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  1. Link Thomas Dimitroff’s mounting roster failures and cap decisions have doomed the Falcons Accountability starts at the top. The man at the top has been egregiously mismanaging nearly every aspect of this team, making the same mistakes time and time again. By Matthew Chambers@FalcoholicMatt Nov 26, 2019 Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images The Falcons sunk from a 25-point lead in the Super Bowl to the clear bottom of the NFC South so quickly you could get whiplash. 2016’s team is a memory with no connection to what we see on the field this season. Between 2016 and today, the team jettisoned most of their coaching staff. The actions spoke for themselves: The problem was the coaches. With fresh faces, fresh ideas, and a much healthier team, the Falcons are even worse. Throughout the offseason, everyone from the owner down to coaches said the Falcons needed to fix the offensive line. Thomas Dimitroff reportedly promised Arthur Blank he would fix the offensive line. We now know the offensive line is far from rehabilitated, with even Dan Quinn saying the team’s overpaid, underperforming guards Jamon Brown and James Carpenter are a liability. How is the line just as broken after blowing millions and multiple first-round picks? We uncomfortably pointed at several similarities between 2014 and 2019 during the offseason. Among the similarities that preceded both teams, the Falcons tried to get tougher along the defensive line with multiple high-priced and early-round defensive linemen in 2014. In 2019, it was offensive linemen. Neither worked. There are similar storylines through each offseason. The top similarity is Dimitroff overpaying mediocre players, ignoring better prospects, and pretending glaring needs do not exist. The Falcons added three big defensive tackles in Mike Smith’s last season, essentially forcing homegrown Corey Peters to leave in free agency. All three flamed out. Tyson Jackson last played in the NFL in 2016, Paul Soliai last played in the NFL in 2016, and Ra’Shede Hageman last played a regular-season snap in 2016. Peters has 2.5 sacks in 2019 in his age-31 season. Watching the Falcons bench highly paid guards like Jamon Brown for Wes Schweitzer feels like the status quo. The plan was to fix the offensive line. They added four starters. The offensive line is now worse and more expensive. Dimitroff’s saving grace through the lean years was his contract negotiation and cap management. Cap management was easy when the Falcons rarely had to extend their draft classes. Look no further than the list of mounting early-round failures when Dimitroff was called a capologist. Takkarist McKinley may end up being worth that first-round selection, but the Falcons took McKinley over TJ Watt. Both players were highly-rated pass rushers. Dimitroff must have scouted both players. He decided on McKinley. Like most decisions Dimitroff makes, it was wrong. Now that the Falcons have had to extend a few great players, the team is in a cap disaster. Most teams can rebuild after a disaster season. Not Atlanta. There is no money to spend. In fact, the Falcons have to cut a lot of players just to sign their draft class. There is no cap genius behind this team. No brainchild delicately weaving together a long-term plan. Contracts are ham-fisted under the cap with seemingly no consideration for two to three years down the road. Imagine the Falcons trying to pay Vic Beasley, had he not turned into a mediocre waste of a top-10 selection. The Falcons overpaid mediocre-to-bad players, both in free agency and on the team, and seems to overpay players represented by CAA. It feels like Dimitroff took the Fyre Festival motto to heart, ignored the clear issues his moves created, and said, “Let’s just do it and be legends.” Those cap issues can be overlooked after a Super Bowl win or two, just like the lack of five-star housing could be overlooked due to the greatest beach music festival party ever. No legends were made. The only thing made was preventable disaster. Analyzing team needs has been problematic from the start. Ignoring the Vic Beasley debacle, Dimitroff, more often than not, simply ignores the team’s biggest needs. In 2019, nearly every mock draft had the Falcons selecting a defensive lineman. The need was not a secret. Hundreds of NFL analysts were able to look at the Falcons and say, “This team clearly needs defensive line help.” In fact, most analysts said the same thing in 2018. Dimitroff thought otherwise both years. Again, he was wrong in both seasons. 