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Lucky_Tom

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  1. This chart doesn't include 2 games in which Julio didn't even play, both 30-pt blowout wins
  2. If Hage and Jarrett keep like they have been, this game could get ugly. I'm also looking for a big time Beasley showing after 2 games of containing and spying mobile QBs. 2 sacks and a FF sound about right
  3. See, I kind of look at it the other way around. Sure, they will try and keep us off the field, and they've been good at doing that so far this season. As you mentioned, they are number 1 in the league in TOP. Well, guess who's number 2? It's not like the other teams we played didn't try and keep us off the field, they just couldn't do it. I don't think Washington's defense is that much better than any that we've played so far. They may be better at stopping the run, but as long as we are able to just keep play action viable, we should be able to score. Even if Julio is not 100% (or poss
  4. 3 carries did that. The first three carries of the game went for 85 yards. The next 18 went for 42 (2.33 YPC).
  5. I understand this fear. However, that 4.4 avg. is intensely skewed by the first 3 runs of the game in Dallas that went for 85 yards. Outside of those three runs, we are allowing 3.5 YPC (which would be fourth in the league). I know you can't take those runs away, but if you're trying to gauge how well our run d is likely to perform against Washington, I would guess that they are more likely to perform like the 3.5 YPC team that they have been for 96% of their opponents carries than the 4.4 YPC team they have been on 100%.
  6. I started this reply ready to poo-poo those numbers a bit, pointing out that Julio hasn't had those twilight years yet like Jerry Rice or Tim Brown to bring down his averages. While that still holds true, digging into it a bit more it became clear to me that most of the greats had not really come close to peaking at this point (52 games) into their careers. Below are the per game averages of 7 of the top receivers in the modern era as well as the GOAT, Jerry Rice, through 52 games in their careers. I have come away even more impressed with Julio: Player YPG RPG Julio Jo
  7. PFF no longer provides its premium stats to new users, even paying ones. So the clowns are not necessarily cheap, but late to the game. I, for one, greatly appreciate the posts.
  8. I agree, and I would hope that got factored into his grade. I still say that even if his dumpoffs are the greatest in the league, they are still not as impressive as a great throw down-field. I saw at one point during the game that something like 27 of 43 pass attempts for Rodgers in weeks 1-2 travelled less than 5 yards. Maybe this is just the GB offense minus Jordy Nelson. Take advantage of that quick twitch you mentioned and Randall Cobb's amazing ability after the catch. Can't say I blame them, and it's certainly working so far.
  9. They're not looking at the stat line, they're looking at each of those 35 pass attempts and determining whether or not he did anything special to warrant a positive grade on that thrown. I agree that this grade is surprising because, with a line like that, you would expect a few really great throws and not too many bad ones. Still, is it that strange of an idea that a QB's stat line can look a lot better than it really was due to the play of his WR's or defenders dropping INTs? It's taken as a given that a good o-line can make an RB look a lot better than he is, or that a great QB can make
  10. I'm not defending or attacking PFF, and it is surprising that overall his grade was negative on a 333 yd, 5 TD night. That said, he wasn't graded negatively because the receivers did all the work, he just wasn't graded particularly positively on those plays. Add in some apparently very bad throws and you get an overall negative score. Looking at an extreme example, let's say it's the first play of the game after a touchback to open. So, 0-0 score with 15:00 remaining in the 1st quarter, 1st and 10 from the 20. QB A takes a snap and immediately dumps it off to a RB who takes it 80 yeards to
  11. Worrilow, yes. He was the worst LB in the NFL by far last week (-8.1), next lowest was one of the Cowboys at -3.9. I don't know Durant's grade, but DLed's report said that it was positive. Beasley was the 2nd worst defender, again according to DLed.
  12. Meh. The East has four teams with big media following and a ton of history, but since 2008 they have had one first round bye (in 2008 and none since) and two wildcards (2008 and 2009 and none since). This has been a decidedly mediocre division for the better part of a decade.
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