Falcons In 2012

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Everything posted by Falcons In 2012

  1. PA isn’t nearly as effective out of shotgun or pistol. Neither is the run game. Even in 2016 & 2017, when out of shotgun or pistol Freeman averaged a full yard less per carry From the Shannahan perspective, he was pretty clear on why he prefers to have the QB under center. You can go shotgun but that will also make your offense a whole lot more predictable and now you're leaning more on individual player execution than scheme. It forces you to move away from what your offense does best. Our 2016 offense was heavily dependent on misdirection and playaction. Going shotgun eliminates a lot of that and a blitzing defense is still going to get to the quarterback but now they have a lot less to worry about in terms of misdirection. It gives them more time to react since more of the action is further back of the line of scrimmage. It also makes life tougher on the RBs since they aren't getting a running start with the football, making it tougher for them to go downhill. I guess misdirection isn’t a huge part of our offense anymore. That’s unfortunate. So maybe being under center isn’t as important. In SF right now: Jimmy undercenter 76% 104 QB rateJimmy gun 57% 82 QB rate
  2. I’m seeing things apparently. I could have sworn your post said look at how KC dominates out of 4 WR sets. Bottom line, Ryan’s best numbers are when he is under center and hard PA is used. That’s what I want to see more of. Heavy personnel settings were something I thought Mularkey would handle but as of yet it hasn’t happened too much except vs Indy
  3. KC doesn’t really run 4 WR sets. The Cardinals do, but KC hasn’t done it once this year. Or am I reading this wrong? https://www.sharpfootballstats.com/personnel-grouping-frequency.html
  4. Matt Ryan is an MVP quarterback. Julio is top 5 WR All Time We are averaging 20 ppg. 20 ppg despite having Ryan, Julio, Ridley, Sanu, Hooper, Mack, Matthews, Freeman and two first round OL. So out of 11 players on offense, 7 are pro bowlers, 1 could be and 2 are first round picks this year. That leaves our LG as the only non-elite player on offense. 20 ppg. We are #1 in penalties and #2 in TO’s. Nothing about the offense has been great. But it could be great. Just clean it up. With that said, Dirk doesn’t get a pass for the issues mentioned above.
  5. I’d really love to see us in a bit more heavy personnel to keep the defense off balance. More 13 and 21 worked wonders for us in 2016. It is especially useful on first down. My only gripe is seeing Ryan out of shotgun so often. Being under center always keeps the threat of run in play. Keeps the defense honest. “Shannahan 13 personnel more than just two other teams, and 21 personnel more than only one. And although he prefers tight ends and fullbacks to multiple wide receivers, he doesn't use heavy sets to just run the ball. No team threw out of 13 or 21 personnel more than the 2016 Falcons; in fact, Shanahan threw out of 13 or 21 personnel more than half of NFL teams combined.In 2016, the Falcons won because they won on first down, and they won on first down because they were balanced. Shanahan used both big and small sets, and ran and threw out of both -- Ryan was under center on 76-percent of first-down snaps, which was tops in the league and 1.5 times the NFL average. When an offense's playbook isn't limited by personnel or formation, it puts the defense at a distinct disadvantage. Defenders are forced to protect the entire field, mismatches are created, and defenders are more prone to make mistakes. This enabled Shanahan's offense to be both efficient and explosive”
  6. Reading @athell thread about the Falcons identity, or lack thereof, got me thinking about Quinn’s tenure. No coach in the NFL survives having 3 OC’s & 3 DC’s in just 5 years. Replacing just one coordinator creates wholesale changes and adjustments. We have had 6 Coordinators in 5 years. I suspect that may be the cause for much of the inconsistencies we have seen since 2015. World beaters to paper champs on a week-to-week basis. For those who have played at a high level, how disruptive would having 6 Coordinators in 5 years be?
