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Do you think both moss and welker will play?

also In my fantasy football league I have Moss and Fitzgerald and a guy wants to me trade them for Aaron Rodgers/wes welker and Clinton Portis .

what do I do ? Moss has started slow and so has Fitz but they can go bonkers at any moment. Im trying to look past the flashy names but its hard.

PLEASE HELP

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Do you think both moss and welker will play?

also In my fantasy football league I have Moss and Fitzgerald and a guy wants to me trade them for Aaron Rodgers/wes welker and Clinton Portis .

what do I do ? Moss has started slow and so has Fitz but they can go bonkers at any moment. Im trying to look past the flasy names but its hard.

PLEASE HELP

I subscribe to ESPN NFL Insider, they have a lot of info in regards to fantasy football if you want me to post it?

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Each week, Football Outsiders provides an argument for who to start in your fantasy football league using defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA), their metric that adjusts performance on a play-by-play basis for down, distance, situation and the quality of the opposition; they've gone back and seen exactly how matchups have affected players the past 15 seasons. For an in-depth look at the methodology, go here.

It's Week 3, and the scourge of bye weeks will soon be upon us. This weekend's slate of games is the final one with all 32 teams until the middle of November, eight weeks away.

That means churning at the bottom of fantasy rosters. Unless owners get the urge to drop starters during their bye weeks (sorry, Steve Slaton owners; his bye's not until Week 10), the draft-day sleepers -- like Pierre Garcon and Jamaal Charles -- will get dropped in favor of guys like Bobby Wade and Sammy Morris; middling players available as a fill-in start during a bye.

That process begins next week. If you're planning on waiving one of those speculative sleeper picks Tuesday morning, it might be a good idea do so Friday morning instead. Looking ahead to Week 4, players like Earl Bennett, Kevin Boss and Josh Morgan have excellent matchups, and by making a move now, you can beat owners to the punch next week by waiving a player you have no intention of starting this week.

Of course, none of those players has a particularly good matchup this week. Instead of stashing them on your roster a week in advance, you can choose to roll the dice a bit by picking up one of the players we recommend below for Week 3, giving them a start, and then cutting them for a player with a promising Week 4 outlook. As always, your optimal strategy depends upon the size and the aggressiveness of your league, so keep that in mind.

FORECASTS

Here's a look at the players we expect to perform at a level better or worse than their average performance, based on Football Outsiders' fantasy football methodology. The +/- percentage is the average fantasy value a player will gain or lose each week because of the matchup he faces.

Quarterbacks

Philip Rivers (Chargers, plus-11 percent)

At 0-2, the Dolphins are probably playing for their season this week, but they've shown very little against the passing games of the Falcons and Colts in their first two contests. Remember, the Colts scored on virtually every possession they had Monday night. Rivers should be able to tear this defense apart.

Peyton Manning (Colts, plus-10 percent)

Manning's fantasy owners weren't complaining when he started the game with an 80-yard touchdown pass to Dallas Clark, of course, but he should get a few more possessions this week against the Cardinals. Arizona's pass defense has been ninth in the league in DVOA over the first two weeks, but they've played San Francisco and Jacksonville. Indy should be a much harder test, and we don't think they'll pass.

Matt Schaub (Texans, plus-9 percent)

Last week's Quick Reads quarterback of the week appears to be two weeks into a breakout season; of course, he's only one snap away from another one of his many injuries. Assuming he stays healthy for all four quarters, he's a great start against a Jacksonville pass defense that has struggled so far this year.

Brady Quinn (Browns, minus-11 percent)

Quinn had Elvis Dumervil on his tail for most of last week's game, which helped make the Broncos' secondary look good. This week, he'll at least get variety: The Ravens' pass rush should find many players to put him on the ground, not just one.

Marc Bulger (Rams, minus-8 percent)

Bulger's only a starting candidate in the deepest fantasy leagues anyway, but he's not even a good spot start this week against the Packers' secondary. Losing tackle Jason Smith and, potentially, center Jason Brown doesn't help things.

Matt Cassel (Chiefs, minus-7 percent)

Cassel looked a little rusty against the Raiders last week, showing signs of the shaky pocket passer he was during the first half of 2008. And that was against the Raiders' pass rush. Philly's rush should only exacerbate his issues.

Running backs

Clinton Portis (Redskins, plus-14 percent)

Portis is expected to play this week despite an ankle concern, and while the Redskins just lost right guard Randy Thomas for the season with a torn triceps muscle, Thomas might not have needed his triceps to block against the Lions' front four. Then again, we thought that about Portis against the Rams, too, and the Redskins' offense didn't look good.

Brandon Jacobs (Giants, plus-12 percent)

Tampa Bay's rush defense has looked awful over the first two weeks of the season, giving up decent chunks of yardage on seemingly every run attempt. That's exactly what the Giants' rushing attack does. Jacobs could rush for 120 yards at five yards a pop this week, and it wouldn't surprise us.

Maurice Jones-Drew (Jaguars, plus-11 percent)

MJD has been quiet over the first two weeks of the year, owing some to the failure of his team's passing attack to launch. Houston's run defense, though, appears to have gone from bad (2008) to worse (2009). You saw what Chris Johnson did last week. Now it's Jones-Drew's turn.

Knowshon Moreno (Broncos, plus-10 percent)

Now getting the bulk of the carries in Denver, Moreno shouldn't have much trouble with the Raiders' run defense. Richard Seymour has helped the pass rush some, but there are still missed tackles, overpursuit and all the other hallmarks of the great Raiders defenses of this decade. Well, great for fantasy backs.

