Kayoh Posted April 20, 2008 Share Posted April 20, 2008 I posted a topic a couple of weeks ago that said basically what I'm about to say, but I've done multiple searches in both NFL Draft and Free Agency and TATF, and I can't find that topic for the life of me.The general idea is that the more picks we have, the better chance we have of having a great draft. There is really no science to picking great NFL players. Sure, you can look at production. Sure, you can look at physical skills. Then again, there is no guarantee that any player will be a great NFL player.Drafting a first round player, in the current state of our franchise, and especially as high as the pick we have is, is just like pulling the pin to a grenade that is strapped to your chest. It's almost a guarantee to be a failure. Look at Houston. David Carr looked phenomenal coming out of college. They put the franchise on his back, and he crumbled under the pressure. We can't make that same mistake. As much as I like Jake Long and Glenn Dorsey, there is a lot better value elsewhere. Do you guys realize that if we just keep on trading down, that we could end up with around 8 second round picks? I did the math in the original topic, I'm not completely sure how it worked out, but it would end up that we can meet every single freaking need before the second day even starts. Could you imagine going into the second day, where we have 7 picks, with all of our needs met? Could you imagine taking 5 offensive linemen, 4 defensive linemen, 2 QBs, and still have every other need on our roster met? It's all possible. Difficult, but possible. We just need to keep on trading down.Look at the possibilities. I'm going to do a mock here if we keep on trading down our first round pick.Trade 1: to NYJ. We trade #3 to the Jets for #6, #36, and #113. 2200[us], 1600 + 540 + 68 = 2208[them]. They'd do it to get McFadden before Oakland.Trade 2: to DEN. We trade #6 and #102 to the Broncos for #12, #42, and #183. 1692[us], 1699[them]. They'd do that because New England is a potential candidate to get Ryan Clady, but he fits Denver's scheme perfectly, and Denver has been one of the consistent teams to trade up lately.Trade 3: to ARI. We trade #12 to the Cardinals for #16, #50, and #185. 1200[us], 1000 + 185 + 18 = 1203[them]. They'd do it because Carolina is the #1 candidate to take Jeff Otah, and if Arizona can get Otah, then can either keep him at LT, or move Levi Brown to LT and put Otah in at RT. Either way, they'd get bookends.Total Picks:#16#34#36#37#42#48#50#68#98#113#138#172#183#185#212#232Why did I stop here? Because if we trade below Minnesota, we're not going to get Chris Williams. We take Chris Williams at 16.Pick 16: LT Chris WilliamsPick 34: QB Brian BrohmPick 36: MLB Curtis LoftonPick 37: DT Trevor LawsPick 42: CB Brandon FlowersPick 48: C Mike PollakPick 50: RG Roy SchuenningPick 68: DE Darrell RobertsonPick 98: DT Ahtyba RubinPick 113: RT Carl NicksPick 138: WR Keenan BurtonPick 172: QB Kevin O'ConnellPick 183: CB Jack IkegwuonuPick 185: LG Chad RinehartPick 212: CB Terrence WheatleyPick 232: DT Maurice MurrayLook at that. The funny thing is that we'd spend about as much money on Williams, Brohm, Laws, Lofton, and Flowers as we would by getting Dorsey or Jake Long. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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