2019 was no abnormality. The Falcons over-invested in the offensive line while ignoring big issues elsewhere. Despite focusing the entire offseason on the line, it stinks. It felt almost insane the Falcons were guaranteed to have one of the league’s most expensive backup guards after drafting Chris Lindstrom 14th overall. Now the Falcons have one of the league’s most expensive benched guards. Somehow, this has happened before. Dimitroff did the same thing in 2014. He brought on three defensive tackles to a group that included the previously mentioned Peters and the ageless Jonathan Babineaux. There was very expensive depth at the expense of areas like defensive end, offensive line, and linebacker. Dimitroff overpaid multiple players after the Super Bowl run despite looming cap issues, highlighted by Matt Schaub, Levine Toilolo. Those deals forced the team to sit out of 2017 free agency, except for overpaying the underperforming and injury-plagued guard Brandon Fusco. Guess how that worked out. How many swings could Dimitroff possibly take at fixing the guard spot until he got it right? We can also not pretend his failures are limited strictly to the offensive line. In 12 years, the only good defensive lineman he has drafted was fifth-round selection Grady Jarrett. How is such a failure even possible? Falcons fans are looking at a 3-8 record, no chance at the playoffs, no signs of player development, no chance at paying a top free agent in 2020, and very little to be excited about. Thanks to egregiously mismanaging the roster, the cap, and nearly every aspect of the team, Dimitroff has doomed the Falcons yet again. He survived his incompetent 2014 season, but there is simply no reason for Dimitroff to survive the laughable moves made in 2019. Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, and the fans will not be here long enough to see if Dimitroff can fix the mess he made. Everyone involved deserves a competent general manager to steer this team back to relevancy.
  2. https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2019/10/22/20926643/report-falcons-working-on-vic-beasley-trade-finding-cool-market When we first heard that Vic Beasley was on the trade block, I had hoped some team enamored with his potential would surrender a mid-round pick for him. I knew that might be a long shot, but now it looks like an absolute pipe dream. Per Jeff Schultz at The Athletic, the Falcons are shopping Vic Beasley hard ahead of the trade deadline but aren’t exactly finding a ton of suitors. This is endlessly aggravating for any number of reasons. The team’s decision to roll on with Beasley on his fifth-year option was part of a larger bet Dan Quinn made on himself and his crew, and it’s turned out to be a catastrophe all around. The team’s defense has gone into the toilet and Beasley, while not the liability he was a season ago, hasn’t exactly taken a step forward. Considering the team had offers on the table for him last year and those likely would have been much better than what they are getting now—and considering the opportunity cost of keeping Beasley at that salary for 2019—what looked like a questionable move at the time can absolutely be declared a huge mistake. I’m hopeful Beasley will land somewhere where he’ll have better fortunes, and I’m hopeful the Falcons will get a draft pick back that they’ll be able to turn into a useful defender in 2020. We’re days, if not hours, away from knowing.
  3. https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2019/10/21/20924585/falcons-could-become-the-first-team-in-modern-nfl-history-to-go-5-games-without-a-sack-takk-vic The Atlanta Falcons have been pretty bad on defense, to put it mildly. It’s when that ineptitude starts intersecting with history that we have a big, big problem, and that’s happening now. The Falcons have currently gone four straight games without getting a sack. We know, as Mike Smith was fond of saying, that sacks aren’t everything, and the Falcons did manage to get some actual pressure on Jared Goff after spending the previous three largely flailing as a pass rush. But the failure to get even a crumb going after a passer 30-50 times per week is the symptom of a larger problem, and that larger problem is a pass rush loaded up with seemingly capable players (and, to be fair, a few less capable ones) who cannot seem to bring down an opposing quarterback. Get to five games in a row, though, and you have the worst sack drought in modern NFL history. 43 people are talking about this You’ll note from this chart that teams are, somewhat intuitively, very bad when they go on this kind of streak. You’ll also note that since 1970, which stretches back 50 full years now, no one has managed five games in a row without a sack. If the Falcons can’t get Russell Wilson down next week—and Russell Wilson is a **** sorcerer, so that’s quite possible—they’ll be in the history books yet again for something awful that I don’t even want to think about. Classic Falcons. Let’s hope the pass rush finally roars to life this week so we can avoid this.
