3 and a half inches reach on Maxwell, Julio also got 5.5 inches higher on the vertical than Maxwell, which means he can grab the ball 9 inches above Maxwell, essentially if they both jump for a ball Maxwell's finger tips would be around the top of Julio's wrist, meaning there is fade possibilities. Julio ran the 40 0.07 faster than Maxwell, his broad jump was also 11 inches better than Maxwell's. Unfortunately maxwell did not do the shuttle or the 3 cone so it'd be difficult to compare agility measurables. Also worth noting Julio weighs about 13 pounds more than Maxwell.


Bottom Line - Julio has a healthy reach advantage on top of being faster and all around more athletic, he has an easier time getting to the ball, and has the ability to go 9 inches above Maxwell to reach for a jumper.



2014 On field production



Julio is the all time leader in yards per game, which I love to brag about, in 2014 he averaged 106.2 yards per game, Maxwell wasn't too shabby himself, he allowed 48.5 yards per game, if you add the two then divide by two you get 77.35 yards. Maxwell allowed 3.9 receptions per game, Julio averaged 6.9 per game, which adds up to to 5.4 receptions. Julio averaged 0.4 touchdowns per game, Maxwell allowed 0.07, adds up to 0.24. Julio caught 66.7% of the passes thrown his way, Maxwell allowed 64.7, adds up to 65.7%. Also Maxwell averaged 0.21 interceptions per game, Ryan averaged 0.27 targeting Julio, adds up to 0.24. So theoretically if the two lined up across each other all game last year Ryan would've went 5.4 of 8.2 for 77.35 yards, 0.24 touchdowns, and 0.24 interceptions. What do you think? I think Julio could easily top that number. Maxwell missed 0.36 tackles per game in 2014, Julio forced 1.07 per game, so Julio theoretically would force 0.72 tackles, we all know how dangerous Julio can be if he forces even one.



FalconsTD_original.gif?1379266895



Pro football focus.



Not all of you are a fan of their system, if you're a hater you don't need to read this part. Julio finished #53 on their top 101 list of 2014, Maxwell did not make the list. Maxwell had a -1.9 coverage grade, Julio had a +14.8 pass grade, 0.0 is the average, so there's a big difference there. Julio's number placed him 7th out of 78 receivers, Maxwell's put him 40th among 70 corners. Maxwell graded -1.1 vs the run, which put him 51st out of 70 corners, Julio graded +1.4 as a blocker which put him 22nd out of 78, so according to their system Julio has a big edge in both run blocking and pass catching situations.


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Rwhite84 Newbie

Rwhite84

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Julio is putting up over 100 yards and a TD.

I agree, one thing heavily in our favor is that no one knows Maxwell's weaknesses better than Dan Quinn, and there's no one better to expose them than a receiver who's huge, strong, technically sound, and runs like the wind blows.

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Rwhite84 Newbie

Rwhite84

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Lot of the passing offense in Shanny's system will run through Julio. Depending on quickly our line adapts I wouldn't be surprised if julio went for 150+ and 2 TDs, though IMO he's capable of putting up that stat line any week

True, I think if Julio becomes more consistent he could make a serious attempt at Calvin's other record, when he's on top of his game no amount of special attention can slow him down(as the Packers are now well aware of).

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Rwhite84 Newbie

Rwhite84

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Yeah, Julio is a matchup nightmare, if Maxwell can't get in JJ's head and be absurdly physical he's going to be abused. His strength is being physical but Julio is a freak.

Hard to say though. Last time Megatron faced off against Seattle's corners he just had 3 catches for 46 yards. All depends on how NO's defense plays.

True, Maxwell did 24 bench reps and Julio did 17, so he may have a slight strength advantage, still you need to be incredibly wary jamming a guy with Julio's speed and explosion. I don't know how equipped the Eagles are to back Byron up, there should be pains going from Earl Thomas to Malcolm Jenkins, not that he's any slouch.

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Rwhite84 Newbie

Rwhite84

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All i can say is sooooooooooo glad julio is a falcon Now , TD lock him up for years to come. Folks we are blessed to have julio as our WR for the future. TOUCHDOWN ATLANTA as wes durham would say!!!!!!!!

Yep, if need be write him a blank check.

