theProf

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theProf last won the day on June 15 2016

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  1. Beef thanks for your projections and breakdown by defensive packages. Looks very good and probable. I'm assuming that you are basing your estimated snap counts on a projected total of 1,000 defensive snaps for the year. If so, then the defensive snap percentages for each defensive lineman based upon your projections would be: Beasley = 65% (Base =50, + Nickle =500, + Nascar =100) Jarrett = 55% Poe = 55% McKinley = 55% Shelby = 40% Clayborn = 35% Reed = 30% Crawford = 25% Hageman = 25% Upshaw = 20%
  2. Out of the Falcons 1,111 Defensive snaps during the 2016 Regular Season: Beasley = 671 (60%) Jarrett = 630 (57%) Clayborn = 583 (53%) Clayborn only played in 13 Regular season games. [Extrapolated over 16 games = 718 snaps or 65%] Reed = 425 (38%) Babs = 424 (38%) Freeney = 415 (37%) Jackson = 329 (30%) Upshaw = 310 (28%) Hageman = 266 (24%) Played in 12 games, Inactive in 4 games Shelby = 245 (22%) Shelby only played in 6 Regular season games. [Extrapolated over 16 games = 653 snaps or 59%] Matthews and Goodman = 71 (6%) Garland = 42 (4%) http://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/atl/2016-snap-counts.htm
  3. The author of this article evidently included Hageman and Reed as starters in the Base defense. He is assuming that Hageman will take over Jackson's role as a Base DE. However, I think Shelby will take the majority of Jackson's snaps as base DE, if Shelby comes back healthy from his Achilles injury. I believe that Hageman's main role will be a rotating DT in the Base defense providing relief for Poe and/or Jarrett. Upshaw will probably provide rotational relief at DT in the Base defense also. The author projects Reed to be the starting Leo DE in the Base defense. Perhaps Clayborn and possibly Crawford will get a good many defensive snaps at Leo in the Base defense. As for Tak being 265 pounds, I don't know where that came from either. Most sites say that Tak is 250 pounds, which he what he weighed at the Combine and at his Pro-Day.
  4. Falcons post-draft roster review: Defensive Line by EricJRobinson May 24, 2017, 8:00am EDT Since day one of the Dan Quinn era, the mantra of “Fast and Physical” Falcons football was destined to be seen vividly on the defensive side. More in particular, the defensive line. Going back to those Seattle Seahawks defenses in 2013-14 that were ran by Quinn, while the “Legion of Boom” secondary bathed in the limelight, the defensive line was more of the engine of the entire defense. The same goes for the current day Falcons. Quinn’s vision is to implement that mentality across the entire defense but the defensive line is where all the attention goes to. This past season, the defense racked up 34 sacks, which was a significant jump from the lackluster 19 sacks in 2015. The Falcoholic roster review now turns its pages to the talented and deep defensive line. Current Depth Chart Starters: Brooks Reed, Dontari Poe, Grady Jarrett, Ra’Shede Hageman Reserves: Takkarist McKinley (R), Derrick Shelby, Courtney Upshaw, Jack Crawford, Adrian Clayborn Special Packages: Vic Beasley Jr. After the establishment of Quinn as head coach, he has acquired or drafted nine of the 10 players listed above. Which goes to show the amount of work has been done to this unit since early 2015. Now the group as a whole has depth, girth, speed, and finally, versatility. A vital component to the unit’s effectiveness. In 2016, the team was led in sacks by strong side linebacker Vic Beasley Jr, who also led the league in the same category with 15.5. His progression this upcoming season will firmly establish Beasley as one of the league’s premier pass rushers. While listed as a linebacker on the depth chart, he does join the defensive line on pass rushing situations as a nickel defensive end. Offenses are now focused on stopping Beasley which makes the addition of Takkarist McKinley, 2017 26th overall pick, even more complicated for opponents. The 265-lb defensive end is a bolt of lightning on the field and on the microphone. His attributes matches the “Fast and Physical” perception the team is painting. The Falcons also received a gift in free agency this offseason by signing 346-lb defensive tackle Dontari Poe. The two-time Pro Bowler makes the defensive line even more scarier especially when you pair him