  4. https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2019/10/9/20904622/daniel-jeremiah-on-falcons-defense-this-play-should-never-happen-rush-3-drop-8-what-are-we-doing Falcons fans have been fuming over the poor play of the defense against Houston since Sunday. After doing some digging, we found that Atlanta’s 53-32 drubbing at the hands of the Texans was their worst defensive performance of Dan Quinn’s tenure and the most points they’ve allowed since 2004. It appears that the national media has picked up on the embarrassing showing as well, with NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah particularly shocked with Atlanta’s schematic decisions. Jeremiah broke down a few plays by the defense, where the Falcons sent only 3 pass rushers and dropped 8 players into coverage. When the Falcons allowed huge gains and a TD on those plays—some of which featured only 3 receivers running routes versus the 8 coverage players—it prompted a shocked expression from Jeremiah and an exclamation of “This play should never happen.” I agree with Jeremiah 100%. The scheme was nonsensical from the beginning of the game. Dan Quinn’s decision to rely on rushing 3—which is a departure from his usual defensive philosophy of trying to get pressure with 4—and dropping 8 players into coverage was a poor one against a Texans team with plenty of firepower and a porous offensive line. Houston had been allowing almost 5 sacks a game though the first four weeks, and Atlanta managed zero on Sunday. They also only recorded two pressures, according to Next Gen Stats quoted by Jeremiah. I honestly cannot fathom the decision-making behind a gameplan that didn’t prioritize getting pressure on Texans QB Deshaun Watson. Watson is one the NFL’s rising stars, and the only thing that’s kept him down is a pretty bad offensive line and constant pressure in his face. The Falcons elected not to pressure him, instead relying on a secondary that has been beaten like a drum by the likes of Jacoby Brissett and Marcus Mariota. No offense to either of those guys, but Watson is a far superior QB. In the end, the Falcons allowed over 400 yards, an 84.8% completion percentage, 12.9 YPA, and 5 TDs to Watson. Quinn’s “adjustments” to the defense over the past few weeks have continued to make the unit look worse and worse. Instead of leaning into more aggressive schematic decisions—like those deployed against the Eagles—the defense has continued to become more and more conservative. We’ve seen larger cushions for receivers, more players dropped into coverage, and fewer blitzes, which has resulted in a significant lack of pressure since Week 2. Daniel Jeremiah was absolutely right: these types of plays should never happen. Sadly, it appears that Quinn’s instincts for fixing the defense are all wrong, and that’s why we saw one of the Falcons’ worst defensive performances of the 21st century in Week 5.
  5. https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2019/10/9/20902669/comparing-the-falcons-2019-and-2014-rosters-desmond-trufant-devonta-freeman-dan-quinn-mike-smith When we’re looking for a comparison for 2019, the year that keeps getting dredged up, over and over again, is 2014. It’s obvious why. The parallels are there. Both years have featured a coach coming off a deeply disappointing, injury-riddled year and knowing they’re on the hot seat. Both have featured heavy investments in free agency and the draft to improve the trenches. And both seasons, as we’re learning quickly about 2019, are massive disappointments. With another regime change likely in the offing, it’s worth looking at the situation the Falcons were left with in 2014 versus 2019. The conclusion, as you’d suspect, is that this team is far more talented, but that does not serve to make us feel better about anything that’s happening here. Offense 2019 vs. 2014 Offense 2019 2014 Matt Ryan Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Steven Jackson Keith Smith Patrick DiMarco Julio Jones Julio Jones Calvin Ridley Roddy White Austin Hooper Levine Toilolo Jake Matthews Jake Matthews* James Carpenter Justin Blalock Alex Mack James Stone Chris Lindstrom* Jon Asamoah Kaleb McGary Ryan Schraeder There is no doubt that the 2019 offense is more talented more or less across the board. Matt Ryan is better now than he was in 2014, Devonta Freeman is far better than Steven Jackson, Calvin Ridley is an upgrade on late-career Roddy White (albeit not a tremendous one just yet), Austin Hooper is miles and miles ahead of