With Round 1 of the 2021 NFL draft only nine days away, let's look ahead with a new three-round mock draft ... with a twist. This time, ESPN NFL draft analysts Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay made their predictions based on what they would do with each pick, not what they think each team will do. They're playing general manager for all 32 teams and using their personal rankings to guide them. The rules for the draft:
Three full rounds, 105 total picks and all about whom Kiper and McShay would take at each pick.
Kiper and McShay alternated each pick, with Kiper starting at No. 1 and taking the odd numbers and McShay taking the evens.
No deals that even hint at "I won't take Player X if you don't take Player Y." No cheating.
We also included our ESPN NFL Draft Day Predictor's chances for each first-round pick to be available in that slot. It is a model that forecasts the range of draft outcomes for NFL prospects based on mock drafts, team needs and Scouts Inc. grades to give us availability and selection likelihood.
Kiper kicks us off with the Jaguars, and he'll also get the final pick as we go through the compensatory selections to the Saints at No. 105. Four teams make as many as five picks, including the Jaguars. Kiper also made the only trade of this three-round projection, with a team jumping into the top 10 to take a quarterback. Check out the 90-minute SportsCenter Special at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday (ESPN2 and ESPN App) to see them go through our picks.
Note: An asterisk denotes a compensatory selection. Also, remember that the Patriots' own third-round pick was forfeited.
Jump to: Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 Kiper's trade
1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Kiper's pick: Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
No surprises here. Lawrence is one of my highest-graded quarterbacks ever, and he'll immediately become the face of the Jaguars franchise.
Lawrence's chances of being available here, according to the ESPN NFL Draft Day Predictor: 100%
2. New York Jets
McShay's pick: Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
If there was any doubt that the Jets were going with a QB at No. 2 overall, it vanished when they dealt Sam Darnold earlier this month. Wilson has a ton of upside as a guy New York can build around.
Wilson's chances of being available here: 98.5%
3. San Francisco 49ers (via MIA through HOU)
Kiper's pick: Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
You should know by now how much I like Fields. He has all the tools to be a superstar, and he'd thrive in Kyle Shanahan's offense.
Fields' chances of being available here: 100%
Kiper & McShay's NFL draft mailbag: Mock-breaking picks, teams on the move, surprise first-rounders
Kiper and McShay draft dueling 22-man superteams of NFL prospects
2021 NFL draft order: All 259 picks over seven rounds
4. Atlanta Falcons
McShay's pick: Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
There's of course a decent chance new coach Arthur Smith gets his QB of the future with this pick, but I'm not passing on a multidimensional offensive nightmare like Pitts. He can be used all over the formation and is nearly impossible to cover.
Pitts' chances of being available here: 96.4%
5. Cincinnati Bengals
Kiper's pick: Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
I just don't think the Bengals can pass up a franchise left tackle like Sewell, even with Joe Burrow's buddy Ja'Marr Chase still on the board. Burrow can't throw the ball if he's on his back.
Sewell's chances of being available here: 98.0%
6. Miami Dolphins (via PHI)
McShay's pick: Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU
Chase is my No. 1 wide receiver, and Miami absolutely has to get another weapon for Tua Tagovailoa. Suddenly he'd have Chase, Will Fuller V and DeVante Parker. You can win with that trio.
Chase's chances of being available here: 45.0%
Projected trade: New England moves up for a QB
Kiper: We needed a trade for a quarterback -- they happen every year -- so I'm going to make one with myself since I'm the general manager of the odd-numbered teams. This deal sees the Patriots jump eight spots to get their guy, while the Lions add the Patriots' second-round pick (No. 46), plus future selections, maybe even their first-rounder in next year's draft. It's a lot to give up, but Bill Belichick & Co. need a long-term solution at the game's most important position.
7. New England Patriots (via mock trade with DET)
Kiper's pick: Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
I have Jones slightly ahead of Trey Lance, and I think he's more ready to play as a rookie, particularly for a team that made several win-now moves this offseason. Plus, Josh McDaniels has already proved that he can game-plan for a pocket passer with tremendous accuracy.
