theProf

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theProf last won the day on June 15 2016

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  1. vaughn mcclure‏ @vxmcclure2356 minutes ag More Falcons general manager Thomas Dimitroff said the team will talk to kicker Matt Bryant soon about a contract extension. vaughn mcclure‏ @vxmcclure23 2 hours ago More Thomas Dimitroff said Matt Ryans contract extension will be a top focus and create flexibility
  2. I agree. Many here and several of the mock draft sites seem to think that the trenches are where Atlanta needs to focus. It then appears that the mock draft sites seem to think that the next highest area of need is a DB, either a CB or S. For example, nfl.com says: "26. Atlanta Falcons Record: 10-6 (.543) Top needs: DT, OG, S The skinny: The Falcons could choose to let Dontari Poe walk after this season. It seems likely that they'll be looking for help at DT. The Falcons haven't run the ball like they did last year and better guard play could help them rebound in that area. Adding a rangy free safety with ball-hawking ability is a possibility." However, I agree with you that Atlanta needs to get a WR, who can hopefully double as the Returner, as the next priority after the DL and OL, rather than DB. Also, I see where Mel Kiper is now mocking a WR/Returner to Atlanta, but in the 1st round
  3. Yep, Rico Allen is a RFA this year. However a second-round tender for 2018 might cost close to $3 million. The 2017 second-round tender amount was $2,746,000. I agree with not using a draft pick on a FB, and that the Falcons definitely need to get someone else at the FB position though.
  4. Draftek's mock draft has the following DTs going in the first two rounds of its draft: #22 Vita Vea #26. Derrick Nnadi #32. Maurice Hurst #42. Da'Ron Payne #63. Tavan Bryan
  5. Drafttek's 7-round mock draft has Atlanta selecting: 26. Derrick Nnadi DT Florida State After the anemic showing by the offense in the division playoff game, it's tempting to look towards bolstering that side of the ball, perhaps the Guard position. But is the problem on offense really one of talent? That seems doubtful. In addition, the Falcons are going to be nearing the limits of their cap space with two of their best defensive linemen: Adrian Clayborn and Dontari Poe, both of whom hit Free Agency. Veterans like Brooks Reed and Derrick Shelby possibly will become cap casualties. Derrick Nnadi seems a very likely target for Dan Quinn's defensive philosophy. Though somewhat undersized, Nnadi possesses excellent burst to penetrate gaps when rushing the passer ,and enough sand in his pants to anchor against the run. It seems a safe bet that the Falcons will be addressing DT in this draft, so keep an eye on the Combine results. Keep an especially-sharp eye out for how prospects perform in the three-cone drill and the broad jump. The latter measurement will be about the explosiveness Quinn wants from his linemen. 58. Jaire Alexander CB Louisville As a cornerback, Brian Poole is an excellent safety. While an excellent tackler, Poole has been exposed in coverage at inopportune moments this season, and the flameout that was Jalen Collins' career opens the door to add a third true cover CB to the roster. Alexander is a nice fit for the Falcons philosophy. He's a willing tackler and a ballhawk. Alexander reads opposing QBs well and is able to jump routes. Alexander's lack of elite speed likely limits his draft ceiling, and he seems more suited to the slot, but that's exactly where Atlanta needs help. Alexander will have to answer questions about his health before the draft, but adding Alexander would allow the Falcons to move on from the worst draft pick of the Dan Quinn Era: Jalen Collins. 90. Simmie Cobbs Jr. WR Indiana 122. Jerry Tillery DT Notre Dame 153. Joshua Frazier DT Alabama (Note Drafttek incorrectly gives Atlanta a 5th-round pick. Atlanta traded its 5th-round pick for OT Ty Sambrailo last year) 186. Chase Litton QB Marshall 218. Scott Quessenberry OG UCLA https://www.drafttek.com/2018-NFL-Mock-Draft-Round1b.asp
  6. Couple of observations regarding this mock: it does not have Da"Ron Payne going until pick# 37 in the Second Round, one pick after RB Sony Michel, who they have at #36. Later in the Second Round, they have Nick Chubb going at pick# 45.
  7. 26. Atlanta Falcons | Vita Vea | DL | Washington The Falcons have a track meet on the edge with the talented tandem of Vic Beasley and Takkarist McKinley, but they need a young presence in the middle to replace the likely departing Dontari Poe. Vea is the rare space-eater who can blow through double teams and collapse the line of scrimmage on every down. 58. Atlanta Falcons | Will Hernandez | G | UTEP 90. Atlanta Falcons | Kyzir White | S | West Virginia 122. Atlanta Falcons | M.J. Stewart | CB | North Carolina draftwire.usatoday.com/2018/01/17/2018-nfl-mock-draft-4-round-projections-heading-into-senior-bowl-week/3/
  8. Ergo Proxy thanks for your input in this topic thread. To answer your question about average league-wide salaries of left Offensive Tackles: The top 32 Left OTs in the NFL have an average contract value of $32,817,999 and an average contract life of 4.28 years for an average annual cap-charge of $7,667,757. http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/contracts/left-tackle/
  9. One reason I put the info about Matthews in the OP was because I was curious about whether a team could cut someone that they extended a 5th-year option on and the salary-cap ramifications thereof. Thanks for providing the answer. Also cutting Matthews is potentially the largest cap-saving option available to Atlanta. But as you say, the Falcons won't cut Matthews, because they have no young stud OT replacement waiting in the wings. One of the Falcons biggest needs that few are mentioning is Returner. I agree that Roberts was just slightly above horrible. I would like for Atlanta to get another Returner, who might also develop into a bonafide #3 WR.
