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ESPN mock 2008 draft


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Updated: December 6, 2007, 1:06 PM ET

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In the first of many mock drafts to come, a few things jumped out. The first is that New England, which was forced to forfeit its 32nd pick, made out just fine by having San Francisco's pick, which the Pats received in a draft-day trade last April and right now is the second overall. That means there will be high drama; Bill Belichick and Co. will have to decide whether to take Darren McFadden or trade down as the Patriots look to continue their run of great drafts.

Another thing is the abundance of underclassmen here (they're the ones with the * next to their name). Just to be clear, we never promote juniors leaving early, but it's a fact of life that they do. So instead of ignoring it, we add those players who belong in the first round. Obviously, there are lot of decisions to be made between now and Jan. 15 -- the early entry deadline -- as the process goes on and players officially declare their intentions, we'll adjust the mock draft accordingly. But for now, 16 of the 31 picks are underclassmen.

A couple other notes:

LSU's Glenn Dorsey would become the first defensive tackle selected No. 1 overall since Cincinnati took Dan Wilkinson first in 1994.

A case of mock draft vs. my personal rankings jumps out with Atlanta taking Brian Brohm. I think Boston College's Matt Ryan is the best QB prospect, but Atlanta would take Brohm based on his ties with his former coach at Louisville Bobby Petrino.

Finally, while Atlanta and St. Louis and Oakland and Kansas City would flip a coin to determine their slot based on being tied in record and opponents winning percentage, the players they are projected to take wouldn't change.

Remember, this is the first of many mock drafts and things will change as we move closer to the 2008 draft, but if the draft were today, here's how it would shake out.

NFL Mock Draft

1. Miami Dolphins

Current record: 0-12

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, OG, DT

Projected pick: Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU

One of the Dolphins' top priorities is to upgrade the talent level along the offensive and defensive lines with an injection of youth. Dorsey played most of the second half of the season with a minor knee injury and a back injury and was still the most disruptive defensive tackle in the country. He should be ready to contribute immediately in the NFL.

2. New England Patriots (from 3-9 San Francisco)

Current record: 12-0

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: ILB, CB, OLB

Projected pick: Darren McFadden*, RB, Arkansas

This hardly seems fair. The league's best team lands the draft's top talent -- or strikes another lucrative draft-day deal for him. Both McFadden and Laurence Maroney split carries in college. A two-back rotation would make both last longer, not to mention the possibilities for an offense already overloaded with talent.

3. New York Jets

Current record: 3-9

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, NT, ILB

Projected pick: James Laurinaitis*, ILB, Ohio State

There simply is not a wide receiver to get excited about with the third overall pick and USC DT Sedrick Ellis is not a good fit as a two-gap NT in this scheme. McFadden should be the pick, if he falls to the Jets, but in this scenario, Laurinaitis makes the most sense. He would solidify the linebacker corps next to another young talent in David Harris (2nd round pick in '07). Michigan OT Jake Long is a possibility, as well.

4. Atlanta Falcons

Current record: 3-9

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, OL, DT

Projected pick: Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville

It almost makes too much sense. The Falcons, in desperate need of a franchise quarterback in the wake of the Michael Vick mess, use their first-round selection on a signal-caller who played for current Atlanta head coach Bobby Petrino at Louisville from 2004-06.

5. St. Louis Rams

Current record: 3-9

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, CB, DE

Projected pick: Jake Long, OT, Michigan

The season-ending injury to perennial Pro Bowl tackle Orlando Pace and the Rams' overall poor play along the offensive line this season make Long a real possibility with this pick. He is unquestionably the most dominant offensive-line prospect in the 2008 class.

6. Cincinnati Bengals

Current record: 4-8

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: DT, LB, OT

Projected pick: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC

It would be tough to pass on DE Chris Long, but the Bengals have a much bigger need for interior help. Ellis is a quick, tough and relentless defensive tackle. He has the potential to disrupt plays in the backfield while occupying blocks, which would make the Bengals' entire front-seven better.

7. Oakland Raiders

Current record: 4-8

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, WR, DL

Projected pick: Chris Long, DE, Virginia

Outside of McFadden, there isn't a player I value more in the 2008 class than Chris Long. He plays the game with rare passion and nearly flawless technique. In addition to controlling blockers as a 3-4 end in college, Long also disengages from blocks and makes big play after big play. The fact that he finished the regular season with 14 sacks playing in that scheme tells you all you need to know about his talent and motor. Raider Nation would certainly welcome another Long with open arms.