alongside the quick Grady Jarrett, who posted three sacks in Super Bowl LI. Poe was promised to see a step back in game snaps during negotiations and that will save some wear on the massive defender, resulting in fresh legs for late game scenarios. Both Derrick Shelby and Adrian Clayborn suffered key injuries last season at various points which made them spectators during the Super Bowl. But both also have important roles going forward as the Falcons have a tendency to slide defensive ends into the interior on pass rushing downs to provide a little more quickness closer to the quarterback. The two also showed flashes during the season of being relied on the create pressure. Former Dallas Cowboy Jack Crawford fits that same formula as he was signed to a three-year deal this offseason. Late in the season, the team got a boost from 2014 draftee Ra’Shede Hageman. The scheme favors Hageman as it allows him to focus on gap penetration and attacking from the interior. All in all, there are enough ingredients here to make what was once an eyesore of a unit to one this is a concern to opposing coaches. 2017 outlook Versatility. The first thing that comes to mind when speaking on the Falcons defensive line. The missed opportunity in the Super Bowl sparked Quinn and the front office to be aggressive this offseason, especially when it comes to the defensive line. Veterans such as Brooks Reed and Courtney Upshaw help fill out the group entirely and will give the unit more chess pieces to disrupt. There is a clear emphasis within this group. That is to attack offensive lines with speed and athleticism (Beasley, McKinley), versatility and strength (Shelby, Clayborn, Crawford) and power with unique nimbleness (Jarrett, Poe, Hageman, Upshaw). Health is a factor here also and if all are relatively healthy, there is potential that this unit alone can be one of the more impressive groups in the league. On the result of the Falcons improving greatly as a defensive unit, the line may have great influence on that success. http://www.thefalcoholic.com/2017/5/24/15651162/falcons-post-draft-roster-review-defensive-line
  5. Falcons announce signings of two tryout players from rookie minicamp: WR Reggie Davis from Georgia and DL Taniela Tupou from Washington. Vaughn McClure, ESPN Staff Write
  6. Another collegiate track star that the Falcons signed, besides Scantling, to keep an eye on is Safety Jordan Moore. Appears that the Lions were very interested in Jordan Moore also. Thanks to RandomFan for the following article: Published 10:00 p.m. ET April 25, 2017 John Ross may be the fastest player in the 2017 NFL draft, clocking a record 4.22-second 40-yard dash at last month’s combine. But no one is more accomplished in track than sleeper safety prospect Jordan Moore of Texas-San Antonio. Moore won conference championships in the Big 12 and SEC in both the 60- and 110-meter hurdles, and he narrowly missed out on qualifying for the Olympics as a sprint hurdler last spring. Moore, who played three seasons of football at a variety of positions at TCU, transferred to LSU to run track in 2015, then followed former Tigers football recruiting coordinator Frank Wilson to UTSA last year. A bronze medalist at the USA Junior Championships as a hurdler, Moore is on NFL radars now as an intriguing Day 3 draft prospect and one of the best athletes in the draft. He ran a 4.41-second 40 at a regional combine months after undergoing knee surgery, and the Lions sent special-teams coordinator Joe Marciano to Moore’s UTSA pro day workout last month. “In my safety class I feel like I’m one of the best athletes, hands down,” Moore said. “There’s a lot of good guys. There’s a lot of good guys that I’ve come across and that I’ve seen, but I’m unique in my own way. (Few players) in the draft can even say that they ran track in college, except maybe Adoree’ Jackson and Marlon Humphrey, but other than that, nobody can say that they’ve won a championship, let alone went to the Olympic trials. So I feel like I’m a cut above the rest. And at the same time, any of those guys that did say they run track, they’re not 220-some pounds jumping over hurdles, so I don’t think we even compare.” Moore started his football career as a safety at TCU and saw time as a linebacker, wide receiver and even a fullback over the course of his career. He said he left for LSU thinking he could play football for the Tigers, but had to sit out the 2015 season under NCAA transfer rules. As a graduate transfer last season, he was allowed to play for UTSA. “I was hurt. I was devastated (when I found out I couldn’t play football at LSU),” Moore said. “I really was like, ‘Wow,’ cause I didn’t think I could transfer again. And then I was like, ‘I’m going to graduate and I’m just going to leave and go somewhere else, but in the meantime I’m just going to kill everybody on the track because I’m so angry.’ And that’s what I did, beat everybody out there and dominated the NCAA and then I just felt like this is going to help me in football one day because they’re going to be like, ‘Wow, he can’t be that big and that fast.’ And it actually worked out.” At LSU, Moore said he spent time training with Tigers safety Jamal Adams, who’s expected to be one of the first players picked in Thursday’s first round, and his cousin, LSU defensive end Arden Key. “Me and Jamal Adams, we would have been like Kam Chancellor and Earl Thomas together,” Moore said. “I’m telling you, that would have been sickening. Like, I couldn’t even imagine what that defensive backfield would have been like. … It would have been a terror.” Moore played in all 13 games and made 49 tackles with one interception for UTSA last year. He returned kicks early in his TCU career, and played on every special team, which likely will be his entry point into the NFL given his rawness on defense. “I returned, I was a middle guy on kickoff. I was a gunner on punt team,” Moore said. “The kickoff really was my main thing. I would go down there and knock somebody’s head off first play of the game. It would depend on me. If I knocked his head off, I knew we were about to win the game and we were about to have a **** of a game.” On defense, Moore described his play as “violent,” and at a shade under 6 feet 3 and 227 pounds, he projects as a strong safety in the NFL. "I’m a great guy off the field, but on the field I don’t think nobody wants to see me,” Moore said. “I’m your worst nightmare. I’m going to get in your head, I’m going to hit you, I’m going to keep hitting you and keep hitting you.” A potential Day 3 draft pick, Moore said he visited or worked out for more than a dozen NFL teams. He was supposed to have dinner with Marciano after his pro day, but the meeting was postponed when his post-workout interviews with other teams ran long. Moore, who spent time with Marciano during his pro day, said he called the Lions’ assistant later and offered to fly up to meet him in Detroit on his own dime. He also spent part of the winter training with Lions running back Ameer Abdullah at Michael Johnson Performance in Texas, and said Abdullah “looked **** good” in his rehab from foot surgery. “I’m pretty sure (teams lost track of me because of the transfers),” Moore said. “It’s hard to keep track with somebody that’s moving and different stuff like that. That’s hard to do, but I made everything happen the way it’s supposed to at the end of the day.” http://www.freep.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2017/04/25/who-is-jordan-moore-nfl-draft/100905014/
  7. UDFAs to watch during the Falcons’ rookie minicamp There are a lot of relatively unknown players participating in the Falcons’ rookie minicamp this weekend. Here are a few interesting names to keep an eye on. by Kevin Knight@FalcoholicKevin May 12, 2017, 12:00pm EDT We’ve, unfortunately, reached the relatively quiet time of year between the conclusion of the NFL draft and the beginning of training camp. News and topics of interest are few and far between throughout these dark times. Luckily for us, there are a few diversions scattered here and there. One of those is rookie minicamp. For those who aren’t aware, rookie minicamp is the first opportunity for rookies (and UDFAs, along with tryout players) to work with their new team’s coaching staff. It’s not incredibly meaningful in the grand scheme of things, but occasionally there are interesting tidbits of information that come out of the practices. Namely, you’d like to see your drafted rookies impress early. They’re going up against practice squad-caliber competition (or worse) for the most part, so they should be looking pretty good. However, there are always UDFA “diamonds-in-the-rough” that emerge each offseason, and rookie minicamp is their chance to stand-out from the rest of the crop before going up against seasoned NFL players. Here are a few of the UDFA players that I’ve found interesting. Keep