Tuggle'2 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 This has me curious. I know its early and should be taken with a grain of salt but it still sparked my curiosity. Would really appreciate somebody with an Insider account to help me(us) out. Thanks!http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/8913160/nfl-very-early-look-2013-nfl-playoff-pictureLike the Los Angeles Lakers' drama or the wait for the "Arrested Development" movie, football never stops. The Super Bowl is over and players are out hitting the links, but we at numberFire already are crunching the numbers for next year.Despite impending free agency and the unknowns around the NFL draft, we are digging into our supercomputer to give you a look at what the playoff bracket should look like next season given the trajectory of teams and their efficiency this past season. This isn't just a way-too-early look at the playoffs, because obviously a lot can change from now to next January (see surprises such as the Philadelphia Eagles and Indianapolis Colts this past year). What this does show is which teams are best positioned right now for a playoff campaign in 2013 and which need to do a lot of work in the offseason.Without further ado, here is the projected 2013 NFL playoff bracket.????????????????????????????????? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tuggle'2 Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well this one seems similar.http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/2012/story/_/id/8912880/early-super-bowl-favorites-20135. Atlanta Falcons: Now that the Falcons have won a playoff game for the first time under coach Mike Smith and and QB Matt Ryan, maybe they can take that next step and get to a Super Bowl.It won't be easy. Sean Payton is back in charge of the New Orleans Saints after a one-year suspension. They should be playoff-bound. Plus, the Falcons won't have the benefit of having the league's easiest schedule, as they did in 2012. The Falcons play .504 schedule in 2013, which should put them in position to win 10 or 11 games.Maybe the loss in the NFC Championship Game will toughen the Falcons. They haven't taken advantage of two top seeds in the past three years. It's not out of the question for the Saints to win the division and the Falcons to make it as a wild card. As we've seen from the Giants, the Ravens, the Packers, the Steelers and others, Super Bowls can be won the tough way as wild cards. The Falcons have to find a way to do that, which they can. Bovada has them at 18-1.18-1! lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmite Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Probably take the top 12 teams and put them in there. Replace a few of the lower seeds, then you got it. Espn Insider is never worth the hype or exclusivity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tuggle'2 Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Probably take the top 12 teams and put them in there. Replace a few of the lower seeds, then you got it. Espn Insider is never worth the hype or exclusivity.Yeah, I can guess what I think it would be. Insider is most definitely not worth the money to me. Like I said though it sparked curiosity and now I just want to know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SkerFalcon8710 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 2013 NFL Playoffs PredictorNik Bonaddio and Keith Goldner [ARCHIVE]numberFire | February 4, 2013Like the Los Angeles Lakers drama or the wait for the Arrested Development movie, football never stops. The Super Bowl is over and players are out hitting the links, but we at numberFire are already crunching the numbers for next year.Despite impending free agency and the unknowns around the NFL draft, we are digging into our supercomputer to give you a look at what the playoff bracket should look like next season given the trajectory of teams and their efficiency this past season. Obviously, a lot can change from now to next January, so keep in mind there is an extremely high degree of uncertainty -- just look at the Philadelphia Eagles and Indianapolis Colts this past year.Without further ado, here is the projected 2013 NFL playoff bracket.AFC1. New England Patriots (13-3, 68.6 percent chance to make the playoffs)2012: 12-4, No. 2 seedAs long as the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick dynamic duo remains intact, the Patriots should continue to dominate the regular season. New England actually underperformed in the 2012 regular season and should have won at least 13 games thanks to its ridiculous offensive efficiency. Tom Brady and company added 260 points above what a league-average offense would score in similar situations, 83 more points than the No. 2 offense (Green Bay).2. Denver Broncos (13-3, 67.7)2012: 13-3, No. 1 seedThanks to Peyton Manning, the Broncos made the playoffs for the second straight year and owned the No. 2 opponent-adjusted passing attack in the AFC. Von Miller also led the best defense in the AFC after adjusting for strength of opposing offenses; they prevented just shy of six points per game from being scored.3. Houston Texans (11-5, 63.1)2012: 12-4, No. 3 seedThe Texans were favorites to be the No. 1 seed with home-field advantage in the 2012 playoffs, but they ended the year losing back-to-back games and three of their last four. Houston can do it on both sides of the ball, as J.J. Watt leads the No. 2 opponent-adjusted defense in the AFC and Matt Schaub leads the No. 3 opponent-adjusted passing attack in the conference. In fact, the Texans score a point above expectation for every five passing plays. Add in their weak AFC South division and the Texans are heavy favorites to make the postseason for the third straight year.4. Baltimore Ravens (9-7, 55.4)2012: 10-6, No. 4 seedNo one thought the Ravens would win the Super Bowl like after losing four of their last five regular season games. And while the AFC North is the toughest division in the conference, the Ravens continue to succeed. Baltimore outperformed expectation in 2012 with a slightly above average offense. Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce led the No. 5 opponent-adjusted rushing attack in the AFC and Ray Lewis will sorely be missed on the AFC's No. 5 opponent-adjusted defense.5. Cincinnati Bengals (9-7, 45.8)2012: 10-6, No. 6 seedAndy Dalton has led the Bengals to two straight playoff appearances and we project he has a solid chance to make it three. Cincinnati actually grades out extremely similar to Baltimore with its strengths in the running game (No. 2 opponent-adjusted attack in AFC) and on defense (No. 3 defense in AFC after adjusting for strength of opposing offenses). Despite having one of the most dynamic receiving weapons in the game in A.J. Green, the Bengals pass offense will need to improve in order to make the playoffs next year -- they ranked just No. 23 in the NFL after adjusting for strength of schedule.6. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7, 44.7)2012: 8-8, missed playoffsThe 2012 Steelers playoff campaign went down in flames when Big Ben went down. Between Weeks 11 and 16, the Ravens lost five of six games, putting them on the outside looking in come January. The Steelers had questions at running back all year and it manifested as the league's No. 30 ranked opponent-adjusted rushing efficiency. In fact, the Steelers cost themselves over 70 points running the ball this year.Last Two OutSan Diego Chargers (7-9, 42.4 percent playoff odds)2012: 7-9, missed playoffsNo one is more upset about Peyton Manning moving to the AFC West than Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers. San Diego finished with its first sub-.500 record since 2003 this past year and they have not made the playoffs since 2009. That being said, the AFC was fairly weak by comparison to the NFC, and the Chargers have a good shot to fight for a wild-card spot next year.Indianapolis Colts (7-9, 41.7 percent playoff odds)2012: 11-5, No. 5 seedAndrew Luck is a special player and we expected the Colts to improve from their dismal 2011 campaign, but no one expected the Colts to win 11 games, let alone make the playoffs. According to our efficiency numbers, though, Indianapolis was the No. 1 most overperforming team in 2012 -- in fact, they were expected to win just seven games. Much like the Tim Tebow-led Broncos the year before, Indianapolis won several games late after playing poorly through much of the game. The Colts secondary ranked dead last in the NFL, allowing 130 points that a league-average defense would have prevented.Remaining TeamsMiami Dolphins (6-10, 33.5 percent)Kansas City Chiefs (6-10, 33.4)New York Jets (5-11, 23.1)Cleveland Browns (5-11, 23.0)Buffalo Bills (5-11, 20.0)Oakland Raiders (4-12, 14.9)Tennessee Titans (4-12, 13.5)Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14, 9.3)NFC1. San Francisco 49ers (12-4, 55.3 percent)2012: 11-4-1, No. 2 seedWe expected the 49ers to regress in the 2012 season due to their ridiculous turnover margin in 2011. Clearly that didn't happen, as they fell just short in the Super Bowl. But between Colin Kaepernick and Frank Gore, the 49ers owned the No. 2 opponent-adjusted rushing attack in the NFL, behind only Robert Griffin III and the Redskins. Both Alex Smith and Colin Kaepernick threw the ball effectively too, leading to the No. 4 offense in the NFL. Add in the No. 4 opponent-adjusted defense in the NFL and you have the makings of a long-term contender. Expect them in the playoffs again next year.2. Green Bay Packers (12-4, 54.9)2012: 11-5, No. 3 seedThe Packers had offensive line woes in 2012, but despite those issues, Aaron Rodgers still led the No. 1 opponent-adjusted offense and passing attack in the NFC. In fact, the Green Bay passing attack added 11.5 points per game above expectation, a trend we expect to continue moving forward. The Packers play in a tough NFC North division, but when Aaron Rodgers is on, there is not a more efficient quarterback in the NFL.3. Atlanta Falcons (11-5, 49.6)2012: 13-3, No. 1 seedLike the Colts, the Falcons outperformed expectation in 2012. They finished the year at 13-3 and the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but based on their efficiency metrics, they were expected to win only 10-11 games. The main problem? Their rushing attack ranked No. 29 in the NFL after adjusting for strength of opponents. With the juxtaposition of their stumbling running game and dominant passing attack, the Falcons will need to rely even more on Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Roddy White.4. New York Giants (10-6, 44.2)2012: 9-7, missed playoffsThe 2011 Super Bowl Champions barely missed the playoffs in 2012 thanks to the resurgence of the Redskins and Vikings. With the exception of their rushing attack, the Giants were fairly average across the board in 2012. Thanks mostly to Andre Brown – that's right, Andre Brown -- the Giants finished the year as the seventh-most efficient running team in the NFL. In addition, Eli Manning added almost five points per game above expectation despite a gimpy Hakeem Nicks for most of the year.5. Seattle Seahawks (12-4, 53.4)2012: 11-5, No. 5 seedThe Seahawks were the hot team heading into the 2012 playoffs and Russell Wilson proved that he could not only play in the NFL despite his height, but play well. In fact, Wilson led the No. 2 opponent-adjusted passing attack in the NFL on a per play basis -- they added a point to their offense for every three passing plays. Between Marshawn Lynch and Wilson, the Seahawks also ranked as the No. 4 opponent-adjusted rushing attack in the NFL. The 49ers-Seahawks NFC West showdowns should be playoff-worthy matchups for the next few years.6. Chicago Bears (10-6, 44.8)2012: 10-6, missed playoffsFor the second year in a row, the Bears underwent an epic collapse despite over an 80 percent chance of making the playoffs. Between Weeks 10 and 15, the Bears lost five of six games (all to playoff teams), barely missing the playoffs in the end. While Chicago had the best opponent-adjusted defense in the NFL, which prevented 116 points from being scored in 2012, their offense ranked No. 25, mostly due to their overemphasis on the run.Last Two OutWashington Redskins (9-7, 41.7 percent playoff odds)2012: 10-6, No. 6 seedAfter inspiring hope in every Redskins fan throughout the land, the biggest question entering 2013 is how healthy will RG III be? The dynamic rookie duo of Griffin and Alfred Morris led the NFL in opponent-adjusted rushing efficiency in 2012, adding a point above expectation for every 10 rushing attempts. Add in a well above-average passing efficiency and the Redskins put together the No. 6 ranked opponent-adjusted offense in the NFL. Facing a stacked NFC lineup, the Redskins will most likely need to win the NFC East again in order to make it back to the playoffs.Carolina Panthers (9-7, 41.7 percent playoff odds)2012: 7-9, missed playoffsThe Panthers were the single most underperforming team in 2012, finishing over three games below expectation. That's right, the Panthers should have won around 10 games based on their team efficiency -- not exactly Ryan Kalil's Super Bowl guarantee, but closer than they finished. Cam Newton and the Carolina opponent-adjusted rushing attack ranked No. 3 in the NFL, a huge reason why the Panthers won each of their last four games.Remaining TeamsNew Orleans Saints (9-7, 41.4 percent)Minnesota Vikings (8-8, 34.3)Dallas Cowboys (8-8, 34.0)St. Louis Rams (7-9, 24.1)Detroit Lions (7-9, 23.9)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9, 23.4)Philadelphia Eagles (6-10, 23.3)Arizona Cardinals (4-12, 10.8)Sorry ****** phone copy n paste Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tuggle'2 Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Thanks Sker , its kind of funny they use our lack of run this last year to justify next year. I think even a monkey with down syndrome knows we are going for a new RB and working the OLine to compliment it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmite Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Thanks Sker , its kind of funny they use our lack of run this last year to justify next year. I think even a monkey with down syndrome knows we are going for a new RB and working the OLine to compliment it.That is the script. They gotta stick to it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Da Bird is Da Word Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I'm flattered. But how do we not get the #1 seed if we go 18-1? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tuggle'2 Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 I'm flattered. But how do we not get the #1 seed if we go 18-1? Well Clayton used stats to put us at 10-11 wins. He then said Brovada has us at 18-1. Didn't see where predicted the seeding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Five_Fifs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I'm flattered. But how do we not get the #1 seed if we go 18-1? Ummmm.... 18-1 are the odds of winning it all, no? Bovada is a sports gambling thing.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USAF HART Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18-1 is in fact the odds that Bovada (gambling site) has us to win the superbowl. That is not our projected record lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tuggle'2 Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 18-1 is in fact the odds that Bovada (gambling site) has us to win the superbowl. That is not our projected record lolyep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SkerFalcon8710 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 No prob tuggle, its the one thing im good for haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlfanstckndenver Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well Clayton used stats to put us at 10-11 wins. He then said Brovada has us at 18-1. Didn't see where predicted the seeding.is 18/1 not the odds atlanta makes the super bowl? Bovada is a betting site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlfanstckndenver Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks like thats covered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest King Jigsaw Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well, now that that's settled.. Go Falcons! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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