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Everything posted by Beef

  1. Appreciate it. Spent the weekend on Lake Blue Ridge. Spending today trying to recover.
  2. Oliver needs to drastically improve or we'll be drafting another CB next draft. 65 completions on 98 targets (66%), 527 air yards and 381 yards after catch given up, and 5 TD's and 7 missed tackles on those 65 comps, overall 113 QBR allowed. That's bad. Real bad. And Sheffield wasn't any better. 41 completions on 55 targets (75% YIKES!), 213 air yards and 232 yards after catch given up, and 2 TD's and 5 missed tackles on those 41 comps, overall 110 QBR allowed. No wonder we were bottom in the league in pass coverage. ETA: And here's Trufant for reference.
  3. BTW, here are all the stats on Gurley, in case anyone wanted to delve into them:
  4. Oh, and to add Todd Gurley to this... In 2018, Gurley was 3.0 average yards after contact for 774, with a BT rate of 9.4% and YAC rate of 61.9%. In 2019, Gurley was 2.5 average yards after contact for 562, with a BT rate of 14.3% and YAC rate of 65.6%. So looks like he had a slump in average YAC, but he still had a stellar broken tackle rate and still got YAC on the majority of times he was touched. One of the things I noticed is they ran him inside a lot more last year than in previous years, so maybe that made a difference. He does his best work when going outside the tackle
  5. I did an analysis of advanced stats on our RB's, and a few other RB's in the league, some months back. I'll see if I can find it and show why Freeman was absolute trash last year and why he got cut. If I remember correctly, he had the lowest yards after contact of any RB in the league, or close to it, plus a couple other things that were ugly.
  6. It's the entire state of New York, which has nearly 19.5 million people in it, is the 4th most populated state in the country, and was the hardest hit state in the country by CV-19. And you somehow don't think it's relevant? Well that's pretty obtuse and silly.
  7. Yep. I'm just trying to give people hope that there will be a football season, and supporting why I think that with real data. I don't understand why anyone would shoot that down without even looking at that data and making their own conclusions. Do they really not want a football season?
  8. I've merely supplied real substantiated factual data, and then gave analysis and deductive conclusions based on that data. It shouldn't bother anyone that it contradicts the "official" narratives on Covid19. In fact, I'd become suspect of people's motivations for choosing to ignore this data and turn defensive of the bureaucratic narrative. I mean, if it turns out that this illness was here much earlier than thought, then that means there is almost assuredly widespread herd immunity already in place, and therefore much greater likelihood of us having a sports/football season. W
  9. Yes, to some lab in Wuhan, China. Patient zero in December, 2019. We all know that's the "official" report from "honest government officials and the so honest WHO". But again, I just supplied real data that suggests New York had the worst flu season in 100 years, and that flu season seemingly came to a screeching halt the instant COVID test kits rolled out. I mean if you want to ignore the very strange data and just trust bureaucrats, I guess that's your prerogative.
  10. No, this is flu cases in New York State per their health department. Link Go back one page and read my analysis of what you're looking at. Just be open-minded and apply some quite simple logical deduction. Understand that 2017-18 was supposedly the worst flu season in 50 years, and this year we blew it away by +34% margin. Which is completely unreasonable. This means that we just had THE WORST flu season since the 1918 Spanish Flu epidemic. From October 1 to Feb. 28th, the state of New York had 157,000 reported flu cases. 2017-18 was 117,000 during that period. The
  11. Again, we already had both at the same time. There's no other explanation for this:
  12. Yeah I was kind of floored when I looked into flu numbers and saw that year over year comparison chart for New York. Also, I'm 1000% sure my wife had CV-19 from late November to late January. She's a nurse at Kennestone Hospital, and her, and about two-dozen other nurses, PA's, and doctors she works with, coughed for nearly 10 straight weeks during that period. Like violently coughing, to the point it was making her puke and dry-heave constantly. All day, every day for ~10 weeks. I got it for about a week and my kids got it for about 2 weeks around Christmas. But my wife has
  13. Well, considering most of this country probably already has herd immunity and antibodies, since what we had in March was likely already the second wave of this virus, I think we'll figure out that re-opening things in phases, and just being smart about doing it slower in bigger cities like NYC, is going to workout fine. Here is the flu tracker for NY State from October through first couple weeks of March. NYS Heath Dept. official Flu Tracker The 2017-18 flu season was credited as the worst flu season in 50 years, but supposedly 2019-20 just blew it away by a +34%
  14. A project?? WTF?? The kid has arguably the best overall technique of any CB in the draft. Even Deion Sanders acknowledges this. Silky-smooth feet and hips, turns his head, superb mirror speed and closing speed, body control, size, exceptional length, and a great fearless tackler. The #2 overall college defense and defensive coordinator put this kid on an island against every #1 receiver of every team they faced, and in 426 coverage snaps in 15 games, he only gave up 23 receptions and 3 TD’s, 2 of which were in one game against J’Marr Chase. And you think this guy is a “project
  15. Actually, Marlon covers all of this at his Senior Bowl presser. They asked him what he played at during the season and he said 295. He weighed in at 303 for the combine because he wanted to get over 300, because so many teams are talking about playing him mostly inside at the 3T. He said his normal game weight was about "8 lbs lighter", though. He says he would like to get to around 290 and stick there so he can move inside and out, but he'll play at whatever the team wants him at. He even said he'd most like to play the 4iT if he had his choice, which is precisely what he'd p
  16. There's no way Davidson played at 275. He was every bit of 295+. The dude is a freak athlete at 300 and should stick around there, give/take 5-10 lbs either way, and he'll still be a legit beast. He's going to line up and go against OG's primarily in our scheme either way. On run downs, he'll be a DE facing a Guard and covering a B and C gap from a 5 or 6 technique. On passing downs, he'll be a DT opposite Grady, across from a Guard, and trying to penetrate a B or A gap probably from a 4i technique. But he's so quick, I also suspect he'll have stunt packages designed specificall
  17. 3 years from now when we look back on this draft, we might very well realize we got the steal of the draft at pick 47. This dude is straight up football player and a beast waiting to be unleashed.
  18. We only have 3 picks left, right? I hope we don’t have to move up for an OLB, which is surely our most serious need at this moment. We kinda have to go LB and S today, don’t you all think? Or are we saying we’re good with Neal, Rico, and Kazee? Our TE room is barren, too. And I really hope Gurley can stay healthy. As much as I’d love getting McFarland, we don’t really have any luxury 4th round picks to get him. And what about edge? Takk, Fowler, and Larkin are it?? Yikes.
  19. People need to remember we run a 4-3 Under on run downs and a typical 4-2-5 on pass downs. In the Under, our lineup is something like 6/7/8t—1/2t—4/5t—7/8/9t with Grady or Davison essentially playing NT. Marlon would very likely play the 5t in this formation with maybe Bailey or Comminsky outside Grady and Takk or Fowler on the edge. However, there’s a chance Marlon plays outside the NT and we stack Grady and Davison/Senat inside, because he’s flexible enough to do that too. On pass downs, we’re typically 7/8/9t—3/4it—3/4it—7/8/9t, and I very much suspect Marlon will be inside
  20. Cushenberry better than Hennessy. Did it in the SEC too.
  21. I don’t see us going 3 defensive players in a row. So my guess at 78 is Cushenberry. Can start at LG and then slide over to Center when Mack is done.
  22. I’m guessing we draft Cushenberry. Can start at LG and slide over to Center when Mack done.
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