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Kayoh's November Mock Draft - Aka "way Too Early"


Kayoh
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Current Cap Space (rounded to the nearest 10,000): $8.88m

Leaving the Team

Let Walk - expiring contract or retirement; do not re-sign

Sean Locklear

Jonathan Babineaux

Jeremy Trueblood

Brian Robiskie

Peria Jerry

Mike Johnson

Dominique Franks

Chase Coffman

Kevin Cone

Tony Gonzalez (saves $7m)

Releases - players who are not performing up to the value we're paying them

Thomas DeCoud (saves $3m) - he's completely incompetent and doesn't deserve this kind of money

Stephen Nicholas (saves $2m) - reduced to a reserve role and getting paid like a starter

Kroy Biermann (saves $2.55m) - not necessary to the defense, we'll be getting better athletes in the draft

Matt Bryant (saves $2.75m) - our kicker makes more money than our best linebacker. This is a problem!

Jason Snelling (saves $1.35m) - makes almost as much as Jackson, will be seen as an off field problem

New Cap Space: $27.55m

Joining / Returning to the Team

Returning to the Team - expiring contracts to extend

Robert McClain - 3 years $4m ($1m 2014 cap hit)

Corey Peters - 5 years $12m ($2m 2014 cap hit)

Joe Hawley - 2 years $4m ($1.5m 2014 cap hit)

Drew Davis - 4 years $5m ($1m 2014 cap hit)

New Cap Space: $22.05m

Joining the Team - free agents to bring in

Former Giants DT Linval Joseph - 3 years $5m ($1.6m 2014 cap hit)

Former Chiefs RG Geoff Schwartz - 4 years $6m ($1m 2014 cap hit)

Former Bengals OT Anthony Collins - 2 years $5m ($2.2m 2014 cap hit)

Former Bengals CB Brandon Ghee - 2 years $2m ($900k 2014 cap hit)

Former Lions DE Willie Young - 2 years $3m ($1.35m 2014 cap hit

Former Seahawks K Stephen Hauschka - 3 years $4.5m ($1m cap hit)

Former Bills FS Jairus Byrd - 6 years $55m ($8m 2014 cap hit)

New Cap Space: $6m

2014 NFL Draft

Jacksonville takes Teddy Bridgewater...basically a lock at this point. We pick 2nd.

Round 1, Pick 2: Jadeveon Clowney, Edge Rusher, South Carolina

I specifically labeled him "edge rusher" because I didn't want to pigeonhole him as strictly a DE. He's athletic enough to play some coverage if Nolan wants to use him as an OLB, but his bread and butter is as a pass rusher. What makes him a hybrid DE/OLB, though, is his ability to play with his hand in the ground or in a two point stance. Either way, this guy is a game changer. If you don't believe me, check out the video I posted of him wreaking havoc against the Vols, who's left tackle, Antonio "Tiny" Richardson, is one of the best in the entire country. He's impossible to block with one guy and extremely difficult to block with multiple guys. He's hands down the best run defending DE in this class and one of the top 2-3 edge rush prospects in the class. This is the kind of guy you build a defense around.

Round 2, Pick 34: Aaron Donald, Defensive Line, Pittsburgh

Again, not labeling him DT or DE because he's so explosive that to pigeonhole him as one or the other would be to cut him short. While Jadeveon Clowney is easily the best edge player in the NFL, nobody is more explosive from the interior than Aaron Donald. He's leading the nation in Tackles for Loss, and it isn't even close - he has 6.5 more TFLs than anybody else in the entire FBS. He's also top 10 in the sack race, and this is all from an interior position, which is far more difficult to get actual statistical production in. His first step is elite, his ability to disengage from blockers is top tier, and his power and natural leverage are good enough for him to play some 4-technique and control two gaps on some plays. He's our replacement for Babs, and in my opinion, he's a massive upgrade.

