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Falcons Have 54 Percent Chance To Make The Playoffs. Saints 38 Percent Chance.


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FLOWERY BRANCH — The Falcons have a 54 percent chance of making the playoffs and need to win four of the remaining four games to virtually clinch a playoff berth, according to http://www.makeNFLplayoffs.com.

The Saints, who are tied for first place with the Falcons, have a 38 percent chance of making the playoffs.

In the NFC, eight teams control their own destiny with the Cardinals, Eagles and Packers only needing 3 wins in the final 4 games to clinch a playoff spot. The 49ers comes close to controlling its own destiny with a 99.7% chance of earning a playoff berth with four wins in their final four games.

Tampa Bay has a less than 0.000005 chance of making the playoffs. The Redskins and Giants were eliminated after Week 13.

In the AFC, eight teams control their own destiny with the Broncos only needing 2 wins to clinch a playoff spot. The Patriots have the best shot at the top seed due to their head to head win vs. the Broncos. Even 6-6 Houston comes close to controlling its own destiny with a 98.5% chance of earning a playoff berth with four wins in their final four games.

The Jets, Titans and Jaguars were eliminated after Week 12. The Raiders were eliminated after Week 11.
http://atlantafalcons.blog.ajc.com/2014/12/02/falcons-have-54-percent-chance-to-make-the-playoffs/

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Football Outsiders has them around 23%

Five Thirty Eight is closer to 35-40%

We're still the dog in the division race.

All of these 'odds' are based on records and records of remaining teams only. None of it factors in how teams match up against each other. Everybody has completely written off the fact that the Saints play THREE division games. I don't care how bad the NFC south has been (The Saints have been part of that bad) divisional games are toss ups.....

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All of these 'odds' are based on records and records of remaining teams only. None of it factors in how teams match up against each other. Everybody has completely written off the fact that the Saints play THREE division games. I don't care how bad the NFC south has been (The Saints have been part of that bad) divisional games are toss ups.....

FO does factor in level of play when running their simulations.

I dont think we're ****** or anything...but NO's road is a bit easier than ours.

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How would a 1st place team EVER not have a 100% chance of a playoff birth if they win out? That site needs shut down.

No kidding. Virtually? What, are they holding a contingency that the NFL might reward the Saints with an extra win? There is no way possible for the Falcons to win out and not make it. None.

Plus that 54% chance over the Saints 38% must be purely based on the fact that Atlanta hold the tie-breaker right now (though that could easily flip if the Saints beat us in NO and reclaim the tie-breaker, a likely scenario, making that percentage pretty useless). Even more useless when anyone with eyes can see that the Saints have an easier road than the Falcons left.

There is no quantifiable edge with the two teams still yet to play eachother. That game may literally decide everything.

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All of these 'odds' are based on records and records of remaining teams only. None of it factors in how teams match up against each other. Everybody has completely written off the fact that the Saints play THREE division games. I don't care how bad the NFC south has been (The Saints have been part of that bad) divisional games are toss ups.....

Actually a fair point...

Still all things considered I'd much rather have their schedule than ours.

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