Jones' chances of being available here: 6.8%
8. Carolina Panthers
McShay's pick: Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern
The Panthers have to protect Sam Darnold for their trade for him to work out. They franchise-tagged Taylor Moton, but Slater can start opposite him at left tackle or slide inside to guard for a year.
Slater's chances of being available here: 99.0%
9. Denver Broncos
Kiper's pick: Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
Remember: This mock draft is what I would do, and I don't think Drew Lock is the long-term answer in Denver. Lance is only 20, and he'll need some time, but he has a high ceiling.
Lance's chances of being available here: 5.1%
10. Dallas Cowboys
McShay's pick: Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
Dallas gets first pick of the defensive pool, and I'm reuniting Surtain with his former Alabama teammate Trevon Diggs in this CB room. Surtain is a true shutdown corner.
Surtain's chances of being available here: 84.7%
How should the Cowboys address their defensive needs in the draft?
Mel Kiper and Todd McShay give their opinions on what the Cowboys should do with their first-round pick.
11. New York Giants
Kiper's pick: DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
Daniel Jones needs more weapons, and now he'll have the Heisman Trophy winner next to free-agent signing Kenny Golladay. This Giants offense could be dangerous in the NFC East.
Smith's chances of being available here: 47.6%
12. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA through SF)
McShay's pick: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
Philly can exhale: The Eagles moved back to No. 12 and still got one of the top four pass-catchers. Waddle is the most dangerous player in the class with the ball in his hands.
Waddle's chances of being available here: 49.9%
13. Los Angeles Chargers
Kiper's pick: Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
McShay surprised me by taking Rashawn Slater at No. 8, but I don't think it's out of the question that Darrisaw goes this high. He could be L.A.'s starter at left tackle as a rookie.
Darrisaw's chances of being available here: 93.2%
14. Minnesota Vikings
McShay's pick: Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT/G, USC
There are holes all over the Vikings' line, and Vera-Tucker has versatility -- though his best fit is at guard. He's a strong blocker at the second level, which will help open lanes for Dalvin Cook in the running game.
Vera-Tucker's chances of being available here: 87.4%
15. Detroit Lions (via mock trade with NE)
Kiper's pick: Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
Detroit trades down to pick up extra assets and still gets an impact defensive player. Parsons is a playmaker who will run down tailbacks and pitch in as a pass-rusher.
Parsons' chances of being available here: 21.2%
16. Arizona Cardinals
McShay's pick: Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
Both outside CBs are on one-year deals, and Horn is a tough press corner with wheels. Arizona needs someone who can square up with the elite NFC West receivers now that Patrick Peterson is elsewhere.
Horn's chances of being available here: 28.8%
2021 NFL draft coverage
• Mocks: Kiper | McShay | Tannenbaum
• Rankings: Kiper | McShay
• Kiper/McShay: Dueling mock | All-22
• Team needs | Best QB traits | Mailbag
• McShay's playmakers | Kiper's favorites
• Full ranking | Pick order | More
17. Las Vegas Raiders
Kiper's pick: Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU
This might be a little high for my top-ranked safety, but the Raiders have been tough to predict with Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock in charge. Moehrig can be the deep safety next to Johnathan Abrams.
Moehrig's chances of being available here: 88.7%
18. Miami Dolphins
McShay's pick: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
We got the Dolphins a receiver in the top 10, so I'm turning to the defense here and getting them something they haven't had in a while: a versatile linebacker who can cover and fill multiple roles.
Owusu-Koramoah's chances of being available here: 59.8%
19. Washington Football Team
Kiper's pick: Jamin Davis, LB, Kentucky
Washington has a great front four, but it could upgrade at middle linebacker. Davis has elite tape from the 2020 season, and he has some coverage ability, too.
Davis' chances of being available here: 96.6%
20. Chicago Bears
McShay's pick: Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
I'm not seeing any offensive tackles here for Chicago, even if I were to reach a little bit, and the Day 1 quarterbacks are off the board. So with Desmond Trufant on a one-year deal, I like Farley -- probably the top cover corner in the class -- as a running mate to Jaylon Johnson for years to come.