Round 3, Pick 66: C.J. Fiedorowicz, Tight End, Iowa

Let's be honest with ourselves, guys. Levine Toilolo, while maintaining decent potential as a situational short yardage and goalline target, isn't a very good TE. He doesn't run routes well, he isn't a good blocker, he just flat out isn't all that good. He's DEFINITELY not in any position to replace Tony Gonzalez's production. People say "Oh, we should give Chase Coffman a shot!" but at the same time, Coffman has had one relevant catch in the regular season in the last two years, and he hasn't been able to get on the field because the FO sees Toilolo as better than him. We need a good, all-around, starting level TE. I hate the idea of spending a first or second round pick on one, but at this point, with our free agents and certain guys getting healthy, we only really have two or three true needs left, and TE is one of them. Fiedorowicz is an EXCELLENT blocker - arguably the best blocking TE in this draft. On top of that, though, he's got very aggressive hands as a receiver - he really reaches out there to grab the ball in contested situations. He's also 6'7, so there's that.

Round 4, Pick 99: Daniel McCullers, Nose Tackle, Tennessee

I know some of you guys aren't a fan of McCullers. To be completely honest, I'm somewhat weary on the kid. When it all comes down to it, though, there are a precious few true NTs in this class, and only one or two of them have flashes of pure brilliance...McCullers is one of those guys. He isn't consistent. I can't tell you the last time I saw a NT coming out of college who was, though. The big thing here, though, is the flashes. McCullers has moments where he's legitimately unblockable. If you're watching the video I've provided, check out 3:33. There's a multiple play series where McCullers is legitimately making an impact on the game. Get this dude on an NFL Nutrition Plan and work with him to improve his stance. The way I see it, worst case scenario is he ends up being an average two down type NT who only plays 30-40% of our defensive snaps. Best case scenario, we have our own version of John Henderson, who anchored Jacksonville's defense for years.

Round 5, Pick 135: Ja'Wuan James, Offensive Line, Tennessee

I'm basing these picks on CBSSports' rankings because nobody else seems to be up to date, and they have James ranked 148th. I'd personally take him as early as our 4th round pick, but being able to grab him here at 135 is a huge steal in my opinion. James has the power and athleticism to play left tackle, but for us, he'd compete at RT. Lamar Holmes, Ryan Schraeder and Sam Baker are all better left tackles, and we're losing both Mike Johnson and Jeremy Trueblood to free agency after this year. I have us signing Anthony Collins because we know that he's a capable, above average starter-worthy right tackle who can fill in that spot and immediately be an upgrade. That doesn't change the fact, however, that we don't have a truly dominant presence at RT. James can be exactly that. This guy is a monster - at 6'6 318, he's got ideal size for the position, and when he gets his hands on a guy, he drives them like few I've seen in this class. He's a bit of a project, because he's raw from a technical standpoint, but from a pure talent standpoint he's about as good as any tackle prospect in this class. Some polish could do this guy wonders.

Round 6, Pick 170: Roderick McDowell, Scat Back, Clemson

Steven Jackson and Jacquizz Rodgers are very similar backs - Quizz is basically Jackson's mini-me. They're both shifty, they're both solid receivers out of the backfield, and they can both bring the pain if somebody tries to tackle them head-on. The one thing they also both have in common that we haven't had in a RB since Jerious Norwood is speed. McDowell is extremely explosive - I don't know for sure if he'll run a 4.4 or better at the combine, but he's fast on tape, kind of like Andre Ellington was last year. I feel like McDowell is even faster than Ellington was. On top of that, McDowell has a very similar skill set to Darren Sproles. He's smaller, sure, but he runs with a lot of aggression, is extremely decisive to hit open holes, and has shown some receiving ability out of the backfield. He's also a very capable return man, and is good at setting up his blocks to shoot through gaps and make plays happen. He's an element that we haven't really had in our offense since Matt Ryan has been here.

No 2013 tape is on the internet yet, but there is some 2012 stuff out there.