8. Kansas City Chiefs

Current record: 4-8

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, WR, CB

Projected pick: Ryan Clady*, OT, Boise State

Clady only makes sense here if Chiefs QB Brodie Croyle makes strides during the final few weeks of the season. If not, QB Matt Ryan would have to be a possibility with this pick. Clady is still improving his strength but he possesses impressive feet to go along with his enormous wingspan.

9. Baltimore Ravens

Current record: 4-8

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, CB, LB

Projected pick: Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College

Ryan is the top quarterback prospect in the 2008 class. In this scenario, the Ravens would send a thank-you letter to the Falcons and gladly take Ryan with the ninth overall selection.

10. New Orleans Saints

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: MLB, TE, DT

Projected pick: Keith Rivers, LB, USC

This is a bit high for Rivers, but the Saints need linebacker help and could fall in love with his leadership and tempo. Rivers could possibly play inside in the NFL, but his more natural fit is on the weakside. Regardless, he is a first-round talent with very good instincts, quickness and tackling skills.

11. Houston Texans

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: DB, OG, RB

Projected pick: Malcolm Jenkins*, DB, Ohio State

Jenkins spends most of his time in soft-zone coverage at both corner and safety at Ohio State. It's unlikely he will ever emerge as a shutdown man-to-man cover corner in the NFL, but Jenkins is a ball hawk with excellent size and straight-line speed. His versatility could help solidify the Texans' secondary.

12. Denver Broncos

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, DT, S

Projected pick: Kenny Phillips*, S, Miami (Fla.)

Phillips had a substandard season, and it would say a lot about his character if he returns to Miami for his senior season and take on a leadership role. On the flip side, Phillips is likely to be the top safety selected if he bolts school early for the 2008 draft. Denver is aging at the position, making it one of Phillips' potential first-round landing spots. His speed and athleticism would be a good complement to the Broncos' existing group of comparatively slow-footed tough guys.

13. Carolina Panthers

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, WR, DE

Projected pick: Andre Woodson, QB, Kentucky

Woodson has the size, arm strength and accuracy as a passer to develop into a good starter in the NFL. Some teams will be concerned about his occasional lapses in decision-making and lack of mobility. However, I would consider the Panthers fortunate if Woodson drops to them at No. 13 overall. In this scenario, Woodson would be the third and final quarterback off the board in the first round, leaving the Bears to adjust their plans quickly.

14. Chicago Bears

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, OT, S

Projected pick: Mike Jenkins, DB, South Florida

If the team can't get one of the top three quarterbacks, it likely will look for help along the offensive line and at safety. Jenkins plays mostly corner at South Florida but he may be a better fit at free safety in the NFL. Regardless, Jenkins has excellent speed and ball skills for his size. He has shown much better discipline and technique as a senior, which is why he is shooting up many NFL draft boards.

15. Philadelphia Eagles

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, S, WR

Projected pick: DeSean Jackson*, WR, Cal

Sam Baker would be a possibility, but will the Eagles really take another USC tackle considering Winston Justice's struggles thus far? From my vantage point, Jackson would be tough to pass on here if he leaves following a disappointing junior season at Cal. Sure, critics will attack Jackson for being lean and struggling to stay healthy. But none of his injuries project to have long-term ramifications. Plus, he's a better pure wide receiver than Ted Ginn Jr. (picked by Miami No. 10 overall in 2007) and Jackson is just as explosive in the return game.

16. Washington Redskins

Current record: 5-7

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, DE, S

Projected pick: Derrick Harvey*, DE, Florida

Harvey could use another season in Gainesville to improve his bulk and strength, but don't count on him returning. The 6-foot-4, 255-pound junior notched 17.5 sacks the past two seasons and will wow scouts with his speed and athleticism during workouts. Harvey could upgrade the Redskins' perimeter pass rush immediately.

17. Arizona Cardinals

Current record: 6-6

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, DT, RB

Projected pick: Sam Baker, OT, USC

Baker has the feet and balance of a future Pro Bowl left tackle. Unfortunately, he is neither aggressive nor strong enough to start in the NFL right now. Depending on how many underclassmen come out, Arizona could have more to choose from with this pick -- at both the offensive and defensive tackle positions.

18. Buffalo Bills

Current record: 6-6

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: TE, CB, OLB

Projected pick: Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU

Paul Posluszny, Buffalo's second-round pick in 2007, showed lots of promise prior to his season-ending injury. The Bills, however, could still use help at the position even if Posluszny returns to form. Cornerback and tight end are bigger needs, but Highsmith is rated higher than the next-best prospect at either position. Highsmith possesses the athleticism and speed to emerge as a playmaking starter in the NFL, but only if his bulk and recognition skills improve.