Levine Toilolo, and Jake Matthews and Alex Mack are obviously much better than...well, Jake Matthews. And James Stone. There are places where the Falcons had more strength in 2014, of course. Fullback is an obvious one, given how good Patrick DiMarco was and is, and even late career Justin Blalock was better than James Carpenter. Jon Asamoah may not be better than Chris Lindstrom, but Lindstrom being hurt and the team having to dip into reserves makes that close to a wash. And it’s not at all clear that McGary, for all his considerable promise, is a better player now than Ryan Schraeder was then. Actually, it is: He’s not. But here’s the funny thing: This obviously less talented 2014 team, run by the same offensive coordinator, was a better team through five weeks than the 2019 version. The 2014 Falcons scored 151 points in the first five weeks and stood at 2-3, while the 2019 team has 102 points and is 1-4. The offensive line has been a limiting factor despite everything the team has poured into it, but while this Falcons team has more talent, they’ve been considerably worse. That’s extremely depressing, but does indicate that the Falcons don’t have a massive rebuild in the offing on this side of the ball. A line with a healthy Jake Matthews, Chris Lindstrom, Kaleb McGary, and maybe Jamon Brown and Alex Mack should be good enough to win games in 2020, and the playmakers are still everywhere. It’s just unbelievable how bad they’ve been thus far in 2019. Defense 2019 vs. 2014 Defense/Special Teams Position 2019 2014 DE Takk McKinley Jonathan Babineaux DE Vic Beasley Kroy Biermann DT Grady Jarrett Paul Soliai DT Tyeler Davison Tyson Jackson LB Deion Jones Paul Worrilow LB Joplo Bartu De'Vondre Campbell CB Desmond Trufant Desmond Trufant CB Robert Alford Isaiah Oliver CB Damontae Kazee Robert McClain S Keanu Neal* Kemal Ishmael S Ricardo Allen Dwight Lowery K Matt Bryant Matt Bryant P Matt Bosher Matt Bosher LS Josh Harris Josh Harris You can gin up some sympathy for Dan Quinn and this coaching staff when you watch the Falcons blunder in ways that can’t simply be due to scheme, like the failure to find Will Fuller in zone coverage over and over again on Sunday. But then you look at the talent disparity between these two defenses and it makes you really, really mad. There isn’t a single position where you can say with confidence that the Falcons were better in 2014 than they are in 2019. Not at defensive end, where Kroy Biermann and some combination of Tyson Jackson/Jonathan Babineaux/Malliciah Goodman was not inspiring even if Takk McKinley and Vic Beasley aren’t having huge years; certainly not at defensive tackle, where Grady Jarrett is a star and Tyeler Davison is pretty good; DEFINITELY not at linebacker, where Deion Jones and De’Vondre Campbell compared to Paul Worrilow and Joplo Bartu isn’t fair on paper and isn’t fair no matter how much Campbell struggles in 2019. Maybe at cornerback, where Desmond Trufant was terrific in 2014 and Robert Alford was quite good, but not at safety, where Keanu Neal/Kemal Ishmael and Ricardo Allen are better than 2014 Kemal Ishmael and Dwight Lowery. The talent disparity is massive. Here, you’d expect the results to be better for the 2019 Falcons defense, but again you would be sadly mistaken. The Falcons have surrendered 152 points this year compared to 143 in 2014, and while things continued downhill in awful fashion for the Falcons in 2014, that’s pretty **** shameful given what Dan Quinn and company are working with. Special teams is the same, though obviously everyone is older. Conclusion Mike Smith left this roster is abysmal shape, which is still the worst part of his otherwise fine legacy as Falcons coach. The team hadn’t nurtured young talent in years, and the result was largely a veteran team with a lousy defense and holes riddling the offense. He did, however, leave Dan Quinn building blocks he didn’t know were building blocks, including Devonta Freeman, Ricardo Allen, and Ryan Schraeder. Dan Quinn will leave the next coach far more talent to work with, which is about the only positive note I can see at the moment in this bleak year. The new regime is likely to clear out several high-priced players and is almost certainly not bringing back guys like Vic Beasley and De’Vondre Campbell, but even so there’s a legitimate foundation, and a turnaround shouldn’t take all that long if the right staff is brought in. Unfortunately, comparing 2014 to 2019 just makes you feel worse about what we’ve seen thus far.