Farley's chances of being available here: 37.6%
21. Indianapolis Colts
Kiper's pick: Jaelan Phillips, DE, Miami
I can't believe this is the first edge rusher off the board. Phillips has a history of injuries -- he medically retired from football when he was at UCLA -- but there's no denying his pass-rush traits. And that's the Colts' biggest need.
Phillips' chances of being available here: 74.0%
22. Tennessee Titans
McShay's pick: Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss
I keep going back and forth on Moore and Florida's Kadarius Toney, but I like Moore's explosiveness as a replacement for the Titans' free-agency losses in the receiving game (Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries).
Moore's chances of being available here: 95.6%
23. New York Jets (via SEA)
Kiper's pick: Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern
I thought about defensive end Kwity Paye here, but Newsome could be the Jets' top corner on Day 1. New coach Robert Saleh will love Newsome's ability to turn and run against even the fastest wideouts.
Newsome's chances of being available here: 53.8%
24. Pittsburgh Steelers
McShay's pick: Najee Harris, RB, Alabama
Pittsburgh's 3.6 yards per carry ranked last in the NFL in 2020, and it just lost its most productive rusher in James Conner. Mel might not like first-round running backs, but this makes too much sense.
Harris' chances of being available here: 77.3%
25. Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR)
Kiper's pick: Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida
I love the fit for Toney in Jacksonville, where new coach Urban Meyer can come up with creative ways to get the ball in his hands. He'll be Trevor Lawrence's best friend.
Toney's chances of being available here: 49.5%
26. Cleveland Browns
McShay's pick: Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan
It's a mini slide for Paye, my top-ranked edge rusher, but Cleveland isn't complaining. The Browns still need a high-end pass-rusher opposite Myles Garrett, even after the Jadeveon Clowney and Takkarist McKinley signings.
Paye's chances of being available here: 5.7%
27. Baltimore Ravens
Kiper's pick: Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU
I'm staying consistent here -- I've had Marshall to the Ravens in each of my four mock drafts -- because Lamar Jackson needs an outside threat. Marshall was overshadowed a bit at LSU, but he can run every route.
Marshall's chances of being available here: 84.4%
28. New Orleans Saints
McShay's pick: Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota
If Jameis Winston and/or Taysom Hill are going to have any sort of success, they need receiver reinforcements. Bateman makes tough catches in the middle of the field and is versatile.
Bateman's chances of being available here: 68.9%
29. Green Bay Packers
Kiper's pick: Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
Since McShay took Bateman, I'll settle for a starting tackle for Green Bay. Jenkins, who played right tackle in college, is extremely physical in the running game.
Jenkins' chances of being available here: 34.1%
30. Buffalo Bills
McShay's pick: Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
Collins can cover, shoot gaps in run defense and rush the passer. He'd fit nicely next to Tremaine Edmunds and Matt Milano at the second level and help shore up Buffalo's middle-of-the-pack pass rush.
Collins' chances of being available here: 44.6%
Zaven Collins' NFL draft profile
Check out the best highlights from Tulsa OLB Zaven Collins' college career.
31. Kansas City Chiefs
Kiper's pick: Landon Dickerson, C, Alabama
I'm a big fan of Dickerson, who might go in Round 2 because he tore his ACL in December. If he's healthy, though, he could step in and start at center for the Chiefs, who need more quality linemen.
Dickerson's chances of being available here: 91.6%
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
McShay's pick: Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan
Mayfield is a drive blocker who can help open lanes for the Bucs' running game. I think he'd serve as a swing tackle early on before eventually earning a starting gig opposite 2020 first-rounder Tristan Wirfs.
Mayfield's chances of being available here: 89.7%
33. Jacksonville Jaguars
Kiper's pick: Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
Yes, that's the first three picks on offense for the Jaguars. They were not good on either side of the ball -- there's a reason they had the No. 1 pick. Etienne joins his Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence, and he'll be a menace in the passing game.
34. New York Jets
McShay's pick: Azeez Ojulari, OLB, Georgia
New York had problems getting to the QB last year, and Ojulari is elite in that area. He'll be a very good situational edge rusher and can help cover underneath.