James Davis (Browns, minus-17 percent)

We're assuming that Davis starts instead of the ailing Jamal Lewis; Lewis' projection, if healthy, would be right in the same ballpark. Lewis averaged six fantasy points in two games against his old team last year, and they like him; imagine what they'll do to a rookie.

Cedric Benson (Bengals, minus-16 percent)

The next nine weeks are going to be feast or famine for Benson owners. He's home against Pittsburgh this week (miserable), at Cleveland next week (not bad), at Baltimore (disaster), home versus Houston (great joy), home against Chicago (pretty ugly), on a bye, and then finishes the stretch with back-to-back games against Baltimore and Pittsburgh. In other words, you might want to trade Benson after Week 6.

Players With Unfavorable Matchups

Based on defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA). For the methodology, click here.

Gore might be a weapon in the passing game, but he's not going to get much push up the middle against the stout Vikings front four.

Thomas Jones (Jets, minus-9 percent)

Tennessee has the 29th-best pass defense in the league so far, but they're the No. 1 run defense in football. It's only two weeks, but the Titans were also great a year ago. So we're skeptical about Jones' chances to accrue significant yardage.

Wide receivers

Reggie Wayne (Colts, plus-12 percent)

Wayne was one of our favorites last week, too, but the Colts weren't on the field long enough for him to make a significant impact. Again, with more possessions this week, Wayne should have more time to produce.

Vincent Jackson (Chargers, plus-10 percent)

The Dolphins don't have anyone who can match up with Jackson's athleticism, and they don't have the pass rush this year to prevent Jackson from making his way downfield. That appears to be the only way to keep Jackson off the scoresheet.

Santana Moss (Redskins, plus-10 percent)

Without an option teams respect across the field from him, Moss is seeing double-teams on nearly a play-by-play basis to start the season. Double moves don't do much against double coverage. We still think he'll be able to get open for a touchdown against the Lions, though.

Bobby Wade (Chiefs, minus-9 percent)

The fact that Wade stepped off of the street and directly into the Chiefs' receiver rotation across from Dwayne Bowe is scary. It's a testament to the guy's ability to absorb a playbook … but come on. It's supposed to be tougher than that. The Raiders made him look like a nice story last week, but the Eagles will offer him no such favor.

Joshua Cribbs (Browns, minus-8 percent)

Cribbs has two career catches against the Ravens. They've gone for 23 yards. They've been an explosive 23 yards, mind you, but it's still 23 yards.

Donnie Avery (Rams, minus-6 percent)

Avery still looks out of sorts, even without considering his terrible fumble against the Redskins last week that cost the Rams a shot at winning their first game of the year. Until he shows he's back to 100 percent, he should be on the bench or the waiver wire, and playing the Packers doesn't help his case.

Tight ends

Antonio Gates (Chargers, plus-10 percent)

Did you see what Dallas Clark did last week? You did, right? Now imagine if Clark were bigger and faster. Now see if you can bet on yourself to win in fantasy this week if Gates is in your lineup.

Tony Gonzalez (Falcons, plus-10 percent)

It's unfair to keep picking Gates and Gonzalez every week, but they've got great matchups for the second week in a row. The Patriots don't have anyone who can cover Gonzalez going up the field, and he should be absolutely deadly in the red zone, when the Patriots will be using the only linebacker who has a prayer at covering him -- Adalius Thomas -- in run support.

Robert Royal (Browns, minus-9 percent)

Baltimore doesn't make talented tight ends look good, and Royal's a perennial pick among Football Outsiders writers as one of the worst starters in the league. So see if that improves things.

Kevin Boss (Giants, minus-7 percent)

The one thing Tampa Bay should be good about is taking care of tight ends, thanks to Barrett Ruud. They haven't done that well so far this year, but we expect things to revert back this week.

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Do you think both moss and welker will play?

also In my fantasy football league I have Moss and Fitzgerald and a guy wants to me trade them for Aaron Rodgers/wes welker and Clinton Portis .

what do I do ? Moss has started slow and so has Fitz but they can go bonkers at any moment. Im trying to look past the flashy names but its hard.

PLEASE HELP

it depends what does the rest of ur team look like?

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it depends what does the rest of ur team look like?

Tony Romo

Larry Fitz

R Moss

Robert Meachem

Reggie Bush

Correll Buckhalter

Vernon Davis

Laurent Robinson... lol got a TD so far

Chad Pennington/ athough this week I picked up Seneca Wallace since he will start for seatle

Jason Elam

Baltimore Defense

Osi Umenyiora

Curtis Lofton

Asante Samuel

Albert Haynesworth

James Laurinitis

Antrel Rolle

Champ Baily

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Tony Romo

Larry Fitz

R Moss

Robert Meachem

Reggie Bush

Correll Buckhalter

Vernon Davis

Laurent Robinson... lol got a TD so far

Chad Pennington/ athough this week I picked up Seneca Wallace since he will start for seatle

Jason Elam

Baltimore Defense

Osi Umenyiora

Curtis Lofton

Asante Samuel

Albert Haynesworth

James Laurinitis

Antrel Rolle

Champ Baily

u desperately need an rb. make him an offer for an rb better than portis or with a different team bcuz u don't need rodgers when u have romo. pick up justin forsett on seattle maybe for rb. felix jones for this week is available. bottom line, u need an rb, but don't trade all of what u have going for u in wr for 1 rb like portis. o and consider in deals that fitz is on the madden cover so u mite want to trade him.

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