an eye out for their names among the reports coming out this weekend. G/T Robert Leff - Auburn Leff was a late bloomer at Auburn that didn’t make a name for himself until his senior year, where he started all 13 games at right tackle. At 6’6, 299, he’s big enough to play on the outside, but his best fit in the NFL is likely at guard. PFF listed him as their #3 overall UDFA, and have lauded his run-blocking abilities as among the best in the class. He struggles in pass protection at times, particularly with length and power, but those weaknesses will be mitigated if he moves inside to guard. Leff may be the most polished UDFA offensive lineman the Falcons have, and with few veteran options available, he could sneak onto the roster as a back-up with G/T flexibility. OT Andreas Knappe - UConn If Leff is a polished prospect with limited physical upside, Knappe is the opposite. At 6’8, 311, Knappe is a monster of a man. He played three seasons at right tackle for UConn, starting every game in the final two. Knappe has all the traits you look for in an offensive tackle, but he’s extremely raw at this point. He’s also apparently the first Danish player to join the NFL since Morten Andersen. His physical gifts make him an intriguing fit for this offense. The Falcons have shown they’re patient enough to develop massive offensive linemen into capable starters (Ryan Schraeder, anyone?) and Knappe fits that profile perfectly. He’s a long-shot to make the 53-man roster, but Knappe should be a favorite for a practice squad spot. FB Tyler Renew - Citadel With the Falcons moving on from Patrick DiMarco this offseason, the team has been bringing in players to compete for the FB vacancy. Renew is an intriguing player that mostly played a halfback or “up-back” position in Citadel’s triple-option offense. At 5’11, 231, he’s certainly large enough to make the transition to a blocking role. He also ran a 4.57-forty, which is pretty impressive for such a large back. He had some impressive stats his senior year, including 1086 yards and 4 TDs. While he didn’t catch the ball often, he did make the most of his opportunities: his 5 receptions in 2016 went for 120 yards and 2 TDs—a whopping 24.0 yards per catch. Renew actually reminds me quite a bit of DiMarco, and I think he’s got a legitimate chance to wind up as the Falcons’ FB in 2017. QB Alek Torgerson - Penn It seems like the Falcons add a developmental QB from an Ivy League school almost every offseason. This year is no different, with the physically impressive Alek Torgerson from Penn. Torgerson (6’3, 230) has the ideal build for an NFL QB, with very impressive arm strength and a productive college career. He’s also athletic enough to make plays on the run, and is by all accounts a very hard worker in the film room. That’s good, because he’ll need to work very hard this offseason to have a shot at sticking around. Penn ran a simplified system with very little put on the QB’s shoulders—which means a serious adjustment for Torgerson to a pro-style system. Still, he’s got genuine arm talent, and his physical traits make him an ideal guy to stash and develop on the practice squad. LB Jermaine Grace - Miami Grace is an interesting story: he led the Hurricanes in tackles during the 2015 season, and was then dismissed for NCAA rules violations in 2016. Instead of trying to play again in 2017, Grace declared for the NFL draft. That’s an interesting strategy, but it appears the Falcons found his skillset intriguing enough to give him a shot as an UDFA. That aforementioned skillset is pretty impressive. He’s very good in coverage, and was an impressive athlete for Miami in 2015. The primary knock on him is size: Grace is listed at 5’11, 209. However, the Falcons have shown that they aren’t afraid to play “undersized” LBs. If Grace can bulk up into the 220s, he has a legitimate shot to earn a back-up spot at LB. He’s also shown himself to be capable on special teams, which helps his chances of sticking around. DE/LB Darius English - South Carolina English is a player that I expected to be drafted late on Day 3, but wound up falling out entirely. I’m surprised, as English has real potential as a pass rushing specialist with pretty good length (6’6, 245). However, he’s atrocious against the run and unrefined in his technique. His weight has also been a consistent problem throughout his career, and he’ll likely need to bulk up to survive in the NFL. Despite all