  7. This explains what I am saying better than I can. "I’ve certainly changed a lot in the last 30 years, schematically. Wade really . . . hasn’t. He really hasn’t. You’ve got to give him credit for that. The system has lasted. I mean, really, this is part of his dad’s system that he’s developed and adapted and developed there.” How shapeshifter Bill Belichick has beaten a league built for parity for 18 years The New England Patriots head coach is an economics major, and his exploitation of market inefficiency has helped him dominate the NFL Oliver Connolly Tue 29 Jan 2019 04.30 EST Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share via Email One of the most staggering things about the New England Patriots’ two decades of domination in the NFL is that, Tom Brady aside, their success isn’t built on a raft of superstars. That’s not say they haven’t had fine players: Randy Moss and the late Junior Seau are already in the NFL Hall of Fame and Brady, Rob Gronkowski and Adam Vinatieri will probably join them. But more than anything, the Pats’ five titles since 2001 have been about the team as a whole. And that’s down to the single most important person in the NFL: Bill Belichick. The head coach’s ability to zig while others zag has kept New England ahead of every team in the league for 18 years, and led to a mindboggling period of sustained success that should be impossible in a league that is designed for parity through a salary cap and draft system. Belichick’s genius lies in his refusal to wed himself to one overriding philosophy. He’s a shape-shifter, constantly evolving his team’s style – and that flexibility has been on show this season. As modern schemes have expanded the field and the focus has been on the dominance of quarterbacks and smaller, more mobile defensive players, Belichick has returned to an old-school, power running system Super Bowl: Rams' Robey-Coleman says age has 'taken a toll' on Tom Brady According to a recent study, New England are the third-heaviest team in the league. And that’s by design. Belichick, an economics major, is constantly looking to find market inefficiencies to exploit. He has had great success with quirky schematic innovations, but, for the most part, he takes tried and tested methods and adopts them. The brilliance is in the timing. Belichick reintroduced the 3-4 defense to the league back in the early 2000s. When it got too popular (thanks to the Patriots’ success), he switched back to a 4-3, where he could unearth some cheap gems. He was also an early adopter (around 2011) of the up-tempo spread offensethat’s become ubiquitous in 2018. And he helped change the meaning of what a two tight-end team looked like, using Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez in ways we had never before seen: plodding tight ends were out, pass-catching polar bears were in. Naturally, Belichick now pretty much ignores that tactic. The Patriots have played a total of 12 downs with a running back and two tight ends on the field, far and away the lowest total in the league. What used to be the team’s base strategy is now an afterthought. Belichick saw a new way to take advantage of opposing teams and morphed. As defenses across the league have evolved to counteract spread offenses, they’re left vulnerable to run-heavy teams. So Belichick’s Patriots have poured resources into developing a sturdy offensive line to power that run game, including the huge left tackle Trent Brown, who stands at 6ft 8in and weighs a hefty 380lbs. They’ve also concentrated on developing the deepest, most flexible running-back room in the league. Sony Michel was the Patriots’ first-round pick in 2018 – a cardinal sin among the more analytically minded who consider running backs less important in an era dominated by the passing game. The other New England running backs are made to feel like they matter too: James White and Rex Burkhead both make north of $3m while fullback James Devlin is the fourth-highest earner at his position in the league. All of them play a bunch of snaps, and they’re routinely deployed together in any number of pairings – the Patriots have used two backs on 36% of downs this season, trailing only the San Francisco 49ers. Belichick still uses his crown jewel of course: the same quick passing game we’re used to from Tom Brady is still humming along, and it was needed in the fourth quarter and overtime of the AFC Championship game with the team’s season on the line. But the Patriots’ late-season revitalization has been fueled by the offensive line and running game as much as anything else. Prior to their Week 11-bye, the Patriots averaged 108.5 rushing yards per game, eclipsing the 100-yard mark only five times in 10 weeks. Belichick doubled down after the mid-season break, committing to a strategy that would work during the bad weather of December and January. In the last eight games, the Patriots have churned out an average of 160.3 yards per game, rushing for over 100 yards in all but two games. Is Tony Romo already the greatest TV analyst in US sports? Sunday’s Super Bowl is the culmination of Belichick’s grand plan. No team symbolizes where the sport is going as much as the Patriots’ opponents, Sean McVay’s Los Angeles Rams: young, fun, and innovative on offense; explosive and light on defense. The Rams are the lightest team in the NFL. And it shows on defense, particularly against the run. LA are the 28th-ranked defense in the league in rush defense DVOA, despite having the best two-man tandem in football playing along their defensive line. Belichick’s bet that a ball-control ground game was the Patriots’ best path to clinching their sixth championship has already paid dividends. While Brady and the Rams’ high-flying offense will dominate discourse this week, how LA’s defense stands up to the Patriots’ ground game will prove decisive on Sunday.
