Democrats need to lead national U.S. House polls by 8% on election day to be favored to win the majority of seats, per our model.

Disagree about what polls are saying? Plug your guesses into this graph to get your own expected result.

More ➡️ https://t.co/3BL5MlOz2J pic.twitter.com/zqKwCHwnGu

— G. Elliott Morris (@gelliottmorris) January 18, 2018