that, English has a potential future in the NFL in a LEO-type role. He’s got the athleticism to succeed in space, and has shown flashes of coverage ability during his career. With some development and time in the weight room, English could become a rotational pass rusher in the NFL. He’s got a legitimate chance at the practice squad if he proves he’s willing to work hard. WR Garrett Scantling - Georgia Perhaps the biggest wild-card in the entire UDFA crop, Garrett Scantling hasn’t even played football since high school. He was a member of the Georgia track and field team from 2012-2016, and came extremely close to qualifying for the Rio Olympics. Scantling is a pure athlete at this point in his career, but Quinn has clearly seen something in him that piqued his interest. Scantling is coming into camp as a WR (the position he played—to some success—in high school), but it is expected that he will be a major player in the competition for punt and/or kick returner. It’s pretty unlikely Scantling goes directly from track and field to an NFL roster, but he has a real chance at sticking on the practice squad if he shows potential during training camp. What do you think about these particular UDFAs? Do you have any players that you’re keeping an eye on during rookie minicamp? Who do you think has the best shot of making the roster this offseason? http://www.thefalcoholic.com/2017/5/12/15616728/udfas-to-watch-falcons-rookie-minicamp-2017
  8. If Atlanta let's Poe walk in 2018, and he gets signed by another team, then Poe would definitely enter into the compensatory formula as a qualified UFA lost by the Falcons. Doesn't matter that Poe was only on a one-year contract with the Falcons. Now assuming that in the 2018 free agency period the Falcons are in a Net Loss situation, where they lose more qualified UFAs to other teams than they sign from other teams, then they would be entitled to a comp pick for losing Poe. Let's further assume that Poe signs with another team at an average annual salary of around $10 million per year, and that Atlanta signs no other UFA from another team with a higher or comparable salary to Poe, then Atlanta would probably get a 3rd-round compensatory draft pick in the 2019 draft for losing Poe.
  9. Keanu Neal ranked No. 2 in defensive stops last season at safety By: Tim Weaver | April 1, 2017 7:44 am Say what you want about them, but the Atlanta Falcons have a strong young core for their defense. Last year’s first-round pick went to strong safety Keanu Neal coming out of Florida. At the time a lot of people thought it was a reach (present company included) but they were all proven wrong in short order. Neal had a magnificent rookie season and established himself as one of the NFL’s up-and-coming safeties. According to Pro Football Focus, Neal ranked second at his position last year with 19 defensive stops in the pasing game: Neal played 14 games for the Falcons and finished the regular season with 106 tackles, five forced fumbles and eight passes defensed. During Atlanta’s postseason run to the Super Bowl, Neal added another 30 tackles. For what it’s worth, the analysis team at PFF liked what they saw from Neal as a whole. He was rated 80.8 overall for the season, which ranked him No. 32 among safeties who played enough snaps to qualify. Neal’s solid overall grade was boosted on the strength of his 86.3 rating in pass coverage. Only four safeties around the league (Reshad Jones, Eric Weddle, Devin McCourty and Eric Berry) ranked higher in that part of the game. The one area where Neal has the most room to grow is as a run defender. He graded out at 48.1 there, which ranked No. 83 at his position. With time and more tutelage from Dan Quinn and Marquand Manuel, Neal can easily become an elite safety in the NFL some day. http://thefalconswire.usatoday.com/2017/04/01/keanu-neal-ranked-no-2-in-defensive-stops-last-season-at-safety/