19. Minnesota Vikings

Current record: 6-6

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: DE, S, C

Projected pick: Calais Campbell*, DE, Miami (Fla.)

Yes, it's true. The Vikings are really in the market for another first-round defensive end. Campbell is first-round material despite failing to live up to expectations in 2007. Sure, he could improve his stock to the top-10 range by returning to school and maximizing his talents as a senior. Though something tells me an athletic 6-7, 285-pound end with 4.7-speed and 17 sacks the past two seasons won't slip far -- even if he's not fully developed.

20. Detroit Lions

Current record: 6-6

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, CB, TE

Projected pick: Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh

It looks like the Lions will be selecting outside of the top 10 for the first time since 2001. Now the trick is to find quality players this far down the line. Otah is a late-rising prospect from Nigeria with quick feet for such a massive frame. Otah will take some time to develop but he might be worth the wait.

21. Dallas Cowboys (from 7-5 Cleveland)

Current record: 11-1

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: S, OT, WR

Projected pick: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas

Sweed is the most naturally gifted receiver in the 2008 class if healthy. Unfortunately, the homegrown product's senior season was cut short by a wrist injury. Although durability is a concern, some team could get a steal in the bottom-half of the first round if Sweed returns to form as expected. Owner Jerry Jones has never been one to shy away from risks.

22. Tennessee Titans

Current record: 7-5

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, DT, CB

Projected pick: Malcolm Kelly*, WR, Oklahoma

The Titans need to surround franchise quarterback Vince Young with better perimeter weapons. Young may be forced to befriend a Sooner if his former teammate, Sweed, is off the board. Kelly could use another season of polishing but word out of Norman is the 6-4, 220-pound glider will take his chances in the upcoming NFL draft.

23. San Diego Chargers

Current record: 7-5

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: ILB, DL, RB

Projected pick: Rey Maualuga*, ILB, USC

Maualuga is finishing strong as a junior. He publicly stated he plans on returning to Southern California next fall, but Maualuga wouldn't be the first to renege on such a promise. A strong showing at the combine could catapult the 250-pound middle linebacker into the top-half of the first round.

24. Seattle Seahawks

Current record: 8-4

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, S, TE

Projected pick: Jonathan Stewart*, RB, Oregon

The Seahawks have some tough questions to ponder at the running back position in the upcoming offseason. Will Shaun Alexander return to form? Can Maurice Morris be the full-time load-carrier if not? Stewart has yet to indicate his intentions but it wouldn't be a bit surprising if he followed QB Dennis Dixon out of Eugene. Stewart has the versatility, power and burst to thrive in coach Mike Holmgren's system.

25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Current record: 8-4

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, CB, OLB

Projected pick: Aqib Talib*, DB, Kansas

Talib is a versatile athlete with the size, toughness and ball skills to fit well in the Tampa 2. Who knows, maybe coach Jon Gruden would get him some time at wide receiver like Mark Mangino did at Kansas.

26. New York Giants

Current record: 8-4

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OLB, OT, DB

Projected pick: Dan Connor, LB, Penn State

Connor is a bit overrated, but the Giants would be getting a solid value on him at No. 26 overall. Connor moved inside to middle linebacker as a senior but it seems his better fit in the NFL will be at the Will (weakside linebacker) position.

27. Jacksonville Jaguars

Current record: 8-4

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, OLB, S

Projected pick: Vernon Gholston*, DE/OLB, Ohio State

This would have to be worst-case scenario for Gholston, who has 21.5 sacks the past two seasons, including eight in his last four outings. Gholston is a bit undersized but he is powerfully built with above-average speed. The Jaguars would jump at the opportunity to select the junior here, even if end is not a top priority.

28. Pittsburgh Steelers

Current record: 9-3

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, WR, S

Projected pick: Michael Oher*, OT, Mississippi

The Steelers should use this picks to upgrade their offensive line. Oher is reportedly on the fence in regards to staying in school or turning pro. Should he leave early, Oher has all the physical tools a team looks for in a potential starting left tackle. He comes with some baggage, though, and his technique still needs polishing.

29. Green Bay Packers

Current record: 10-2

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: RB, S, OL

Projected pick: Felix Jones*, RB, Arkansas

Ryan Grant has been a nice story this season but the Packers can't count on him as its premier back moving forward. The verdict is still out on rookie Brandon Jackson, who has failed to meet expectations so far. A proven veteran would be ideal but Jones has proven capable of contributing as a complementary weapon. He brings world-class speed to the table as a runner, receiver and return specialist.