  6. It was a hot one in Flowery Branch today, and the Falcons were sweating it out in full pads for their second day of scrimmaging. The team essentially simulated a full game over Sunday and Monday. Tomorrow the team will focus on preparing more specifically for the Broncos in advance of the Hall of Fame matchup on Thursday. Wednesday they’ll travel, and Thursday they’ll take the field for the first somewhat real game of the 2019 NFL season. Here’s what you need to know from Monday’s practice. Day 7 notes Russell Gage once again got his fair share of targets with the first team. Kenjon Barner got some first-team reps and made the most of them, breaking a few ankles along the way on one run. The defense clearly came out on top on Monday, winning the two-day scrimmage 23-15. The defense came into Monday with a lead, and they made the offense work for every point and forced plenty of punts. Even though the offense didn’t come out on top, they did get opportunities to work through a lot of situations, like two-point attempts. Giorgio Tavecchio will be taking over kickoff duties. Rookie Jaelin Robinson, an undrafted free agent out of Temple, got some work with the first-team today. Wes Schweitzer has gotten some second team reps at center but it was primarily Chandler Miller, the undrafted free agent out of Tulsa, getting those reps on Monday. Dan Quinn said he’s been impressed with the rookie cornerbacks. Here’s part of the reason that’s the case for Kendall Sheffield. Calvin Ridley was back in pads and a helmet, but spent most of practice working with trainers off to the side. It was a pretty good crowd for a Monday. The Falcons had staff stationed near the foot of the hill to encourage fans to get loud on third downs, just like we’d all like to see happen in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. There’s still no news on Julio Jones’ new deal. Day 7 quotes Dan Quinn: On the scrimmage on Sunday and Monday: “We hit an entire third quarter, fourth quarter, end of the game moments that came up. So over two days, we basically split a game in all ways that you could. We tried to mix in versatility for all players in a lot of spots. Defensively, mix in between some 3-4 principles, some 4-3, where it’s nice to have that versatility when you need it for stand up outside guys, four down guys, and it’s important for us to have the ability to go in and out of some of those looks. I thought it was good offensively, we had some more examples — there was a two-minute to work down, two-point plays. So all those were a big factor for us.” On the plan going forward: “We’re still in camp mode, taking a couple day break to go play, and we’ll come back, we’re going back into a camp mentality, another set of installs, another set of things to work on. So a long way to go, but we made a lot of progress in seven practice days … if we keep getting better and getting closer, those things will play a **** of a lot better together.” On working on multiple defensive looks now: “Big nickel guys, big safeties — two-safety packages to match up. We’ve got corner guys, so sometimes you’ll see four corners out there — three defensive ends as a package at a time. You’ll see — could be some three or four linebackers the way they can run. So little packages — not tons, but little ones that could have an impact. This time of year, you plan big — what are you going to do against this scenario? Against this one? And then now you have it all in, and then you can bring in what you need for that game plan as opposed to putting it in the week of the game.” On the defensive performance during the two-day scrimmage: “I thought it was kind of hit or miss for pass rush. I thought I saw some good — (Allen) Bailey, (Grady) Jarrett, (Vic) Beasley had some. Man, (Takk) McKinley got felt more today. On the other side, I thought (Jack) Crawford was one that felt some. In the secondary, obviously making two big takeaways yesterday, when that doesn’t happen, obviously that’s one of the reasons their team was so ahead. So the takeaways, creating turnovers, being a ball hawk — I didn’t feel the same ballhawking intensity that I saw yesterday from the red team. So creating takeaways, why were they ahead 23-7 at the half? That was a big part of it — good takeaways, good pass rush. So it wasn’t at the same level today in terms of the takeaways, so those are the good ones to learn from.” On the RB depth chart being far from settled: “Today I would say it would be a different kind of shared role, because although I’m not discouraged by any of them at all, I’m more encouraged, where there hasn’t been a separation.” Matt Ryan: On the adjustments the offense is making: “A lot of install at this point, working through a lot of different things, figuring out how guys are going to fit into what we’re doing — we have some new pieces. I think the coaching staff has done a good job with that. As players, our focus is to just go out there and not make the same mistake twice as we’re installing things. If you mess