  10. Evaluator saw mean streak in Falcons first-rounder Takk McKinley Vaughn McClure The Atlanta Falcons begin rookie minicamp Friday afternoon, which will offer a first glimpse at their six draft picks. ESPN spoke with 10 coaches and evaluators from other teams who either watched film, met with or worked out the six players. Here is what they had to say about the class. Takkarist McKinley, DE, UCLA (first round) Coach: "Unbelievable motor. Will chase the ball with intent regardless of position, relative to where the play originated. Plays big on the line of scrimmage when at the point of attack despite not having prototypical 4-3 defensive-end size. He’s very physical." Evaluator No. 1: "I’m a fan. The discussion was is he a Sam [linebacker] or is he a defensive end. The conclusion was that while he could do Sam and could function well in Sam while being a situational pass-rusher, we’d thought he was better at defensive end. You take advantage of what he does the best. Playing Sam just takes him out of those pass-rush situations. They’ll be some drops and you’ll have to cover a little bit. It just takes him out of his strength. Takk played Sam for a little bit in junior college. He could function in that role. But with his quickness and his first step and his burst off the ball and just the speed he generates as a pass-rusher, [playing Sam] would take away from his strengths, basically." Evaluator No. 2: "I like Takk. He’s got emotion, now. Takk gets mad at everybody -- coaches, everybody. People were scared of him at UCLA. That’s what everybody said. He’s a rough m-----f-----." Duke Riley, LB, LSU (third round) Coach: "The kid himself is a really good kid. He’s outgoing, an extroverted guy. He’s got a lot of confidence. I think he’s a better tester than he is a football player. He won’t have any trouble knowing football. He’s fine. He’s got good football intelligence. To me, he just didn’t play to the numbers he has. I thought that [Atlanta] took him too high, in my opinion. When the process started, he was like a sixth-rounder. But through the process, people started to like him more and more. His position is the weak side, but his personality is to be the Mike [middle linebacker]. He could play across the board for them because he’s really a jack-of-all-trades, but a master of none. Plus he comes from people that lived on the edge. All those lily-white guys, when you really need them most, they curl up and hide. He’s not going to do that. He’ll step up and take a bullet.’’ Evaluator: "In terms of numbers and flying to the ball, adding Riley makes them freaky. He struggles to take on blocks, though.’’ Sean Harlow, OL, Oregon State (fourth round) Coach: "He was a guy that I watched and he wasn’t high on our list. I didn’t think he was very strong. He was a guy you maybe take in the seventh round or as a [undrafted] free agent. Folks said he was very smart. I personality wouldn’t have drafted him, but, again, he’s a smart guy.’’ Evaluator: "He's solid. He has a chance to step right in and contribute.'' Damontae Kazee, DB, San Diego State (fifth round) Evaluator: "When you go into his school, they rave about the football-intelligence part of his game, the versatility. He’s someone that can play in the slot, and then just the ball skills. He has that knack for just making plays and creating turnovers. The slight concern I had was just the long speed, and that was before all the testing. On film, you saw as far as recovering if he was beaten, there was a little bit of that lacking. You didn’t see a lot of clips of him lined up in press. He did a lot of stuff off with a line of vision to the quarterback. He probably wasn’t as high for us as he was for other teams just because of the press coverage. But I thought there were no issues with his physicality and coming up and supporting the run. I kind of laugh when people [criticize] corners for not being excellent tacklers. I feel like if you have a corner who is a good tackler, he’s probably not a good corner because he’s getting a lot of balls caught on him. In that area [tackling], I think he’s good enough.’’Coach: "We liked his ball skills.'' Brian Hill, RB, Wyoming (fifth round) Coach: "First- and second-down back. Good size for the position with average feel and vision as a ball carrier. Good gap-scheme runner who runs hard and will fight for yards. Downhill, upright runner who can gain yards after contact but needs to do a better job utilizing his blockers in the run game. Average feet for the position and needs steps to make sharp cuts. Possesses very good ball security. Lacks experience in the pass game and stiff hips will limit what he can do as a route-runner. Won’t give much as receiver but could help protecting on third down." Eric Saubert, TE, Drake (fifth round) Coach: "More of a receiver but has some size and strength. Is a very smart player and a hard worker.’’ Evaluator: "Skilled route-runner with good receiving tools. Stood out for a small-school guy.’’