35. Atlanta Falcons
Kiper's pick: Javonte Williams, RB, North Carolina
New coach Arthur Smith -- who had Derrick Henry in Tennessee -- adds a physical running back to take the pressure off Matt Ryan. Williams had the highest rate of broken tackles of any FBS running back last season.
First Draft Podcast
Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay break down the 2021 NFL draft.
• First Draft podcast »
36. Miami Dolphins (via HOU)
McShay's pick: Liam Eichenberg, OT/G, Notre Dame
Getting Tua Tagovailoa a receiver (Ja'Marr Chase) was half the battle. How about a clean pocket? I expect GM Chris Grier to invest picks in this offense, and I'm doing the same. Eichenberg is versatile enough to play tackle or guard.
37. Philadelphia Eagles
Kiper's pick: Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri
This is a great fit for the Eagles, who need a sideline-to-sideline middle linebacker in new coordinator Jonathan Gannon's defense. Bolton is a tackling machine.
38. Cincinnati Bengals
McShay's pick: Tutu Atwell, WR, Louisville
Mel has Penei Sewell coming to protect Joe Burrow, so I now want to get him a receiver. Atwell is lightning quick and would give the offense some burst.
39. Carolina Panthers
Kiper's pick: Hunter Long, TE, Boston College
Ian Thomas, a fourth-round pick in 2018, only has 36 catches over the past two seasons, and so the Panthers need a tight end who can stretch the middle of the field. Long is also a good blocker -- he's a complete player.
40. Denver Broncos
McShay's pick: Asante Samuel Jr., CB, Florida State
Linebacker was the first thing I looked for on my "best available" sheet, but there's just no value there. While Denver brought in Ronald Darby and Kyle Fuller (who is on a one-year deal), I still think this cornerback unit needs depth. Samuel can also play the nickel role in the short term.
41. Detroit Lions
Kiper's pick: Dyami Brown, WR, North Carolina
Since Detroit's trade down took them out of the running for the top-tier wideouts, let's add Brown to a barren depth chart. He averaged 20 yards per catch in each of the past two seasons.
42. New York Giants
McShay's pick: Ronnie Perkins, OLB/DE, Oklahoma
I love this fit. Perkins is an excellent pass-rusher, which is exactly what the Giants need, and it's good value for him in this range. He had 5.5 sacks and nine QB hurries in only six games last season.
Ronnie Perkins' NFL draft profile
Check out highlights from Oklahoma's standout defensive end Ronnie Perkins.
43. San Francisco 49ers
Kiper's pick: Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia
Campbell had an inconsistent college career, but teams are looking for high-end traits here. The 49ers let both Ahkello Witherspoon and Richard Sherman walk as free agents.
44. Dallas Cowboys
McShay's pick: Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
Only three teams allowed five-plus yards per carry last year, and Dallas was among them. Barmore would help stop the bleeding in the middle of the defense.
45. Jacksonville Jaguars (via MIN)
Kiper's pick: Richie Grant, S, UCF
This makes four picks so far for the Jaguars, and this is the first on defense. Grant has the versatility to play as a center fielder or down in the box.
46. Detroit Lions (via mock trade with NE)
McShay's pick: Joe Tryon, DE, Washington
This pick goes to Detroit via Mel's Lions-Patriots trade in the first round. I liked seeing Romeo Okwara return to the Lions, but I want to see a whole lot more off the edge. Tryon can play both defensive end and 3-4 outside linebacker.
47. Los Angeles Chargers
Kiper's pick: Jayson Oweh, DE/OLB, Penn State
Oweh has gotten some buzz as a first-rounder because of his athletic traits, but I wouldn't take a chance on him that high. The Chargers can let him be a situational pass-rusher as a rookie.
48. Las Vegas Raiders
McShay's pick: Kelvin Joseph, CB, Kentucky
Texas' Samuel Cosmi or North Dakota State's Dillon Radunz could play a role in rebuilding the offensive line, but the Raiders allowed the seventh-most passing yards in the NFL last season (4,212). Let's keep building up the secondary.
