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Matt_The Iceman_Ryan

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Everything posted by Matt_The Iceman_Ryan

  1. Or it can be viewed from the other angle...if we stay at #4 and select Pitts, he is valued at two (2) 1st roudners and two (2) second rounders, becuae that is what we cna get for that pick...Thats too rich for a TE...even just moving back to #7 with DET for an extra 2nd rounder is better... Pitts is not worth #4 in a regular draft when there isn't trade up interest for two QBs....hes a TE...No WRs, TEs, or RBs in the first round...ever... Whoa re the best TEs in the league right now? Kelce, Kittle, Waller, Tonyan, Gesiki, Ertz, Andrews, Hooper none in the 1st round...TEs of recent that were at the top of the game Gronk, Graham, Olson, Cook, Gates, Gonzalez, Witten...none in 1st round.. The value isnt there regardless of his unicorn features... You can get really good TEs in later rounds (ie Tremble), plus we already have one on the roster...I think its QB or trade back... Ask yourself this...would you rather have Pitts....or get the #1 CB (who would normally go in Top 6 most years and get a pass rusher (Phillips, Ossai, Oweh, etc)? Plus a 1st rounder next year to use on replacing Julio/Calvin?
  2. We currently have 40 realistic players to make a 53 man roster...so while maybe not drafting 17 players is as realistic, I think we will easily end up with 10 players drafted, plus we will have UDFAs...Its the cheapest way for us to acquire players on our roster due to our cap situation and to have them under control for 4 years.
  3. I won't detail the trades, but here are the results of the Mock Draft: Future Picks Acquired via Trade Downs: 2022 Draft 1st Rounders: PHI, IND, WAS – gives us four (4) 1st rounders in 2022 2nd Rounders: PHI – gives us two (2) 2nd rounders in 2022 2023 1st Rounders: PHI, PIT, BUF – gives us four (4) 1st rounders in 2023 2nd Rounders: CHI – gives us two (2) 2nd rounders in 2023 Draft Picks: 1 (28): Jayson Oweh EDGE (can’t pass up athleticism on edge at this point) 2 (35): Teven Jenkins OT (too much value here, may play LG in 2021) 2 (37): Rondale Moore WR (electric slot WR and returner) 2 (48): Najee Harris RB (Our workhorse running back) 2 (55): Joseph Ossai EDGE (additional depth at edge for a solid rotation) 2 (61): Jamar Johnson S (starting FS with great ball skills) 3 (68): Davis Mills QB (backup QB with potential to become starter in 2023) 3 (68): Creed Humphrey OC (could start at OC in 2021, Hennessey becomes OC/OG backup) 3 (84): Jamin Davis LB (competition at LB, ST, could potentially allow Foye to slim down and play at SS) 3 (98): Tommy Tremble TE (Good athletic blocking TE with solid pass catching skills for 12 sets) 4 (112): Milton Williams DL (Maybe the most athletic base DE in draft) 5 (148): Aaron Banks OG (depth at OG and potential LG in 2022) 5 (153): Simi Fehoko WR (slots in behind Julio as big, athletic WR with potential) 6 (182): Olaijah Griffin CB (taller boundary CB for depth and competition) 6 (183): Mark Gilbert CB (tall CB with injury issues that push him down, compete for roster spot, ST) 6 (187): Rhamondre Stevenson RB (Big short yardage RB, ST guy) 7 (219): Khyiris Tonga DL (strong and stout interior DL, may compete with Senat for roster spot)
  4. This would be best case scenario...you are set at CB for 3 years cheaply... With two (2) second rounders you can attack RB and S...which means you are getting one of: 35: (S) Moehrig or Grant 40: (RB) Williams, Etienne, Harris I'd prefer to drop back some in the 2nd and take my chances on still getting one of the S in a pretty solid S class, so look to trade with a team that has an extra 3rd or 4th...value chart shows I can move the 40th pick to LAR who wouldn't have picked yet still and we get back 57 and 88...you also decide to move up in the 3rd round for potential future QB starter...so your draft is this: 1st (9 from DEN): Patrick Surtain II Alabama (Pro Bowl potential) 2nd (35): Devonte Williams RB North Carolina (gives a 1-2 punch at RB) 2nd (57 from LAR): Richie Grant S UCF (he probably doesn't fall this far, but you get a starter at FS) 3rd (68): Tommy Tremble TE Notre Dame (#2 TE with starter potential) 3rd (88 from LAR): Davis Mills QB Stanford (Backup QB, starter potential) 4th: Milton Williams DE LaTech (solid DE with inside potential) 5th: Caden Sterns S (more depth, potential starter at SS) 5th: Deonte Brown OG Alabama (depth at OG, road grader) 5th: Anthony Schwartz WR Auburn (speed, speed, speed at WR) 5th: Derrick Barnes LB Purdue (depth and ST, potential down road to replace Deion) 6th: Semi Fehoko WR Stanford (depth at WR, competition) 6th: Tyler Coyle S Purdue (S competition and depth)
  5. The only thing you need to know...statisitcally speaking, MR2's play last season wa expected to give us 10 wins...he had the worst QBR to expected wins rate in teh league last year based on his play...The problem is not MR2...and it wont be for the next 2-3 seasons... https://www.trboynton.com/post/using-qbr-to-untangle-qb-wins-from-performance
