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Strength Of Schedule


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Using teams previous years record to judge a team's strength of schedule is silly. Especially if you don't understand that if you have a good season it's going to make your strength of schedule go lower because you're beating teams on your schedule and making their record worse. Conversely if you have a bad season and you're losing to teams on your schedule you're making their record better. With that being said I decided to go and post the opposing team's records before and after each season.

2008 Falcons 11-5

Before (2007) - 118-138 (.461)

After (2008) - 117-138 (.459)

2009 Falcons 9-7

Before (2008) - 150-105 (.588)

After (2009) - 129-127 (.504)

2010 Falcons 13-3

Before (2009) - 127-129 (.496)

After (2010) - 124-132 (.484)

2011 Falcons 10-6

Before (2010) - 126-130 (.492)

After (2011) - 123-133 (.480)

2012 Falcons 13-3

Before (2011) - 125-131 (.488)

After (2012) - 108-148 (.422)

2013 Falcons 4-12

Before (2012) - 124-131 (.486)

After (2013) - 141-114 (.553)

2014 Falcons

Before (2013) - 130-124 (.512)

After (2014) - ???

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So what the heII is the point of SoS when it's gonna do down when you win anyway? Seems worthless to me

It's used as a tie breaker in a number of situations, but really only works in relation to past seasons, which is why it cans be used in reference to draft position. Where it fails miserably, is being used to predict the following year.

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2009 was a MOFO(look at the byes)...best example for the coaching staff(toughness).

.422 in 2012

Down from .484 in 2010. Quite a large distinction for all those harping at what a big difference Julio Jones made.

I think the Falcons av 25.9pts/g in 2010...5th in the NFL.

Edited by Mid-Nite-Toker
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2009 was a MOFO(look at the byes)...best example for the coaching staff(toughness).

I think the Falcons av 25.9pts/g in 2010...5th in the NFL.

2010

PPG - 25.9 (5th)

YPG - 341.1 (16th)

PYG - 222.9 (15th)

2012

PPG - 26.2 (7th)

YPG - 369.1 (8th)

PYG - 281.8 (6th)

I would say Julio Jones had a positive impact on the Falcons offense.

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2010

PPG - 25.9 (5th)

YPG - 341.1 (16th)

PYG - 222.9 (15th)

2012

PPG - 26.2 (7th)

YPG - 369.1 (8th)

PYG - 281.8 (6th)

I would say Julio Jones had a positive impact on the Falcons offense.

It was also Dirk's first year and I think they opened it up a lot more.

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What? You mean that when you win, your SoS goes down, but when you lose, your SoS goes up? So SoS isn't a good barometer of future success, and it depends on the team? Shocker /s

It is why I pay very little attention to it. If you notice every year it seems that the majority of the playoff teams, played the easiest schedules. No, they just beat the other teams making it look that way. Yet, they media harps on it constantly.

I am sure the Saints schedule this season looks easier than ours based on % and people will complain about it at some point. (I haven't checked they do play 49ers/dallas) Disregarding our 4-12 record is a big part of it. Go through complaints about this every season despite only 2 uncommon opponents.

You go out there and play football on Sunday. Every game is winnable or losable in the NFL.

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