49. Arizona Cardinals
Kiper's pick: Amari Rodgers, WR, Clemson
Rodgers is one of the best slot receivers in this class, and Kyler Murray needs an underneath target who knows how to get open. Christian Kirk is in the final year of his rookie contract.
50. Miami Dolphins
McShay's pick: Samuel Cosmi, OT/G, Texas
With no running backs in this range, it's more protection for Tua Tagovailoa. And like Liam Eichenberg, Cosmi is versatile and can play inside or outside. Let's see if Tagovailoa is truly the guy for Miami.
ESPN Draft Challenge
Answer questions on the 2021 NFL draft for a chance to win $110,000! Make Your Picks
51. Washington Football Team
Kiper's pick: Davis Mills, QB, Stanford
Here's the sixth quarterback in the class. Mills is all over the place on teams' boards, but he makes sense in Washington, which isn't picking high enough to take one of the top five signal-callers. Mills played in only 14 games at Stanford, so there is some risk taking him any higher.
52. Chicago Bears
McShay's pick: Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue
If Mel hadn't taken Davis Mills at No. 51, I had him penciled in here. I'm not ready to reach for Texas A&M's Kellen Mond or Florida's Kyle Trask just yet, so I'll pivot to giving Andy Dalton another playmaker. Moore has rare speed and burst.
53. Tennessee Titans
Kiper's pick: Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia
The Titans parted ways with Adoree' Jackson, Desmond King II and Malcolm Butler and only brought in Janoris Jenkins. If they don't go corner in Round 1, they have to take one here. Stokes had four picks last season.
54. Indianapolis Colts
McShay's pick: Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State
Remember when new Colts QB Carson Wentz was under fire every Sunday last season in Philadelphia? It didn't go so well. And left tackle Anthony Castonzo just retired.
55. Pittsburgh Steelers
Kiper's pick: Alex Leatherwood, OT/G, Alabama
I don't think Leatherwood is a top-50 player, but he's a fit for Pittsburgh, which needs both a guard and tackle. If McShay is giving the Steelers a running back in Round 1, I need to get them a player to block.
56. Seattle Seahawks
McShay's pick: Gregory Rousseau, DE, Miami
We got one pick for Seattle in the first three rounds. Rousseau's pro day left a little to be desired, but he had 15.5 sacks in 2019 before opting out in 2020. He just needs some refining.
57. Los Angeles Rams
Kiper's pick: Creed Humphrey, C, Oklahoma
This is the Rams' first pick, and they could be getting an immediate starter in Humphrey, who excels as both a run- and pass-blocker. There's a chance Humphrey is the top center drafted, even higher in Round 2.
58. Baltimore Ravens
McShay's pick: Carlos Basham Jr., DE/OLB, Wake Forest
The exits of Matthew Judon and Yannick Ngakoue leave a void off the edge, and Basham has a lot of power coming around the corner. He can also bump inside if asked.
59. Cleveland Browns
Kiper's pick: Anthony Schwartz, WR, Auburn
The speedy Schwartz could be a deep threat for the Browns, who still need depth at receiver. He was used on underneath routes in college, but he has some untapped potential.
Anthony Schwartz's NFL draft profile
Check out highlights from Auburn's dynamic wide receiver Anthony Schwartz.
60. New Orleans Saints
McShay's pick: Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
Rashod Bateman checks the WR box, and now Cox gives the defense an impact inside linebacker who is excellent in coverage.
61. Buffalo Bills
Kiper's pick: Aaron Robinson, CB, UCF
I thought about tight end here, but Robinson has the potential to be a starter opposite Tre'Davious White. He's also an outstanding tackler, which is underrated for corners.
62. Green Bay Packers
McShay's pick: Patrick Jones II, DE, Pitt
Oklahoma State's Tylan Wallace and Michigan's Nico Collins got some consideration here regarding the ongoing need for pass-catchers. But ultimately, I liked Jones' fit with a team lacking depth on the edge.
63. Kansas City Chiefs
Kiper's pick: Malcolm Koonce, OLB, Buffalo
Finally a spot for my guy Koonce, who is one of my favorite pass-rushers in this class. He's long and athletic, and could wreak havoc off the edge as a situational defender for the Chiefs.
64. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
McShay's pick: Tylan Wallace, WR, Oklahoma State
Antonio Brown doesn't appear to be returning, and Tom Brady is at his best when he can get the ball to multiple targets. Wallace has a lot of speed, too.
65. Jacksonville Jaguars
Kiper's pick: Quinn Meinerz, C/G, Wisconsin-Whitewater
Let's close out the Jags' five picks in the first three rounds with a D-III linemen whom no one should doubt. He could play guard or center but might fit better as guard Andrew Norwell's successor in Jacksonville.
66. New York Jets
McShay's pick: Jackson Carman, OT/G, Clemson
We have to keep Zach Wilson upright, and Carman has size, mobility and versatility. He could provide depth at right tackle or move inside to guard.
67. Houston Texans
Kiper's pick: D'Wayne Eskridge, WR, Western Michigan
This is the Texans' first pick of this draft after former coach/general manager traded for Laremy Tunsil. Eskridge is a slot weapon who will also be a key contributor in the return game.
68. Atlanta Falcons
McShay's pick: Elijah Molden, CB, Washington
The Falcons are just crossing off needs, one pick at a time. Molden is more of a nickelback who stands out in zone coverage and can make plays on the ball.
Elijah Molden's NFL draft profile
Check out the best highlights from Washington CB Elijah Molden's college career.
69. Cincinnati Bengals
Kiper's pick: Aaron Banks, G, Notre Dame
After I gave the Bengals Penei Sewell in Round 1, Banks could plug another hole and help protect Joe Burrow while providing a push for Joe Mixon. A more efficient running game will make Burrow more efficient as a passer.
70. Philadelphia Eagles
McShay's pick: Ifeatu Melifonwu, CB, Syracuse
Melifonwu needs some refining, but he has a lot of upside as a press corner. The Eagles are lacking depth at the position beyond Darius Slay and Avonte Maddox (who could be a free agent in 2022).
71. Denver Broncos
Kiper's pick: Joseph Ossai, OLB, Texas
This is a great fit, as Ossai is undersized and probably needs to land on a team that runs a 3-4. He could be a menace as a rookie pass-rusher in Vic Fangio's defense.
72. Detroit Lions
McShay's pick: Jevon Holland, S, Oregon
The Lions' defense has a "Help Wanted" sign on most positions, and Holland is a ball hawk who can even drop down and line up over the slot.
73. Carolina Panthers
Kiper's pick: Nico Collins, WR, Michigan
I got Sam Darnold some help in Round 2 with a tight end, and Collins is a big, 6-foot-4 receiver who averaged 19.7 yards per catch in 2019. He could be a steal this late.
74. Washington Football Team (via SF)
McShay's pick: James Hudson, OT, Cincinnati
Yet another Day 2 lineman who can play inside or outside, Hudson needs some development time. He's a defensive-line convert who only has one full season as a starter under his belt.
75. Dallas Cowboys
Kiper's pick: Walker Little, OT, Stanford
Offensive line is a sneaky need for the Cowboys, who had major injury issues last season. Little missed nearly all of 2019 with a knee injury and opted out of last season, but he has a first-round tool set.
76. New York Giants
McShay's pick: Chazz Surratt, LB, North Carolina
Surratt has sideline-to-sideline range and can cover tight ends or running backs in the passing game. He brings a different element to the Giants' linebacking corps.
77. Los Angeles Chargers
Kiper's pick: Benjamin St-Juste, CB, Minnesota
It was either corner or receiver here, and St-Juste has some upside. He made only 14 starts in college after transferring from Michigan. He could be Chris Harris Jr.'s successor.
78. Minnesota Vikings
McShay's pick: Payton Turner, DE, Houston
Minnesota's 23 sacks ranked in the bottom five in 2020, and Turner has the strength to drive back blockers and get to the QB. He'd likely play a rotational role early in his career but should develop into a reliable starter.
Payton Turner's NFL draft profile
Check out highlights from Houston's dynamic edge rusher Payton Turner.
