ukfalc

Pure Football
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ukfalc last won the day on February 11 2012

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About ukfalc

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  1. ...not for me. I don't get he chance to watch that many falcons games live, but whenever I see Julio I almost always find his play a little underwhelming. Maybe I just don't get to see the right games. I cant help thinking that he should be much more productive in the red zone and has horrible TD numbers for a guy who is supposed to be THE best in the NFL according to some. I would rank Deion and Tong G miles above Julio in any list of the all-time NFL greats - although I suppose they only played short a handful of season here and Tony G's prime years were spent in KC. If the greatest falcons has to be a "lifer", I'd say there is very little to choose between Ryan, Tuggle and Julio. I might also include Abe, as he spend many of his prime years here. In only became a fan in the mid 80's so I can't properly rank the guys who played before then.
  2. There were 10 DE’s drafted in rounds 1&2 of the 2015 Draft and only one (drafted at #63) has more career sacks than Vic Beasley. I’m not a fan of Beasley, but the notion that Beasley is some Megabust who shows our FO to be inept, is laughable. Half the problem, is that some fans have unrealistic expectations. To some, if your not top 3-5 in you position in the NFL then you are garbage and a bust.
  3. The rest of the picks are meh, but I’d take a draft with 3 players the quality of Matthews, Free and Allen every season. Free and Allen were huge value picks where taken.
  4. We had a borderline HOF DE on the roster when TD came here so we didn't exactly need to invest a ton off draft capital in the DE position from 08-12. Maybe we should have, but we didn’t. We actually found some good value in Kroy Biermann in 08, whose production exceeded his draft position. Vic Beasley has been a disappointment and clearly not the elite rusher we were hoping for, but his numbers need to be put into some perspective. He still somehow averages more than a sack every 2 games. The percentage of DE who match or exceed that through 5 years is probably a lot lower than most AFMB would care to admit.
  5. TD made this known at the time of the 2011 draft. On paper, it was a ridiculous move to make at the time. It delayed our OL rebuild for 2 years and left us without the draft capital to replace Abe, Turner, Gonzo with better players. It was unquestionably a very significant factor in our 2013 and 14 slump. 99 times out of 100, a team making that trade in that position doesn’t get anywhere near enough value to justify a 5 for 1 draft swap. Thankfully for us, we did actually hit on a great talent and the 2011 and 2012 draft classes turned out to be poor that we probably did get more value that we would have had staying put...
  6. How do you value a player who had produced 8 and 15.5 sack seasons, but also had a two poor 5 sack seasons between them? I’d let him go unless he’s willing to give a very low value cap friendly deal, because I don’t think he can be trusted to give us a decent return on any investment. Somebody - who is desperate for a pass rush - will be blinded by his 2 best years, and will offer him way more money than his inconsistent production justifies.
  7. The reference to him impressing a lot of people in the organisation suggests that we are interested in bringing him back...
  8. In an ideal world, every player in the NFL would have an incentive based contract which pays them based on their production, but players and their agents won’t accept it because it carries too much risk for them as it gives no insurance against injuries. Injuries = reduced production = less money. If we offered Julio a contact with a $10m base salary with the other $10m+ a year based on his production he’d never take it. Somebody else would be prepared to offer him a lump sum of guaranteed money up front, or a higher base salary, and he’d take that rather than gambling on his own fitness/production. The players usually have a lot of leverage in negotiations, because there are usually desperate teams with cap room who will overpay for their services.
  9. Under the cap, the incentives which are “likely to be earned” ( based on the previous season’s performance) count against the cap. The incentives which are “not likely to be earned” are not counted against the cap. After the season adjustments are then made (to the following season’ cap) to reflect what actually ended up being achieved and paid out. For example:- If Matt Ran has an incentive which say he gets $5m if he throws 10 TD passes in 2020... the incentive is “likely to be aarned” (because he threw more that 10 TDs in 2019) so the $5m counts against our 2020 cap. If he then fails to throw 10 TDs, we get the $5m back in cap space in 2021. If Matt Ran has an incentive which say he gets $5m if he throws 40 TD passes in 2020... the incentive is “not likely to be aarned” (because he threw less than 40 TDs in 2019) so the $5m doesn’t count against our 2020 cap. If he then throw 40+ TDs, we lose $5m in cap space in 2021.