  6. Falcons best chances for success NOW and FUTURE is to keep Matt Ryan, so I dont see a QB at #4...bc its a waste of a talented player to help now or its rebuild, which AB doesnt want...he wants success now.... They only way MR2 is not in ATL and/or #4 is a QB, is through a ridiculous Deshaun Watson trade or AB has signed off that this year can be a skunker...but he has repeatedly said he wants a winner now... I just dont see a way for that to happen with MR2 on the team a picking QB at #4... We wont get enough value, but I like the idea of IND trading up to #4 for the pick...I think they could get Watson though and it would be better for them, but I think our best bet is to hope SF, IND, WAS, NE, CAR, PHI have all decided QB is important and we can trade bacl to acquire more talented players... Would really love to see WAS want to move up in draft for QB...I'd love a trade package of #19, #51, #82, and Da'Rone Payne for #4 and 2021 5th rounder... 19. Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina...provides another athletic cover CB oppo Terrell... ***Trades Calvin Ridley to NO for #27 and #122...Arthur decides he can do similar things with a 3rd/4th round WR but doesn't have to worry about the contract extension and cap issue with Ridley in 2022/2023...Honestly, I think this would be the best move the Falcons could make... 27. Travis Etienne RB Clemson....definitely too high for a RB IMO...but after Najee goes off the board earlier to , Etienne, and Williams, don't think there is a RB that will be sufficient in year 1, and Arthur wants a RB....You pick Najee if you want, doesn't matter... 35. Travon Moehrig S TCU...best S in the draft and fills FS position 51. Jospeh Ossei OLB/DE Texas...can work in at OLB in Pees 3-4 scheme 68. Rondell Moore WR Purdue...playmaker in the slot, PR/KR, gadget guy...our "Cheetah" 74. Tylan Wallace WR OKST...provides depth at the position and probably a solid #2 outside WR 98. Deonte Brown OG Alabama...he open good running lanes and can compete at LG 122. Payton Turner DE Houston....depth along DL as I suspect many "cuts" occur there for cap relief Recap: Instead of picking #4 and having Calvin Ridley.... Da'Rone Payne is added to DL with depth guy Turner Horn and Moehrig are added as starters to secondary Ossei is added to pass rush Brown in the mix at OG Wallace and Moore replace Ridley Probably should beef up the pass rush more with OLBs, but have plenty of time to tweak...
  7. Javonte from UNC....hes the #2 RB in this class behind Najee...just a stud...will be next Nick Chubb
  8. Dean Pees along with his son at DL would be better...and more sustainable...
  9. Yes. In a heart beat....and for less...Ridley is at best a #2...and in a year we are going to ahve to pay him $$$$$ to stay...he just had his best year...his value isnt any higher...get a solid 2nd roudner and a 2022 3rd rounder or a 2021 4th rounder in addition to the 2021 2nd rounder...if you can get a 1st rounder...you do it without heistation... And unpolular as can be...you also trade Julio for anything similar... My hope was RIck Smith would come in and do the following trade: MR2, Ridley, #4, 2021 4th, and 2022 2nd for Deshaun Watson, JJ Watt, 2021 5th
  10. Great start to the week. I haven’t been happier as a Falcons fan dunce halftime of the SB
  11. 3 Achilles soft tissue injuries in the same position group over last 2 years isn’t coincidence if you work in sport performance field. Some improper training, etc happening...Training staff need to be held accountable too
  12. Thank you! Trufant got beat plenty of times...He was a solid #1, but not All Pro and never warranted the 2nd contract the got...like many Falcons...we need to play the comp pick game or we need to trade these guys for picks prior to that last year. Get 3-4 years out of them and churn over with picks unless they are All Pro... At the end of the day, there are about 50-75 guys that are really, really good in this league...after that, the same guys are coming out every year at this point with the way college athletics is training these guys... Don't get attached to players..be attached to team concept and a system
  13. I dont know about that, I peged him at SLB....he played 50/50 as edge rusher and in box...I prefer Foye as WILL unless he still hasnt made the transition well? I'd also consider Keanu at WILL in nickel situations with Kazee at SS and Allen at FS...that is actually probably our best lineup...
  14. His height has nothing to do with a punt being blocked
  15. Hennessy and Terrell are starters by 2021... Davidson is a rotation guy Mykal Walker probably is a SLB starter in 2020 too The other 4th will be lucky to make roster
  16. He’s perfect for what the Falcons need on 30% of snaps. This means Foye is full time in 43 sets and nickel...
  17. He’s perfect for what the Falcons need on 30% of snaps. This means Foye is full time in 43 sets and nickel...
  18. Not significant cap space. im fine keeping him, just means Hennessy rides the pine for a year. the LG talk isn’t real. He’s be awful at OG
  19. Troy Dye as SLB and a slot WR would make this draft complete
  20. That’s coach speak while they find a trade for Mack
  21. In today’s COVID19 world with most likely minimal coaching rolling into 2020 season...I think it was the route to go and I expect lots of experience from our two 4ths as well
  22. Coach speak until they find a trade partner for Mack
  23. Out of the areas you mentioned, only SLB is a potential starter spot. This draft was gonna be a depth draft except for CB
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