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We Overemphasize Importance Of Rnd 1


Halsey.
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Yes, the first round is important, but good teams are about so much more than just getting good players in the first round. Just look at the Seahawks and Patriots. Not only do they hit on other picks and UDFAs, but they don't always make great decisions with early picks. I feel like a big reason that we fans like to spend so much time arguing over the 1st round is because it's the only round we really feel like we have any kind of grasp on. It doesn't really matter much who the Falcons get in round 1 if they turn around and blow the rest of the Draft.

<Steps off soapbox>

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1st round is crucial. Especially when picking in top 10.

I feel like arguments can be made that it's not as important as we make it out to be at times.

For example, The Patriots just won a Super Bowl with Jerod Mayo on the IR.

Seahawks blew a pick on Aaron Curry not too long ago.

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The Seahawks and Patriots don't spend top 10 picks on RBs. I know that for a fact.

Would they take a RB at #8 if they were confident he was going to be special? I think its possible. We've seen the Patriots spend top 100 picks on RBs numerous times, including a first rounder. We know the Seahawks value a special RB.

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It's not the end all be all of the draft, but I don't think people are overrating it. A top 10 pick is big, and has a much higher chance of becoming a great player than anyone else we'll draft. It's hard to be a good team, especially over a long period of time, if you miss on 1'st round picks a lot. If you happen to miss on 5'th round picks more than normal... not as big of a deal.

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I don't think so. Who are the top 3 players on our team? Where did we get them and where would we be without them?

The other rounds are extremely important, but the first trumps all and especially so when its a lotto pick.

Fair point about the best players, but it seems like a big part of the Falcons weakness the past two years was roster depth.

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1st round, particularly early first round draft pick is worth close to the rest of your draft combined in expected value.

Most of the good teams (not all, but most) excel by nearly never missing on their first round picks (Ravens are a great example of this).

But, all that said, you really have to get adequate players in the 2nd and 3rd, and the occasional sleeper later to get to the next level.

If you don't get some Peters, Biermann, Hawley, Douglas, Babineaux types in your 2nd and 3rds and 4ths, you're going to develop far too many holes.

You need your 2nd and 3rds to be most of the time legitimate useful starters for your team.

You need your 1sts to be consistent starters capable of a probowl in their best years (which pretty much every 1st round pick of this regime has been, disregarding injuries). They're not all gonna be JJ Watt, but you hope they're mostly at least Babs level...very good/bordering probowl sometimes.

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no its valued right because you expect production out of your 1st round pick and an impact right away

Ryan,Jones,Spoon,Trufant,White,Mathews

without 2 or three of them this team would be considered one of the worst teams in football

i actually think early in the draft they'll go get that guy if he's close but later in the draft 3rd and on they tend to reach to fill needs and thats why they rarely find any gems

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Yes, the first round is important, but good teams are about so much more than just getting good players in the first round. Just look at the Seahawks and Patriots. Not only do they hit on other picks and UDFAs, but they don't always make great decisions with early picks. I feel like a big reason that we fans like to spend so much time arguing over the 1st round is because it's the only round we really feel like we have any kind of grasp on. It doesn't really matter much who the Falcons get in round 1 if they turn around and blow the rest of the Draft.

<Steps off soapbox>

Missing in the first round is destructive. That's why it's most important. It's a way to cheaply and quickly fill a need for the following 5 seasons. It IS more important.

But theres a tremendous amount of luck that goes into ANY player's success, regardless of the round he's drafted in. There's a lot going on.

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