Round 7, Pick 208: Beau Allen, Nose Tackle, Wisconsin

Let's be honest with ourselves...Wisconsin offensive linemen have been pretty terrible in the NFL for the most part. Zietler had a solid rookie season, but he's been average at best so far this year. Konz is a failed experiment. Ricky Wagner got eaten alive by Shaun Phillips when Michael Oher got hurt in week one. Travis Frederick has been relegated from "best run blocking guard prospect to come out in years" to average center for the Cowboys. Gabe Carimi and John Moffitt...need I go on? Regardless though, Wisconsin has a bit of a stigma as far as OLinemen go, but not so much DLinemen. JJ Watt came out of Wisconsin. Matt Schaughnessy too, and he's having a great season in Arizona this year. Beau Allen is very impressive on tape - he's stout, strong, and while he isn't the most disruptive guy, I feel like we have enough disruptive guys on the roster at this point to be pretty happy about our position. We need stout gap pluggers, and Allen is very good at just that.

Sadly, no video. Watch a Wisconsin game, he's #96.

Round 7, Comp Pick: Eddie Lackey, MLB, Baylor

I think Lackey is technically labeled as an OLB, but for us he'd be an excellent ILB. He's insanely underrated. I don't care if he runs a slow 40 or puts up a poor bench number, this guy is a football player. I keep trying to watch Baylor's defense because they have this freakish 6'9" DE Shawn Oakman, but all I ever see is Lackey flying around making plays like every single snap is his last. He's a freakishly instinctive football player, and a guy who would be a great special teamer for us as well as a quality backup as an inside linebacker.

Sadly, no video. Watch Shawn Oakman tape, he's #5 for Baylor's D.

TL;DR Draft

Pick 1: Jadeveon Clowney as a DE/OLB hybrid

Pick 2: Aaron Donald as a DT/DE hybrid

Pick 3: CJ Fiedorowicz to replace Tony G and Coffman

Pick 4: Daniel McCullers as a true NT

Pick 5: Ja'Wuan James to compete for the RT spot

Pick 6: Roderick McDowell to as a COP Back and returner

Pick 7: Beau Allen as a true NT

Pick 8: Eddie Lackey as a STer and backup ILB

Depth Charts

Offense

QB: Matt Ryan / Dominique Davis / Sean Renfree

RB: Steven Jackson / Jacquizz Rodgers / Roderick McDowell

WR: Julio Jones / Roddy White / Harry Douglas / Drew Davis / Darius Johnson

FB: Bradie Ewing

TE: CJ Fiedorowicz / Levine Toilolo

LT: Sam Baker / Lamar Holmes / Ryan Schraeder

LG: Justin Blalock / Harland Gunn

C: Joe Hawley / Peter Konz

RG: Geoff Schwartz / Philipkeith Manley

RT: Anthony Collins / Ja'Wuan James

Defense

3-4 Base

LOLB: Young / Massaquoi

LDE: Peters / Donald / Goodman

LILB: Worrilow / Dent / Lackey

NT: McCullers / Allen

RILB: Weatherspoon / Bartu

RDE: Joseph / Robertson

ROLB: Clowney / Umenyiora

4-3 Base

LDE: Goodman / Massaquoi

LOLB: Worrilow

UT: Peters / Donald

MLB: Dent / Lackey

NT: Joseph / Robertson

ROLB: Weatherspoon / Bartu

RDE: Clowney / Umenyiora

4-2 Nickel

LDE: Umenyiora / Young

LDT: Donald / Goodman

SLB: Worrilow / Dent

WLB: Weatherspoon / Bartu

RDT: Peters / Joseph

RDE: Clowney / Massaquoi

LEO 4-3

LDE: Joseph / Robertson

3TDT: Donald / Peters

NT: McCullers / Allen

LEO: Clowney / Umenyiora

SLB: Worrilow / Massaquoi

MLB: Dent / Lackey

WLB: Weatherspoon / Bartu

SS: Moore / Motta

FS: Byrd / Ishmael

CB: Samuel / Trufant / Alford / McClain / Ghee

K: Haushka

P: Bosher

Return Specialist: McDowell

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Guest King Jigsaw

Obviously you have put a lot of time and effort into this but there are a couple things I don't like.

The standout was the slightly backloaded contracts. On a year when we're really healthy cap-wise, why not try and pay guys now and make it cheaper to cut them later if they don't produce? At the same time, we're about to have to pay Julio, Roddy, possibly Spoon.. It makes more sense to pay now than later. Seems like you just wanted to fit a lot of guys into this rather than just a few key pieces like we need.

