Posted 13 November 2011 - 08:18 AM
Lots of reasons.
Saints are a tired, beat up team- this is their 6th road game and they haven't had a bye. Haven't been a great road team this year.
Vilma is out- heart and soul of their D.Saint's fans claim Dunbar is playing better, but ask them if they'd rather have a healthy Vilma over Dunbar.
Saints secondary is short handed.
Even when healthy, Saints D is poor against the run.
Last 6 games, Saints have played two 0 win teams,two 2 win teams, and Tampa twice- and lost two of those games.
Saints offense stats are inflated not only because of playing the six teams I mentioned, but because of playing GB & Chi as well- two teams in the bottom of the pass defense rankings.
This means they inflate their stats one week and crash the next- 236 yards rushing one week, and 70 yards the next.
Falcons started slowly because they had as many changes as the Eagles, without all the media attention. Two new Olinemen, Two new Dlinemen, new WR, two new faces in the secondary. Took it all awhile to gel- esp. the Dline.
This is the best D that the falcons have had in the Smith era- Spoooooon and peters are playing at a much higher level than last year.
the O with Jones has a dimension it hasn't had for a awhile.
As always, it boils down to the lines. STL showed that the NO Oline just isn't what it once was, Bucs couldn't take advantage of that because McCoy went down early.
Falcons can- Babs & Peters are the keys here, along with Jerry & Walker in back up roles. Pressure Brees up the middle and he'll throw you some picks. Falcons missed on 7-8 sacks on Brees last year, won't miss this year.
Falcons are 7th against the run on D- in their 3 losses, Saints haven't run well. That trend will continue.
Falcons Oline is giving Ryan more time, he's developing a rapport with Jones and they still have Turner.
Falcons are going to control both LOS and win the game. Saints will make some plays because Brees is Brees, but he can't make plays from the ground.