79. Las Vegas Raiders (via ARI)
Kiper's pick: Spencer Brown, OT, Northern Iowa
Brown is massive -- 6-foot-8 -- and has some physical similarities to Raiders tackle Kolton Miller, who just got a big extension. He made 32 starts in college, all at right tackle.
80. Las Vegas Raiders
McShay's pick: Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington
This is a really good depth add for the Raiders. He's super disruptive and can rotate with Quinton Jefferson, Johnathan Hankins and Solomon Thomas on the inside of Las Vegas' 4-3.
81. Miami Dolphins
Kiper's pick: Chris Rumph II, LB, Duke
How did McShay have the Dolphins' first four picks? Rumph has some versatility -- Duke used him all over the field -- but he fits as an outside linebacker for the Dolphins, who need more from their pass rush this season. He had eight sacks in 2020. His dad, Chris, is the Bears' defensive line coach.
82. Washington Football Team
McShay's pick: Shi Smith, WR, South Carolina
The Washington offense needs more weapons, and Smith is a strong route runner with good speed and hands. He really impressed at the Senior Bowl and then ran a 4.33 in the 40-yard dash at his pro day.
83. Chicago Bears
Kiper's pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, USC
I know that McShay gave the Bears Rondale Moore in Round 2, but they need to get Andy Dalton all the help they can. St. Brown had 178 catches over the past three seasons, and he knows how to get open.
84. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND)
McShay's pick: Andre Cisco, S, Syracuse
Cisco is a ball hawk on the back end, hauling in 13 interceptions over 24 career games. The Eagles were one of four teams in the single digits in that category last season.
85. Tennessee Titans
Kiper's pick: Pat Freiermuth, TE, Penn State
After letting Jonnu Smith walk in free agency, the Titans have Anthony Firkser atop their tight end depth chart. Freiermuth often played out of the slot for the Nittany Lions, and he's already advanced as a pass-catcher.
Pat Freiermuth's NFL draft profile
Check out the best highlights from Penn State TE Pat Freiermuth college career.
86. New York Jets (via SEA)
McShay's pick: Wyatt Davis, G, Ohio State
The running back pool has thinned out, though Ohio State's Trey Sermon and North Carolina's Michael Carter piqued my interested here. But Davis is a plug-and-play guard who is dominant in pass protection, and right now, the Jets need everything they can get there.
87. Pittsburgh Steelers
Kiper's pick: Shaun Wade, CB, Ohio State
Wade got some first-round buzz after the 2019 season, but he had a poor 2020 season, when he moved out wide and covered the opposing team's best receiver. He's better out of the slot, and if he can get back to his 2019 form, he could be a steal.
88. Los Angeles Rams
McShay's pick: Pete Werner, LB, Ohio State
I'm sticking the needs chart here. Kiper gave the Rams a center (Creed Humphrey) with their first pick, and now Werner can bring versatility, speed and length to the linebacking group.
89. Cleveland Browns
Kiper's pick: Ernest Jones, LB, South Carolina
McShay got the Browns an edge rusher in Round 1, and Jones is a high-upside inside linebacker with instincts and long arms. The Browns don't have many immediate needs, so Jones could be eased in.
90. Minnesota Vikings (via BAL)
McShay's pick: Richard LeCounte, S, Georgia
Anthony Harris signed in Philadelphia, and Harrison Smith is 32 years old. LeCounte has closing burst and ex-receiver ball skills.
91. Cleveland Browns (via NO)
Kiper's pick: Ar'Darius Washington, S, TCU
Some teams view the 5-foot-8 Washington as a slot corner, but I think he's better as a deep safety. He had five picks in 2019. He could play a nickel or dime role for the Browns.
92. Green Bay Packers
McShay's pick: Cade Johnson, WR, South Dakota State
It might be a little bit of a reach, but we can't go three rounds and not get the Packers a receiver. Johnson is really good in space and can be dangerous out of the slot.
93. Buffalo Bills
Kiper's pick: Patrick Johnson, OLB, Tulane
This makes it all defense in the first three rounds for the Bills, who need to get younger on the edge. Johnson had 24.5 sacks over the past three seasons. He could be a third-down pass-rusher here.