up, that’s fine, but we’ve got to correct it and be better for it, and I think we’ve done a pretty good job of that the first couple of days of camp.” On Thursday being an opportunity for young players: “Yeah, for sure, especially when you have the additional preseason game like we have this year. It’s a really good opportunity for our young guys to get out there with the lights on and showcase what they can do. So I’m looking forward to watching those guys play on this coming Thursday night and seeing their hard work come to fruition out there on the field.” On where the team is after seven days of training camp: “I think we’re in a good spot. We’ve had a lot of install so far, putting a lot of different things in, trying to work on a bunch of different things that we’ll use throughout the course of the year. I think it’s a really good chance to see how young players can take things from the meeting room out onto the practice field. Overall, I think we’ve done a nice job — guys have worked really hard. We’ve got a long way to go, though.” The team will be back on the field for Day 8 Tuesday morning, and then they’re headed to Canton. We’ll have analysis of Tuesday’s practice and all of the Hall of Fame Game content you need right here on The Falcoholic. https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2019/7/30/20746229/falcons-training-camp-notes-and-quotes-recap-day-7
  7. Sambrailo leaks like a sieve. McGary will start week 1 vs Minny! As Durham put it, “this guy isn’t looking for a fight, he’s going to start one.” Falcons training camp: Observations on the offensive line And why Ty Sambrailo should be looking over his shoulder. By David J Walker on July 28, 2019 1:00 pm Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports After a 2018 season in which Matt Ryan was hit and sacked at one of the highest rates in his career, the front office decided they had to address the offensive line with gusto going into 2019. Many fans thought the team was done when they signed free agents James Carpenter and Jamon Brown. Many of us were stunned when they drafted G Chris Lindstrom in the middle of the first round and even more stunned when they grabbed tackle Kaleb McGary by trading back into the first. Mission accomplished. Now we need to see if those moves will actually pay off. Last year, the only two guys on the offensive line worth a **** were left tackle Jake Matthews and center Alex Mack. Every other starter in 2018 has either retired or been jettisoned. That leaves three big holes on the OL that need to be filled. Rookie Chris Lindstrom appears to have right guard locked down already and he has looked the part so far in camp. On Saturday the 27th, Lindstrom looked comfortable out there with the 1s and regularly stood up pass rushers and held his own, though it’s still just half speed. In one on one drills, Lindstrom was rarely beat and looks stout enough to face up against guys like Grady Jarrett. That’s a good sign in a division where he’ll face Gerald McCoy and Kawaan Short twice a year. Left guard is still a rotation between James Carpenter and Jamon Brown. Carpenterappeared to get more snaps with the 1s on Saturday, but this is likely going to be a competition until the end of the preseason. I will say this: both of these men are enormous. Carpenter seems to be pretty agile for his size, which could give him an edge in the competition. Right tackle is interesting. So far, Ty Sambrailo has been getting all of the snaps with the 1s while Kaleb McGary is stuck with the 2s. On Saturday, Sambrailo was regularly getting beat by guys like Vic Beasley and John Cominsky in one-on-ones. Sambrailowas solid down the stretch last year, but it’s clear the team will eventually want McGary to take that spot back. Dan Quinn specifically said that McGary is “pushing Sambrailo” though he didn’t indicate if he’d get any run with the first team any time soon. It’s also likely that the coaches are hesitant to put two rookie linemen on the field at the same time. That’s only exacerbated by the fact that they would be next to each other. They may feel that Sambrailo’s veteran presence is more important right now. That said, it’s clear the team wants McGary to emerge and it may just be a matter of time. As Jeanna and I were watching McGary run the 11-on-11 drills with the 2s, Wes Durham came by and asked us who we would start if the season were right now. All three of us seemed to agree it would be McGary. As Durham put it, “this guy isn’t looking for a fight, he’s going to start one.” Jeanna aptly compared McGary to Harvey Dahl, a comparison Durham particularly liked. The competition at right tackle is definitely one to watch in the coming weeks. It’s far from over. For a unit that was banged up and ineffective for large stretches in 2018, the start of training camp has looked promising. There’s still a lot to be figured out, but the fact that there are several good options is a much better position to be in.
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