Pure Football
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Everything posted by Kayoh

  1. no opinion
  2. I'm not a fan of drafting RBs in general. Rather get OL depth in the 4th than another RB.
  3. yeah Snell's fine too. Not as good of a pass catcher as Barnes though.
  4. I mean yeah, you watched one of his worst games of the year, watch him against Baylor or ISU and you'll see more
  5. check out Alex Barnes. I get Kareem Hunt vibes from him.
  6. exactly. The Patriots get so much wrong. They make a lot of bad decisions. But the system covers up for it. They try and base their entire philosophy around versatility because they can go into any given game with one game plan, and the following week have an entirely different game plan based on their opponent.
  7. sometimes it feels like new england is just the only team in the league that game plans to attack the other team's weaknesses. Even so-called "genius" coaches like Payton for the Saints does really illogical things with his gameplans, like against the Rams. The Saints gashed the Rams running the ball out of 11 personnel during the regular season, yet most of their runs weren't out of 11 personnel in their playoff game. The Pats gashed the Chiefs in 21 personnel during the regular season, and abused that in their playoff game. I don't get why every team doesn't do this kind of stuff.
  8. unblockable is unblockable. Big is big. The two are not mutually inclusive, and frankly the history of the league has shown almost the exact opposite. It's actually a lot rarer that you find a gigantic 330+ pound guy who turns out to be dominant in every phase of the game, than a smaller <300 lb guy who can move like a 240 lb guy. And that's not even a new development, arguably the greatest pure DT of all time Alan Page was 6'4 245, and he played in the 60s-70s when most interior OLinemen were easily 250+. He was the Aaron Donald/JJ Watt of his time.
  9. you don't draw double teams by being fat. You draw double teams by being too difficult to block by one offensive lineman. Guys like Aaron Donald, JJ Watt, and Geno Atkins get double teamed way more than guys like Danny Shelton and Vita Vea.
  10. "too athletic" isn't really a thing. You can never be "too athletic" in the NFL. More athletic players wouldn't be worse at blocking Aaron Donald, they'd be better at it. A big reason why Donald is so dominant is because he's an absolute freak of an athlete and a complete mismatch for just about every interior OLineman in the league. The only interior OL in the league right now who's on an even similar level to Donald athletically is like, Brandon Brooks for the Eagles. I think looking for big hulking OL would be a huge mistake unless it's with the qualifier of "also extremely athletic", which is just kinda rare. But buying into this idea that bigger = better in the trenches seems like a great way to just revert to the Mike Smith regime that tried to generate pass rush from the inside out with guys like Soliai and other mediocrity of the like.
  11. Means is an explosive guy.
  12. I don't think Quinn is an ELITE coach, but I do think he's a good one. The team is still severely lacking in depth in the trenches. OL injuries are devastating to the offense as a whole and the DL just isn't all that good, period. Grady is a one man band, with Takk and Crawford occasionally offering support, and nobody else really doing anything. Even Vic has been largely disappointing since his 2016 season. And in a league where you really need 6, 7, even 8 good bodies in a rotation on the DL, having 1 great guy, 2 pretty good guys, 1 inconsistent, sometimes good sometimes transparent, guy, and nobody else contributing, the DL is falling flat in a major way.
  13. I can't even imagine getting this worked up over a bad post
  14. when I notice the same guy posting stuff I think is dumb frequently I tend to just use the ignore function
  15. how was it dumb for a team with two very good RBs to pass on him
  16. why would you hurl personal insults at someone like this just because they have what you perceive to be a bad opinion?
  17. Bosa doesn't really have the crazy sack production either. Kind of funny that ATL's next 1st rd pass rusher might end up being from the same school as the last one - Clemson. If Ferrell tests well at the combine he's probably the pick.
  18. Oliver isn't as good of a pass rusher as you'd like out of that high of a pick. I think he's either going to be the best 1 tech in the league (a position you really shouldn't draft early imo), or a 3 tech who's incredible against the run and just okay as a pass rusher.
