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  1. MLB Pipeline released their garbage top 10 RHP prospects list today.
  2. Here's my range. TOP END: Ron Guidry, Jose Quintana, Jimmy Key MID: Scott McGregor, Dave McNally, Mike Flanagan (oddly all Orioles pitchers of the late '70s) LOW END: Brian Duensing. Craig Lefferts, Steve Howe
  3. Reynolds is pretty interesting, and I expect throwing in the cash is what helped get him rather than a lesser prospect. This trade seems pretty fair.
  4. I'm happy I could entertain you on a boring offseason Saturday night! I try not to comp players. I know why scouts do it, to give a broad indication of what kind of player a prospect is, but fans tend to take comps to heart a little too much. Take Swanson for example, getting comp'd to Derek Jeter. Yes, ideally he's that "type" of player, no dominant tool but above average in everything with high make-up and leadership potential. Some fans here that and go SWANSON IS THE NEXT DEREK JETER. That's not going to happen or ever will happen. Can you comp Acuna to Andruw? Sure, above average defense, power. But I don't like the comp because no one will stand up to being compared to the greatest defensive centerfielder of all time. If I comp, I try to what kind of player they could be if they hit maybe their midpoint career trajectory. Let's take Allard for example. When I make my lists, I try to think about what a player's ceiling and floor are. (Note on floors: every player has the exact same true floor suffering some sort of injury or disability that prevent them from playing in the majors. That's a given, and also not useful. So when I say "floor", I'm assuming they will be healthy enough to continue to play, they just aren't able to come close to maximizing the tools that evaluators think they have,.) So roughly, I think Allard has a floor of a dependable but otherwise unremarkable middle reliever that barring injury should still allow him to have a long major league career due to pitching with his left arm. Let's set his floor at "Brian Duensing". At his ceiling, the flashes of plus curveball, plus change-up, and plus control all manifest themselves nearly every start. His fastball plays up because of it, and he gets more movement on it as well. Let's call Allard's ceiling "Ron Guidry". So Allard is number 5 on my list, because I think his career will likely fall somewhere between Duensing's and Guidry's. That's a very valuable major league pitcher. Let's call the midpoint comp "Scott McGregor". McGregor was a key member of several Orioles rotations that made the playoffs, and a 13 year major league career mostly as a starter. If a time traveler came to me and told me that Kolby Allard would have more or less Scott McGregor's career, I would go "Hmm, not as good as I hoped, but still pretty good." Note that neither of these comps are Braves, and neither are Hall of Famers. Braves fans have a horrible time comparing every prospect that comes up through the organization with a Brave of yesteryear. Not every lefty with a good change-up is Glavine, not every righty with control is Maddux, and not every outfielder with right-handed power is Andruw Jones. And when I comp, the floor is just as important as the ceiling. So here are my boring comps for Acuna, Soroka, and Allard: Acuna: Eric Davis Soroka: Alex Cobb Allard: Scott McGregor
  5. Nationals sign 2B Howie Kendrick to 2Y/$7M deal.
  6. If revenues keep going up? Nothing.
  7. I'm pretty sure teams do. Both have been better than replacement level. bWAR/fWAR/WARP (2016-17): Chatwood: 5.7/3.1/2.6 Foltynewicz: 2.7/3.1/1.0 The going price per win above replacement on free agent market is ~$10.5M per Fangraphs.
  8. Tyler Chatwood just signed a 3Y/38M contract with the Cubs. Over the last two seasons, he's been worth about as much as Mike Foltynewicz.
  9. I don't think it's a rip off, but it's a lot less than I expected. I think teams correctly valued Gerrit Cole though. Makes me more inclined to keep Julio Teheran.
  10. Just that it was a minor league deal. I'd assume ML minimum unless something else comes up. I can only assume two things: 1. Braves were offering less than that and/or Folty was requesting more than that and when it became time to file they both moved to the middle or: 2. They're working out a multi-year extension. BTW, Folty could probably sign for about $8M if he were a free agent.
  11. Bummer, was hoping the Braves would splurge on him. Fairly light return for Cole.
  12. Braves minor league free agent signings to date: C Rob Brantly C Tyler Marlette IF Christian Colon IF Sean Kazmar (re-sign) IF Daniel Lockhart IF Cleuluis Rondon OF Jaff Decker OF Michael Reed OF Danny Santana (re-sign) RHP Miguel Socolovich LHP Joe Rogers (re-sign)
  13. But wait, we weren't done with the 2016 pinned threads!
  14. I think GMs have been wanting to do this forever, but meddling and impatient owners would push things along, worried they were going to miss out. The modern owner is more removed and corporate, like LM.