  10. Technically Sark targeted Gabriel more this year than Shanny did last year, 51 targets this year vs 49 last year. While his receptions were only 2 fewer than last year, his total yards were down, only 378 yards this season (11.5 yards per reception and 1TD) vs 579 yards last year (16.5 yards per reception and 6 TDs). http://www.espn.com/nfl/player/stats/_/id/17437/taylor-gabriel I agree with you in that Shanny was better able to scheme Gabriel his touches last season so that he was much more productive. He appeared to be more open last year on his targets as opposed to this year.
  11. 5 Major Offseason Personnel Questions for the Atlanta Falcons by Dave Choate What will they do at defensive tackle? The Falcons will have Grady Jarrett, Jack Crawford coming off an injury, and two practice squad players in the mix at defensive tackle next season. Dontari Poe, Courtney Upshaw, and Ahtyba Rubin are all free agents, and so is Adrian Clayborn, who can play inside in a pinch. Jarrett is an otherworldly talent set to anchor this line for years, but there’s nobody else there that even looks like a full-time player. The Falcons have to pair someone with Jarrett who can play 40-50 snaps per game at a high level, or add multiple rotational options to give them options. Poe returning is one option, but he’s expensive, and the likes of Sheldon Richardson and Star Lotuleilei will not come cheap either. The Falcons could re-sign Rubin and Upshaw, add one more player in the draft, and sort it out from there, but that seems like a The likeliest option of all? That’s probably a first or second round pick at defensive tackle, with Alabama’s Da’Ron Payne proving to be a popular early mock draft choice for Atlanta. That would give the Falcons a young, reasonably cost-controlled option on the interior as the rest of the line starts to get expensive in the seasons ahead. Who starts at both guard spots? This is a big one that may have an obvious answer. The Falcons could keep Andy Levitre or even re-structure his contract to ensure left guard is taken care of, and I think they’re very likely to keep third-year guard Wes Schweitzer as a starter at right guard. That would leave Sean Harlow as the team’s backup for both guard spots, with a Ben Garland re-signing tying up the position pretty neatly. Assume nothing, though. The Falcons kept Schweitzer in mothballs in 2016 and he won a spot, so Harlow could be in the mix if he shows progress. There’s also the possibility that those of you clamoring for a major upgrade will get one after the team reviews the season, with the team choosing to draft a successor for Levitre or a Schweitzer replacement in the first few rounds of the draft. I don’t see it happening, but one never knows. Who is the #3 receiver going to be? The Falcons may well like Taylor Gabriel enough to keep him around, considering his very good partial season in 2016 and his obvious speed and playmaking ability. Perhaps Steve Sarkisian feels confident that he can figure out a way to get Gabriel more involved in the offense, the team will agree on a reasonable deal with a still-young player, and what I’m about to right will be decisively proven wrong. All that said, I’m not sure Gabriel comes back. The Falcons were not able to use him productively on screen passes, Turbo had a couple of errors on his targets, and he very rarely got decisively open. Considering he was here the full season this time, his production was not impressive, and the Falcons too often were unable to get their receiving options opened, he feels like a logical candidate to move on to a team that might be able to better maximize his talent. If that’s the case, I’d expect Atlanta to explore the draft for a new option in the slot. There just aren’t a ton of great receivers hitting the market, and Justin Hardy isn’t likely to get a shot after he clocked his third straight solid but unspectacular season as the team’s fourth receiver. I’d bet the team’s #3 isn’t on the roster today, unless Marvin Hall or Reggie Davis make a gigantic leap forward this offseason. Are the Falcons working on extensions? They have to be, right? Matt Ryan, Jake Matthews, Tevin Coleman, Grady Jarrett and Andy Levitre are all set to hit the open marketing in 2019, and while Coleman and Levitre may well walk in free agency, the other three names most certainly will return. The Falcons have shown a knack for getting extensions done a little early, which has allowed them to sign the likes of Desmond Trufant, Robert Alford, and Ryan Schraeder at slightly below market rates. They’ll need to do so with Jarrett, Matthews, and Levitre/Coleman if they want to keep the nucleus of this team together as long as possible, while Ryan is just going to get a preposterous deal regardless of when he actually signs. It would be smart for the Falcons to get as many of these deals done as possible so they have a good sense of their future commitments, and so we know who will be here in 2019 and beyond. Are changes to the coaching staff coming? It’s fair to ask. Steve Sarkisian is sticking around and Marquand Manuel is here at least one more year before he starts getting serious head coaching inquiries, but Keith Armstrong interviewed for the Arizona Cardinals head coaching job and could get it. The Falcons, after weathering a disappointing season on both offense and special teams, could choose to shuffle the decks a little bit and pick up new assistants, though I doubt any of the coordinators change if Armstrong isn’t hired away. One thing to keep an eye on: Quarterbacks coach, where the Falcons currently have a vacancy. They’re interviewing interim UCLA head coach Jedd Fisch for that opening, and as a coach with previous NFL coordinating experience, he’d be an interesting addition to a staff that could probably use a couple more veteran coaches. https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2018/1/17/16889664/5-major-offseason-personnel-questions-for-the-atlanta-falcons
  12. I don't think that the Falcons would want to lose 2 DEs (Clayborn and Brooks Reed) in the same offseason. If Clayborn is too expensive to re-sign, then the Falcons should at least keep Reed.