Another thing I didn't like was the reluctance to just label a player by his position. Clowney is a DE. Donald is a DT. McDowell is a RB. Feel free to explain why you like them and their skillsets but call them like they are, it's not a big deal. Kind of annoying actually, but that's probably just me.

The rest are just a couple of nitpicky things that just caught my eye. I don't think Hauschka leaves Seattle. The Seahawks don't have a reason not to resign him. We don't have a reason to cut Bryant. Yeah he makes more than our linebackers, but he does more for the team too. Bryant has won us games while our linebackers have lost us games. All of a sudden Hawley is going to beat out Konz? I don't see that. Konz was our first 2012 pick and they'll continue to let him grow especially with a capable right side playing beside him in this scenario. And why list a base 3-4? We don't play a 3-4 despite this board's fascination with their imaginary transition we've supposedly made every year over the last several years. I know Nolan likes using different fronts but it just seems unnecessary. Only carrying 3 RBs? I agree that Snelling is gone but I don't see us only carrying 3. Not when this year we carried SJax, Quizz, Snelling, Smith, and Vaughn. (I think we carried Vaughn? Didn't we?)

Anyway, always good to see a mock with effort behind it but there are some things that didn't please me. I don't think my approval is something you were aiming for though.

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Mostly, I like it. I'm not sure there's any reason to sign Willie Young, though, when we'll have both Clowney and Osi, and the youngins. Also, I'd only want to cut Bryant if we're replaceing him with a draft pick. Finally, as I have said before, I'm not a fan of keeping Sjax. I'd rather us release him and draft a RB. These are mostly minor gripes, and I do like it for the most part. I've actually been thinking of mocking both Collins and Schwartz for some time now.

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The standout was the slightly backloaded contracts. On a year when we're really healthy cap-wise, why not try and pay guys now and make it cheaper to cut them later if they don't produce? At the same time, we're about to have to pay Julio, Roddy, possibly Spoon.. It makes more sense to pay now than later. Seems like you just wanted to fit a lot of guys into this rather than just a few key pieces like we need.

Another thing I didn't like was the reluctance to just label a player by his position. Clowney is a DE. Donald is a DT. McDowell is a RB. Feel free to explain why you like them and their skillsets but call them like they are, it's not a big deal. Kind of annoying actually, but that's probably just me.

The rest are just a couple of nitpicky things that just caught my eye. I don't think Hauschka leaves Seattle. The Seahawks don't have a reason not to resign him. We don't have a reason to cut Bryant. Yeah he makes more than our linebackers, but he does more for the team too. Bryant has won us games while our linebackers have lost us games. All of a sudden Hawley is going to beat out Konz? I don't see that. Konz was our first 2012 pick and they'll continue to let him grow especially with a capable right side playing beside him in this scenario. And why list a base 3-4? We don't play a 3-4 despite this board's fascination with their imaginary transition we've supposedly made every year over the last several years. I know Nolan likes using different fronts but it just seems unnecessary. Only carrying 3 RBs? I agree that Snelling is gone but I don't see us only carrying 3. Not when this year we carried SJax, Quizz, Snelling, Smith, and Vaughn. (I think we carried Vaughn? Didn't we?)

I color coded your comment so I could do the same to my response.

Our cap situation isn't good this year. After cutting a huge amount of players on bloated contracts, we still only manage $27m worth of cap space. We've got a ton of contracts running out next year, but a very select few - I'm thinking Julio, Roddy, Spoon, Quizz and Bosher - will actually be re-signed. Maybe Dent if he continues to improve. Either way, if Spoon thinks he deserves a big contract, he's fooling himself. If he demands some kind of top 10 LB contract, I say we let him walk. He's not worth it. He's had one good year and a couple mediocre ones. That being said, next year we're projected to have over $50m in cap space. If we sign the players I have us signing here our cap space next year will still be about $29.75m left to sign our guys. Roddy isn't a top tier dude so his contract will probably be in the 5-7 million range. Julio will probably be a $15m a year contract, but contracts are almost always lighter in the first year. Worst case scenario we can cut a guy like HD, SJack and/or McClain to make some room for Spoon. We don't need these average guys on their second contracts - we're trying to get better and younger.