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Atlfanstckndenver Newbie

Atlfanstckndenver

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1381256347000-USP-NFL-St-Louis-Rams-at-A

I think this is a matchup that favors us greatly, but I still thought it would be fun to look into. Not sure if this sort of stuff interests you guys, but if it does I could do Cooper Trufant as well.

Jones vs Maxwell

Measurables

Julio has 3 inches of height on Maxwell, his arms are a quarter inch longer, his hands are also a quarter inch longer. Julio standing has 3 and a half inches reach on Maxwell, Julio also got 5.5 inches higher on the vertical than Maxwell, which means he can grab the ball 9 inches above Maxwell, essentially if they both jump for a ball Maxwell's finger tips would be around the top of Julio's wrist, meaning there is fade possibilities. Julio ran the 40 0.07 faster than Maxwell, his broad jump was also 11 inches better than Maxwell's. Unfortunately maxwell did not do the shuttle or the 3 cone so it'd be difficult to compare agility measurables. Also worth noting Julio weighs about 13 pounds more than Maxwell.

Bottom Line - Julio has a healthy reach advantage on top of being faster and all around more athletic, he has an easier time getting to the ball, and has the ability to go 9 inches above Maxwell to reach for a jumper.

2014 On field production

Julio is the all time leader in yards per game, which I love to brag about, in 2014 he averaged 106.2 yards per game, Maxwell wasn't too shabby himself, he allowed 48.5 yards per game, if you add the two then divide by two you get 77.35 yards. Maxwell allowed 3.9 receptions per game, Julio averaged 6.9 per game, which adds up to to 5.4 receptions. Julio averaged 0.4 touchdowns per game, Maxwell allowed 0.07, adds up to 0.24. Julio caught 66.7% of the passes thrown his way, Maxwell allowed 64.7, adds up to 65.7%. Also Maxwell averaged 0.21 interceptions per game, Ryan averaged 0.27 targeting Julio, adds up to 0.24. So theoretically if the two lined up across each other all game last year Ryan would've went 5.4 of 8.2 for 77.35 yards, 0.24 touchdowns, and 0.24 interceptions. What do you think? I think Julio could easily top that number. Maxwell missed 0.36 tackles per game in 2014, Julio forced 1.07 per game, so Julio theoretically would force 0.72 tackles, we all know how dangerous Julio can be if he forces even one.

FalconsTD_original.gif?1379266895

Pro football focus.

Not all of you are a fan of their system, if you're a hater you don't need to read this part. Julio finished #53 on their top 101 list of 2014, Maxwell did not make the list. Maxwell had a -1.9 coverage grade, Julio had a +14.8 pass grade, 0.0 is the average, so there's a big difference there. Julio's number placed him 7th out of 78 receivers, Maxwell's put him 40th among 70 corners. Maxwell graded -1.1 vs the run, which put him 51st out of 70 corners, Julio graded +1.4 as a blocker which put him 22nd out of 78th, so according to their system Julio has a big edge in both run blocking and pass catching.

Love it, I'll take anything else you got.
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Rwhite84 Newbie

Rwhite84

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Only 3 teams I could imagine telling their #1 corner to go out and lock up Julio one on one. It'll be a team effort keeping Julio contained week 1

Jets Cardinals and Colts? That's very true, I'm expecting a big game from Roddy, with all the attention on Julio, and Boykin on Hankerson, that leaves Roddy vs Nolan Carroll as a matchup to watch.

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Wjcorner Proficient

Wjcorner

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Jets Cardinals and Colts? That's very true, I'm expecting a big game from Roddy, with all the attention on Julio, and Boykin on Hankerson, that leaves Roddy vs Nolan Carroll as a matchup to watch.

Jets, Cardinals(see how that worked out though), and Browns.

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Falcanuck Rising Star

Falcanuck

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True, Maxwell did 24 bench reps and Julio did 17, so he may have a slight strength advantage, still you need to be incredibly wary jamming a guy with Julio's speed and explosion. I don't know how equipped the Eagles are to back Byron up, there should be pains going from Earl Thomas to Malcolm Jenkins, not that he's any slouch.

I really enjoy the breakdown, but you kinda lost me here. I am a known hater of the combine so it comes as no suprise that I think the bench has nothing to do with football strength. Especially since it is measured in reps and not single rep max. Anywho, great OP.

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