Projecting the top draft prospects
Here's what to expect at the NFL level from the top players at these positions:
• Quarterbacks: QBASE 2.0
• Wide receivers: Playmaker score
• Running backs: BackCAST
• Pass rushers: SackSEER
94. Kansas City Chiefs
McShay's pick: Larry Borom, OT, Missouri
Perhaps another slight reach, but the Chiefs need an offensive tackle. Blame Mel for passing on other OTs for Kansas City earlier on. Borom has size and power, but I worry about his movement skills at the next level.
95. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kiper's pick: Cameron Sample, DE, Tulane
That's back-to-back Tulane defenders from me. Sample is a little bit bigger than Johnson but doesn't have the same kind of pass-rush potential. He could battle to be Jason Pierre-Paul's backup in Year 1.
96. New England Patriots*
McShay's pick: Tay Gowan, CB, UCF
Gowan has upside as a press corner on the outside, but he might need some time to develop, considering he has just one season of FBS play on his résumé. But Stephon Gilmore is potentially a free agent in 2022, so cornerback depth is welcomed in New England.
97. Los Angeles Chargers*
Kiper's pick: Simi Fehoko, WR, Stanford
Fehoko is a 6-foot-4 receiver who averaged 23.6 yards per catch in 2019. If the Chargers let Mike Williams walk next offseason, Fehoko could be the favorite to replace him. He needs to get red zone targets as well.
98. New Orleans Saints*
McShay's pick: Paulson Adebo, CB, Stanford
Cornerback depth is already lacking in New Orleans, and it could get a lot worse if Marshon Lattimore departs in free agency next March. Adebo is a ball hawk with eight interceptions and 29 passes broken up over 22 career games.
99. Dallas Cowboys*
Kiper's pick: Jamar Johnson, S, Utah
A safety helps fill all of the Cowboys' most immediate needs, as we've also given them a corner, defensive tackle and offensive tackle. Johnson could challenge Donovan Wilson and free-agent signing Damontae Kazee for a starting job.
100. Tennessee Titans*
McShay's pick: Hamsah Nasirildeen, S, Florida State
We addressed WR, CB and TE, so it's between offensive line, safety and linebacker for me here. Why not combine two of those with Nasirildeen? He's a hybrid defender who played the "Star" position (a versatile linebacker/defensive back) in Florida State's defense -- a role previously held by Derwin James.
101. Detroit Lions (via LAR)*
Kiper's pick: Demetric Felton, WR/RB, UCLA
The 5-foot-8 Felton played both running back and receiver for the Bruins, and he averaged 165.8 all-purpose yards in 2020. The Lions just need to add talent. He'd likely play slot receiver in Detroit.
102. San Francisco 49ers*
McShay's pick: Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa
The 49ers had one of the NFL's best run defenses last season. They drafted Javon Kinlaw in the first round last April, so let's go back to the defensive tackle well to give him a partner on the inside and keep the run D a strength. Nixon is very disruptive and is a good fit as a 3-technique in the San Francisco 4-3.
Daviyon Nixon's NFL draft profile
Check out the best highlights from Iowa DT Daviyon Nixon's college career.
103. Los Angeles Rams*
Kiper's pick: Sage Surratt, WR, Wake Forest
Surratt ran a disappointing 4.69 40-yard dash at his pro day, but he put up good numbers in 2019 before opting out of this past season. The Rams added veteran DeSean Jackson this offseason, and they need more depth behind Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp.
104. Baltimore Ravens*
McShay's pick: Josh Myers, C, Ohio State
Myers would provide depth on the inside at both center and guard for an offensive line that is key to the Ravens' juggernaut running game. But like many late-Day 2 picks, he is a developmental prospect.
105. New Orleans Saints*
Kiper's pick: Dayo Odeyingbo, DE, Vanderbilt
Odeyingbo has an intriguing skill set as a 285-pound defensive end, and the Saints need to find defensive help through the draft. Former first-round pick Marcus Davenport hasn't put it all together yet. Odeyingbo likely would have gone much higher if he hadn't torn his Achilles in January.