PapaJoe Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 An extensive research study in 2000 found (paraphrased), "Incompetent people are the last to know it... they lack the necessary skills to even recognize actual competence in others and conversely lack the skills to recognize their own incompetence."The findings of this study are now referred to as the "Dunn-Kruger Effect"Below are some links for those of you wishing to know more about this phenomenon.http://en.wikipedia....93Kruger_effecthttp://www.nytimes.c...competents.htmlhttp://www.damninter...-unaware-of-it/This MB is a great source for demonstrations of the D-K EffectThe following is borrowed from elsewhere:As much as ESPN would have you believe, guys like Brady, Brees, and Eli were not at all what you would call "elite" early on in their careers. Take a look at how they compare to Ryan over the first four years:MATT RYAN:2008- 61.1% completion, 3440 yards passing, 16 TD, 11 INT, 87. 7 passer rating (16 gms)2009- 58.3% completion, 2916 yards passing, 22 TD, 14 INT, 80.9 passer rating (14 gms)2010- 62.5% completion, 3705 yards passing, 28 TD, 9 INT, 91.0 passer rating (16 gms)2011- 61.3% completion, 4177 yards passing, 29 TD, 12 INT, 92.2 passer rating (16 gms)Drew Brees:2002- 60.8% completion, 3284 yards passing, 17 TD, 16 INT, 76.9 passer rating (16 gms)2003- 57.6% completion, 2108 yards passing, 11 TD, 15 INT, 67.5 passer rating (11 gms)2004- 65.5% completion, 3159 yards passing, 27 TD, 7 INT, 104.8 passer rating (15 gms)2005- 64.6% completion, 3576 yards passing, 24 TD, 15 INT, 89.2 passer rating (16 gms)Tom Brady:2001- 63.9% completion, 2843 yards passing, 18 TD, 12 INT, 86.5 passer rating (15 gms)2002- 62.1% completion, 3764 yards passing, 28 TD, 14 INT, 85.7 passer rating (16 gms)2003- 60.2% completion, 3620 yards passing, 23 TD, 12 INT, 85.9 passer rating (16 gms)2004- 60.8% completion, 3692 yards passing, 28 TD 14 INT, 92.6 passer rating (16 gms)Eli Manning:2004- 48.2% completion, 1043 yards passing, 6 TD, 9 INT, 55.4 passer rating (9 gms)2005- 52.8% completion, 3762 yards passing, 24 TD, 17 INT, 75.9 passer rating (16 gms)2006- 57.7% completion, 3244 yards passing, 24 TD, 18 INT, 77.0 passer rating (16 gms)2007- 56.1% completion, 3336 yards passing, 23 TD, 20 INT, 73.9 passer rating (16 gms)**Note that RYAN never finishes lower than 2nd in any given year by comparision. He is 1st or virtually tied for 1st in two of those seasons.Over those 4 seasons he also has the highest AVG. QB rating.Brady was solid all four years and very consistent, but nothing special. Brees was horrible early in his career, and in fact he wouldn't put up those "elite" numbers until arriving in New Orleans and playing for Sean Payton. And of course Eli, if you remember, was never very good during the early years. Giants fans wanted him out of town, and in Manning's case it was probably warranted.Even more interesting is that around year five or six was then all of these guys really hit their stride, took that next step and started putting up the huge numbers. What all of this data reflects, then, is that A) Quarterback is a position that requires maturity and baby steps forward, and http://content.board...efault/cool.png a good offensive playcaller can make all the difference.Arguably, you could say Ryan has been better than all of those guys. He'll be playing in (hopefully) a more aggressive offensive scheme under Dirk Koetter- one that should still cater to his strengths- and he'll have a full offseason with which to work with Julio Jones and a (again, hopefully) improved offensive line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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