  11. Fentaye thanks for the above article. Well it appears that the rule of 32 will get the Falcons, and they will NOT get the two possible 7th-round picks that they would have otherwise been entitled to. From the overthecap article: " However, NFL rules allow for only 32 compensatory selections to be awarded in a given draft. Unfortunately for the Falcons, the Tom Compton and Eric Weems contracts given by the Bears and Titans, respectively, do not land among the top 32 free agent departure contract values. Average per year contract values generally determine the slotting of compensatory picks and Compton and Weems turn out to be just outside the top 32 contract values: they are projected by Over the Cap to be numbers 35 and 39, respectively. "
  12. Falcons Finalize 2017 Draft Class Posted 10 minutes ago By Curtis Jackson All six draft picks have agreed to terms as the team heads into rookie minicamp on Friday. Today, the Falcons agreed to terms with the rest of their rookie class: defensive end Takk McKinley, linebacker Duke Riley, running back Brian Hill, and tight end Eric Saubert.
  13. Just googled Scott Carasik Falcons comp picks, and saw that he made a tweet on May 9 also projecting two 7th-round comp picks. However, I didn't see where he had said anything about the 32 highest in that tweet. Btw before anyone thinks that I may have copied Carasik on this matter, I had posted earlier on April 5 in my topic thread entitled "Falcons Available Cap-space and Free Agency Tracker" the same projection for possibly two 7th-round comp picks for 2018. That particular post, along with this current modified post, gave the caveat re the Rule of 32 might eliminate comp picks that a team might have been otherwise entitled to. The OP of this particular topic thread was just a reworking this morning of my earlier post from April 5 re possible 2018 comp picks as follows: "Posted April 5 · Report post It appears that the Falcons might be able to get a couple of late round compensatory draft picks in the 2018 draft, based on Free Agency thus far. The Falcons last received compensatory picks in the 2014 draft, and will not receive any in the 2017 draft. To receive comp picks a team needs to lose more qualified/compensatory UFAs than the qualified/compensatory UFAs that they sign. The number of comp picks = Net Loss of qualified/compensatory UFAs. To be considered as a qualified/compensatory free agent (CFA) in the comp formula, a player's average annual compensation must be over a minimum threshold amount. Three years ago that minimum threshold amount was around $900,000. I would have thought that the minimum threshold would have gone up some with the recent increases in the salary cap. However, I saw some players who figured into this year's comp formula with average annual salaries between $900,000 to $1,000,000 on the low end. I seriously doubt that UFAs Hugh Thornton, Derrick Coleman, Soma Vainuku will count as "qualied/compensatory UFAs signed by Atlanta, since their average annual compensation is significantly below $900,000. Therefore, I preliminarily project at this point that the Falcons have signed 3 qualified CFAs: Dontari Poe, Jack Crawford, and Andre Roberts, but have lost 5 qualified CFAs: Paul Worrilow, Patrick DiMarco, Aldrick Robinson, Tom Compton, and Eric Weems for a Net Loss of 2 = 2 Comp Picks, at this point. I reiterate at this point, because the free agency period generally lasts until Training Camp starts. I doubt that the Falcons sign any more qualified CFAS from other teams until after June 1, when Atlanta gets the $4.25 million cap-savings from cutting Tyson Jackson. There is also a chance that some other team might sign Spoon or Tamme to a qualifying contract before training camp begins, and they would thus figure as additional CFAs lost by Atlanta. Even after training camp begins a player would have to make and stay on a team's final roster to still count in the comp formula. The following are the UFAs signed by Atlanta from other teams, and the Falcons UFAs signed by other teams. Coming/Signed by Falcons DT Dontari Poe, Chiefs (UFA; signed on 3/16; one year, $8 million) $7.5m base salary, $500,000 weight bonus, $2m of possible added incentives, but classified as NLTBE. 