  10. These things are always a balancing exercise. Its not wise to be the making widespread changed in the front office and coaching staff every single season, or complete overhauls every 2-3 years out of desperation. It may look good to some people in the sense that it shows a willingness to want to succeed and a higher degree of accountability, but the truth is that it takes time to build and it is inevitable that you are going to have ups and downs and bad seasons because things change and major factors like injures are totally out of your control. The Ravens won the 2012 super bowl and were a 5-11 teams 3 years later with the coaching staff and front office. We've not had a history of cap issues at all. We've actually managed the cap very well over the years. Re-signing the core of the 2016 team was always going to be expensive, given that most of our defensive players were still of rookie contracts. It's easy to look back with hindsight at some of the re-signings, but given how well players like Freeman, Debo, Jarrett, Matthews and Beasley played in 2016, it is understandable why we felt the ned to retain them or extend the options on Beasley. They were all young players in 2016, who should still have had their prime years ahead of them - and we paid what he market dictated based on their performances. The biger question for me, is why most of our young defensive players who showed real promise in2016 have regresses since then and how an offense with the same talent which had a top-10 all-time year in 2016 hasn't underachieved too. I have severe doubts bout Quinn too, and would have retained him. However, I do appreciate the value of continuity. With Julio and Ryan's ages and the contracts we've given out we have already gone "all-in" with this roster - so I can understand why we'd want to give it one more show - when the alternative is a total re-build. If we go in to rebuild mode, there is a strong argument that it would be sensible to move on from Julio and Matt - as neither.
  11. The OP also overlooks the fact that only one team can win the SB every season. There are 32 teams, owners and fanbases who want to win just as much as we do, who work just as hard as we do and who deserve success just as much as we do. No matter how much they all want it or how hard they work, only one can win the SB each season and 31 of them will always come up short.
  12. I am not sure if we will, or if we should. His game is showing some decline, and that is obviously going to continue. It has to depend on the money, and how much he is prepared to accept. How do you value a contract of a guy who has been elite, is still good but showing decline, and carries the risk of hitting the wall at any time?
  13. I’ll take a pocket passer with the mobility to create time in the pocket and to pick up a few yards here and there when plays break down. The problem with athletic running QBs is that don’t develop the same level of pocket presence and pocket skills the that a pure pocket passer has to develop to survive and be successful. The best mobile QBs are able to rely on their athleticism to dominate at the high school and college level of the game - where most of the athletes they face are vastly inferior. A pocket passer who doesn’t develop pocket presence doesn’t stay healthy or succeed. When a QB can take off after his first or second read and rely on his athleticism to embarrass his opponents, he simply don’t need to develop the same level of skill of the pocket presence to be successful. The downside when they reach the NFL, is that can no longer rely on their athleticism alone to win against the best defences. MV was an unique athlete and an athletic freak. He could still beat many teams with his legs, but even he couldn’t regularly beat the best defences on athleticism alone. In the NFL mobile QBs also need to be able to beat defence from the pocket with the pass. However it can take more athletic QBs longer to master the skills to do so, because their skills in this area aren’t usually as far developed when they either the NFL. It has absolutely nothing at all to do with intelligence. It’s simply a product of how their they have played the game, and how their skills have been utilised and developed by coaches/teams at the high school and college level.
  14. It’s my understanding that 10 of these 20 seniors will make it, so it’s a 50:50 chance.
  15. ^^ This ^^ Julio doesn't belong in the GOAT conversation given his consistently terrible red zone production. Honestly, there are a bunch of guys from the last 30 years I'd rank and want above Julio, including Rice, Moss, TO, Fitz, Chris Carter, Marvin Harrison and Calvin Johnson.