  8. I tend to agree that changes to the OC have more drastic effect than a change to the DC. But why do you think that is?
  9. Great post, @vel Being 1st in penalties and 2nd in turnovers is a recipe to a 1-15 season. Correct it and we will be a playoff team. On the other hand, if te TO’s and penalties continued, we are a 5 win team. A less talented team would go winless. And people should know statistics mean squat with us. Up 28-3 we were 99.9% to win the SB. And, well.....errrrrr. Jk
  10. We would be 0-3 and on our way to the #1 overall pick without Ryan
  11. Schematically, how would you compare the 2001 patriots to the 2007 Patriots and the 2007 team to the 2017 squad. Those are three very different offensive units who went about things in very different ways
  12. True. But over the years their offense of philosophy has transition from power running ball control, to spread Offense, to the Kong’s of 2 TE & no name guys at RB and now back to power run game.
  13. That 91 Giants team won 3 playoff games using a different base defense in each game. They used a 34, tge a 4-3 Under vs SF and a 3-3 dime vs Bills. Bill is a shape shifters. But I get frustrated when people say Tom Brady is great because they have never changed scheme. Bill changes his offense and defense more than anybody in the NFL
  14. I meant the Giants...my bad. You don’t think a 34 with Cover 2 is pretty different than a 4-3 or hybrid in Cover 1? He moved from elite talent on the DL to elite talent in the secondary. He wanted small/more athletic guys in the secondary
  15. Bill’s defensive philisophy has altered dramatically since his time in Cleveland. With the Browns he ran a very conservative two gap 34 with Cover 2 on the back end. Doesn’t get much more conservative. Then with the early 2000 Pstriots he ran a complex multifaceted defense that was perfect for a veteran heavy unit. Those early 2000 Patriots were so dominant that few noticed the switch to a bend but don’t break philosophy for the second part of the Patriots dynasty. They give up yards, not points. The opposite of Koetter...sorry, bad joke As Belichick said, “when you’re schematically voluminous, a players versatility and IQ trump their athleticism.”
  16. The switched from a 34 to a 4-3 under and now To a hybrid. The constant was Bill. The scheme has changed many times
  17. This is why Julio has no peer at the WR position
  18. This is what I’m talking about. It’s just one play, but if we run block like this our season can still be special. I mean, Julio literally takes out two defenders when he de-cleats McCloud who crashes into another defender...lol. McGary needs to leave his double team quicker to get to the 2nd level but other than that it’s a perfect example of what could and should be
  19. I can’t support the bolded. This is the a Falcons. You know full well the pass would fall incomplete and what should have been a 4th down and punt ends up a 1st down and points given up
  20. Records are a product of health and longevity as much as generational talent. Let’s see where Mahomes is after 10 years
  21. We can survive 1-2. I’d be concerned at 1-3 though, especially with losses to Tenn & a team without their two best players in the Cots. Would have to finish winning 9 of 12 games
  22. Would you be shocked if Cam best out Hunter? Both play very solid defense, Cam has higher ceiling IMO i am still surprised the rookies voted for who would have best NBA career and Cam won in a landslide
  23. @athell You guys will appreciate these dope passes. I have a decent feeling about this year @vel@g-dawg
  24. Francis is good people, bro. And he isn’t the only person who goes on the occasional rant