  19. https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/5/22/17376788/nfl-offense-goal-line-package-patriots-run-the-ball NFL teams are making a terrible mistake at the goal line 36 Retired NFL lineman Geoff Schwartz shatters the conventional wisdom about what an offense should do when it’s one or two yards from paydirt. By Geoff Schwartz May 22, 2018, 11:07am EDT SHARE Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports Analytics are now part of football. You can choose to ignore analytics like Jon Gruden claims he will, or you can embrace it like Howie Roseman of the Eagles. I was hesitant to embrace analytics because it was mostly centered around football player grades. But without knowing the scheme, it’s hard to grade, especially at my favorite position, offensive line. When I retired from the NFL and had more time and the willingness to read people who cover football, I found them using analytics as a tool to chart tendencies and measure efficiency. I started paying attention to the analytics, seeing how it played out on Sundays and beyond. As football evolves and we’re able to chart tendencies, we must rethink how we look at certain situations. The norm of how plays are called, the way they’ve been called for years, has to adapt with new analytics. One area of the game we need to rethink is what happens at the goal line. The general theory for years was running in your jumbo package at the 1-yard line. The jumbo package can vary at times with who plays what position, but it’s three tight ends (sometime one or two of those are offensive lineman), one fullback and one running back. The formation looks like this. There are various runs and just a few passing routes from this formation. That’s sort of the point. The offensive coaches are telling the opposing defense, “**** you, we can run the ball against any look, even if the defense knows it’s coming.” It’s the same message we get in the offensive line room. It sounds like an archaic way to view football, but it’s something offensive lineman take pride in. Run the ball into any look; we can get the job done. However, this is where analytics should inform the way we think about the run game. There are stats that show us running the ball from jumbo inside the 2-yard line isn’t the best way to punch in a touchdown. When we were joking about calling a game with a boatload of passes, one of my fellow linemen mentioned being in 10 personnel on the goal line and how that would drive us insane. It would. Our friend Warren Sharp, from sharpfootballstats.com, chimed in with stats from the last two seasons showing that running from jumbo personnel on the goal line isn’t as efficient as staying in 11 personnel in the same situation. Here is that info from Sharp: Goal-line TD rate Formation NFL NE 0 WRs on the field 1st down 50% 50% 2nd down 47% 64% 3rd/4th down 50% 43% All 49% 53% 1 WR on the field 1st down 48% 100% (1 play) 2nd down 54% 100% (1 play) 3rd/4th down 54% n/a All 51% 100% 2 WRs on the field 1st down 33% n/a 2nd down 50% 50% (2 plays) 3rd/4th down 61% 100% (1 play) All 51% 100% 3+ WRs on the field 1st down 42% 50% (2 plays) 2nd down 59% 100% (2 plays) 3rd/4th down 57% n/a All 51% 75% New England TD rate for 0 WR vs. 1+ WR (RB runs from the 1- and 2-yard lines) 0 WR: 53 percent 1+ WR: 78 percent NFL TD rate for running the ball on first down vs. second-fourth downs from 1+ WR formations: First down: 44 percent Second-fourth downs: 56 percent The only time it makes sense to run the ball from jumbo is on first down, with a 50 percent success rate. If you get stuffed on first or just get down there after a big play, it’s time to get into 11 personnel and get better matchups to run the ball. When you game plan for an opponent, you pare down the entire playbook into plays that work for that week. You have a few goal-line runs and one goal-line pass you love, and maybe one more. But sometimes just one pass. The general philosophy on the goal line in jumbo is well known. Run on first down, run or pass on second down, pass on third down, and then run on fourth down. You pass on third down because passing on fourth down is obvious. You set up the goal-line passes by running the ball once or twice so the play action pass mimics the run action. Lastly, you enter the game with one great goal line pass and a secondary one just in case. There aren’t many options for multiple pass plays. The jumbo personnel package is not designed for the pass. As Warren’s data shows, conventional wisdom has it backwards. It’s better to run the ball from passing formations on second-fourth downs and pass from a run formation on first. Teams that run the ball with more than one wide receiver on second, third or fourth down, score 56 percent of the time, compared to less than 50 percent for jumbo formations. Defenses expect the run. When you line up in a passing formation teams must honor the pass, otherwise the quarterback will check to a great matchup on the edge. Defenses in the red zone are vanilla so there isn’t much thinking on downs at the goal line. Lastly, you only need two yards. It hits quickly. Lineman don’t need to sustain their blocks for long. If you are going to get into jumbo and run the football, there’s only one way to do it — the Patriot way. If you want to run the ball successfully on the goal line, just copy the Patriots. They run the ball from personnel groupings and on downs where teams expect pass. They go against traditional football thoughts. Coaches get too fancy on the goal line by trying to “fool” the defense. Not the Patriots. They’re the best at running the ball at the goal line because they understand where the best matchups are and they have the best goal-line run play of all time. It’s a single play they over and over again, never overthinking it. The New England play is GL 38/39 Boss. It’s an outside zone with a fullback leading up on the edge player. It can go to the strong or weak side, depending on the defense. It’s an excellent play because it can eat up anything the defense is trying to do. Cross dog? Eaten up. Out charge? It can be handled. And so on. New England scored on versions of this same run in four straight games between Weeks 12 through 15. Here they are running it against Pittsburgh in the play’s most basic form. Fast forward to the playoffs, and you’ll see what makes the Patriots so dang tough to play. They adjust and anticipate better than anyone else. They’re aware they scored multiple times last season on the same play. In the divisional round, New England faced Tennessee and famed defensive mind **** Lebeau, who loves himself some middle cross dog on the goal line. Something that looks like this: They are waiting for the outside zone, with the defensive line making an all out charge and the edge players where they are. So, New England runs a cutback play that’s designed to defeat the cross dog. It looks like zone to start for a second, and boom, it’s a cutback and a touchdown. This is what New England does better than anyone else in jumbo personnel, and they’re even better on second down. I will say this data doesn’t show New England, or any other team, who tried to run on first down and got stuffed, and then tried to force it again. In New England’s case, having watched most of their film, they get to first-and-goal, run a play getting themselves down into the area where jumbo personnel is appropriate. The final thing New England does well in this area of the field is tempo opponents using goal line runs with different personnel. Against Jacksonville, in the AFC Championship, the Patriots ran a goal-line outside zone from 11 personnel. Notice what happens here. Because of the formation, Jacksonville’s defense tries to line up in some semblance of a goal-line defense with their nickel personnel. No bueno for them; excellent for the Patriots. There’s no one to defend this play. Walk in touchdown. That’s a lot to consume here, but remember this — stay in 11 personnel on the goal line. If you want to get into jumbo, run outside zone with it.
  20. then you run out of 11 personnel like the article is suggesting is more likely to be successful than a run out of jumbo in the first place.
  21. stop focusing on one play. They had multiple chances and every single time they tried running, it was out of jumbo. That's a bigger problem than one guy not doing his job on one play.
  22. but the point of the article is, don't run out of jumbo in general. The tone is, if you must, do it this way, but in general you don't really want to. Running at the goal line is most likely to be successful if you do it out of 2 or 3 receiver sets.
  23. the best way run the ball at the goal line is to do it with 2-3 WRs on the field, and probably not on 1st down