  13. Falcons have free agency decisions to make on Poe, Clayborn, Bryant The Atlanta Journal-Constitution FLOWERY BRANCH The Falcons, after being eliminated from the playoffs, have some important personnel decisions to make before free agency begins in March. The NFL salary cap has been projected to be between $174 million and $178 million, according to NFL Media. The official number will not be known until the start of the new business year in March. Last season’s salary cap was $167 million. The Falcons are in the bottom third of the league and are projected to have $18 million in available salary cap space. The 49ers, Browns, Jets and Colts are projected to have more than $80 million in salary cap space can could drive up the market for players that the Falcons want to retain. The Falcons must decide if they want to re-sign defensive tackle Dontari Poe, defensive end Adrian Clayborn and kicker Matt Bryant. Poe played last season on a incentive-laden contract, which had a base salary of $8 million dollars. He bet on himself and had a solid season. He played 868 defensive snaps, the second highest on the team behind Grady Jarrett’s 870. He also played eight snaps on offense. Poe was the seventh-highest paid defensive tackle in the league. The Dolphins’ Ndamukong Suh is slated to be the highest paid defensive tackle in the league at $16.9 million next season. Clayborn led the team in sacks with 10.5. He played 576 snaps, the third-highest total along the defensive line. He had the 21st highest base salary of defensive ends in the league. Brooks Reed was 17th with a base salary of $4.1 million. Bryant will turn 43 on May 29, but showed no signs of slowing down. He was the Falcons key offensive weapon last season and the reason they reached the playoffs and won a game on the road. He made nine field goals in the two playoff games. Bryant was the 11th-highest paid kicker in the league last season at $1.45 million. The Panthers’ Graham Gano and the Cowboys’ Dan Bailey were the top-paid kickers at $3.2 million last season. In addition to the big three, fullback Derrick Coleman and Ben Garland, who finished the season at the starting left guard, are set to become free agents. Garland’s situation will be tied to the decision on whether to bring back starting left guard Andy Levitre, who’s set to make $7 million in 2018. He suffered a torn tricep and missed three full games and played just five snaps in one game. Other projected unrestricted free agents, include wide receiver Taylor Gabriel, linebacker Kemal Ishmael, returner Andre Roberts, defensive tackle Courtney Upshaw, defensive tackle Ahtyba Rubin, offensive tackle Austin Pasztor, cornerback Blidi Wreh-Wilson, linebacker Sean Weatherspoon, cornerback Leon McFadden, linebacker Jordan Tripp, and wide receiver Nick Williams. http://www.myajc.com/sports/football/falcons-have-free-agency-decisions-make-poe-clayborn-and-bryant/V2AmfKhB0o2wsyUZwsB4pM/
  14. Excerpt from another article: "Biggest offseason needs Right guard Defensive tackle Free safety The Falcons are pretty much set on offense, but the one weak spot of the offensive line remains at right guard, where Wes Schweitzer hasn't played up to the level of his linemates. The team could also explore bringing in a better receiver at the tight end position, but Austin Hooper still has room to grow. Defensively, the Falcons are set to lose Adrian Clayborn and Dontari Poe to free agency, and while they have the depth to overcome the loss of Clayborn, particularly if rookie Takk McKinley takes over a bigger role moving forward, finding a defensive tackle to play next to Grady Jarrett should be one of the team's top priorities this offseason. The secondary remains in place, but one spot that could use an upgrade is at safety to pair with young star Keanu Neal." https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2018-nfl-draft-atlanta-falcons-team-needs-draft-picks-prospects-to-watch/
  15. Yep, I just posted that particular article to spur some additional discussion on what the Falcons true off-season needs really should be. Some of the so-called expert "pundits" can be significantly off in their assessments.