Clowney stands up, so he can be labeled an OLB as well. Donald plays 3-tech, 1-tech, 4-tech and 5-tech, so he can be labeled a DE too. I don't like to call somebody a "DT" because then some jackass like head busta from augusta comes in and says it's dumb to say somebody is going to do something for us (like play 3-4 DE, in Donald's case) that he's never done before when anybody who watches tape knows very clearly that he has. The not labeling players wasn't being petty, it was idiot proofing the draft. Sorry it bugs you, but it bugs me more when the morons come in here and tell me something based on the player's listed position because they don't watch tape.

Haushcka might not leave seattle, that was just my #1 option. There are a bunch of FA kickers this year, we can sigh one and save money by cutting Bryant. Nick Folk would be my #2 option if we can't get Hauschka. I know there's an emotional attachment with Bryant because he's won us games before, but he just flat out isn't a top kicker. He's serviceable, absolutely, and you could call him "clutch", but the opportunity cost just isn't there. Why pay the 15th best kicker in the league $2.75m when you can pay the 8th best kicker in the league $1m? It's simple economics, it makes no sense to keep Bryant around at that rate of pay.

Mostly, I like it. I'm not sure there's any reason to sign Willie Young, though, when we'll have both Clowney and Osi, and the youngins. Also, I'd only want to cut Bryant if we're replaceing him with a draft pick. Finally, as I have said before, I'm not a fan of keeping Sjax. I'd rather us release him and draft a RB. These are mostly minor gripes, and I do like it for the most part. I've actually been thinking of mocking both Collins and Schwartz for some time now.

Willie Young is insurance. He's not expensive, he was the best DE in the preseason so we know he can whip on backups, and he's actually doing fairly well as Detroit's starting LDE. This is also a move to make guys Massaquoi shit or get off the pot. We get it, you have potential...now prove it.

As far as SJack goes, he's making a respectable salary in 2014. Cutting Jackson in this coming offseason would save $1.833m - not really a big deal since we just signed him and he's our starter. Cutting Snelling saves $1.375m - almost as much as cutting Jackson for a third stringer? It comes down to economics.

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All of a sudden Hawley is going to beat out Konz? I don't see that. Konz was our first 2012 pick and they'll continue to let him grow especially with a capable right side playing beside him in this scenario.

Seems obvious you haven't been watching games? Konz is sucking and so Hawley has ALREADY replaced him. Just because he was a first pick we should let him stay there and continue to be a black hole on the line???? That's what has readlly gotten ALOT of teams in trouble in the past is not letting ALL of the players compete..they just think,"Well he's one of our top draft picks so the job is his." They've given his weak a$$ ample chances to get better and he continues to be crappy. I'm not saying Hawley is the best Center ever but he has already shown that he is a MUCH better option than Konz.

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And why list a base 3-4? We don't play a 3-4 despite this board's fascination with their imaginary transition we've supposedly made every year over the last several years. I know Nolan likes using different fronts but it just seems unnecessary.

I also have a base 4-3 listed as well as a 4-2 nickel. xD

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I like all of it except....

#1 just letting Babs walk. I don't understand the logic in this. He is a very solid player who isn't going to ask a fortune.

#2 for what reason would we get rid of Kroy? That makes no sense to me

1. Babs isn't all that good anymore. There's no point in keeping a below average, 32 year old DT unless he'd take vet minimum.

2. Kroy is kind of a tough call...not really a necessary cut, but I think he holds us back defensively. I'm sick of "good" players, I want great ones.

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1. Babs isn't all that good anymore. There's no point in keeping a below average, 32 year old DT unless he'd take vet minimum.

2. Kroy is kind of a tough call...not really a necessary cut, but I think he holds us back defensively. I'm sick of "good" players, I want great ones.