San Francisco 49ers (from 10-2 Indianapolis)

Current record: 3-9

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, OL, S

Projected pick: Early Doucet, WR, LSU

Obviously, the 49ers would like to have that No. 2 pick back from the Patriots, but they'll have to make due with the 30th pick. Doucet has been bothered by a nagging groin injury, which prevented him from emerging as a reliable No. 1 weapon at LSU this fall. But a couple fast 40 times and a big week at the Senior Bowl could help affirm his big-play potential for NFL decision-makers.

31. Dallas Cowboys

Current record: 11-1

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: S, OT, WR

Projected pick: Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College

The Cowboys can use this pick to bolster their offensive line depth after selecting a wide receiver (Sweed) earlier in the round. Cherilus has struggled in his first year on the left side and in a new system. A team patient enough to rebuild his confidence -- which probably includes moving him back to ROT -- could reap the rewards.

New England Patriots

Current record: 12-0

Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: ILB, CB, OLB

Projected pick: Pick forfeited.

Todd McShay is the director of college football scouting for Scouts Inc. He has been evaluating prospects for the NFL draft since 1998.

http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft08/ins...%26id%3d3144001

Miami is 0-12

Teams we have to play left.

Buffalo

Baltimore

New England

Cincinatti

San Franscisco is 3-9

Teams we have to play left.

Minnesota

Cincinati

Tampa Bay

Cleaveland

Atlanta is 3-9

Teams we have to play left.

New Orleans

Tampa Bay

Arizona

Seattle

New York Jets 3-9

Teams we have to play left.

Cleaveland

New England

Tennessee

Kansas city

St. Louis 3-9

Cincinati

Green bay

Pittsburgh

Arizona

Considering the Pats are supposed to get the 49ers pick which if it was today, they would get Mcfadden which is sick. Looking at our schedules and all the other teams. I hope San fran gets on a winning streak. Pats with Mcfadden is just plain scary. :(:(

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chris30277 (12/6/2007)
I'm sorry, but if we pick Brohm with Long still on the board we will be making a huge mistake. Brohm is too much of a reach there.

No kidding. If we make that move go ahead and plan on more 3-4 win seasons as we wait for the rookie QB to develop.

And I'm not even going into how much it will cost us to sign a QB with the #3 overall pick.

If we don't get the money from Vick drafting a QB that high will almost guarentee we can't sign any quality free agent linemen.

NO linemen worth anything is going to want to play in front of a rookie QB... unless you pay him very well.... which we won't have the cap room to do.

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fansince78 (12/6/2007)
I would be more concerned with Carolina picking Woodson than whatever the pats do. It is not likely that the Falcons will be meeting the pats in the superbowl next year, but they play Carolina twice.

Woodson isn't as great as everyone thinks he is. He folds under pressure from good defenses. I would love it if Carolina got him.

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I'd like to take this opportunity to reiterate that the Commissioner is a fool for not taking away the higher of the Pats' first round picks. Having a top five pick makes a mockery of their punishment.

I also note that, even though the boards are new, we've still got people who will quote a massive post just to add one single line of opinion. Good Lord. Is it really necessary, people?

I'd be okay with Brohm. Petrino's going to be in the best position to know about him and if we take him, it'll be because he'll fit. That's fine with me.

Direwolf

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chris30277 (12/6/2007)
I'm sorry, but if we pick Brohm with Long still on the board we will be making a huge mistake. Brohm is too much of a reach there.

I'm not so sure Brohm would be a huge reach for us, but what worries me even more is if the draft happened this way, six OT's would be taken before we had a chance with our first second round choice to get a stellar OT. This draft may be considered to be deep for OL but six good ones off the top could be problematic for us.

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Pats take Mcfadden? A couple of points about that.

#1 Since when do they actually RUN the ball?

#2 When did they become unhappy with Lawrence Maroney?

Im very surprised by that pick in the mock draft and that the Pats would even think of going that route.

And I too am for the commish taking away THAT pick from the pats rather than the 32nd.

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chris30277 (12/6/2007)
I'm sorry, but if we pick Brohm with Long still on the board we will be making a huge mistake. Brohm is too much of a reach there.

Agreed... this pick is too crucial for a reach, especially at QB. Long/McFadden or safe. No way San Fran trade out of the 1st, NE has no 1st to swap out with them!

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Killa (12/6/2007)
chris30277 (12/6/2007)
I'm sorry, but if we pick Brohm with Long still on the board we will be making a huge mistake. Brohm is too much of a reach there.

Agreed... this pick is too crucial for a reach, especially at QB. Long/McFadden or safe. No way San Fran trade out of the 1st, NE has no 1st to swap out with them!

McFadden yes, but IMO Long is not at all a safer pick than Brohm.

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