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5000 Is The New 4000


Markcc13

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Is anyone as amazed at the way QBs are passing in the NFL as I am? I've been looking over the passing stats for the league and If Aaron Rodgers would have played week17 there would be 4 different QBs over 5000 yards and ten QBs passed for more than 4000 yards. Eli Manning almost broke 5000 yards this season too. If Schaub and Cutler didn't get hurt they too would likely be over 4000 yards. This is very impressive because in 2003 only two QBs broke 4000 yards. No one even makes a big deal about the 4000 passing yards mark anymore.

This leads me to a more serious point. The league has become completely weighted towards the offense.

A team's offensive numbers are a much better indicator of overall success. That isn't the case for defensive numbers neither a terrible defense nor a great defense correlates with wins. Additionally, the spread between the best and worse offenses is greater than the spread between the defenses. For instance the Jaguars offense (32nd in the league) has just 55% of the yardage the Saints offense (1st in the league) has. Likewise, for the defensive side of the ball the Steelers (1st in the league) has given up 66% of the yardage of the Packers (32nd in the league) offense. This is even more dramatic if you look at points. The best offenses put up 3 times the points of the worst offenses and the best defenses only allow about half the points as the worst defenses.

Simply put it is becoming clear that a dominant offense (Packers, Saints, Patriots) can carry a team even to the superbowl. However the four best offenses (Steelers, Ravens, Niners, and Texans) still need an average to above average offense to be successful.

Because of this I am a huge advocate of ignoring our defense no matter how frustrating it gets at times and establish a dominant offense.

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Is anyone as amazed at the way QBs are passing in the NFL as I am? I've been looking over the passing stats for the league and If Aaron Rodgers would have played week17 there would be 4 different QBs over 5000 yards and ten QBs passed for more than 4000 yards. Eli Manning almost broke 5000 yards this season too. If Schaub and Cutler didn't get hurt they too would likely be over 4000 yards. This is very impressive because in 2003 only two QBs broke 4000 yards. No one even makes a big deal about the 4000 passing yards mark anymore.

This leads me to a more serious point. The league has become completely weighted towards the offense.

A team's offensive numbers are a much better indicator of overall success. That isn't the case for defensive numbers neither a terrible defense nor a great defense correlates with wins. Additionally, the spread between the best and worse offenses is greater than the spread between the defenses. For instance the Jaguars offense (32nd in the league) has just 55% of the yardage the Saints offense (1st in the league) has. Likewise, for the defensive side of the ball the Steelers (1st in the league) has given up 66% of the yardage of the Packers (32nd in the league) offense. This is even more dramatic if you look at points. The best offenses put up 3 times the points of the worst offenses and the best defenses only allow about half the points as the worst defenses.

Simply put it is becoming clear that a dominant offense (Packers, Saints, Patriots) can carry a team even to the superbowl. However the four best offenses (Steelers, Ravens, Niners, and Texans) still need an average to above average offense to be successful.

Because of this I am a huge advocate of ignoring our defense no matter how frustrating it gets at times and establish a dominant offense.

Ignoring the defense is not a good idea. We are working towards building a dominant offense, but if you can combine that with a good defense, then you've got the chance to be really special. This whole, let's just play & see who has the ball last philosophy that the NFL is going to really pisses me off.

I blame it on Madden ........which also explains all the GM wanna bes we have here

sam

Sam, was getting ready to post the exact same thing. Madden & all of these video game addicts (which I do admit to being one as well) want to see the NFL be like the game they play on their XBox or PS3. IMO, it takes more skill to play defense well on those video games and most people can't do it well, so they want scores combined to be pushing 100 points & they want to see all offense. The NFL is buying into that with rule changes every year to make it a more offensive league.

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Guest Negatorris

I'd rather have a top 10 offense and defense, than a top 5 offense and 20+ ranked defense. Imagine if the starting QB gets hurt. That offense is most likely centered around them, and the team will suck horribly unless their backups are the next Rodgers or Brady. Just look at the Colts. The Pats, Packers, and Saints are going to be messed up in the near future, just watch. The Steelers have been in three Superbowls in the last 10 years, and they don't have the crazy offensive explosiveness. Their defense is stout, and that team is balanced. Offense might be awesome at the moment, but the defense will be better in the long run.

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Is anyone as amazed at the way QBs are passing in the NFL as I am? I've been looking over the passing stats for the league and If Aaron Rodgers would have played week17 there would be 4 different QBs over 5000 yards and ten QBs passed for more than 4000 yards. Eli Manning almost broke 5000 yards this season too. If Schaub and Cutler didn't get hurt they too would likely be over 4000 yards. This is very impressive because in 2003 only two QBs broke 4000 yards. No one even makes a big deal about the 4000 passing yards mark anymore.

This leads me to a more serious point. The league has become completely weighted towards the offense.

A team's offensive numbers are a much better indicator of overall success. That isn't the case for defensive numbers neither a terrible defense nor a great defense correlates with wins. Additionally, the spread between the best and worse offenses is greater than the spread between the defenses. For instance the Jaguars offense (32nd in the league) has just 55% of the yardage the Saints offense (1st in the league) has. Likewise, for the defensive side of the ball the Steelers (1st in the league) has given up 66% of the yardage of the Packers (32nd in the league) offense. This is even more dramatic if you look at points. The best offenses put up 3 times the points of the worst offenses and the best defenses only allow about half the points as the worst defenses.

Simply put it is becoming clear that a dominant offense (Packers, Saints, Patriots) can carry a team even to the superbowl. However the four best offenses (Steelers, Ravens, Niners, and Texans) still need an average to above average offense to be successful.

Because of this I am a huge advocate of ignoring our defense no matter how frustrating it gets at times and establish a dominant offense.

I don't disagree. I stated this last year as well. Basically, load up on offensive weapons and field an adequate but athletic defense is the way to go. IMO getting Ryan another TE and a rb that is versatile (receiving and running) is not a bad strategy.

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The stats you list are interesting, because they show a lack of parity in the league. For a league that has prided itself on having parity, it sure seems to be getting away from it. If these rules continue there will be an ever widening difference between the "have's" and "have not's" in the NFL.

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i dont blame brady. he didnt go to the commish and persuade him to make all these rule changes. i blame the nfl for wanting to over protect offensive skill position players. its about the money. when theres more offense, theres more highlights, which leads to more viewers/fans, which leads to more money. the nfl's greed is hidden by the guise of player safety. Every single player in the nfl took the risk of injury when they decided to go pro. its just one of the downsides of being paid very well.

Edited by Chi City Falcon
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