2017 cap-hit = $8m. Total maximum contract = $10m, if the additional incentives are actually earned. DE Jack Crawford, Cowboys (UFA; signed on 3/9; three years, $8.8 million) 2017 cap-hit = $2,083,333, Signing Bonus = $2.5m, $3m guaranteed. Contract has $500,000 per year of possible additional incentives, but classified as NLTBE. Therefore, the Total maximum contract = $10.3m, if the added incentives are actually earned. WR Andre Roberts, Lions (UFA; signed on 3/14; one year, $1.8 million) I seriously doubt the following three players will count in the compensatory formula: OG Hugh Thornton, Colts (UFA; signed on 3/21; one year) $690,000 2017 cap-hit /base salary, possible $310,000 in additional incentives FB Derrick Coleman, ex-Seahawks (signed on 3/21) one year $690,000 2017 cap-hit/base salary FB Soma Vainuku, ex-Texans (signed on 3/21) two-year $1,020,000 total contract, 2017 cap-hit $465,000 Going/Signed by other teams LB Paul Worrilow (UFA; signed by Lions on 3/9; one year, $3 million) FB Patrick DiMarco (UFA; signed by Bills on 3/9; four years, $8.5 million) WR Aldrick Robinson (UFA; signed by 49ers on 3/10; two years, $4 million) OT Tom Compton (UFA; signed by Bears on 3/12; one year, $1.85 million) WR Eric Weems (UFA; signed by Titans on 3/11) two years, $2.6 million, including $275,000 guaranteed To determine which appropriate round that a team would get comp picks in, a cancelling-out process is done with a team's highest annual compensated signing is cancelled-out by a team's highest annual compensated loss, and so forth. Thus, Poe's signing would be cancelled out by Worrilow, Jack Crawford would be cancelled-out by DiMarco, and Andre Roberts would be cancelled-out by Aldrick Robinson. That would leave Compton and Weems as the 2 Net Loss players for the Falcons. Looking at their annual compensation, I doubt Atlanta would receive anything better than just two 7th round compensatory picks for Compton and Weems. And some 7th round picks might get eliminated by the Rule of 32. The maximum comp picks in any year is 32, so even though a player technically counted in the comp formula, the team did not get a comp pick for them, because they did not make the top 32. For the upcoming 2017 draft, 7 players would have given certain team's a 7th round compensatory draft pick, but didn't, because they were eliminated by the Rule of 32. An excerpt from the 2017 compensatory draft official announcement: "The Collective Bargaining Agreement limits the number of compensatory selections to the number of clubs then in the League (32). This year, four clubs: the Los Angeles Rams (one pick), the Green Bay Packers (one pick), the Pittsburgh Steelers (two picks), and the Arizona Cardinals (three picks) qualified for compensatory selections under the net loss formula, but will not receive those picks because the final numerical values of the CFAs who were lost by those clubs ranked 33rd through 39th among the final numerical values of all compensatory selections. Each of those four clubs will receive compensatory selections for other CFAs lost whose final numerical values ranked within the top 32." http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000787767/article/nfl-awards-compensatory-draft-picks-to-16-teams"
  14. Certainly not enough to get too worked-up about. However, comp picks can now be traded, which started with the 2017 draft. So IF the Falcons do get two additional 7th round compensatory draft picks, then they might be able to package them in a trade to move-up somewhat, and get someone that they might be targeting.
  15. Probably around $4.5 million after all the rookies are signed. The Falcons will also get back another $4.25 million on June 2 from Tyson's Jackson's contract. Additional detail provided in the last page of the following linked topic thread: