Falcons In 2012

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Everything posted by Falcons In 2012

  1. The Falcons have invested significantly more resources into their offense. They should be the better unit by a comfortable margin. But Matt Ryan is on pace to set the NFL record for passing temps. Fact: if you pass 700 times you are not a good football team
  2. So you’re good with the offense. Gotcha. 2nd fewest ppg in the NFC. Yards are meaningless.
  3. He runs basic Pre snap activity. Not this: Doug Farrar of Bleacher Report ranked the 10 best offensive schemes in the NFL, and Shanahan’s “pre-snap passing game” landed his offense at No. 1. “Many teams use motion to help the quarterback discern whether a defense is playing man or zone, and some teams are especially good as using motion to gain positional advantages,” Farrar said. “But under Shanahan’s watch, pre-snap motion becomes a crazy quilt in which any skill position player can start anywhere and move anywhere else.” Shanahan’s pre-snap motion success is exemplified by Atlanta Falcons running back tandem Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman who combined for 85 receptions for 883 receiving yards last season. “Running backs Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman might start in the backfield together and each move into the receiver group—perhaps one in the slot and one outside,” Farrar added. “A Shanahan staple was to take fullback Patrick DiMarco and move him from the backfield to the outside receiver formation—something fullbacks don’t generally do. But DiMarco caught seven passes for 52 yards in the regular season and three more for 43 yards in the playoffs, and he never carried the ball. He was a blocker and receiver, and that was that.” Kyle Shanahan’s Atlanta Falcons offense was the NFL’s most effective through just about the entire 2016 NFL season, and there are multiple aspects of that offense Shanahan will take to the Bay Area as he gets ready for his first head coach position with the 49ers. “When I watched the Falcons take the NFC by storm in 2016—and the New England Patriots by storm for three-and-a-half quarters of the Super Bowl—it became clear to me that Atlanta’s pre-snap movement was the most diverse in the league and unquestionably the most effective.
  4. As a team, 900 receiving yards from RB’s in 2016. We are on pace for 630 yards this year. That 70% of the production
  5. I don’t disagree. Every metric has a flaw. But Manuel put the team in position to make INT’s or recover fumbles. Trufant missed at least 5 INT’s that hit him between the numbers. The players simply didn’t make the plays. If just 5 of those potential TO’s turn into TO’s, those per drive stats look very different. That’s the only difference between 2015 Seahawks & 2017 Falcons. it’s amazing how strongly TO differential correlates to defensive and overall team success. The 2017 Falcons were one of the few teams in NFL history to have a top 10 defense (yards & points) despite being bottom 10 in TO differential.
  6. The 2nd half vs Indy is about it.
  7. I like per drive stats, but think per play gives you a better number. I was good with the 2017 Falcons defense. Compare it with the 2015 Seahawks defense. • 2017 Falcons: .30 points allowed per play • 2015 Seahawks: .29 points allowed per play. • 2017 Falcons: 5.0 yards allowed per play play • 2015 Seahawks: 4.9 yards allowed per play The problem was Trufant not catching INT’s and we couldn’t recover fumbles. Bad luck. That skews the per drive numbers. • 2017 Falcons: 25th Yards, 20th Points • 2015 Seahawks Per Drive: 2nd Points, 5th Yards
  8. 2nd worst in the NFC. Let that stew for awhile.
  9. I’m guilty of often referencing PFF. I like their raw data. But this from Belichick tells you to take it all with a grain of salt. “Don’t bother grading a player unless you have his playbook, and even then it’s not enough in case the play changed” “The New England Patriots head coach got going on grading players and didn’t stop for nearly 30 minutes. Belichick initially talked about the difficulty of grading certain plays without first talking to the players involved. Belichick noted his own team runs into this issue when watching opposing teams. “You see a play on film and a receiver goes uncovered down the field, so you know it is one or two guys’ mistake, but you don’t necessarily know which guy it is, right?” Belichick said on WEEI. “And so, a lot of times you see announcers say, ‘Well Fauria should have taken him, or Belichick should have taken him’ and I am looking at the play saying, ‘Well, it could have been either guy, it just depends on what the call was and what they were doing.’ A lot of times we look at our plays and we see a mistake there and maybe we come off the field and a guy makes a tackle in the backfield and we’re like, ‘Oh my God, this guy made a mistake.’ And he tells us, ‘Well no, at the line we called something else,’ so it wasn’t him, and it actually was another guy. “A lot of times on film we see that. We see a mistake and have to go back to see what the call was. We know somebody is wrong here, but it just depends on what the call was as to which guy is right and which guy is wrong. A lot of times we don’t know what happened until Monday. We know there’s a problem on the play, but until you actually talk to the players and say, ‘OK, what happened on this play — oh, I thought he said this, I didn’t hear it, or he said this, but I played that, whatever it is.’ You’re right, in terms of analytics you get a lot of this guy should have had him, that guy should have had him, but I know from our team there are times where we don’t know what went wrong until you really can sort the play out. There’s no way somebody else could know is the point. Sometimes what it looks like is not what it is. “And then you often see players, defensive backs, somebody gets behind the defense for a touchdown and they pull off or don’t chase because they don’t want it to look like it was their guy, that type of thing. There are plays like that where they kind of definitely skew it, and a lot of times they are big plays. It is an interesting question and an interesting point when it comes to who is at fault, who does what and it actually is pretty frequent that that comes up.” Belichick also stressed the need to have a sliding scale. Because the opposing team can pick up chunks of yards when everyone is technically executing their assignment. “Sometimes you can run into conflict as a coach where you look at the play and — all right, let’s say defensively the end sort of does his job, the tackle sort of does his job, the linebacker sort of does his job, the other linebacker sort of does his job and they gain 6 yards,” Belichick said. “And you’re like, ‘Wait a minute.’ Like, everybody’s kind of doing what they’re supposed to do. There’s nobody here that’s really bad. But they just gained 6 yards. They can’t gain 6 yards and everybody does their job. “So, then there has to be a higher standard of what’s a high grade or what’s an acceptable grade or what isn’t. And that’s a fine line. It really is. Because players can go out there and do their job and then they can do a great job of it. They can do a solid job. Or it can be, well, it’s not perfect but it’s kind of OK. And then there’s the obvious one that’s just you get beat. We all get beat. I’d say there’s a gradation in there between A, B and C let’s call it. So, maybe C’s a passing grade, but are you really going to win playing C football? B’s good. It might be good enough sometimes. A, it’s hard to get straight A’s out there. They’ve got some A players too. The grading part of it is a fine line. It really is.” Belichick also acknowledged that some players are judged on a much smaller sample size than others. The overall grade of a wide receiver or cornerback can be swayed by one big play. “Well, look, if you’re a corner, you might only be involved in five plays a game,” Belichick said. “It’s not like you’re playing nose tackle. Sometimes there are no opportunities. There’s some players who are involved in a lot of plays — middle linebacker or a center guard. Every single play goes through them. Then there are other players, you have defensive ends — if the ball runs one way, the other guy’s — unless they run a reverse — the other guy’s really not that involved in it. He has a responsibility to do. “Like, how do you get a minus as a receiver? You drop the ball. That’s about it. Otherwise, if you run your 10-yard route or your 15-yard route or whatever it is, then, well, you’ve kind of done your assignment. If you drop the ball, then obviously that’s a minus. “I’m just saying there’s a difference between — and so, really a lot of those plays, let’s call them zeroes. They’re really not grade-able plays. You want the plays — what’s the grade on the plays where the player’s actually involved in the play. So, for corners and wide receivers, their opportunities are a lot less than interior linemen, linebackers, quarterback — a running play, unless he misses the handoff or something there’s not really — he can screw the play up. I’m not saying that. But generally speaking, that play now belongs to the runner. If it’s a passing play, then that play belongs to the quarterback.”
  10. Nice find. To be fair, they’ve only had 9 plays out of heavy sets. Not enough to keep the defense honest or guessing
  11. I think you are exactly correct. We seem to have no consistent offense of philosophy. Same goes for defense. Stick to what you’re comfortable coaching. Go back to a 43 under
  12. I remember you being one of the few who thought Bevell was the logical choice. The lack of pre-snap motion, the lack of naked bootlegs, the lack of outside zone, the lack of quick slants, the lack of RB’s in the pass game are all a complete mystery.
  13. It’s wholesale because DQ would not stay on as DC. Who would take his place? Ulbricht could do it
  14. I’ll be honest, if all the receivers did this with Ryan during the offseason, we would be unstoppable if we had an OC capable of coaching the WCO What has gotten me better? I’d probably say it was time I’ve spent with Matt," Hooper said. "You spend 1,000 reps working on the same thing. So, Matt and I are on the same page. I feel like that’s the biggest difference with me now. Like, I didn’t drop 3/10 off my 40 time this past offseason or anything like that."
  15. That’s too much wholesale change. IMO the easiest fix is on offense. Let Knapp call the plays. He isn’t a world beater, but he is the only coach with WCO pedigree. Let the team play to their strengths… Clearly they are better in a West Coast offense
  16. Koetter was a solid hire for us once Mularkey left. He made Ryan better. But Ryan has outgrown him IMO. The problem is I don’t know what playbook is being used. It’s not Koetter’s and it’s not Shanny/Sark/Falcons...it’s like an evil spawn of the worst parts of each.
  17. Maybe TD & Quinn made the same mistake. Perhaps they thought Mularkey & Koetter were WCO geniuses...lol Things to ask during OC interview process: what offensive philosophy do you ascribe to?
  18. At least this year we are consistent and both sides of the ball are cheeks. So there is progress
  19. This felt like the offseason of Blank. TD was left scrambling, doing everything in his power to make AB happy. I really don’t believe Quinn wanted OG at 14 and certainly didn’t want to trade a 3rd to move up and draft an OT. The post draft interviews are telling. Quinn said there were “heated” exchanges on draft day about the first round options All offseason Blank harped on protecting Ryan & paying Debo, Grady & Julio. Falcons for life. Makes it tough to negotiate when the owner says things like that I also don’t believe Quinn wanted to fire MM. Being the HC & DC is exhausting and I don’t see Quinn wanting to take the role. Perhaps play a bigger role in meetings and gameplan, but not assume all the responsibilities. I think Blank said you can keep your job but only if you’re the DC. And Quinn said...yes sir
  20. And the most “talent”....bad combination
  21. Not with the emergency QB. Maybe 4-5 wins on the year
  22. I don’t know why we can’t beat AFC teams, but it doesn’t bode well for us winning a SB...lol. If only we could play the Packers or Seahawks in the SB
  23. To be fair, nobody wins when forced to play with the #3 emergency QB
  24. I am saying Ryan is a timing QB. The very best version of Ryan is throwing once his back foot plants on either a 3, 5 or 7 step drop back. When throwing in rhythm, Ryan has few, if any, peers. Wilson’s genius is after the drop back and he is forced to go off script. That is where Ryan falls short
  25. You used one play vs Brees to form a narrative. I returned the favor