Completely disagree about Babs . He is still playing well. For a cheap 2-3 year deal he is well worth it

You can't fill a team with great players in 1 season

Edited by RYNE
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Completely disagree about Babs . He is still playing well. For a cheap 2-3 year deal he is well worth it

You can't fill a team with great players in 1 season

Babs production this season has been very overrated. I'd prefer to re-sign Peters, sign Soliai if he hits the market, and fill in the depth chart from there in the draft as well as getting a comp pick for Babs in 2015.

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Babs production this season has been very overrated. I'd prefer to re-sign Peters, sign Soliai if he hits the market, and fill in the depth chart from there in the draft as well as getting a comp pick for Babs in 2015.

You keep saying "Babs production is overrated" and talk about a comp pick.

Elaborate on how his production is overrated and explain what comp pick you really think we would acquire from him. If he is not good enough for us to even think about re-signing then what makes you think he would get a big enough contract to warrant a decent comp pick? I dont see him getting a very big contract if he hits FA but i could be wrong.

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You keep saying "Babs production is overrated" and talk about a comp pick.

Elaborate on how his production is overrated and explain what comp pick you really think we would acquire from him. If he is not good enough for us to even think about re-signing then what makes you think he would get a big enough contract to warrant a decent comp pick? I dont see him getting a very big contract if he hits FA but i could be wrong.

People point to him getting into the backfield a lot but then I point to him not doing much once he's there. Due to that I prefer Peters since he gets into the backfield and does something once he's there plus he has to deal with playing in a position he is not suited for (1/2i-tech NT) yet remains more productive than Babs who does not have that same negative impact. Also, looking over the upcoming DT market there will be some well paid DTs out of desperation. Then people point to how flexible he is but if we move Peters to 3-tech where he's best suited, get a real NT, and hopefully get Clowney to fill the 5/7/4-tech DE role then Babs' role is obsolete since we'd have specialists in place. Letting Babs go and getting some sort of comp type of deal would also help offset who we bring in so we can at least keep some of the cheaper comp picks for the 2015 draft.

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People point to him getting into the backfield a lot but then I point to him not doing much once he's there. Due to that I prefer Peters since he gets into the backfield and does something once he's there plus he has to deal with playing in a position he is not suited for (1/2i-tech NT) yet remains more productive than Babs who does not have that same negative impact. Also, looking over the upcoming DT market there will be some well paid DTs out of desperation. Then people point to how flexible he is but if we move Peters to 3-tech where he's best suited, get a real NT, and hopefully get Clowney to fill the 5/7/4-tech DE role then Babs' role is obsolete since we'd have specialists in place. Letting Babs go and getting some sort of comp type of deal would also help offset who we bring in so we can at least keep some of the cheaper comp picks for the 2015 draft.

If we move Peters to a 3-tech.

If we get a real NT.

If we get Clowney then Babs will be obsolete?

A lot of ifs.

I don't see us going into the season with Peters and Travian Robertson who i like, but has not gotten near enough snaps that proves we would be comfortable with him. And then relying on a mid round rookie DT and another DT in the draft or Free agency. There is no way anyone can expect Babs to ask for a lot of money. What leverage does he have? Doesn't have the stats that would suggest a big contract, but he does have a long tenure here and I think if you look at it from a probablity standpoint, it is far more likely he would accept a contract from us than another team who MAY offer more.

And what type of comp deal are you expecting to get for Babs. Like others have said he will be a 33 year old DT who hasn't put up pro bowl numbers. If we dont resign him and sign Solia that will cancel each other out anyways. And if not then i would imagine we would only garner a very late rd comp pick.

Still alot of games left to play though so we will see.

Edited by Clark Kent™
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Like this draft, couple of comments, questions.

Why does Donald last to the 34th pick? Would love to double dip on DLine like they did on corners, but don't see how Donald makes it out of the first round.

If you have Mass, Goodman and Maponga, with a clear path to Clowney, see no reason to sign Young.

Think several of your signings would cost more than you're paying.

Would rather swap RB and TE in your draft- don't see any reason to say Sjax will be both healthy/ effective next year- grab a stud RB 3rd round, raw TE in the 5th. Plenty of pass catchers on the team, nobody that has shown he can pick up a tough yard in a Falcon's uniform.

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